Football.Fantasy.Fanatics

TOP 5 RB SLEEPERS FOR 2011

2011-08-03T13:35:00.000-07:00

Here's my list of the top sleepers at the RB position this year now that Free Agency has settled and camps are in full swing.

1. FELIX JONES-Marion Barber the TD vulture is gone, and while Choice may assume that role the fact remains that Jones averaged about 100 YPG once Jason Garrett took over as head coach. Jones will no doubt be used in all aspects and could be the steal of the draft since he is being taken in the 4th round or later in most mock drafts. Let's not forget either that he did this all without Tony Romo keeping defenses honest.

2. BEANIE WELLS-Hightower has departed and Wells will get his chance to prove he is able to handle an every down load. He has been a china doll since his arrival in the league, but if he does stay healthy he could wind up a solid #2 RB.

3. MARSHAWN LYNCH- We know Forsett is not an every down back so Lynch looks to be the primary starter. The main reason he looks to have a great year though is because the Seahawks were anemic in pass offense last year, ranking 19th. Now, they have added Zach Miller, Sydney Rice and a mobile QB in Tavaris Jackson. Throw in Tate and Mike Williams and now you have an Offense the opposition at least needs to take seriously. Teams will no longer focus on only the backfield and Williams out wide. They will have to game plan for all those weapons which means more running lanes for Lynch. Just the presence of these new additions make Lynch a top #2 RB and borderline low #1.

4. BENJARVIS GREEN-ELLIS- He quietly ran for over 1,000 yards and 13 TD's last year yet everyone is forgetting this guy. He's currently 31st on the RB order behind guys like Addai, Best, and Ingram. Brady was extremely efficient due to Ellis' emergent and the Pats will continue on last year's game plan. Ellis should actually be a top 20 back and just may pay off huge.

5. TIM HIGHTOWER- He is the more complete back than Torain and Shanny will no doubt be forced to run since he'll be going with either Grossman and Beck at QB. Two guys who need the run game in order to succeed. Even if this is a time share, I think Hightower gets the majority of the carries and enough to be a great #3 RB with upside. He should be very involved early.

FANTASY DRAFT FOCUS: RB's 1-20

2011-07-24T11:29:00.000-07:00

Ahhhhhh! Smell that? Football is finally back and this year will be heaven. Yes we had to sit through owners and players fighting over 9 billion, but think of the non-stop information and movement which will keep us busy right up to week 1 kick off! So, each week leading up to draft day I'm going to break down a list of the players by position so you can dominate your draft. This week is the top 20 Running Backs. The prized beauty queen of fantasy.

RUNNING BACK BREAKDOWN FOR DRAFT DAY (1-20)

1. ADRIAN PETERSON: Most people have him as the consensus #2 or #3 back to be drafted but I have to disagree. He has the 5th best schedule for his position and seems poised to see his work load bump up once again. Peterson's touches have dropped each of the last two years and though he averaged 4.6 YPC last season he actually was even better in 2008 when he had 80 carries more and averaged 4.8 YPC. With Ponder looking to take the role immediately you can bet AP will come close to those 2008 numbers or at minimal increase his touches and yardage from last season. Even with the Mcnabb talk, I still think Peterson sees major increase regardless.

2. DARREN MCFADDEN: This is probably not the one anyone expects to take here but he should be. Most analysis has C.J. or Foster going top two but both worry me big time based on off-season issues which I will get to once it's their turn. For starters, Mcfadden plays in a defensively challenged division and will once again be the feature of the offense. Zach Miller will most likely be re-signed and IF Jacoby Ford or a big FA signing can step up this year then McFadden may see even more day light. Mcfadden had a hell of year with zero help in the passing game last year and it can only get better. Mcfadden has the 8th best sched for his position and if he stays healthy will warrant a top two pick.

3. JAMAAL CHARLES: Charles moves up for two reasons, first he plays in the same defensively challenged division and also faces the 10th best SOS for his position. With teams like the Bills, Lions, and Colts in the first few weeks, Charles stands to get off to a quick start. Not only that, he is a big part of the passing game, collecting 469 yds with 3 TD's. Thomas Jones' role should diminish further this year, but he should play enough to keep Charles fresh. I see Charles also getting a few more looks in the red zone which Jones jacked last year. Charles YPC average was sick last year but in 2009 it was at a studly 5.8 YPC so don't look for too much of a drop off from last year. KC selected Jonathan Baldwin at WR to help Bowe which shows they are committed to mixing things up and keeping defenses off balance. This will only help Charles' cause since everyone knew it was Bowe or Charles on 80% of the plays.

4. LESEAN MCCOY: Here is a guy which could jump to elite status this year if current trends continue. He put up 9 games of 100 plus yards from scrimmage last year and the illusive Vick is just another weapon teams must worry about, making it nearly impossible to cover all bases. McCoy benefited from the Vick revival, posting 5.2 YPC and 10 TD's. Despite the 28th SOS at his position, McCoy will be one of the few backs where it really doesn't matter. He will see many running lanes and will improve on last years stats though about 10 TD's seems like about where he will stay given the plethora of scorers the Eagles have in the red zone.

5. MATT FORTE: Forte was only 170 plus yards off his 2008 rushing campaign last year despite getting 90 FEWER attempts! Even his YPC of 4.5 were a huge jump from 2008. Forte seems ready for an even better season, especially if the team brings in a serious #1 WR in FA. Forte is very involved in the pass game as well and averaged 10.7 YPR. Things can only get better for him this year as he faces the 7th SOS at his position. This is a guy currently going 10th in most drafts and will be a super value if you can get him that late. Given the CJ and Foster woes I see coming, to see Forte wind up as a top 3 back this year is not far from reality. He may be the best value pick in the draft.

6. PEYTON HILLIS: Despite having the 29th SOS at his position, Hillis is a horse and his number of touches and red zone opportunities make him a solid pick at 6th. Hillis has been in the league a few years and is the only reliable weapon the Browns have, so a sophomore slump in unlikely. If he can stay healthy, expect him to again post double digit TD's. He is a solid pass catcher as well and has the tools to continue on last year's breakout. If the Browns can add to the pass game via free agency to take some pressure off him, Hillis could be much more effective. He did taper off at the end of last season, going scoreless in his last 5 games, but expect the Browns to keep him fresh with the return of Hardesty whom will ease the load Hillis carried last year. The 4.4 YPC seems about right for a guy of his style, but the TD's could actually go up with him fresh and not taking as much punishment.

7. CHRIS JOHNSON: CJ should be higher and may wind up there but he has issues to overcome. First of course is the fact all signs point to Jake Locker taking the rock unless Tenn signs a veteran QB. Even then, the abbreviated off season gives a much shorter time for either QB to digest the playbook. A new coach, the Britt jailhouse saga, and a weakened defense all add up to a drop in CJ's production. I wouldn't be shocked to see him end up lower than this ranking. Remember last year where he had 5 yards total?? It would have been unthinkable in years past, but defenses have gotten savvy and this year the Titans have lost their leader and may lose Britt.

8. ARIAN FOSTER: A torn meniscus all season, Foster showed his heart and led all rushers. However, I don't see this as a good thing for him. First off, the tear could not have been too bad but at the same time, how much more damage did he cause to it and what is his current health status? Camp and preseason will show us but he is likely to take it quite easy leading up to a heavy work load for the season. Coaches will also want to limit his touches this year due to the injury and give him more rest than normal. Common thinking seems to be that if the guy had that season on a torn meniscus then what could he do healthy! We all know how these injuries affect every back differently and usually for the worse. Time will tell where he stands, but I'm not risking anything higher than a 5th pick on him this year. He has the 16th SOS for his position and had a much weaker schedule last year. Expect a slight decline at minimum for Arian.

9. RAY RICE: Despite getting 50+ more touches than in 2009, Rice saw major drops in production. Even with the extra load, Rice dropped 120 total yards and went from 5.3 YPC to 4.0 YPC and two fewer scores. He faces the 27th SOS at his position so things don't look like they will get too much better. He will be a solid pick but I don't see a big jump from last year. This spot seems like the most reasonable number for him and I would not go higher.

10. RASHARD MENDENHALL: Mendenhall a top ten back you ask? Can you really argue 1,273 Yards and 13 TD's last year? Yes it was partly due to Big Ben being on the shelf in the start of the season, but the Steelers are finally confident in using Mendenhall to set up the pass. If anything, I see him improving on last season with Ben starting week one. His production in the pass game jumped big time once Ben returned and added to his opportunities. Also, he faces the 13th SOS at his position this year which should keep him at least around the same numbers as last season. With so many questions below him (in my rankings) I believe this is the year youth and safer options win out. Especially in a shorter off season than normal.

11. MICHAEL TURNER: I would have him higher if it were not for Atlanta drafting Julio Jones this year. Jones stands to be a day 1 starter and has a solid QB throwing to him. Atlanta will do damage in the air this year and the team may want to keep Turner fresh and limit his touches a bit this year since he carried the ball 300+ last season. His red zone value will go up and he can possibly even improve on his 12 TD's last year. The NFC South has had issues with run defenses so turner will have 6 very nice games when in division. He has the ability to wind up as a top 5 when all is said and done, but I see Atlanta going more to the air this year.

12. FRANK GORE: Harbaugh says he plans on keeping Gore on the field as much as possible this year and if true, Gore could have one of his better seasons. That of course if he can somehow stay healthy all year. This is a guy with a grueling off-season workout schedule and a guy who preps year round. How much the injury affected him is yet to be seen and he should be much higher than this ranking but the questions on his health and his history have him a safe pick here.

13. MAURICE JONES DREW: As of July 2nd, MJD says he's about 85% healthy. This is one of the guys I said last year looked like he was playing injured and it turned out to be true. (Pat, Pat) He thinks he can still carry the load, but Simms-Walker's departure and the unease at QB means more questions for MJD. He is a very big risk despite his talents and the load he has carried alone points to a back on the decline. His red zone opportunities keep him here as an early 2nd/late 1st round pick but if you're gonna take a risk it's better to go with a guy like Legarrette Blount or Ryan Matthews whom have more upside. His name will probably have him go higher but we really have no clue which MJD will show up week one. Draft him with caution and be sure to get two other reliable backs if you take him with your first pick.

14. STEVEN JACKSON: Jackson had a pretty solid season and will put up his normal numbers. The reason I place him at 14 though is two fold. First, his YPC of 3.8 is his career lowest and secondly, the Rams are clearly turning into a balance pass attack. The need to ride S. Jax has diminished with the play of QB Sam Bradford. However, if the Rams can continue upon their passing growth then it could open things up for Jackson even more. The biggest problem for he and the Rams is their scoring which ended up at 26th in the NFL. Jackson did get roughed up often last year and being the baller he is, fought through the injuries. The Rams are still at least one season away from making that jump and Jackson's value is the biggest casualty.

15. LEGARRETTE BLOUNT: There may be some more appealing names to put at 15 but Blount is in a prime position to significantly build on last season. He will be the goal line back and will be kept fresh by again coming off the field on 3rd downs. He has the 20th ranked SOS, but teams will need to respect Freeman and the passing game which stands to get better than it was last season. Also keep in mind that Blount did not truly get the starting job until week 4 yet still rushed for over 1,000 yards and averaged 5 YPC. Cadillac Williams may be released this season and if the Bucs pass on a guy like Reggie Bush for 3rd down play then Blount may possibly see more time on the field.

16. RYAN MATHEWS: Mathews is a player whom could go either way. He scored 7 times in only 12 games but fumbled 4 times. The presence of Tolbert and his nose for the end zone also looks to eat into Mathews value if the Chargers use Tolbert in the same role as last year. The Chargers have been a pass first team and will have Floyd and V. Jackson along with Crayton all healthy for week 1 which wasn't the case last year. Antonio Gates should also be ready to go after an injury plagued season. Mathews is a risky play because of all the options this offense has but could produce good value as your #2 back since he has the #3 SOS.

17. SHONN GREENE: Like Mathews, we really have no clue what to expect from Greene. The Jets are saying Greene will be the primary ball carrier and LT says he's ready to be the 3rd down guy but they said the same thing last off-season and look how that turned out. He has the 4th ranked SOS for all running backs so the potential is there. The question is will he be the featured back and how effective will he be if he does get the job. The Jets stand to lose both Santonio Holmes and Braylon Edwards whom both played big roles in the pass game. This could only put more focus on the run game and make it even tougher on him. He is a high risk/ high reward guy to take at 17 but the fact the Jets love to run gives him good value.

18. JONATHAN STEWART: The likely departure of Deangelo Williams is a great sign for Stewart, but his constant injury issues and a very green rookie QB who has a shortened off-season are two big strikes against him. Not to mention Steve Smith may be a gonner as well. This team struggled last year to get anything going and the pieces are there to possibly have an even worse season. The Panthers will not score much this year and Stewart's value is limited. The only thing keeping him here is the possible large number of touches he stands to see.

19. CEDRICK BENSON: The Bengals will most likely re-sign Benson this year but with Carson likely gone as well as Chad Ochocinco, Benson will be the primary target of defenses. He had already shown a big drop in production last season and I believe well past the point of being able to be the spotlight of an offense. He does have the 14th ranked SOS, but look for B. Scott to eat into his touches as well which further drops Benson's value. Still, he's in a better situation from a job security standpoint than the backs left outside of the top 20.

20. KNOWSHON MORENO: His job is also safe for now and it's his pass catching ability that will buy him some time. The Broncos have a lot to sort out once camp starts but regardless of who starts at QB, the bottom line is that Moreno's inability to thrive with a great pass offense last year was disappointing. If Tebow starts this year it's going to put even more pressure on Moreno as teams will bring the heat until Tebow proves he can beat basic coverage. Moreno is a candidate to really exceed expectations, but we will have to wait and see how he responds and who wins the QB job in camp.

WEEK 16 PREVIEW

2010-12-21T09:17:00.000-08:00

CAROLINA @ PITTSBURGH:

CAR: Clausen had his best showing of the year albeit against the Cardinals. Jonathan Stewart is back and produced also but forget about starting him vs. the top rush defense. Steve Smith should also struggle since Pittsburgh will be able to roll extra coverage his way without issue. Look at your possibilities before you think of starting a Panther. Go with a better match up if able.

PITT: The must start here is Mendenhall who will face Carolina's 23rd rush defense. While they did do well vs Hightower, remember the opponent was a team as bad as they are. Carolina is 8th vs the pass and does have a talented secondary, but they will be far from able to shut down all the Steeler weapons. Heath Miller returns this week and should be good for a score. All your Steeler players make solid starts this week, with Mendenhall being a top 5 back this Sunday.

The Steelers lost a tough one last week and need this one. PITT 28-CAR 13.

DALLAS @ ARIZONA:

DAL: Romo went to the IR for the year and Kitna ironically hasn't been much of a drop off fantasy wise. This week he faces the 23rd pass defense and 30th rush defense. Felix Jones is also a great start and should at minimum give you 10 fantasy points this week. Kitna may be a bit held back because of the run game effectiveness, but he will be efficient. Witten has been his favorite target and is a solid start here against a defense that will have more than it can handle. Start all your Cowboys with confidence against the 26th overall defense which has nothing to play for.

ARI: The Boys are 28th vs the pass, but a majority of their issues have come against far better teams with more talent. They are a good defense when facing one dimensional teams like Arizona and will make sure Fitzgerald doesn't burn them this week. Fitz is a good #2/Flex play, but don't expect him to put up great numbers. Breaston is a good sleeper/Flex play this week since he is the beneficiary when teams focus their efforts on Fitzgerald. Past that, I wouldn't trust Hightower vs Dallas' 14th rush defense this week.

Dallas is playing at a higher level and the Cards continue to fall apart. DAL 31-ARI 17.

WASHINGTON @ JACKSONVILLE:

WASH: Grossman seems to have showed us he is far from a downgrade from Mcnabb and has been given the starters role this week also. He returns to his old stomping ground in Florida this week and there may be quite a few Grossman fans in Jacksonville which is close to his college home in Gainesville. The Jags are 27th vs the pass which is pretty much all the Redskins are able to do somewhat well. Jacksonville's 18th rush defense allowed Donald Brown to put up some great numbers last week but I would not trust Torain quite yet. He is a decent start, but not one where I would have a ton of confidence. Armstrong should have another double digit day and is a safe Flex start if you have him. Moss should also be a solid start this week.

JAGS: Put back in their place last week, the Jags return home to face one of the worst overall defenses. However, they are one of the most opportunistic. MJD should have a monster day here and will be a top 5 back by Sunday's end. Both Thomas and Simms-Walker also have top starter potential, but in a championship week the problem is figuring out which one will have the best day. Either one may be worth the gamble but the question is should you gamble on them? I would opt for a safer play if you have one, but if you have a more solid play I would role with it. Gerrard also makes a good start and should be good for 15pts.

The Jags need this one desperately and squeak one out. JACK 24-WASH 21.

DETROIT @ MIAMI:

DET: It looks like Shaun Hill will return this week which boosts the value of your Lions just a bit. The problem is they are facing Miami's 6th pass defense. Miami is also 6th vs the run so don't expect anything from an already poor run game. Megatron is of course a must start, but don't be surprised if he gives you single digits. He faces an injury laden secondary last week in TB and Miami will have all it's studs on the field. Megatron should be your only start but one with lower expectations.

MIA: Detroit's 24th rush defense makes Ronnie Brown a solid play and one which should have him end up as a top 10 back on Sunday. Detroit is 13th vs the pass, but TB's Mike Williams posted a nice day last week despite the Lions knowing exactly where Freeman was looking. Marshall makes a good start here and should score one for you. Fasano should also bust out of his slump and give you good production here. Williams is too much of a risk though has high upside if he gets a decent number of carries.

Miami has all but been eliminated but the Lions are one of the worst teams on the road despite their win last week. MIA 30-DET 24.

SAN FRANCISCO @ ST. LOUIS:

SF: Things keep on getting worse for the 49ers and the loss of Gore has obviously killed Vernon Davis' and Crabtree's value. Forget about starting any 49er back against St. Louis who is tied with Pittsburgh for least rushing TD's allowed. Despite the decent match up in the pass game, I would avoid starting your 49ers. S.Jax will be able to help the Rams control the clock which only further limits your 49ers values.

STL: SF is 7th vs the rush, but they struggle against top tier runners and when they don't it's the pass game that kills them. Amendola warrants a look as a Flex play this week, but the only safe bet is Jackson who has gotten his all year long despite seeing extra men up front. Jackson will be a top ten back by Sunday's end so start him with confidence.

St. Louis should lock up the division this week. STL 20-SF 13.

TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY:

TEN: KC is 13th vs the run and 19th vs the pass but play a bit above their ability at home. The Titans have been sputtering on offense as of late, but CJ is of course your top option. While I expect a solid game out of him this week, I don't see gaudy numbers. 12 pts. should be about the total you get which is a solid game by any standards but a bit low for CJ. Kenny Britt also makes a solid start and I believe has a top 10 day at WR. The Chiefs will be unable to stop both Britt and Washington while defending against CJ. Look for this to be a productive day in the pass game for the Titans.

KC: Charles has continued his second half beast mode last week and should do well here against the Titan 17th rush defense. The Titans are not as solid on the road as they are at home, and Charles has had some great games at home. Thomas Jones also makes a great start as your RB 2 since he has had double digit fantasy games in 4 of 6 home games and scored 9 pts. in one of the other two. The Titans are even worse vs the pass at 26th and pose good match ups for Bowe and Moeaki. Start all your Chiefs here in an important game which has the Chiefs trying to hold on to the divisional lead.

KC 30-TEN 17.

NY JETS @ CHICAGO:

CHI: This should be one of the better games this Sunday but the big question is how hard will the Bears play given they have now locked up their division. Atlanta has locked up the top seed in the NFC so there really isn't much use in the Bears taking chances on injury just to win a game for pride. I would keep expectations very low for all your Bears given the weather and the possibility the starters have a chance at being benched early. Not only that, but they face one of the best overall defenses in the NFL. Forte makes a somewhat decent start, but given the situation I would only trust him as a Flex this week.

NYJ: The Jets are officially playing for a wild card spot and luck out in facing a Chicago team that may take the day off if the Jets get ahead early. Despite this, Tomlinson will face the 3rd rush defense of Chicago early which will limit his scoring. If the Bears decide this is one worth playing for, bump down your expectation overall for the run game. If not, then both Tomlinson and Greene will have good value. The Bears are 17th vs the pass which is their weak spot and Sanchez has to have gained his confidence after a good showing in Pittsburgh las week. Santonio Holmes makes a great start here and if weather isn't bad should wind up as a top 10 WR Sunday. Edwards may get his token 50 yards and a score here also so he is a good #2WR/Flex guy.

The Jets should put up a good fight here but in the end may see a team that pulls their starters.

NYJ 24-CHI 20.

NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO:

NE: New England has sealed their division, but will provide some effort since they are still fighting the Steelers and Baltimore for top AFC seed should those teams win both games and the Pats lose. If the Pats have a heavy lead by the 3rd then look for Brady and company to get sat. Otherwise, all your Pats make decent plays here. Primarily, you are starting BJE regardless as he faces the worst rush defense in the NFL. Green Ellis has a top 10 RB start here and will be good for a score. Start your Pats with confidence as you normally would.

BUFF: Fitzpatrick has caught fire again and makes a solid play vs one of the weaker but opportunistic pass defenses. NE will focus it's energy on F. Jackson and scheme the secondary to roll coverage Steve Johnson's way. Both guys make mediocre starts this week despite the Pats 23rd overall defense.

In the end, the Pats know it's a guaranteed first round bye if they win and will play it hard. The Bills do play NE tough at home and it's closer than expected. NE28-BUFF 24.

BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND:

BAL: The Ravens will be giving an all out effort as they fight with Pittsburgh for the divisional title. Cleveland is 25th vs the run and Ray Rice is looking unstoppable the last few weeks. Rice has another top 5 RB day Sunday with a good shot at 2 scores. Cleveland is pretty good vs the pass, but lack the depth to stop all the Ravens weapons especially with Heap returning. Cleveland will focus on Boldin with success, but Heap and Mason will burn them. Start all your Ravens.

CLE: Hillis has actually become human the last three games and now faces Baltimore's 5th rush defense. Hillis did go for 144 yards vs Baltimore last time, but that was week 3. Watson is the biggest benefactor when Hillis is kept in check, but produces regardless as this team's top catch threat. Watson is a must start as always and so is Hillis, but with Baltimore playing lights out of late, temper your Hillis expectations. Another sub 10 pt. game is very likely.

Baltimore will not let down with so much on the line. BAL 20-CLE 14.

HOUSTON @ DENVER:
HOU: Both teams are playing for nothing but pride this week and both are equally as bad on defense. Denver is 31st vs the run, setting Foster up for a monster day. Foster should earn the top spot as the most productive RB on Sunday. Unfortunately I face him so it kills me to write that. Denver hasn't been much better vs the pass, and Johnson has victimized far better secondaries so look for a 90 plus yard with a score day from him. Schaub is also a solid start and don't be surprised if Jacoby Jones has a nice day as well, though he's only a start in very deep leagues and depending on your options.

DEN: Tebow had a good debut and it gets better against the worst pass defense in the NFL. Houston is 9th vs the run so don't expect big things from Denver's run game. Moreno may be held out with a rib injury regardless which will but some extra pressure on Tebow seeing multiple blitzes. Drop the value of Lloyd this week, though he will be good for a score. Lloyd will make a decent #2 WR start, but he does come with big risk despite the match up. Caution on the side of error and start someone else if they have a better match up.

Denver has too many issues to keep up with Houston's potent offense. HOU 34-DEN 21.

SAN DIEGO @ CINCINNATI:

SD: The Bengals are a decent secondary at keeping long balls in front of them, but injuries on their offense will allow the Chargers to win the battle of possession and time making all your Chargers good starts this week. While the weather does cause some concern against a speed team like SD, they have too many weapons for Cinci to cover and two Running Backs both capable of handling the load. Cinci is 22nd vs the run so both Matthews and Tolbert actually have good value here. There hasn't been much word on Gates, though rumors are he may be done for the season until the playoffs. Vincent Jackson is a must start of course and if you have Floyd, he will benefit from the extra attention on Jackson.

CINCI: T.O. has been shut down for the year, leaving a less than 100 percent Ochocinco as their lone stud WR. SD has the 1st ranked pass defense though and will easily shut down Chad and keep him from burning them. The good news is the Bengals will again be playing from behind so he does have value as a possible garbage time score. SD also has the 2nd ranked rush defense and Benson struggles against good teams so I would use other options. Ochocinco is the only play here and he is borderline bench worthy at that.

If weather is good, SD rolls on the Bengals. If not, they still win but just by a closer margin.

SD 37-CIN 27.

INDIANAPOLIS @ OAKLAND:

IND: The Colts gained an important win for their playoff race and their confidence as well. Manning lost Collie for at least this week and Wayne will have Asomugha on him most the day. Oakland however is 26th vs the run and Donald Brown seems to be healthy finally after having a solid day vs the Jags. Expect Brown to see a lot of action as will Tamme, who will be needed and will get back to posting big numbers here. Bump down Wayne's value and Garcons a bit. They are both still good starts, but not #1 this week. Brown and Tamme will do the damage here. Peyton is of course a must play but will have a good but not great day.

OAK: The Raiders run game must be salivating at facing the 28th rush defense. McFadden is running with force and should have no problem getting a 100 yard with a score day. Indianapolis is decent vs the pass but the effectiveness of Mcfadden will open things up a bit for Jacoby Ford. Ford is the play here since Murphy continues his unpredictability week to week. Zack Miller is a decent play at TE but still looks a bit rusty after being injured for so long.

The Colts will be crafty enough to pull this one out. IND 24-OAK 20.

NY GIANTS @ GREEN BAY:

NYG: The loss to Philly must've killed the Giants spirit as they hope for a wild card spot and face competition. Manningham was a surprise start and abused Philly. He should see plenty of targets this week, but it will be on Manning to get him the ball under pressure. Green Bay is a very aggressive defense and will be in Manning's face all day. The Packers to struggle vs the run (19th) so Bradshaw and Jacobs are solid starts as a #1RB and Flex respectively. Trust the run game here, but be cautious using Manningham or even Nicks vs this 3rd ranked pass defense.

GB: Flynn looked better last week but has his work cut out for him vs the Giants 2nd ranked pass defense. You really have to start Jennings because of his YAC ability, but look hard at your options when it comes to starting Driver. Jackson and Starks shouldn't fare much better against the 10th ranked rush defense so look elsewhere.

The Giants are crushed so mentally who knows what team will show up. They are still alive in the wild card race and can help things by winning here. NYG 27-GB 20.

SEATTLE @ TAMPA BAY:

SEA: The Bucs have returned to their piss poor rush defensive ways again and the loss of so many defensive starters is much to blame. Lynch makes a good #2 RB start here and should be good for a score. Despite losing Aquib Talib, the Bucs are still a talented pass defense and with only Mike Williams to defend, they should be efficient again. Avoid Williams if possible, especially with Hasselbeck playing so poorly lately. Start Lynch and that's it.

TB: Seattle is 21st vs the run and 29th vs the pass so start all your Bucs with confidence. Aurellious Benn missed another big play TD so if you are in a bind at the Flex/#3 WR position he could be worth it though is a risk. Start your Bucs.

Tampa is still in the race but must win. TB 23-SEA 17.

MINNESOTA @ PHILADELPHIA:

MIN: Favre may be done for the year, and past short throws and running, Webb is showing all the traits a rookie does. AP was held out last week and depending on how he feels could be held out this week. The Vikes have nothing to play for so if he is even somewhat ailing, look for him to be benched. Harvin also takes a major hit as does Rice. Really consider other options here since the Eagles will lock up their division with a win and Giants loss.

PHI: Easy....Start all your Eagles against a team that has mailed it in.

PHI 38- MIN 17.

NEW ORLEANS @ ATLANTA:

NO: The Saints lost a tough one last week and face an Atlanta team that has locked up the division. Since this is a rivalry game I would look for Atlanta to play solid but be cautious with their players if New Orleans gets up by the 4th quarter. Fortunately for NO Atlanta is 20th vs the pass but the only guy you can trust is Colston at WR. Meachem is too up and down as are Henderson and Moore. Ivory is still questionable and Bush with Thomas will face a solid Atlanta rush defense ranked 10th. Brees and Colston are the two you want here. Everyone else is a gamble.

ATL: NO is good vs the pass but 20th vs the run so Turner should have quite a solid day, and finish in the top 10 at RB on Sunday. White is of course a must start as well, but temper expectations of Ryan and Gonzales whom will find the Saints secondary a tough opponent.

New Orleans has their season possibly on the line while Atlanta is secured. NO 27-ATL 24.

WEEK 15 FANTASY/GAME PREVIEW

2010-12-14T17:54:00.001-08:00

SF 49ERS @ SD CHARGERS:
c SF: So Alex Smith made a solid return last week and looked pretty good. Problem is it was against a weak opponent and how many times have we seen this from Smith throughout his career? He gets benched, comes back and has a good game, only to remind us he is Alex Smith the next week. It will be more of the same this week as he faces the SD 1st ranked pass defense. He and Crabtree were out of sync last week and even if they get it together it wont matter here. While Crabtree was a must start a few weeks ago, you hopefully have better options this week. He does have value since the 49ers will be passing a lot due to the score, but the Chargers don't need to worry about the run and will sit back on Smith all day long. Vernon Davis is the best start here, but don't expect a big day. Expect Crabtree and Davis fortunate if they hit double digit fantasy points.

SD: The Chargers destroyed a much better team last week and now face the 49er 19th ranked pass defense. The 49ers are actually 9th vs the run but dont let that impact starting Tolbert or not. Rivers pass abilities allow Tolbert room since defenses are on their heels and this week is no different. The bigger issue is the return of Matthews who will steal some carries and possibly a score. Turner seems hell bent on keeping him involved, so only trust Tolbert as a Flex or at best a #2 RB. If between a guy like Hightower or Felix Jones and Tolbert, i would go with them. Antonio Gates looks like he will again miss time and you wont know till kickoff if he is a go so have reserve options ready. At receiver, start Floyd and Jackson if they start and both are solid starts this week. Rivers should also end up as a top 5 QB performer on Sunday.

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The Chargers are now only a game back from the Chiefs and should roll on the 49ers whom have no offense without Frank Gore.... SD 34-SF 17.

CLE BROWNS @ CIN BENGALS:
CLE: The Browns situation is one of the few which week to week is the same review. Start Hillis and Watson and that's it. Hillis should have an especially great day vs the Bengals 24th Rush Defense but Watson may be a bit of a gamble since the Bengals are 13th vs the pass and will be able to slide extra coverage to Watson. Still, he is a better start than most TE's. Past these two, don't even think of starting another Brown. CIN: T.O. has returned and is blaming the ownership and coaches for their losing ways. Guess they won't be renewing his contract at season end. Benson makes a solid #2 RB start this week vs the Browns 23rd Rush Defense. This will help depending on weather conditions with the pass game. Palmer is far from a trustworthy start any week but if weather is decent he may be worth the gamble. The Browns are 15th vs the pass and given their hands will be full with Benson, both TO and Ocho make good starts this week. Each should score and at least give you 70 yards at minimum.

The Bengals get one of their few wins since they face a one dimensional opponent. Though that one dimension is pretty damn good. CIN 28-CLE 20.

WASH REDSKINS @ DAL COWBOYS:
WASH: The Skins are adept at finding ways to lose but face a team that will allow their 9th ranked pass game to shine. The Cowboys are 27th vs the pass and there really won't be much the Skins can do but throw. If you have Moss or Armstrong, each warrant consideration as WR#3 or Flex plays with good upside. Dallas is 17th vs the run but no Washington back has produced much the last few weeks so avoid them. This will be an air show, and one that could see Moss or Armstrong with multiple scores. Problem is figuring out which one. DAL: While this is a game that will produce plenty of fantasy points, it actually will hurt your Dallas players values a bit. Washington is 28th vs the pass and the run which means there will be success both through the air and ground. The Boys still like to run the ball and is Felix Jones and Choice are effective as I think they will be, it could hinder the pass stats a bit for your WR core. You have to start both Austin and Williams given the match up but temper your expectations if the run game gets going early. Kitna also makes a solid start this week.
The Cowboys still remember week one but Washington is far from what they were then. DAL 28- WASH 21.

HOU TEXANS @ TEN TITANS:
HOU: The Texans must be feeling the hangover after a tough loss on Monday but the Titans are a perfect cure. The Titans are 26th vs the pass and equally as bad vs the run. Start all your Texans this week and Jacoby Jones makes a good play as a WR #3 if you have a tough match up there. Arian Foster should be in beast mode again so look for another productive day from him. Start all your Texans confidently.
TEN: Britt took over for Moss last week so its safe to say Moss is a risky play. With Britt back, it also makes Washington another risky play so look for alternatives though Houston is the worst pass defense in the league. Houston last kept CJCJ and still worth a score. Figure him for about 12 points this week.

Houston seems to have the Titans number and round two of Finnegan vs Johnson will be fun to watch. HOU 24-TEN 17.

JACK JAGS @ IND COLTS:
JAGS: Believe it or not, this is a huge game for both teams and one that could help the Jags lock up the division for all intensive purposes. Though the Colts are 29th vs the run, the Jags pass game is ineffective and won't have the Colts worried. The Colts are actually 5th vs the pass and have the talent to man up on the outside and bring extra men up on MJD. Does it matter? MJD will find the holes and has been doing it even with extra men in the box so start him with confidence. Mercedes Lewis is the only other fantasy start here so forget about starting any Jags WR's.
IND: This will be another good week for Payton and the pass game as the Jags rank 29th vs the pass and have made lesser teams look good. Don't buy in yet on Garcon. He has had a very Simms-Walker type year, up and down and riddled with injury. Against the Jags he has a good shot at back to back performances, but I expect Tamme to be involved more after last week and Reggie Wayne to have a monster day. Obviously any Colt RB is untrustworthy so go with other options since it will be a highly effective pass day for Manning.

Though the Jags sit atop the division they are not as good as their record and it has been more the result of a slumping Colts team than any other reason. Colts are back after last week and should put the Jags back in their place. IND 31-JAX 20.

KC CHIEFS @ STL RAMS:
KC: The Chiefs missed Cassel last week as they were pounded by the Chargers who loaded the box vs the run. Cassel will be back this week and faces the Rams 23rd rated secondary which bodes well for Bowe and Moeaki as solid starts. Charles and Thomas will both get back on track vs the 12th rated Ram rush defense which is underrated but vulnerable. The fast turf should see some nice runs for Charles while Thomas gets a goal line carry for a score making him a decent #2 RB start.
STL: KC is in the bottom half vs the pass and 15th vs the run which is about the only thing STL does well. Expect the focus to of course be on Jackson but the man is a beast and will get his regardless how many men KC brings up front. The sleeper here will be Amendola who is worthy a look if you have some tough #3 WR/Flex match ups. Trust SJax and risk Amendola only based on your needs.

While this will be a better game than expected, KC gets Cassel back and the Rams will have to respect the pass game leaving the weak side open for the taking. KC 20-STL 17.

BUFF BILLS @ MIA DOLPHINS:
BUFF: The loss of Lee Evans should hurt Steve Johnson the rest of the way now that teams will be able to play more man and cover one since there is only one pass catching threat to worry about. That means extra help vs Jackson up front. Add to that the fact Miami just shut down a much more potent Jets team last week and now face another division rival. I would seriously think about starting either guy vs the Miami 7th ranked Pass and Rush defenses this week if you have options.
MIA: The Bills are a solid pass defense team but they are bottom of the barrel vs the run which means good numbers for Brown and Williams whom have struggled all year. Williams is a good start this week as a flex guy but Brown is a sure fire #2 RB with #1 potential in your line up. While Marshall will be the primary focus for the Bills corners, the run game should allow him at least a red zone look as the Bills stack up on the run in that situation. He is a decent start as your #3 WR.

Miami has to be feeling confident after last week and won't let down since this is another divisional game. MIA 24-BUFF 13.

PHI EAGLES @ NY GIANTS:
PHI: A major showdown with playoff implications, the Eagles will be looking to all but lock up a divisional title. It won't be easy however vs the Giants 2nd Pass defense and 5th Rush defense. While I would lean towards lowering expectations of your Eagles given the opponent, there is a good chance the fact they will have the ball often helps things. The Giants will be without Smith and Manningham which leaves only Nicks as the lone legit pass threat. The Eagles should be able to cause a good amount of 3 and outs so expectations will be met.
NYG: As stated, Manning is down to Nicks and you can bet the Eagles will bring the house against the run every play. The Eagles are 11th vs the run as it is and with no need to respect the pass it will make for a long day for Manning. While you can't sit Bradshaw this week, he will give you decent numbers but far from what the norm has been. Jacobs gets the bigger bump down given he is a more north/south guy which falls right into the Eagle's scheme.

The Eagles catch a break with the Giants injuries and lock up the division. PHI 20-NYG 17.

DET LIONS @ TB BUCCANEERS:
DET: The Lions are all about the pass and have a tough one here vs the Bucs 6th pass defense. The Bucs are 27th vs the run but given Best's ongoing toe issues and the lack of a run game you're not taking the risk anyway. Megatron will have a clear hiegth advantage over Rhonde Barber and makes a solid start since he is bound for a jump ball in the red zone. Brandon Pettigrew will also have a decent day since the injury plagued Bucs also lost Quincy Black last week.
TB: Thankfully for the Bucs defense, the offense should be able to put together long drives vs the Lions 17th pass defense and 22nd rush defenses. Mike Williams is a good start after a 14 yard performance last week and Blount has a good chance at putting up his best rushing day yet. Add Winslow as a solid start and if you're in a tight spot and have Aurellious Benn he has quietly become a big play threat for the Bucs and has sleeper potential.

The Bucs injury issues may make this closer than expected but should still pull it out. TB 24-DET 20.

ARI CARDINALS @ CAR PANTHERS:
ARI: The Cards finally face a team as bad as they are this week but Carolina has been improving and has the 11th pass defense. Tim Hightower is the guy you want to start if necessary but only if he's your best option. Fitzgerald will of course get his but consider him only a #2 WR option this week. Breaston will give you his normal numbers but should cap out at about 8 pts this week.
CAR: The only guy on this team to consider is Goodson vs Arizona' 30th rush defense. He could have a Hillis like day and I wouldn't be surprised to see him score twice. Steve Smith really didn't help things calling out Clausen this week but it can't get any worse. Don't consider Smith even against the 24th pass defense of Zona. Clausen is too unpredictable.

This is a toss up, but the ball control behind Goodson should be enough to win this one for Carolina. CAR 20-ARI 13.

NO SAINTS @ BAL RAVENS:
NO: The Saints went from no backfield to a crowded one now that Thomas is back. However, keep tabs on Chris Ivory's health after he strained his hammy last week. This will be another tough test as the Saints travel into cold weather and face the Ravens 14th pass and 8th rush defense. The weather should slow down Colston and Bush a bit so while they are good starts, don't expect monster days. Really weigh your options if you're thinking about Ivory,Thomas,or Meachem. Brees will also see the effects as well so expect about a 14 point day from him.
BAL: NO has the 4th ranked pass defense and are good at not allowing the deep ball so Mason takes a bit of a hit this week after probably winning your first round game for you. Boldin should be more reliable to give you his normal numbers with his underneath routes which are more effective vs a defense like this. The solid guy this week is Rice who faces the NO 16th rush defense. He will be extra involved in the pass game also and should wind up among the top 5 RB's in fantasy this week.

The last time the Saints went into cold weather in Cinci they should have been beat had the Bengals not self destructed. BALT 20-NO 17.

ATL FALCONS @ SEA SEAHAWKS:
ATL: The Falcons have been all but unstoppable this year and now face Seattle's 31st ranked secondary. Both Gonzo and White make top tier starts and Jenkins also could have a sleeper day if in a bind. Turner faces their 20th ranked rush defense and is also a top tier start. Atlanta should easily win the battle for time possession meaning plenty of touches for your Falcons.
SEA: Mike Williams has been banged up and now Deion Butler has been lost for the season leaving Tate as the lone healthy option for Seattle. Expect Forsett to see a lot of action in the pass game but to top out at 10 pts if he's lucky. Lynch has been hitting a groove, but against the Atlanta 13th rush defense, he will come back to earth. Avoid Seattle players if able.

The only thing that could derail the Falcons this week is the weather. ATL 31-SEA 13.

DEN BRONCOS @ OAK RAIDERS:
DEN: Orton is still putting up decent numbers despite his struggles but faces Oakland's 12th pass defense on the road. Oakland seems to be getting back on track defensively despite last week's debacle and their 26th rush defense does have the ability to play better against a rusher like Moreno. Moreno was effective catching out of the backfield last time these two met and is a risky Flex play who could do well or just as easily fall flat. You have to start Lloyd but know that he too could easily give you single digit points. All Broncos are risky starts this week despite the head coaching change and a divisional foe.
OAK: Despite the let down, Mcfadden had a great game and had a career day vs the Broncos 31st rush defense last time they played. Mcfadden is another top 5 start this week and Bush could make a solid #2 option if you are struggling for a start decision. Passing wise, all the Raiders make high risk high reward plays because of Campbell's inconsistency week to week. Start them, but only as Flex or #3 WR plays.

Oakland is still in the hunt while the Broncos are eliminated. They would still love to play spoiler but the talent isn't there defensively. OAK 24-DEN 21.

NY JETS @ PIT STEELERS:
NYJ: As if last week wasn't enough, the Jets now travel to Pittsburgh and face the top rated rush defense. Sanchez is a different guy without the run game and despite the Steelers 25th pass defense, he will struggle again here. Greene is coming back from a neck injury and isn't a good play regardless. LT has value as a pass catcher and is really the only start worthy guy here. Holmes and Edwards are start worthy but risky given Sanchez' mind set and recent struggles.
PIT: The Jets 3rd rush defense should be able to shut down Mendenhall this week but will have some issues in the pass game. The return of Miller helps Ward this week and will be more than the Jets secondary can handle. Wallace has the best match up if Cromartie is assigned to him as Cromartie is prone to giving up deep balls despite his ability. Ward will have a decent day curling and slanting under Revis but the sleeper day will go to Randle-El and Miller whom will both have the best match ups.

The Jets and Steelers are going in different directions. PIT 20-NYJ 17.

GB PACKERS @ NE PATRIOTS:
GB: While Rogers still has a chance to play if he passes his concussion testing, the weather and opponent don't bode well for the Packers regardless. Starks has been a solid addition since returning but if the Rodgersless Pack couldn't score on Detroit it won't change here. Unfortunately, the values of Jennings and Driver are tied to Rodgers so wait and see till Friday before you plan on starting your Packers.
NE: The short game has everyone remembering the 07 team and for good reason. Brady has been as effective as he has since and spreading the ball around to everyone. Its keeping defenses off balance and allowing for the best match ups to take advantage of the situation. While GB is 8th vs the pass, expect a lot of short unproductive drives from the Pack if Rodgers is out which means plenty of touches for your Pats.

Given the situation, NE has no problems if Rodgers is out. The Pats have not turned the ball over in 5 straight games. NE 24-GB 17.

CHI BEARS @ MIN VIKINGS:
CHI: Last week was one to forget for the Bears and you could make the case that it was the weather. This week they face a very balanced and good Vikings defense. The good news is the Bears offense could be on the field often if the Vikes have to start Webb again which means Forte will get plenty of touches. Both Knox and Olsen make decent starts, with Knox as a #3 WR start. Cutler is too unreliable and given the opponent and possible weather conditions it may be best to start another option if you have one.
MIN: Easily put, if Webb starts, bench your Vikings outside of A.P. Even then, temper expectations as the Bears will leave man coverage on Rice and Harvin and take the risk with Webb beating them rather than letting AP beat them.

Chicago faces the Vikings at the right time. CHI 24-MIN 13.

WEEK 14 PLAYOFF ANALYSIS

2010-12-07T09:49:00.000-08:00

NOTE: ( ) will denote what tier start the player ranks as....1st tier is a guy you should start no matter what your options, 2nd is a guy worthy of your number 2 spot, and Flex is the lower of the three which carries risk.

COLTS @ TITANS:

TENN: What more could you ask for than the 29th Rush Defense as a cure to CJ's recent tough times. He is a sure fire monster this week and if you're concerned about the last two weeks, don't be. Two weeks ago he faced a Houston team that kept him to 5 yards on 7 carries but he had a third string QB handing him the ball. Houston was able to basically bring 9 guys and contain Johnson. Last week was Collins first game back, and we saw improvement for CJ vs an under rated Jacksonville rush defense. This week he faces the Colts whom are in big trouble and have struggled to stop far lesser backs. Not only that, but the Colts don't have the talent to stack the box and defend the pass in man coverage so this is a prime start for CJ. The only other guy you should look at even considering as a start would be Nate Washington who is their top threat but will be limited because of Collins.

COLTS: As bad as the Colts are against the run, so are the Titans vs the pass. Ranked 23rd, they have made weaker QB's look like Pro Bowlers. This is the game where Manning gets his groove back and both Wayne and Tamme make solid starts again. If you notice, Peyton has become increasingly frustrated with White and the Colt supporting cast and has turned to the guys he knows he can trust, sometimes forcing the ball. He will rely on these two guys all day, and both will score. Also, Colts president Bill Polian has stated that Austin Collie, Bob Sanders, and Joseph Addai will be out for this one.

The Titan defense has been miserable the last few weeks but the Colts have been equally as miserable at putting up scores too. This week things change and Colts win a close one. IND 24-TEN 21.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Reggie Wayne (2T), Jacob Tamme (1T), Peyton Manning (1T), Chris Johnson (1T) .

BROWNS @ BILLS:

BROWNS: The Bills are the worst rush defense in the NFL which makes monster Peyton Hillis my top RB for week 14. There is no reason he should be the most productive RB this week given nobody has been able to stop this guy. If you have Ben Watson, he is the only other must start guy and has quietly been a top fantasy TE throughout the year.

BILLS: The Browns are 20th vs the run and Fred Jackson continues to be one of the most undervalued RB's in fantasy. He is a solid start, but the problem is that the Browns are also 20th vs the pass. If Fitzpatrick gets a hot start, this could limit Jackson's value a bit though he is virtually a sure thing to score at least one TD. He will give you double digits, but depending on who your options are this week is one of those guys who may give you a tough time in deciding which to start. I consider him a solid #2 RB who will finish about 10th among RB's this Sunday. I also see Steve Johnson as a must start since Evans will be lining up across from Whitner and has the tougher match up. This could also be one of Johnson's better days and would see him amongst the top 10 WR's this week.

While Hillis will have a field day here, the Bills are a more balanced team offensively which will keep Cleveland on their toes. BUFF 28-CLE 20.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Peyton Hillis (1T), Ben Watson (1T), Fred Jackson (2T), Steve Johnson (2T).

BENGALS @ STEELERS:

BENGALS: Their misery continues last week as they continue to find ways to lose each week. The most concerning point last week was how Ochocinco was held to zero points almost till halftime and how he did not produce much more until garbage time. T.O. did have a score, but he too was somewhat limited in producing throughout the game. Granted this was all against a top pass defense, but the combination of Palmer's accuracy issues and a lack of cohesiveness all year make your Bengals very untrustworthy. This week they face a much weaker secondary, but the Steelers have the top rush defense and will be able to contain the under achieving Benson without bringing help into the box. This will leave some extra help in coverage against both Ocho and TO. Look for average yardage from both and a decent chance at a score for both if the Bengals are able to get into the red zone.

STEELERS: The Bengals are decent vs the pass, but are 24th vs the run which makes for a great day coming for Mendenhall. Heath Miller looks like he will be held out due to a concussion he suffered on Sunday night, so you can bet Mendenhall will be used a bit more in the pass game as well. This should also benefit Hines Ward who runs those intermediate routes and will probably see more targets as a result.

While this is always a fun game to watch and will be a closer one than expected, the Steelers should have no problem taking it. PITT 31-CINCI 24.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Ochocinco (3T), T.O. (3T), Benson (Flex only) Ward (2T) Mendenhall (1T) Wallace (2T)

PACKERS @ LIONS:

PACK: After last week's dismantling of the 49ers, you were hopefully fortunate enough to pick up James Starks who looks like the lead back from here on out. He is a far better option than Jackson and should have no problem running all over the Lions 25th rush defense. While the Lions are middle of the pack vs the pass, we all saw what GB did to a SF team with better talent at the corner position. All your Packers warrant starting spots this week and Starks is the safer play over Jackson who carries no value at this point.

LIONS: Simply put, the only guy you should be willing to play this week is Megatron. Given what is on the line however, take into consideration he will be facing Woodson most the game and will see double coverage all day. When he's not covered by Woodson, it will be Tremon Williams who is quietly having a stellar season and even outplaying Woodson to this point. So much so that the Packers have extended his contract. Burleson is a definite no play and Megatron should not be considered a top tier guy this week. You gotta start him, but keep your expectations in check. Don't even consider starting Best despite his decent performance last week.

The Pack are in the thick of things right now and will not be victims of playing down to the competition this week. GB 34-DET 17.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Rogers (1T) Jennings (1T) Driver (3T) Starks (2T) Calvin Johnson (2T)

GIANTS @ VIKINGS:

NYG: Bradshaw seems to be trustworthy again, but he will be facing a Vikings team that has gone 2-0 under Frazier and is playing up to expectations. The Vikes have moved up to 4th vs the run and will be one of Bradshaw and Jacobs tougher tests. Given that Manning is limited with his weapons still and all the Giants can really do is run, look for the Vikes to stack the box and shut down the Giants run game. This will leave Manningham and Manning as the primary offense, but the connection is far from the one he has with Nicks and things could sour quickly if Manning has an off day. While Manning is most likely the QB 2 on your team, really look at your other options based on match up and see if he is worth the start. As for Bradshaw and Jacobs, Bradshaw is the one you want to take a risk on, but don't expect a huge day from him either.

VIKES: Favre will practice Thursday and coach says if he can throw then he can play. Either way, Tavaris has Rice and Harvin owners comfortable with him after last weeks performance. Problem here is the Giants are 2nd vs the pass and 7th vs the run so this will be a war of attrition. Despite the Giants solid pass game, there will be holes for the Vikings to find. The Giants rarely face a team with as many weapons as the Vikings and this isn't the Childress Vikings. This team will take shots with nothing to lose and catch the Giants off guard on a few plays. Look for Harvin and Schiancoe to get the numbers in the pass game since they will find space in the middle of the field and Harvin has the versatility to line up at multiple positions to create a mismatch. Peterson will be held in check for the most part, but should be good for a score with about 70 yards.

This should be one of the best defensive games of the week barring a Jets like collapse and the Vikings multiple talents offensively help them squeeze out a close one at home. MIN 20-NYG 17.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Harvin (3T) Peterson (2T) Schiancoe (2T) Bradshaw (2T) Jacobs (Flex)

BUCCANEERS @ REDSKINS:

TB:What little resistance Legarette Blount would have faced against the 28th ranked Redskin rush defense evaporated with the Haynesworth suspension this week. Blount could wind up as a top ten back overall for this weekend. Mike Williams is a sure fire start this week also against the Skins 29th pass defense though he will see a lot of Hall in coverage. However, Hall is not the speedster he once was and will get caught. Freeman is probably your back up QB but will have to be strongly considered moving into your starting line up if you have a starter like Eli Manning, Flacco, Palmer, etc. Freeman makes the move from the 2nd tier group to tier one this week.

WASH: The Bucs top ten pass defense took a hit this week, losing Aquib Talib to injury and now will be forced to put rookie Myron Lewis in Nickel packages. This will also have E.J. Biggers step into the lead corner role and will square off against Anthony Armstrong. Believe it or not, I think this is actually a good match up for the speedy Biggers whom is a very able corner with the ability to handle Armstrong. Also, he will have safety Sean Jones as help over the top. This week it will be Santana Moss who is the one to trust more as he squares off against Rhonde Barber and will only have the inexperienced Corey Lynch as help over the top. This should be the side to exploit, and Moss should be able to get a score and some decent yardage. Where the Bucs struggle is in their 26th rush defense. Still, Williams or Torain are not great plays since the Bucs were able to keep both Ray Rice and Mike Turner in relative check the last two games and have looked very good vs the rush. As most Redskin games, the scoring will take place through the air, and though nobody here is truly trust worthy as a start, I would error on the side of Moss if you have to use a Skin this week. Avoid it if possible though due to the inconsistency week to week fantasy wise.

This is a game that could easily go either way despite the fact Tampa is the more disciplined and talented team. TB 21-WASH 20.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Legarrette Blount (1T) Mike Williams (1T) Freeman (1T) Moss (2T) Armstrong (Flex) Williams, Keiland (Flex)

FALCONS @ PANTHERS:

ATL: Atlanta is doing what good teams do and finding ways to win on bad days. They escaped another one vs the Bucs and will stay in the division this week. The Panthers oddly enough are a defense that ranks almost exactly like the Bucs, 7th vs the pass, and 28th vs the run. Turner will again be a solid option, I'm guessing somewhere around 100 total yards and a score. Roddy White faces a tough match up for the second week straight, now having a Carolina defense that is good at not allowing the deep ball. Gonzalez did roll his ankle vs the Bucs and it has yet to be seen how reliable he will be. You have to start White and Turner, but trusting anyone else is a risk.

CAR: Despite all of their struggles and weaknesses, anyone who has actually allowed themselves to watch a Carolina game will tell you they are improving. Clausen is still very much a young rookie making all the mistakes, but he is getting better at his reads and shows great accuracy and strength at times. Mike Goodson should still be able to post decent numbers vs the Atlanta 8th rush defense, and even Steve Smith warrants consideration if you are in a bind since Atlanta is 26th vs the pass.

I almost came through on the Bengals upset last week, and for some reason I get the same feeling that the Panthers could upset the Falcons this week. CAR 24-ATL 20.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Turner (1T) White (2T) Ryan (2T) Gonzo (2T) Goodson (2T) Smith (Flex)

RAIDERS @ JAGUARS:

OAK: The last time the Raiders beat the Chargers it set off a win streak that saw the Raiders playing some great ball. After doing it again, the Raiders face a cup cake match up vs the Jags and their 27th pass defense and 17th rush defense. The Jags are a very bad defensive team no matter where they are playing and for the first time in a while, Louis Murphy makes a good start this week. Both McFadden and Bush make great plays this week and each could realistically see a score this week. While Murphy will have his opportunity, Jacoby ford is obviously the safer play of the two. Overall, the Raiders WR core is not one you can trust despite good match ups because of QB play. You never know which Campbell is going to show up and it could kill your WR on any week.

JAGS: The Raiders are 23rd vs the run and MJD has been running like a mad man against 8 and 9 defensive fronts like last week vs the Titans. MJD should be good for two scores in this one and will be a top five RB performer at Sunday's end. At WR it's far from a reliable group you can depend on so avoid them if possible. If you must start one, Thomas is the logical choice since he will not be matched up with Asomugha and has the best chance at some actual production.

This is a game that will be a great ground war and could possibly provide 2 rushers that are top 5 scorers at the position when all is said and done. This will also be a kickers dream, so look for lots of scoring from Scobee and Janikowski. A field goal is the difference here. OAK 31-JAC 28.

PLAYOFF STARTS: MJD (1T) Thomas (Flex) Scobee (1T) McFadden (1T) Bush (Flex) Ford (Flex) Murphy (Flex)

SEAHAWKS @ 49ERS:

SEA: At 6-6 and tied with the Rams, this is a game that has playoff implications? Part of the reason for the 49ers recent success is their return to solid run defense where they now rank 10th, but surprisingly still have issues vs the pass, coming in at 17th. Marshawn Lynch had a beast day last week but will find it harder on the road this week. On the road he has only hit double digits twice out of six games, but they constituted his only two scores of the season until last week. He is a safe flex play here depending on your options but not reliable as one of your two starting backs if you have options. Receiving wise, stay away from the Seahawks regardless what the match up says. Nobody has been consistent and are risky even as a flex play.

49ERS: I told you to be weary of Westbrook last week and his 31 yards proved to be right. While he faces a Seattle team ranked 21st vs the run this week, it remains to be seen if his legs are dependable this far along in his career. He has high risk/reward, but it's the playoffs and do you really want to risk it? Unfortunately you may not have many options and I think he is safest as a Flex play. Both Crabtree and Davis are far more reliable options and each has great match ups against the Seattle 30th ranked pass defense.

The 49ers are playing more to their potential as of late and this is a game that can put them right in the hunt again. SF 20-SEA 17.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Lynch (Flex) Westbrook (Flex) Crabtree (1T) Davis (1T)

RAMS @ SAINTS:

STL: Thankfully for the Rams, the Saints are weak against the run, ranking 15th. S. Jax will carry a heavy load as always and has looked increasingly good the last few weeks. He seems to be running with the power and speed normally seen from him at the start of the year. The Saints do have the talent to man up in the secondary and bring help vs Jackson so it will bring down his potential top five scoring day to the lower part of the top ten when all is said and done. Amendola is not a good start this week so roll with Jax and avoid all your other Rams.

NO: They are finally back to looking like the Saints of old, but barring a neutral zone penalty last week would have lost to the Bengals. Now they are back at home and face a Ram secondary ranked 19th. Great news for Colston, Meachem, Bush and Brees. Chris Ivory also carries good value this week as I expect the Saints to be up by the start of the 4th and pound Ivory to run the clock. If it's a closer game, the Rams do have a decent run defense and can hold him in check, making him more of a #2 RB/Flex play.

The Saints should have no problem with the Rams. NO 32-STL 20.

PLAYOFF STARTS: S. Jackson (1T) Colston (1T) Meachem (Flex) Bush (Flex) Ivory (2T)

DOLPHINS @ JETS:

MIA: The Dolphins pass game has been extra stagnant without Marshall 100% and it looks like Hartline may possibly be headed to the IR. This leaves Bess and Fasano as the only two real options in the pass game, but it's what this does to the run game that hurts most. Without any threat of Henne beating them through the air, the Jets will be able to load up vs the run and stop Brown and Williams whom both are having down years. Each guy is no more than a Flex start if you must but I do think Fasano will carry some value since he will be the only one able to find space and move the chains. After the embarrassment the Jets went through on Monday night you can bet they will be playing their best football especially on defense.

JETS: The Dolphins do have a solid pass defense ranked 5th, and their rush defense comes in at 9 which also is a good unit. The problem is they will be spread thin with the Jets weapons and the Jets should dominate the time of possession, meaning more fantasy points for your Jets players. I like both Greene and LT as starters, with Greene obviously more of a Flex/#2 back and since Edwards will have Vontae Davis on him I like what Holmes should be able to do. You can also bet Rex will have Keller be more involved this week in the hopes of getting Sanchez back on track and completing some easy passes after the 3 pick night vs New England.

There should be no stopping the Jets and they will be prepared to get back on track after a national debacle. NYG 31-MIA 17.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Fasano (1T) Brown (Flex) Keller (1T) Holmes (1T) Edwards (2T) LT (1T) Greene (Flex)

BRONCOS @ CARDINALS:

DEN: The firing of Mcdaniels spoke volumes of where this team is and they were able to use spy gate 2 as an excuse. Though I wouldn't expect a Cowboys/Vikings like resurgence, I do like the match up here since Arizona is incapable of stopping a Pony League team. Moreno, Lloyd and Orton are all top tier starts, while Gaffney makes a solid Flex/#3 WR play who should give you minimum 8 pts.

ARI: Both Hightower and Wells have been huge bombs this year, but they face a Denver rush defense even worse than theirs ranked at 31st. Wells if healthy makes a good #2 RB start and should be good for a score. Fitzgerald is obviously a must start, and I like him here against a banged up Denver secondary. Putting him around 11 fantasy points should be a realistic projection.

Though Arizona is facing one of the few teams as bad as they are, Orton and the spread attack will be too much for the Cards to handle. DEN 28-ARI 17.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Moreno (1T) Lloyd (1T) Gaffney (Flex/3T) Orton (1T) Fitzgerald (2T) Wells (2T)

CHIEFS @ CHARGERS:

KC: This is one of if not the biggest game of the year so far for the Chiefs as they look to hold on to the divisional lead and end the Chargers season. The Chargers have seen them year in and out and know what the Chiefs plan will be which is run, run, run. This time around however, the Chiefs pass game is far from an afterthought as Bowe has blossomed into a top fantasy WR now. The Chargers do have one of the best overall defenses in the NFL coming in at 5th vs the run and 1st vs the pass. This will be a very tough game for the Chiefs so temper expectations. Charles because of his versatility and elusiveness makes a decent #2 RB start, but I would avoid the more commonplace straight running style of Thomas Jones this week. Bowe should also be considered a Flex guy this week with #2 potential. The biggest benefactor here is Moeaki whom will see lots of space as the Chargers LB core focus on keeping Charles contained.

SD: The Chiefs do have a decent rush defense but are 21st vs the pass and guess what the Chargers do well? It remains to be seen if V.Jax is a for sure start or not, but if he is a go it's a top tier start for him. Gates and Floyd if healthy are also top tier starts of course, but I would stop there and not risk Naanee, or Davis if they are go's this week. Tobert will most likely be good for at least a goal line score, but don't expect him to get a ton of yardage vs the Chiefs 12th ranked rush defense.

The Chargers know what to expect this week and need this one desperately. The lack of another true #2 WR is what hurts the Chiefs this week and makes this division one of the more interesting ones to watch. SD 31-KC 27.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Charles (1T) Jones (Flex) Bowe (3T/Flex) Gates (1T) Floyd (2T) Rivers (1T) V. Jax (1T) (If he plays)

PATRIOTS @ BEARS

NE: I've said it before, that these Pats are very reminiscent of the early 2000's crew that were not full of studs but spread the ball around and chipped away at you. Ironic that Branch is back with the team and this is the case. This week, they will face a Bears team which has improved it's pass defense issues but still comes in at at 13th. Brady will of course look to take advantage of the mismatches so like Monday night, expect a lot of Welker, Branch, and Woodhead with a bit of Hernandez. Forget BJE coming close to his performance on Monday as this Bear team will not be primed for the same fate as the Jets. It will be a heavy pass day for NE and Brady who makes a great play this week.

CHI: The Patriots are one of the weaker defensive units in the NFL but The Hoodie is good at one thing week in and out...taking away your teams best player. For the Bears, that is Matt Forte whom really is the base of this offense both passing and running. Expect him to have a tough day and force Cutler to beat the Pats through the air with limited weapons. We should see a heavy day for Olsen who will need to be very involved. Hester warrants sleeper start status if and only if you're in a bind this week. I wouldn't trust Knox this week either since he is likely to see extra coverage.

If the Bears pull this out it will be because of their defense, but the short pass spread attack of the Patriots will be the difference. They are tailor made for the game they are playing with a bunch of speedy YAC guys. NE 24-CHI 21

PLAYOFF STARTS: Welker (2T) Branch (2T) Woodhead (Flex) Brady (1T) Forte (Flex) Olsen (1T)

EAGLES @ COWBOYS:

PHI: While the Cowboys are playing the best ball of the season, they have yet to see a weapon like Vick. The Cowboys are a balance but average defense, prone to giving up the big play and will have a tough time stopping all of the Eagle weapons. Vick with his speed on turf should have another stellar performance as will the rest of your Eagles fantasy players. All make top tier starts.

DAL: Tashard Choice was told he earned more playing time by Garrett and makes a decent sleeper play if your 2nd RB is banged up or has a tough match up. The Eagles are 14th vs the run and 17th vs the pass so this is a game where all starters from both teams will make top tier plays. Give Roy Williams a boost as well now that Bryant's season is over, though in reality this will make it easier for the Eagles pass defense to know what is coming. Samuel should be able to keep Austin to an average yardage day with a score. Look for a heavy dose of Felix Jones and Choice whom both make solid starts this week.

PLAYOFF STARTERS: ALL YOUR EAGLES ARE TOP TIER STARTS! DAL: Jones (1T) Choice (Flex) Austin (2T)

RAVENS @ TEXANS:

BAL: Baltimore is playing the worst pass defense in the NFL....start them all if you have them other than TJ Houshmenzadeh who is far from a playoff start you want to risk.

HOU: Baltimore is 6th vs the run and 11th vs the pass which fits well into the scheme the Texans run regardless. Temper expectations for Andre Johnson, whom has struggled against the better secondaries in the NFL. All eyes will be on him, so expect more of a 2nd tier performance this week instead of his normal big numbers. The guy who should see an amazing amount of work is Foster who will be the only chance the Texans have of winning this game. Schaub also gets a bump down to 2nd tier status as well because of the match up.

The Ravens have enough talent to stop the Texans often enough that the Offense takes advantage of the very poor Houston pass defense. BAL 28-HOU 17.

PLAYOFF STARTS: All BALTIMORE PLAYERS ARE 1st TIER STARTS. HOU: Schaub (2T) Johnson (2T) Foster (1T)

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PREVIEW

2010-12-06T14:13:00.000-08:00

NY JETS @ NE PATRIOTS:

JETS: They are one of the few teams who continue to find ways to win, but this can be a drawback as much as an asset. The Jets have had to pull out 2 OT wins in three weeks and it wasn't against top tier teams either. Sanchez has been able to make critical passes when needed, but he is still prone to some bone headed throws and though the Pats are collectively a mediocre defense, they have been good at taking advantage of mistakes the last few weeks. Hopefully you had better options at QB which you already started because I don't trust Sanchez on this type of stage on the road. The Hoodie is great at developing schemes which ensure your best player is shut down, and he knows everything the Jets do runs through L.T. Look for him to be the focus of this defense and force Sanchez to beat them. Both LT and Greene make decent plays, but I think they come below expectations. The red hot Santonio Holmes is the guy you will want tonight as he has the best match up and will torch the NE secondary for a score.

PATS: The Jets are one of the best vs the run and BJE is far from an elite back. BJE may get a short yardage score, but that's only a small possibility. Revis will in all likely hood be running with Tate, leaving Branch and Welker to deal with Cromartie who is prone to giving up a few big gainers throughout the game. Welker and Branch make great starts as will Brady whom I see throwing quite often. Hernandez vs the Jets LB core will make an interesting match up to watch tonight and will be one of his tougher tests.

This is a playoff game before the playoffs and though the Jets defense is far more superior, Sanchez makes mistakes still and Brady understands the importance of ball security. I think Sanchez gets rattled early and Pats win. NE 24- NYJ 17.

FANTASY STARTS: NYJ: LT (13 for 45 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 30 yds) Holmes (4 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Edwards (5 for 60 yds.)

PATS: Welker (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Branch (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Hernandez (4 for 45 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Woodhead NE.....With BJE being more of a typical runner who will struggle tonight, Woodhead offers the versatility to catch in space from out of the backfield which will be a highly important aspect to use vs this defense.

WEEK 13 FANTASY/GAME PREVIEW

2010-11-29T22:08:00.001-08:00

TEXANS @ EAGLES:
HOU- (12th Passing Offense, 7th Rushing Offense, 31st Pass Defense, 10th rushing Defense) They escaped losing Andre Johnson to suspension and Foster continues to be the force that drives this offense. They face an Eagles team now 1st in interceptions, 1st in passes defended and 12th vs the run. To make matters worse, the Eagles will probably get Assante Samuel this week. Look for a plan similar to the Bears execution last week. Plenty of short throws and middle of the field routes. Foster will be used a bit more in the pass game since the Eagles are a bit weaker through the air. However, the birds have the talent to all but shut down Andre Johnson this week and should be effective stopping him. Look for Jones or Walter to be more involved and relied on more than usual. The Eagles LB's are fast enough to keep pace with Foster which is why Jones and Walter will see more action.
PHILA: (6th Passing Offense, 3rd Rush Offense, 16th Pass Defense, 12th rush Defense) Mike Vick should easily get back on track this week against a defense not nearly as fast or disciplined as Chicago's. Both Maclin and Jackson should have great days and Vick's run ability will keep the decent Houston run defense worried about closing the outside gaps which opens things up the middle for McCoy. All of your Eagles will make solid plays here.

The return of Samuel and a tough loss will have the Eagles focused and ready to let off some steam. PHI 31-HOU 20.

FANTASY STARTS: HOU: Foster (13 for 55 yds./ 6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Johnson (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD)
PHI: Vick (270 yds. 2 TD/ 4 for 45 yds. 1 TD) McCoy (11 for 65 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 30 yds.) Maclin ( 4 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Jackson ( 6 for 110 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: K. Walter HOU....As stated, Schaub will be needing a secondary target and should find both Walter and Jones open often. One of these two gets a score, leaning to Walter.

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BILLS @ VIKINGS:
BUFF ( 21st Pass Offense, 17th Rush Offense, 11th Pass Defense, 32nd Rush Defense) Not much has gone right for the Bills lately, but they will get CJ Spiller back this week though he is far from a major contributor. The Vikings defense is especially strong at home and much faster. The Bills are going to throw as always and try to attack the Vikings secondary which is their weakest unit ranked at 14th. Steve Johnson should do well here as he wishes to make ammends for the dropped pass last week. Buffalo should be down and playing catch up early so Jackson makes a weak play while Johnson and Evans are the guys you can trust to give you 8 or more points this week.
VIKINGS: ( 18th Pass Offense, 10th Rush Offense, 14th Pass Defense, 5th Rush Defense) AP chose a bad week to sprain his ankle and while they say its only a sprain, if it is a high ankle sprain you can expect him to miss two weeks. Gerhardt makes a great replacement and should have a solid day againt the league's worst rush defense. However, he is not AP and is more of a north/south runner which will make things a bit easier for the Bills. I see the Vikes having some good numbers in the pass game, especially Schiancoe and Harvin since Rice will be dealing with Whitner all day. If AP does play after all, it could be a 20pt. day for him, but it looks doubtful so far.

The Vikings are playing inspired ball with Frazier and will not let down here. MIN 24-BUF 17.

FANTASY STARTS: BUF: Johnson (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Evans (5 for 60 yds.) Jackson (13 for 55 yds. 1 TD) MIN: Gerhadt (13 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Harvin (4 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Rice (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Schiancoe (3 for 45 yds) SLEEPER: CJ Spiller BUF....he has done nothing all year to make a big impact but he will be used to get in space this week and have some value as a receiver.

BROWNS @ DOLPHINS:
MIA: (13th Pass Offense, 18th Rush Offense, 6th Pass Defense, 14th Rush Defense) Expect Henne to have one of his better days against a weak Browns secondary. Marshall should be closer to 100% this week and looks like a go although listed as day to day. Both Brown and Williams will have success as well though Brown is the better play. Miami is usually good at beatting the teams they should and this week is one of them.
CLE: (29th Pass Offense, 12th Rush Offense, 21st Pass Defense, 21st Rush Defense) The Biggest problem for the Browns is they can't keep up with the score. Peyton Hillis has been a monster and if this defense could hold teams they would be in better position. Delhomme seems to be airing it out more with conviction, but it could have been his want to beat his former team which prompted that last week. Hillis will of course have great value and is a must start, but temper your expectations this week. Miami has the horses to man up and allow their athletic LB's chase Hillis down.

Cleveland's inability to move the ball through the air kills them once again. MIA 24-CLE 14.

FANTASY STARTS: CLE: Hillis (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Watson (6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) MIA: Marshall (6 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Brown (15 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Fasano (3 for 45 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: R. Williams MIA....While Brown usually gets the goal line carries lately, this is a match up which could produce a double digit day for Williams despite fewer touches.

JAGS @ TITANS:
JACK: (26th Pass Offense, 4th Rush Offense, 28th Pass Defense, 20th Rush Defense) The Titans have been improving as of late and face a Titan defense weak vs the pass. Finnegan will most likely be on Thomas and Finnegan has the ability to shut him down. As always, the Jags will pound MJD but I think he does the most damage in catching instead of on the ground. Look for Karim Osgood to have a good game if Finnegan does indeed follow Mike Thomas around. Mercedes Lewis is the key here and has the potential to put up another multi score day.
TEN: (31st Pass Offense, 11th Rush Offense, 27th Pass Defense, 17th Rush Defense) The Titans get Collins back this week and he will have a solid day against one of the worst secondaries. This is the week if ever Moss finds the end zone again and CJ2K should have a monster day as he tries to shake off a 5 yard on 7 carry day last week.
Both teams are facing similar destinies and each seems well suited for one another. This one could become a fantasy feast for your players. TEN 31-JAX 28.

FANTASY STARTS: JAGS: Osgood (4 for 80 yds. 1 TD) MJD (14 for 65 yds./ 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Thomas (4 for 55 yds) Lewis (5 for 60 yds. 2 TD) TEN: CJ2K (16 for 110 yds. 2 TD) Moss (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Washington (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: J. Ringer TEN....Ringer doesn't get the touches to warrant a start, but his limited use will reap some good results this week.

BRONCOS @ CHIEFS:
DEN: (2nd Pass Offense, 30th Rush Offense, 19th Pass Defense, 31st Rush Defense) The Broncos will in all likely hood abandon the run this week and Orton will throw 40 times easily. The Chiefs are 7th vs the run but can be passed on and don't have the depth to cover all of the Broncos pass weapons. No doubt the focus will be on Lloyd so expect Royal and Gaffney to see more action.
KC: (28th Pass Offense, 1st Rush Offense, 25th Pass Defense, 7th Rush Defense) Charles and Jones are both primed for huge days against a defense that has given up many of the best performances to opposing running backs. While KC has a poor pass rank, it should be taken with a grain of salt because of its effectiveness. The Cassel to Bowe connection has been amazing the last seven games which has seen Bowe post career numbers. Expect a heavy dose of Jones and Charles in a game where they both have RB 1 potential as starters.

Arrowhead is one of the toughest places to win and the Broncos have struggled to get it done at home much less on the road. KC 31- DEN 24.

FANTASY STARTS: DEN: Lloyd (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Gaffney (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Royal (8 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Orton (280 yds. 3 TD/ 1 INT) KC: Charles (17 for 110 yds. 1 TD/4 for 50 yds.) Jones (15 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Bowe ( 4 for 75 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Moreno DEN....While he has zero value as a runner, he has produced catching out of the back field and I could see a 55 yd day for him with a possible score. He is a lower tier sleeper so find options.

REDSKINS @ GIANTS:
WASH: (9th Pass Offense, 25th Rush Offense, 29th Pass Defense, 27th Rush Defense) The Skins face one of the tougher rush defenses this week and are already in a position of weakness there with Torain still mending from injury and not at top shape. Regardless. the Skins will rely on Mcnabb to make some plays through the air as they have most the year. What Washington does have is an opportunistic secondary who can make you pay. They face a Giants team down to one dependable WR. Washington will look to stack the box and stop the run game and make Eli beat them with limited weapons. Moss has the tougher match up here so look for Armstrong to do most the damage if any against this top pass defense.
NYG: (10th Pass Offense, 6th Rush Offense, 1st Pass Defense, 9th Rush Defense) The answer to what they will do is easy....RUN! The Skins are weak overall and while the pass game can be effective, Coughlin understands why risk it when you have two backs with the ability to run over the Skins all day.

This one could be closer than expected if Manning turns the ball over or Bradshaw fumbles again. Giants should be able to limit the mistakes. NYG 24-WASH 17.

FANTASY STARTS: WASH: Armstrong (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Moss (4 for 45 yds.) Williams (12 for 50 yds. 1 TD) NYG: Bradshaw (17 for 95 yds. 1 TD) Jacobs (13 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Manningham (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Cooley WAS....He has been awefully quiet this year and may be the key to the Skins moving the ball. A good shot for a score though you are most likely starting him if you have him.

SAINTS @ BENGALS:
NO: (4th Passing Offense, 23rd Rush Offense, 2nd Pass Defense, 15th Rush Defense) Chris Ivory has been running harder as the season wares on and the return of Bush seems to have actually made things easier for him. He has a great match up here, as does Bush who now has a week of play under his belt. Though Cinci is decent vs the pass, they have done worse against lesser teams. All your Saints are start worthy this week, but as Bush gets healthier it may limit both Moore's and Ivory's potential if you are looking at the playoffs. CINCI: (11th Pass Offense, 24th Rush Offense, 12th Pass Defense, 24th Rush Defense.) The big question here is if the Bengals have mailed it in or not. This may be the last game we see any fight in them and it would be a huge morale booster if they can somehow get it done. The problem has been Carson and his accuracy. He has been sporadic at best and is facing one of the tougher pass defenses he has seen yet. While Benson does have a good match up here, I still think Ocho and TO carry some value as WR's 3 since the Bengals will most likely be playing from behind....or maybe not.....

While all rationale says otherwise, the Saints did get dumped on by Cleveland and Arizona whom are equally as bad as the Bengals. Now add in the Saints first cold weather game and....CIN 27-NO 24.

FANTASY STARTS: NO: Colston (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Ivory (11 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Bush (8 for 40 yds./ 4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) CIN: Benson (16 for 85 yds. 1 TD) Ochocinco (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) TO (7 for 90 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: Meachem NO....Colston will be lining up against the Bengals top CB (if healthy) and could be held in check leaving Meachem to make a rare big contribution this year.

BEARS @ LIONS:
CHI: (23rd Pass Offense, 20th Rush Offense, 17th Pass Defense, 2nd Rush Defense) The Bears are playing some serious defense and look as fast as they have since their last playoff run. The Offense even looks to be getting in sync with everyone playing their roles and Martz understanding the value of Olsen. This week they will have no problem executing their game plan as Martz looks for revenge in Detroit where he was left for dead. Every Bear is starter worthy, even Hester who has kick return written all over him this week.
DET: (7th Pass Offense, 28th Rush Offense, 18th Pass Defense, 25th Rush Defense) Like Denver, look for the Lions to abandon any notion of running and do what they do best which is pass. The problem here is the Detroit line will be doing all they can to stop an aggressive pass rush which shut down Vick last week. Hill doesn't come close to Vick and will be looking at shorter routes and check downs which hurts Megatrons value the most.

No Brainer....CHI 27-DET 13.

FANTASY STARTS: CHI: Everyone.
DET: Megatron (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Burleson (7 for 70 yds.) Pettigrew (6 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Bears Defense...While not technically sleeper status since they are one of the better defenses, I put the defense here because there really is no sleeper in this game and because the Bears have the potential for a 15 to 20 pt day as a unit in your league.

49ERS@ PACKERS:
SF: (27th Pass Offense, 27th Rush Offense, 16th Pass Defense, 8th Rush Defense) What hopes they had of keeping it close in Cheese Land diminished when Gore fractured his hip. Yes Westbrook is a solid reserve but he is far from replacing Gore. On a short week with Smith's toughest game since Tampa, there really isn't a great play here worthy of taking a risk on outside of Vernon Davis.
GB: (8th Pass Offense, 22nd Rush Offense, 15th Pass Defense, 18th Rush Defense) San Fran has been weak against the past as of late and it feeds right into what the Packers were going to do anyway which is pass the ball. Due to the loss of Gore which means a whole lot of 3 and outs, Jackson actually makes a good start since he will see plenty of action running once this thing gets out of hand.

SF takes it's worse loss of the year...GB 38-SF 13.

FANTASY STARTS: SF: Davis (7 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Westbrook (11 for 45 yds./ 3 for 25 yds) GB: ALL your Packers.
SLEEPER: Jones GB...He has asserted himself in recent weeks and makes a great play here if you are in a bind.

RAIDERS @ CHARGERS:
OAK: (24th Pass Offense, 5th Rush Offense, 10th Pass Defense, 29th Rush Defense) The last time the Raiders played SD it jump started a defensive frenzy with Oakland going on a tear. This time around they are in a minor funk and Asomugha is not at 100% and Miller is Questionable with a Plantar injury. McFadden over his last two games has rushed for only 16 yds. on 18 carries but will find little room here against a Chargers defense ranked 3rd vs the pass and rush. McFadden is the only play here unless you have a better option. Wait till he proves he's back on track before taking the risk.
SD: (1st Pass Offense, 15th Rush Offense, 3rd Pass/Rush Defense) Tolbert looks like he will be ready come game time and V.Jackson made his entrance for a quarter last week before supposedly injuring his calf which will keep him out two weeks. Rivers has already proven all he needs is warm bodies out there and if Asomugha is unable to go it makes his day that much better. If Tolbert is for some reason unable to go, bump up Naanee and Floyd's value since Hester is far from reliable in comparisson.

SD should look to return the favor this week and hit the Raiders while they're down. SD 38-OAK 21.

FANTASY STARTS: OAK: McFadden (12 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Murphy (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Ford (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) SD: Rivers (310 yds. 3 TD) Tolbert (15 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Floyd (6 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Naanee (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Gates (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Bush OAK...The Chargers have been able to keep the quick backs like McFadden in control and Bush's running style may be more effective in grinding down the defense.

FALCONS @ BUCCANEERS:
ATL: (15th Pass Offense, 8th Rush Offense, 26th Pass Defense, 6th Rush Defense) Atlanta has been good at scoring just one more than the other team and stopping the run which forces teams into errors. The last time these two met, the Bucs were stopped one yard short of the upset. Matt Ryan faces one of the better secondaries here so look for the Gonzales connection to play a big role as it did their last meeting. Turner will have a good day this week, but the Bucs have bettered their rush defense problems though they will be hard pressed to keep Turner under 90 yds.
TAMPA: (25th Pass Offense, 13th Rush Offense, 5th Pass Defense, 28th Rush Defense) Tampa will follow the same plan as last time, a slight bit more pass than run though Blount was effective last time despite getting stopped a yard short for the win. The Bucs will look to open it up a bit this week after playing conservative ball vs the Ravens and losing by a score. Expect a decent day for Blount and good days for both Winslow who has emerged as Freemans pressure go to guy and Mike Williams.

Tampa had them last time and now face them at home in a defining game for this young team. TB 24-ATL 20.

FANTASY STARTS: ATL: Turner (17 for 95 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 20 yds) White (6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) TB: Blount (14 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Williams (4 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Winslow (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: A. Benn TB....He has the ability to explode any given week and has become the Bucs number two guy. Spurlock will probably see less time after a big drop last week and Freeman may look to Benn often.

COWBOYS @ COLTS:
DAL: (5th Pass Offense, 26th Rush Offense, 23rd Pass Defense, 19th Rush Defense) A Roy Williams fumble is the only reason the Boys didn't upset New Orleans last week and they've had extra time to prepare for a struggling Colts team missing Bob Sanders. The Colts solid pass defense is very weak without Sanders as the Chargersd showed. Look for Dallas to attack the secondary as much as possible to set up the run. Dez Bryant should have a solid day as the Colts don't have the depth to handle both Austin and the run game which faces the Colts biggest weak spot. Expect Jones to give you serious nimbers.
IND: (3rd Pass Offense, 29th Rush Defense, 8th Pass Defense, 30th rush defense) Manning has been left scratching his head but there's not much he can do with no run game and teams dropping extra guys back. However, the Boys are not the Chargers and they can be picked apart in the secondary. Manning is one of the tougher guys to beat after a loss and he will have this team on the right path. Look for serious action as always in the pass game since there really is no run game to speak of.

This looks to me like a coin flip but I give the Colts the edge only because of Manning at home. IND 30-DAL 28.

FANTASY STARTS: DAL: Jones (16 for 95 yds. 1 TD/3 for 20 yds.) Austin (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Bryant (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Witten (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Choice DAL....He has proven his ability in the past but been held back because of Barber's tenure and contract. This may very well be a breakout week for him.

RAMS @ CARDS:
STL: (22nd Pass Offense, 19th Rush Offense, 24th Pass Defense, 13th Rush Defense) The Rams are one of the younger but very under rated teams who have the ability to beat anybody. Bradford has been nothing short of amazing for a rookie and Jackson will be running all over the Arizona defense. A big day for Jackson is on the horizon and Bradford should have no issues hooking up with Amendola for at least one score.
ARI: (30th Pass Offense, 32nd Rush Offense, 20th Pass Defense, 23rd Rush Defense).....Nobody is start worthy here other than Fitzgerald so There is no sense in wasting time.
STL 23-ARI 17.

FANTASY STARTS: STL: Jackson (18 for 100 yds. 2 TD/ 5 for 45 yds.) Amendola (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) ARI: Fitzgerald (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: S. Breaston ARI....He has consistently put up solid numbers since his return and could be in line for a great day against a weak CB.

PANTHERS @ SEAHAWKS: Why Bother? SEA 24-CAR 10.

FANTASY STARTS: CAR: Goodson: 16 for 75 yds. 1 TD) SEA: With Mike Williams doubtful, look for Butler to step up. (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Lynch (13 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Forsett ( 10 for 55 yds./ 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Smith CAR....sadly he has been degraded to sleeper status but has a great match up here as the Hawks rank 30th vs the pass. Problem is he has a bad QB and will see double coverage all day which makes him a sleeper/ WR 3 at best.

STEELERS @ RAVENS: PIT:(20th Pass Offense, 9th Rush Offense, 22nd Pass Defense, 1st Rush Defense) The Steelers will look to take advantage of what Tampa realized too late and run a no huddle offense and pass the ball. Ben has the tools to attack a Raven secondary which can be beat. Mendenhall should have a RB 2 day so temper expectations but he should get a score as this becomes a very physical game. The huge question is just how bad Ben re-injured his foot in practice this week and how bad it limits him.
BALT: (14th Pass Offense, 14th Rush Offense, 7th Pass Defense, 10th Rush Defense)
The Steelers have big holes in the secondary and Flacco will be able to take advantage of his weapons. Wallace is the guy who will see double coverage all day while Ward gets the man coverage. Todd Heap should be a big part of what the Ravens want to do. Ray Rice seems to be hitting a wall this late in the season and has not looked as fresh. He will be involved heavily in the pass game and will be another big part of what direction this game goes. Rice and Heap are your solid starts while Wallace and Ward have only decent days.

The Ravens Defense has the better balance and ability to hold the Steelers from scoring While it is a toss up, gotta go with the home team. BALT 20-PIT 17.

FANTASY STARTS: BAL: Rice (11 FOR 45 yds./ 6 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Heap (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Boldin (4 for 50 yds.) Mason (6 for 70 yds.)
PIT: Mendenhall (12 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Wallace (4 for 60 yds.) Ward (7 for 85 yds 1 TD.)
SLEEPER: Miller PIT....He is the guy who will be able to find room as Winslow was able to last week. He could be a key cog to whether or not the Steelers pull this one out.

Week 12 Gut Check Players

2010-11-24T17:10:00.001-08:00

A list of guys who may have bad match ups, have under produced, or may have better options but give you that nagging feeling you should play them.

MARION BARBER DAL: Felix Jones is hampered by a hip injury and has been taking it light this short week. Dallas is going to need to run the ball vs New Orleans since they have one of the better secondaries and so they can keep the ball out of Brees' hands. Barber has a very good shot at a goal line score and helps get the Cowboys a Thanksgiving day upset.

RYAN FITZPATRICK BUF: Nobody has a chance at running on Pittsburgh but they are very weak vs the pass. Fitzpatrick has burned better secondaries and will throw close to 40 times this week unless Fred Jackson somehow becomes the first back to make the Steelers pay. Both Johnson and Evans have been solid plays because of the pass game so Fitz is almost a lock for 15 fantasy points or more.

CHAD OCHOCINCO CIN: The Bengals face one of the best pass defenses this week and Palmer's favorite target TO will be taking a trip to Revis island. Revis has shut down better receivers and TO decided it would be a good week to call Revis "average". This after admitting he and his team stink. As if Revis needed extra incentive, TO should all but be shut down this game and Carson knows better than to try it. Which leaves Ocho facing Cromartie who has proven to be beatable vs talented WR's. Expect Ocho to see more targets and make the most of them.

KELLEN WINSLOW JR. TB: He has caught heat the last few weeks after barely being involved the first six games and looks healthy finally. Freeman will have his hands full against a very balanced and effective defense which will limit his options. We've seen teams like Buffalo and Cinci have success through the air against the Ravens and Winslow has more speed than any of the Raven LB's. Look for him to get a score and be very involved.

LEGADU NAANEE SD: He is set to make his return this week and will be needed after Floyd tweaked his hamstring again. Even if Floyd plays, VJax returns as will Gates possibly. Naanee should see some great match ups and the Colts solid secondary took a big hit losing Safety Bob Sanders for this game. Naanee has great end zone potential and will get some extra looks if both Floyd and Gates are held out.

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WEEK 12 GAME/FANTASY PREVIEW

2010-11-23T01:45:00.000-08:00

DET: Jhavid Best's turf toe is getting worse and has him as a non factor since week four when he aggravated it. Both he and Tony Scheffler whom will be nursing sore ribs, will be iffy plays on a very short week. Not good news against a Patriot run defense that has jumped to 17th with solid play the last few weeks. As always the Lions will be throwing often and though the Pats rank 31st vs the pass, they have been very opportunistic of late, picking off two of the better QB's in Roethlisberger and Manning on crucial drives. The Scheffler injury is good news for Pettigrew owners as he should see expanded work given the Best issues and the fact we could see Hill throw 40+ times.

The Pats will all but ignore the run game and drop extra guys back against the Detroit 6th pass offense. Pats easily win, NE 28-DET 20.

FANTASY STARTS: NE: Brady (280 yds. 3 TD) Green-Ellis (12 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Hernandez (3 for 45 yds. 1 TD) Welker ( 6 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Woodhead (80 total yards) Branch (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)

DET: Pettigrew (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Johnson (6 for 85 yds. 1 TD) Burleson (4 for 50 yds.)

SLEEPER: Shaun Hill DET....He should be forced to throw from start to finish and while the Pats are bound to pick him off a few times, his big work load will produce yardage.

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DAL: The Cowboys 4th ranked pass offense will face a stiffer challenge against the Saints 2nd ranked pass defense. The Saints can be run on effectively though so look for Felix Jones to be involved heavily as long as his hip issue isn't a problem. While the Saints do have a stout pass defense, they have yet to face a team with this many weapons on offense and will focus on taking Bryant out of the game if they can. Look for Roy Williams and Jones to see a lot of work because of coverages in the pass game. Dallas is playing their hearts out and this is a statement game at home. They will have plenty of mismatches as will the Saints so this one could be a high scoring shoot out.

Dallas gets the upset, playing to the potential everyone expected of them this year. DAL 31-NO 28.

FANTASY STARTS: NO: Brees (310 yds. 3 TD) Colston (6 for 95 yds. 1 TD) Moore (7 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Meachem (3 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Bush (70 total yards 1 TD) DAL: Jones (13 for 60 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 40 yds.) Austin (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Bryant (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Williams (4 for 80 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Witten DAL: while he has seen limited action recently, the Saints defense will be busy keeping all three wide outs in check leaving Witten with room.

CIN BENGALS @ NY JETS: CIN: It can't get any worse for the Bengals, and you know it's bad when ego maniac T.O. says they all stink including him. Now they face the Jets whom are finding ways to beat everybody. While the Jets can be passed on, Cedric Benson will be up against the 5th ranked rush defense which is as fast as any he has seen. Benson only excels against weaker defenses and should have a quiet day. Palmer and his accuracy issues will face the 18th ranked pass defense, but the right side will all but be shut down by Revis. T.O. is the recipient of a trip to Revis island so we could see a lot of three wide sets that move him away from Revis. Ochocinco should see the most work of the two.

NY JETS: Sanchez and the Jets seem to have a knack for pulling games out in the end and he should see plenty of time in the pocket since the Bengals have only 10 sacks on the year which is worst in the NFL. Odom does return for the Bengals, but it should mean very little against a secondary that allowed 3 TD passes to S. Johnson last week. LT and Greene have still been pretty quiet as of late but face the Bengals 23rd rush defense.

The Jets simply have too many weapons for the Bengals to contain and Marvin Lewis is eyeing a similar fate as Chilly and Phillips. Jets hit the Bengals while they are down. NYJ 27-CIN 20.

FANTASY STARTS: CIN: Ochocinco (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Shipley (6 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Owens (4 for 50 yds.) NYJ: Holmes (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) LT ( 15 for 80 yds 1 TD/ 4 for 50 yds) Edwards ( 3 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Keller (4 for 45 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Greene NYJ....While he is seeing an increased work load, this one smells like it could be over by the third Q, leaving Greene to wear the Bengals down late. He could be in line for a TD here.

GB PACKERS @ ATL FALCONS: GB: Green Bay has been the tip of the ice berg for two coaches jobs in successive weeks and now travel to Atlanta in what will be Atlanta's toughest test since they met the Steelers. Donald Driver looked good vs the Vikes and should be closer to the norm this week. Even better has been the play of James Jones whom now adds a third threat for Rogers and should be the big wild card in this game. The Falcons are 23rd vs the pass and if there is one thing the Pack can do well is pass. They are 10th in pass offense and should come out gunning since Jackson will see little room vs the Falcons 6th rush defense. Atlanta is +10 in turnover margin which explains a big part of their success. However, Rogers is good enough and accurate enough to avoid mistakes.

ATL: The Falcons are one of the most offensively balanced teams, ranking 13 in passing and 7th in rushing. Where they will find most success is in the run game if Turner can get it going and sneak away from Matthews who has been in beast mode for the Packers. While the Pack are ranked 15th in passing D, Tremon Williams is one of the most under rated CB's and is just as solid a player as Woodson. Both White and Jenkins face some of the best coverage they have all year and it will be on Turner to force the Packers to bring another body up and give the WR's room. Look for the Falcons to get Turner involved very early and often. This will be one of the better games this weekend and will wind up a win for the Packers. Nobody has been able to contain Matthews and the Falcons have yet to face as balanced a defense this year.

Rogers should be able to pick apart this secondary, forcing the Falcons to abandon the run game. GB 28-ATL 20.

STARTS: GB: Rogers (300 yds. 3 TD) Jennings ( 6 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Jones (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Driver ( 6 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Jackson (11 for 40 yds. 1 TD) ATL: Ryan (250 yds. 1 TD) White (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Jenkins (3 for 45 yds.) Turner (13 for 65 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 45 yds.)

SLEEPER: Gonzales ATL....He will be a boom or bust candidate this week given he should be asked to stay in more and help block Matthews. However, the Packers aggressive defense style could also allow him to slip out and see a field of green and a sneaky score.

PIT STEELERS @ BUFF BILLS: PIT: The Steelers man handled the Raiders last week and now face an offense even weaker. On the defensive side, the Bills do have a good secondary ranked 9th and good at not allowing the long ball. But the Bills are 32nd vs the run and face the Steeler 11th rush offense behind Mendenhall. He should have an effective day here, but like most Bills opponents, the effectiveness of the run game will open lanes for Wallace and Ward to find the end zone when close.

BUFF: The Bills have put two in a row together but let's face it, it was against two teams worse than they are. The Bills do have the talent to make this one interesting and we can expect another good fantasy day for Fitzpatrick since he will no doubt be throwing from start to finish. The Steelers own the top Rush defense in the NFL and have shut down better backs that Jackson. The Steelers are 25th vs the pass, so look for this to be the focus, making Jackson a possible bench candidate if you have options. The Steelers are tied for 2nd in sacks, so while they do allow the yardage, they can make it a long day if able to get penetration against a Bills offensive line that is weak.

While Fitz and Johnson will put up points, it will be tempered by how well the line blocks for him. Unless the Steelers under estimate the Bills, this one goes as expected. PIT 24- BUF 17.

FANTASY STARTS: PIT: Mendenhall (16 for 110 yds. 1 TD/ 2 for 20 yds.) Wallace (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Ward (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) BUF: Fitzpatrick (280 yds. 2 TD) Johnson ( 6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Evans ( 4 for 70 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Miller PIT...He has been relegated to a fourth option on offense, but does pose some value here since the Bills Whitner can take away Ward from those short routes he runs making Miller the second option in the pass game.

CAR PANTHERS @ CLE BROWNS: CAR: Everyone knows the Panthers are this years whipping boy and exactly what will happen at QB this week is any ones guess. Jonathan Stewarts status is still up in the air and with Goodson's second solid performance, look for him to be the offense against the Browns 21st rush defense. Cleveland is 22nd vs the pass, so there is a chance Steve Smith flirts with a score.

CLE: While Carolina does own the 7th ranked pass defense, it may not be as much a factor since Delhomme looks to get the start vs his former team while McCoy nurses an ankle sprain. Nobody is sure to know the defense like Delhomme and Hillis should walk over the Carolina 24th run defense making Delhomme that much more effective even with his limited options.

There really isn't much to debate here, it's a good team against the league worst. CLE 20- CAR 14.

FANTASY STARTS: CAR: Goodson (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Smith ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) CLE: Hillis (14 for 110 yds. 2 TD) Watson (5 for 80 yds.)

SLEEPER: Stuckey CLE.....Delhomme is far from a gun slinger and if Carolina is effective at denying Watson, Stuckey becomes the primary target in the minimalist pass game.

JACK JAGUARS @ NY GIANTS: JAC: Not that he was producing all that much, but Simms-Walker will be out a few weeks, and that boosts Osgood's value big time. Osgood immediately was effective last week and now is a sure fire guy Gerard will look to is Thomas is covered. This week though they face a stingy Giants secondary that ranks 4th. The G men are also 4th vs the run but have had issues against the top tier backs. The Giants are looking to return to their winning ways and Coughlin is a good bet to sell out and ensure MJD doesn't beat them. It will be on Gerrard to make it happen but does struggle on the road at times.

NYG: The Giants also lost a receiver last week though theirs more costly. Hakeem Nicks is slated to miss three weeks which not only puts the Giants in a bind but your fantasy team as well. Three weeks plus one week for him to get back into the flow means he probably won't be reliable until the last week of the fantasy playoffs. What could have been a huge week vs the Jags 28th pass defense becomes a bit more even keeled. Regardless of the Bradshaw fumbles, he is their best runner and will be needed here since the Giants are running out of play makers. Jacksonville ranks 19th vs the run so look for a good Jacobs-Bradshaw split that tries to wear down the Jags. Anyone remember pre season stud Victor Cruz? Maybe this is where he gets his shot since the Giants are down to Manningham alone.

Both teams are on equal footing but defense wins games, and the Jags are a one trick pony. The Giants contain MJD and win a low scorer. NYG 20- JAC 13.

FANTASY STARTS: JAC: MJD (14 for 65 1 TD/4 for 25 yds) NYG: Manningham (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Bradshaw (11 for 65 yds.) Jacobs (13 for 70 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: V. Cruz NYG.....This guy was sensational in the preseason and did well vs starters as well, not just second teamers. He has speed to burn and this is a favorable match up for Coughlin to break him in.

MIN VIKINGS @ WASH REDSKINS: MIN: Much like Phillips in Dallas, the players lost all respect for Childress a long time ago, finally prompting Wilf to fire him. Now comes Leslie Frazier and echos of Dallas begin to play. The team respects Frasier and what he's built with this defense. Expect him to allow Favre some room and to open things up a bit. Most likely he will try and pound Peterson of course, but something tells me he let's Favre loose. While not necessarily a good thing, it may make the Vikings a bit more unpredictable. This week they face one of the worst secondaries in Washington, ranked 29th. The Skins are equally as bad vs the rush, ranking 28th. All your Vikings make good plays this week and now with Rice getting a game under his belt he should get a score.

WASH: The Skins stepped up on the road vs the Titans but will now face a tougher defense ranked 13th vs the pass and 7th vs the rush. Portis is officially out, leaving Torain and Williams as the options. Mcnabb should have some success through the air and it will be another big passing work load for him since the Washington run game ranks 22nd. Armstrong should be the fantasy guy here since the Vikings are strong defending other top wide outs not named Jennings.

The Vikings do their best Dallas impression and let loose on a sporadic Redskin team. MIN 28-WAS 20.

FANTASY STARTS: MIN: All you players. Peterson has the highest scoring day of the bunch though. WAS: Williams (12 for 55 yds. 1 TD/4 for 40 yds.) Moss (4 for 60 yds.) Armstrong (5 for 85 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: Cooley WAS....He will be depended on heavily with Allen pressuring Mcnabb all day.

TENN TITANS @ HOU TEXANS: TEN: Vince Young goes to the IR, shutting him down for the year in what may have been his final game as a Titan. Collins comes in and has the best possible opponent vs the Texans 32nd pass defense. This of all games should be Moss' day to score and Bo Scaife should also get fantasy love as well. The Texans are middle of the pack vs the run, but it's CJ and middle of the pack means a two score 100 yard day for him. All your Titans are starter worthy this week, pure and simple.

HOU: Schaub seemed to suffer no set back on his knee this week and should post solid numbers vs the Titan 27th ranked secondary. The Titans are far better vs the run at 11th, but Foster has been a beast at home and is tough no matter who the opponent. The Titans do have a good front four and have applied solid pressure on QB's logging 30 sacks. No big deal for Schaub though since all he will need to do is lob the ball up to Andre Johnson who should return to his normal big days.

This one goes to whoever can score that one last TD vs suspect secondaries. Since Collins is not as much of a deep threat thrower as Schaub, Texans get it. HOU 31-TEN 28.

FANTASY STARTS: All your players in this game for either team. It should be a high scoring affair, spreading the double digit goodness.

SLEEPER: Derik Ward HOU and Javon Ringer TEN....Both guys could see expanded time in relief of their lead backs whom will have heavy work loads. Ward has already scored in similar type games and while Ringer doesn't get a lot of touches, he makes the most of them here while Houston is on their heels.

MIA DOLPHINS @ OAKLAND RAIDERS: MIA: After laying an egg last Thursday, the Dolphins get a chance to regroup and face an Oakland team that took a beating of their own in Pittsburgh. Oakland is 25th vs the run and we could see good days for both Brown and Williams. Sporano will likely go run heavy regardless since Marshall will be a questionable start and Thigpen was humbled last week. Look for Brown to see more action in the pass game as well with a return to a heavier use of the wildcat.

OAK: Asumogha is believed to have a shot at playing this week but not much has been confirmed as of yet. Campbell is so far likely to get the start but regardless who is back there, the Miami 6th pass defense will be an issue. Like Miami, the Raiders should elect to go run heavy vs Miami's 20th rush defense. Ball control with middle safe route passing will be keys for both teams.

Both teams are similar with their styles of play but Oakland has the more formidable ground game and has proven it. OAK-20-MIA 17.

FANTASY STARTS: MIA: Brown (13 for 70 yds 1 TD/ 5 for 45 yds) Williams (11 for 55 yds.) Bess (5 for 60 yds.) Fasano (4 for 45 yds) Hartline (6 for 50 yds. 1 TD) OAK: McFadden (16 for 95 yds. 1 TD/3 for 40 yds.) Miller (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: J. Ford OAK....He was kept quiet vs the Steelers, but everybody was. Look for him to bounce back and have the better match up as Murphy deals with Vontae Davis.

KC CHIEFS @ SEA SEAHAWKS: KC: Thomas Jones got back into the flow of things vs Arizona and Charles was also effective in limited duty since Jones had the hot hand. Seattle is 14th vs the run, but they will most likely be without their top CB Truffant (concussion) which will allow more options in the pass game. KC's weak secondary (24th) also gets a breather since it looks like Mike Williams will be out after hearing a pop in the bottom of his foot last week. Carrol isn't saying much, but it sounds serious so look for KC to be effective in the pass and use the ground game to keep a lead in the second half. Both backs will be solid plays once again.

SEA: No Mike Williams will mean an expanded role for Butler and Carlon since Hasselbeck will be the key to scoring against the KC 24th pass defense. Lynch will have a tougher time vs the 12th rush defense of the Chiefs, leaving Forsett as the guy you want here because of his catch skills. Look for a heavy pass attack involving getting Forsett into space.

Seattle lost it's top two guys at skill positions on both sides of the ball and KC gets the win in a hostile environment. KC 24-SEA 17.

FANTASY STARTS: KC: Jones (15 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Charles (11 for 65 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 40 yds.) Bowe ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) SEA: Butler (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Forsett (9 for 40 yds./6 for 55 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: Carlson SEA....Carlson is about the only dependable option for Hasselbeck and could see a big day if the Hawks get down fast.

PHI EAGLES @ CHI BEARS: PHI: Vick has now gone 220 passes without a pick which would have been unimaginable if we were not seeing it for ourselves. Both he and McCoy have also propelled the Eagles run game to 3rd in the NFL but now face a hot Bears team ranked 2nd vs the run and 12th vs the pass. Reid will look to test the secondary early and get McCoy some running room.

CHI: Much like themselves, the Eagles are stout vs the run (8th) and 17th vs the pass. The Eagles will be without Assante Samuel, who helped this pass defense become respectable when he returned after missing time. Now without him, the Eagles face the threat of playing catch up for the first time since Vick has returned. Look for Martz to also test the secondary, but more out of need than want. Forte has been weak on the ground but has picked it up of late. Even with the run game getting a footing, it will be tough to find room here. The Bears defense seems to be hitting it's peak and they are as tough as can be at home.

The Eagles have 19 picks on the year but missing Samuel will hurt, especially vs a pass happy Martz. Chicago wins a tough defensive game. CHI 20-PHI 17.

FANTASY STARTS: PHI: Vick (260 yds. 2 TD/ 3 for 50 yds.) Jackson ( 4 for 89 yds. 1 TD) Maclin ( 5 for 70 yds.) McCoy (12 for 40 yds./ 5 for 55 yds.) CHI: Forte (10 for 40 yds./ 7 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Knox (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Hester CHI...With focus placed on Knox and Forte, Olsen and Hester will be the ones with favorable match ups and opportunity to win those battles. Hester's special teams ability of course adds value, but he has been evolving the last few weeks and can get hot.

STL RAMS @ DEN BRONCOS: RAMS: The defense let one go vs Atlanta and now the Rams who have road issues travel cross country to face a Denver team with steam to blow off after a poor Monday night showing. The Broncos are 26th vs the run and good vs the pass despite what we saw Monday so look for a heavy dose of Jackson. This could be one of those times where SJax has a career day in both rushing and receiving. Sproles and Tolbert each had great success in their roles, and SJax is both of them rolled into one. The Rams are 26th in pass offense and outside of Gibson have no decent deep option. Look for a ton of SJax with Amendola in short yardage situations.

DEN: The Broncos run game fizzled once again after starting strong vs San Diego and the pass game wasn't much better. The Broncos were pressured often and Orton will see a similar type of defensive plan in the Rams. This will be another bad week for Moreno, as the Rams are 9th vs the run. The good new is that the Rams 21st ranked pass defense is just what Orton and company need after being shit down on Monday. We should see a return to the air show in this one and expect Orton to hit 300 here.

While the Rams will make a good go at it early, the Broncos excel at the deep ball and it is too much for the Rams. DEN 28-STL 17.

FANTASY STARTS: STL: Jackson (16 for 90 yds. 1 TD/6 for 55 yds. 1 TD)

DEN: Orton (310 yds. 3 TD) Lloyd ( 7 for 95 yds. 1 TD) Gaffney ( 4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Royal ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Gibson STL....while not much is to be expected of him, the Broncos know if the Rams get to the red zone Bradford looks to Amendola and Bailey has the ability to keep him blanketed leaving Gibson with a possible short yard score.

TB BUCCANEERS @ BAL RAVENS: TB: Nobody would have guessed the Bucs would be in the divisional race, much less the NFC playoff race, but at 7-3 here we are. After shutting out the 49ers on the road, the Bucs secondary has risen to 3rd in the NFL and have 15 interceptions. Offensively, the run game which was stagnant and in the bottom half behind Williams has risen to 12th behind Legarette Blount. Williams has become the 3rd down/4th Quarter guys and has found success allowing the pass game to open up because of the run effectiveness. Rookie Mike Williams is at the top of his class amongst receivers, battling Dez Bryant for a shot at ROY. The Bucs have lost their previous 2 matches against playoff teams in Pittsburgh and New Orleans, but in each one Cadillac was the lead back and the Bucs had no run game to speak of. Now they bring a much more effective and balanced offense to Baltimore to face their 10th rated rush defense and 11th pass defense. This will be the best test yet for this young team to see how it will match with some savvy veterans. The Bucs will of course focus on the run to open the pass, and are getting some players back just in time. Sammy Stroughter and C Jeff Faine both returned the last two weeks and will be needed to step up here. Look for the Bucs to possibly get creative, using Josh Johnson in the wildcat formation the Bucs have been testing out the last few weeks. Where they will win is in the pass game where other teams like Buffalo have had success.

BALT: The Ravens have been playing like the Super Bowl contenders we expected and bring a very balanced attack against the Bucs 3rd ranked pass defense but have a great match up against the Bucs 30th rush defense. The Bucs schemed well last week and held Frank Gore to just 60 total yards which is a feat few teams have been able to do. This week should see a similar scheme as they try to limit Ray Rice's abilities. The Ravens will face one of the stiffer secondaries since the Jets, so will look to test the ground game immediately with a healthy dose of Rice. Houshmenzadeh broke out last week vs the tough Carolina secondary and should play the wild card here as well. The Ravens have multiple weapons on offense and Housh with Heap are the two factors that challenge any secondaries depth.

Baltimore has the home crowd and how hard this game is for them will depend on what Bucs rush defense shows up. The one from last week or the one which earned that 30th rush defense ranking. The home team has the edge until we see other wise. BAL 23-TB 20.

FANTASY STARTS: TB: Blount (14 for 60 yds. 1 TD) M. Williams (4 for 70 yds. 1 TD)

BAL: Rice (13 for 70 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 45 yds) Boldin (4 for 65 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Todd Heap BALT....The Bucs athletic LB core will be focused on Ray Rice, leaving some mismatches for Heap to take advantage of.

SD CHARGERS @ IND COLTS: SD: The Chargers November madness hopes to continue this week against a Colts secondary ranked 10th. Rivers showed he doesn't need to throw for 300 yards to win, instead dumping off to his receivers who amassed a ton of YAC. The Chargers may be without Patrick Crayton on this short week, but are expecting Vincent Jackson to return opposite Malcom Floyd. Rivers has already proven he can do it regardless who he's throwing to, and the return of Floyd and Jackson is going to test the Colts ranking. The man to watch however will be Mike Tolbert whom has over shadowed rookie Ryan Mathews with his hard nosed running and 8 TD's in 10 games. Tolbert is the one you can depend on and will carry great value here since the Colts have the 31st ranked rush defense. As I said, it doesn't matter who the opponent is, so look for SD to keep doing it's thing with Rivers and using the play action for some deep connections and catch the Colts sleeping. Gates is hoping to return this week and only further complicates things for the Colts.

IND: Peyton came up just short last week and is a good bet to bounce back this week. It won't be easy though vs the SD top pass defense which just flustered Kyle Orton and Denver's 5th ranked pass offense. Manning should see some pressure most the game and will be without Austin Collie who runs those under routes Manning relies on when things get dicey. He will instead continue to rely on Jacob Tamme who has saved Manning's hide on numerous drives and is the only sure handed receiver past Reggie Wayne. It should be Donald Brown again this week, and Brown, who is already not the greatest play, faces the SD 3rd ranked run defense. Manning will be forced to throw often, and like Rivers, it really doesn't matter who the opponent is, Manning will find the holes in a defense. Garcon will need to have another solid game if the Colts hope to pull this one out against another playoff caliber team for the second straight week.

This will be a great game of strategy and QB play to watch, but the only factor which tilts the scales is Tolbert vs the Colts rush defense. Tolbert should be able to find running lanes and scores the difference maker. SD 31-IND 28.

FANTASY STARTS: SD: Rivers (280 yds. 3 TD) Floyd (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Jackson (6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Gates (8 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Tolbert (13 for 80 yds. 1 TD)

IND: Wayne ( 5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Tamme (7 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Garcon ( 3 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Manning (260 yds. 3 TD) Brown (14 for 50 yds./ 3 for 25 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: D. Sproles SD....Sproles pass catch/run abilities always keeps the defenses guessing and is a great decoy for Rivers. Look for Sproles and his speed on turf to be a difference maker and keep the Colts honest from selling out.

WEEK 12 GAME/FANTASY PREVIEW

2010-11-22T18:18:00.001-08:00

NE PATRIOTS @ DET LIONS: NE: Two weeks straight the Pats have rolled through two playoff caliber teams, dinking and dunking them to death. This may not be the Pats we expect but they are getting things done and executing. Thanksgiving will give them a lot to be thankful for as they face Detroit's 27th ranked rush defense. Detroit is decent vs the pass at 16 but Indianapolis was far better vs the pass and we saw how the Brady to Welker connection dismantled them. Green-Ellis will have a great day here and could see two scores given the ease the Pats will have moving the ball. Hernandez is back also and should see a score and find plenty of room.
DET: Jhavid Best's turf toe is getting worse and has him as a non factor since week four when he aggrivated it. Both he and Tony Scheffler whom will be nursing sore ribs, will be iffy plays on a very short week. Not good news against a Patriot run defense that has jumped to 17th with solid play the last few weeks. As always the Lions will be throwing often and though the Pats rank 31st vs the pass, they have been very opportunistic of late, picking off two of the better QB's in Roethlisberger and Manning on crucial drives. The Scheffler injury is good news for Pettigrew owners as he should see expanded work given the Best issues and the fact we could see Hill throw 40+ times.

The Pats will all but ignore the run game and drop extra guys back against the Detroit 6th pass offense. Pats easily win, NE 28-DET 20.

FANTASY STARTS: NE: Brady (280 yds. 3 TD) Green-Ellis (12 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Hernandez (3 for 45 yds. 1 TD) Welker ( 6 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Woodhead (80 total yards) Branch (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
DET: Pettigrew (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Johnson (6 for 85 yds. 1 TD) Burleson (4 for 50 yds.)
SLEEPER: Shaun Hill DET....He should be forced to throw from start to finish and while the Pats are bound to pick him off a few times, his big work load will produce yardage.

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NO SAINTS @ DAL COWBOYS: SAINTS: Had this game been scheduled two weeks ago we would look at the Dallas defense and expect a huge day, but Garrett has this 20th ranked pass defense and 22nd pass D playing inspired ball. The Saints really don't have many options even if Bush is back to 100% and will use their 2nd ranked pass offense often as usual. Colston seems to be hitting his stride the last few weeks and is emerging as Brees most trusted target. Given the Dallas strength at home and a whole new attitude, don't be surprised if Brees does struggle a bit and this game is closer than expectations.DAL: The Cowboys 4th ranked pass offense will face a stiffer challenge against the Saints 2nd ranked pass defense. The Saints can be run on effectively though so look for Felix Jones to be involved heavily as long as his hip issue isn't a problem. While the Saints do have a stout pass defense, they have yet to face a team with this many weapons on offense and will focus on taking Bryant out of the game if they can. Look for Roy Williams and Jones to see a lot of work because of coverages in the pass game.Dallas is playing their hearts out and this is a statement game at home. They will have plenty of mismatches as will the Saints so this one could be a high scoring shoot out. Dallas gets the upset, playing to the potential everyone expected of them this year. DAL 31-NO 28.FANTASY STARTS: NO: Brees (310 yds. 3 TD) Colston (6 for 95 yds. 1 TD) Moore (7 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Meachem (3 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Bush (70 total yards 1 TD)DAL: Jones (13 for 60 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 40 yds.) Austin (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Bryant (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Williams (4 for 80 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: Witten DAL: while he has seen limited action recently, the Saints defense will be busy keeping all three wide outs in check leaving Witten with room.CIN BENGALS @ NY JETS: CIN: It can't get any worse for the Bengals, and you know it's bad when ego maniac T.O. says they all stink including him. Now they face the Jets whom are finding ways to beat everybody. While the Jets can be passed on, Cedric Benson will be up against the 5th ranked rush defense which is as fast as any he has seen. Benson only excells against weaker defenses and should have a quiet day. Palmer and his accuracy issues will face the 18th ranked pass defense, but the right side will all but be shut down by Revis. T.O. is the recipient of a trip to Revis island so we could see a lot of three wide sets that move him away from Revis. Ochocinco should see the most work of the two.NY JETS: Sanchez and the Jets seem to have a knack for pulling games out in the end and he should see plenty of time in the pocket since the Bengals have only 10 sacks on the year which is worst in the NFL. Odom does return for the Bengals, but it should mean very little against a secondary that allowed 3 TD passes to S. Johnson last week. LT and Greene have still been pretty quiet as of late but face the Bengals 23rd rush defense. The Jets simply have too many weapons for the Bengals to contain and Marvin Lewis is eyeing a similar fate as Chilly and Phillips. Jets hit the Bengals while they are down. NYJ 27-CIN 20.FANTASY STARTS: CIN: Ochocinco (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Shipley (6 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Owens (4 for 50 yds.) NYJ: Holmes (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) LT ( 15 for 80 yds 1 TD/ 4 for 50 yds) Edwards ( 3 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Keller (4 for 45 yds. 1 TD)SLEEPER: Greene NYJ....While he is seeing an increased work load, this one smells like it could be over by the third Q, leaving Greene to wear the Bengals down late. He could be in line for a TD here.GB PACKERS @ ATL FALCONS: GB: Green Bay has been the tip of the ice berg for two coaches jobs in successive weeks and now travel to Atlanta in what will be Atlanta's toughest test since they met the Steelers. Donald Driver looked good vs the Vikes and should be closer to the norm this week. Even better has been the play of James Jones whom now adds a third threat for Rogers and should be the big wild card in this game. The Falcons are 23rd vs the pass and if there is one thing the Pack can do well is pass. They are 10th in pass offense and should come out gunning since Jackson will see little room vs the Falcons 6th rush defense. Atlanta is +10 in turnover margin which explains a big part of their success. However, Rogers is good enough and accurate enough to avoid mistakes. ATL: The Falcons are one of the most offensively balanced teams, ranking 13 in passing and 7th in rushing. Where they will find most success is in the run game if Turner can get it going and sneak away from Matthews who has been in beast mode for the Packers. While the Pack are ranked 15th in passing D, Tremon Williams is one of the most under rated CB's and is just as solid a player as Woodson. Both White and Jenkins face some of the best coverage they have all year and it will be on Turner to force the Packers to bring another body up and give the WR's room. Look for the Falcons to get Turner involved very early and often.This will be one of the better games this weekend and will wind up a win for the Packers. Nobody has been able to contain Matthews and the Falcons have yet to face as balanced a defense this year. Rogers should be able to pick apart this secondary, forcing the Falcons to abandon the run game.GB 28-ATL 20.FANTASY STARTS: GB: Rogers (300 yds. 3 TD) Jennings ( 6 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Jones (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Driver ( 6 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Jackson (11 for 40 yds. 1 TD)ATL: Ryan (250 yds. 1 TD) White (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Jenkins (3 for 45 yds.) Turner (13 for 65 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 45 yds.)SLEEPER: Gonzales ATL....He will be a boom or bust candidate this week given he should be asked to stay in more and help block Matthews. However, the Packers aggresive defense style could also allow him to slip out and see a field of green and a sneaky score.PIT STEELERS @ BUFF BILLS: PIT: The Steelers man handled the Raiders last week and now face an offense even weaker. On the defensive side, the Bills do have a good secondary ranked 9th and good at not allowing the long ball. But the Bills are 32nd vs the run and face the Steeler 11th rush offense behind Mendenhall. He should have an effective day here, but like most Bills opponents, the effectiveness of the run game will open lanes for Wallace and Ward to find the end zone when close. BUFF: The Bills have put two in a row together but let's face it, it was against two teams worse than they are. The Bills do have the talent to make this one interesting and we can expect another good fantasy day for Fitzpatrick since he will no doubt be throwing from start to finish. The Steelers own the top Rush defense in the NFL and have shut down better backs that Jackson. The Steelers are 25th vs the pass, so look for this to be the focus, making Jackson a possible bench candidate if you have options. The Steelers are tied for 2nd in sacks, so while they do allow the yardage, they can make it a long day if able to get penetration against a Bills offensive line that is weak. While Fitz and Johnson will put up points, it will be tempered by how well the line blocks for him.Unless the Steelers under estimate the Bills, this one goes as expected. PIT 24- BUF 17.FANTASY STARTS: PIT: Mendenhall (16 for 110 yds. 1 TD/ 2 for 20 yds.) Wallace (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Ward (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)BUF: Fitzpatrick (280 yds. 2 TD) Johnson ( 6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Evans ( 4 for 70 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: Miller PIT...He has been relegated to a fourth option on offense, but does pose some value here since the Bills Whitner can take away Ward from those short routes he runs making Miller the second option in the pass game.CAR PANTHERS @ CLE BROWNS: CAR: Everyone knows the Panthers are this years whipping boy and exactly what will happen at QB this week is anyones guess. Jonathan Stewarts status is still up in the air and with Goodson's second solid performance, look for him to be the offense against the Browns 21st rush defense. Cleveland is 22nd vs the pass, so there is a chance Steve Smith flirts with a score. CLE: While Carolina does own the 7th ranked pass defense, it may not be as much a factor since Delhomme looks to get the start vs his former team while McCoy nurses an ankle sprain. Nobody is sure to know the defense like Delhomme and Hillis should walk over the Carolina 24th run defense making Delhomme that much more effective even with his limited options. There really isn't much to debate here, it's a good team against the league worst. CLE 20- CAR 14.FANTASY STARTS: CAR: Goodson (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Smith ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)CLE: Hillis (14 for 110 yds. 2 TD) Watson (5 for 80 yds.)SLEEPER: Stuckey CLE.....Delhomme is far from a gun slinger and if Carolina is effective at denying Watson, Stuckey becomes the primary target in the minimalist pass game.JACK JAGUARS @ NY GIANTS: JAC: Not that he was producing all that much, but Simms-Walker will be out a few weeks, and that boosts Osgood's value big time. Osgood immediately was effective last week and now is a sure fire guy Gerard will look to is Thomas is covered. This week though they face a stingy Giants secondary that ranks 4th. The G men are also 4th vs the run but have had issues against the top tier backs. The Giants are looking to return to their winning ways and Coughlin is a good bet to sell out and ensure MJD doesn't beat them. It will be on Gerrard to make it happen but does struggle on the road at times.NYG: The Giants also lost a receiver last week though theirs more costly. Hakeem Nicks is slated to miss three weeks which not only puts the Giants in a bind but your fantasy team as well. Three weeks plus one week for him to get back into the flow means he probably won't be reliable until the last week of the fantasy playoffs. What could have been a huge week vs the Jags 28th pass defense becomes a bit more even keeled. Regardless of the Bradshaw fumbles, he is their best runner and will be needed here since the Giants are running out of play makers. Jacksonville ranks 19th vs the run so look for a good Jacobs-Bradshaw split that tries to wear down the Jags. Anyone remember pre season stud Victor Cruz? Maybe this is where he gets his shot since the Giants are down to Manningham alone.Both teams are on equal footing but defense wins games, and the Jags are a one trick pony. The Giants contain MJD and win a low scorer. NYG 20- JAC 13.FANTASY STARTS: JAC: MJD (14 for 65 1 TD/4 for 25 yds) NYG: Manningham (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Bradshaw (11 for 65 yds.) Jacobs (13 for 70 yds. 1 TD)SLEEPER: V. Cruz NYG.....This guy was sensational in the preseason and did well vs starters as well, not just second teamers. He has speed to burn and this is a favorable match up for Coughlin to break him in.MIN VIKINGS @ WASH REDSKINS: MIN: Much like Phillips in Dallas, the players lost all respect for Childress a long time ago, finally prompting Wilf to fire him. Now comes Leslie Frazier and echos of Dallas begin to play. The team respects Frasier and what he's built with this defense. Expect him to allow Favre some room and to open things up a bit. Most likely he will try and pound Peterson of course, but something tells me he let's Favre loose. While not necessarily a good thing, it may make the Vikings a bit more unpredictable. This week they face one of the worst secondaries in Washington, ranked 29th. The Skins are equally as bad vs the rush, ranking 28th. All your Vikings make good plays this week and now with Rice getting a game under his belt he should get a score.WASH: The Skins stepped up on the road vs the Titans but will now face a tougher defense ranked 13th vs the pass and 7th vs the rush. Portis is officially out, leaving Torain and Williams as the options. Mcnabb should have some success through the air and it will be another big passing work load for him since the Washington run game ranks 22nd. Armstrong should be the fanatsy guy here since the Vikings are strong defending other top wide outs not named Jennings.The Vikings do their best Dallas impression and let loose on a sporadic Redskin team. MIN 28-WAS 20.FANTASY STARTS: MIN: All you players. Peterson has the highest scoring day of the bunch though.WAS: Williams (12 for 55 yds. 1 TD/4 for 40 yds.) Moss (4 for 60 yds.) Armstrong (5 for 85 yds. 1 TD)SLEEPER: Cooley WAS....He will be depended on heavily with Allen pressuring Mcnabb all day.TENN TITANS @ HOU TEXANS: TEN: Vince Young goes to the IR, shutting him down for the year in what may have been his final game as a Titan. Collins comes in and has the best possible opponent vs the Texans 32nd pass defense. This of all games should be Moss' day to score and Bo Scaife should also get fantasy love as well. The Texans are middle of the pack vs the run, but it's CJ and middle of the pack means a two score 100 yard day for him. All your Titans are starter worthy this week, pure and simple. HOU: Schaub seemed to suffer no set back on his knee this week and should post solid numbers vs the Titan 27th ranked secondary. The Titans are far better vs the run at 11th, but Foster has been a beast at home and is tough no matter who the opponent. The Titans do have a good front four and have applied solid pressure on QB's logging 30 sacks. No big deal for Schaub though since all he will need to do is lob the ball up to Andre Johnson who should return to his normal big days. This one goes to whoever can score that one last TD vs suspect secondaries. Since Collins is not as much of a deep threat thrower as Schaub, Texans get it. HOU 31-TEN 28.FANTASY STARTS: All your players in this game for either team. It should be a high scoring affair, spreading the double digit goodness.SLEEPER: Derik Ward HOU and Javon Ringer TEN....Both guys could see expanded time in relief of their lead backs whom will have heavy work loads. Ward has already scored in similar type games and while Ringer doesn'nt get a lot of touches, he makes the most of them here while Houston is on their heels.MIA DOLPHINS @ OAKLAND RAIDERS: MIA: After laying an egg last Thursday, the Dolphins get a chance to regroup and face an Oakland team that took a beating of their own in Pittsburgh. Oakland is 25th vs the run and we could see good days for both Brown and Williams. Sporano will likely go run heavy regardless since Marshall will be a questionable start and Thigpen was humbled last week. Look for Brown to see more action in the pass game as well with a return to a heavier use of the wildcat.OAK: Asumogha is believed to have a shot at playing this week but not much has been confirmed as of yet. Campbell is so far likely to get the start but regardless who is back there, the Miami 6th pass defense will be an issue. Like Miami, the Raiders should elect to go run heavy vs Miami's 20th rush defense. Ball control with middle safe route passing will be keys for both teams. Both teams are similar with their styles of play but Oakland has the more formidable ground game and has proven it. OAK-20-MIA 17.FANTASY STARTS: MIA: Brown (13 for 70 yds 1 TD/ 5 for 45 yds) Williams (11 for 55 yds.) Bess (5 for 60 yds.) Fasano (4 for 45 yds) Hartline (6 for 50 yds. 1 TD)OAK: McFadden (16 for 95 yds. 1 TD/3 for 40 yds.) Miller (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD)SLEEPER: J. Ford OAK....He was kept quiet vs the Steelers, but everybody was. Look for him to bounce back and have the better match up as Murphy deals with Vontae Davis.KC CHIEFS @ SEA SEAHAWKS: KC: Thomas Jones got back into the flow of things vs Arizona and Charles was also effective in limited duty since Jones had the hot hand. Seattle is 14th vs the run, but they will most likely be without their top CB Truffant (concussion) which will allow more options in the pass game. KC's weak secondary (24th) also gets a breather since it looks like Mike Williams will be out after hearing a pop in the bottom of his foot last week. Carrol isn't saying much, but it sounds serious so look for KC to be effective in the pass and use the ground game to keep a lead in the second half. Both backs will be solid plays once again.SEA: No Mike Williams will mean an expanded role for Butler and Carlon since Hasselbeck will be the key to scoring against the KC 24th pass defense. Lynch will have a tougher time vs the 12th rush defense of the Chiefs, leaving Forsett as the guy you want here because of his catch skills. Look for a heavy pass attack involving getting Forsett into space.Seattle lost it's top two guys at skill positions on both sides of the ball and KC gets the win in a hostile environment. KC 24-SEA 17.FANTASY STARTS: KC: Jones (15 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Charles (11 for 65 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 40 yds.) Bowe ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)SEA: Butler (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Forsett (9 for 40 yds./6 for 55 yds. 1 TD)SLEEPER: Carlson SEA....Carlson is about the only dependable option for Hasselbeck and could see a big day if the Hawks get down fast.PHI EAGLES @ CHI BEARS: PHI: Vick has now gone 220 passes without a pick which would have been unimaginable if we were not seeing it for ourselves. Both he and McCoy have also propelled the Eagles run game to 3rd in the NFL but now face a hot Bears team ranked 2nd vs the run and 12th vs the pass. Reid will look to test the secondary early and get McCoy some running room. CHI: Much like themselves, the Eagles are stout vs the run (8th) and 17th vs the pass. The Eagles will be without Assante Samuel, who helped this pass defense become respectable when he returned after missing time. Now without him, the Eagles face the threat of playing catch up for the first time since Vick has returned. Look for Martz to also test the secondary, but more out of need than want. Forte has been weak on the ground but has picked it up of late. Even with the run game getting a footing, it will be tough to find room here. The Bears defense seems to be hitting it's peak and they are as tough as can be at home. The Eagles have 19 picks on the year but missing Samuel will hurt, especially vs a pass happy Martz. Chicago wins a tough defensive game. CHI 20-PHI 17.FANTASY STARTS: PHI: Vick (260 yds. 2 TD/ 3 for 50 yds.) Jackson ( 4 for 89 yds. 1 TD) Maclin ( 5 for 70 yds.) McCoy (12 for 40 yds./ 5 for 55 yds.)CHI: Forte (10 for 40 yds./ 7 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Knox (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: Hester CHI...With focus placed on Knox and Forte, Olsen and Hester will be the ones with favorable match ups and opportunity to win those battles. Hester's special teams ability of course adds value, but he has been evolving the last few weeks and can get hot.STL RAMS @ DEN BRONCOS: RAMS: The defense let one go vs Atlanta and now the Rams who have road issues travel cross country to face a Denver team with steam to blow off after a poor Monday night showing. The Broncos are 26th vs the run and good vs the pass despite what we saw Monday so look for a heavy dose of Jackson. This could be one of those times where SJax has a career day in both rushing and receiving. Sproles and Tolbert each had great success in their roles, and SJax is both of them rolled into one. The Rams are 26th in pass offense and outside of Gibson have no decent deep option. Look for a ton of SJax with Amendola in short yardage situations.DEN: The Broncos run game fizzled once again after starting strong vs San Diego and the pass game wasn't much better. The Broncos were pressured often and Orton will see a similar type of defensive plan in the Rams. This will be another bad week for Moreno, as the Rams are 9th vs the run. The good new is that the Rams 21st ranked pass defense is just what Orton and company need after being shit down on Monday. We should see a return to the air show in this one and expect Orton to hit 300 here.While the Rams will make a good go at it early, the Broncos excell at the deep ball and it is too much for the Rams. DEN 28-STL 17.FANTASY STARTS: STL: Jackson (16 for 90 yds. 1 TD/6 for 55 yds. 1 TD) DEN: Orton (310 yds. 3 TD) Lloyd ( 7 for 95 yds. 1 TD) Gaffney ( 4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Royal ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: Gibson STL....while not much is to be expected of him, the Broncos know if the Rams get to the red zone Bradford looks to Amendola and Bailey has the ability to keep him blanketed leaving Gibson with a possible short yard score.

FRIDAY GUT CHECK

2010-11-19T09:03:00.000-08:00

A list of players who may have bad match ups, are lesser options or have not been productive but something in the gut says now is the time to start them. Last week...4 out of 5 due to Pennington getting hurt.

PIERRE GARCON IND....If you have him, you have no doubt been let down big time thinking each week is his week to break out. He is far from his draft value and for the most part has flex play value only. Even on good match up weeks he fails to produce and Manning seems to be in love with Tamme. This week comes the Patriots whom are weak vs the pass, but "The Hoodie" is proving just how great a coach he is by putting this team in contention in what was supposed to be a rebuilding year. He will scheme to stop Manning and defend the pass, but he can't cover all bases. Garcon has the ability and while the Pats focus on Wayne and Tamme, Garcon has one of his bigger games.

DONALD BROWN IND....Much like Garcon he's been a huge let down, and it is a big probability that objective one for the Pats will be stopping the pass. Manning is poised to have a field day against this young and vulnerable secondary so look for them to sell out vs the pass and allow plenty of running room for Brown. Like Garcon, this could be his best week.

DARREN MCFADDEN OAK....Benjarvis Green-Ellis rushed for 87 yards and caught for 30 last week vs this top rated rush defense whom have shut down runners all year. Oakland comes out of the bye fresh and you can bet they will try and mimic what the Patriots did to them last week. Oakland gets Murphy and possibly Miller back this week, so the Steelers will need to pay attention to those threats, especially if they get off to a quick start. Let's face it, you're probably starting Mcfadden anyway but the opponent is a tough one. He is the Raiders best weapon and Cable will find ways to get him the ball. This is the time of year when even great defenses start breaking down so Mcfadden exceeds expectations this week.

JHAVID BEST DET.....He hasn't broken double digit fantasy points since week 5 and continues to struggle with turf toe issues. He faces an inspired Dallas team in their house whom feel like they could beat anybody. Detroit loves to pass, and will take advantage of a banged up Dallas secondary. Dallas will also apply a ton of pressure, leaving Best able to flare out for plenty of pass catches. Dallas should effectively take Megatron out of the picture so look for Best to see plenty of work.

AURELLIOUS BENN TB....He has caught no more than 2 balls the last three weeks but has made the most of them, catching 2 TD's the last two weeks and coming inches from a third three weeks ago. WR Mike Williams was charged with a DUI last night though he should be fine to play pending an investigation and testing since he was under the legal limit but may have been high as a kite. Benn is quickly becoming Freeman's go to guy in the red zone and the last few weeks Williams has seen tighter coverage with teams doubling up on him at times. Look for Benn's role to grow each week and he carries even higher value as a pick up should Williams have to miss a game. Williams will face some tough coverage with Nate Clements this week leaving Benn with the better match ups.

WEEK 11 FANTASY/GAME PREVIEW

2010-11-16T23:29:00.001-08:00

CHICAGO BEARS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS: Miami is crossed between Chad Henne or Tyler Thigpen as to who the starter will be and will most likely split reps this week. Seeing how Henne was benched for Pennington to start with, Thigpen should get the start. Thigpen brought more energy to the team and you could see the difference once he got the call. This should help Brandon Marshall's value since Thigpen won't be as hesitant to make thee throws. It will be on him as the Bears 2nd ranked rush defense will limit Brown and Williams who have found better footing the last few games but are still not what they were last year. The Bears are middle of the pack vs the pass and will focus on Marshall but don't have the depth to keep up with Hartline and Bess. If Thigpen is the call, also keep an eye on Fasano who you can bet will be looked to often. Thigpen loved Gonzo in KC and will do so here.
BEARS: Forte finally had a decent day on the ground and it showed what an effective Cutler can do when he limits turn overs. The Dolphins are 6th vs the pass behind Vontae Davis and will evvectively shut Knox out. Hester finally broke out of his slump last week but don't expect a reproduction here. Look for the Bears to use Forte in a similar fashion as they did vs Minnesota but bet on more pass catching. Gregg Olsen is another one who should see similar production to last week and will be the key to moving the chains. I've preached all year how when he is used the Bears play well and Martz may have finally figured that out.

Miami seems to love losing at home and the Bears should be confident. It's always easier to come into the game with no expectations than it is facing a team planning on you. Thigpen gets overwhelmed here and Bears win. CHI 23-MIA 17

FANTASY STARTS: CHI: Forte (15 for 70 yds. 1 TD/ 5 for 55 yds.) Olsen (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD)
MIA: Brown (14 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Fasano ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Hartline MIA....he always seems to get the sneaky TD against tough defenses.

BALTIMORE RAVENS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS: BAL: The slow start hurt them and it affected their game plan. Atlanta has been one of the toughest teams to beat at home and were able to keep Baltimore from the big plays. Derik Mason stepped up despite being less than full speed and the Ravens gave you about what was expected overall. This week they get the team everyone hopes to face in Carolina whom has the worst pass offense in the NFL and is 24th in the run. Baltimore should have possession often and the Defense should be projected to be top scorers in fantasy this week in their category. Carolina does have the 5th ranked pass defense and is good at taking away your top WR, so expect Heap and Mason to have better days than normal. Boldin will get his, but the other two should see more targets. Ray Rice should have a field day vs this 27th ranked rush defense and will have one of his better days of the season.
CAR: The Panthers should wind up with Pike this week because they have limited options. Steve Smith is no better than a WR #3 and should be considered bench worthy if you have a better match up on your bench. Goodson did produce last week but it was vs the Bucs horrible rush defense and not Baltimore's 8th ranked D. The match up and possible return of Williams and Stewart make Goodson a bad play overall. Nobody on this team is worthy of a start unless you have to.
Baltimore might as well make golf course reservations if they lose this week. BAL 31- CAR 13.

FANTASY STARTS: BAL: Rice ( 17 for 90 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 45 yds.) Boldin ( 4 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Mason ( 5 for 85 yds. 1 TD) Heap ( 3 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Flacco ( 290 yds. 3 TD)
CAR: Smith ( 4 for 50 yds.)

HOUSTON TEXANS @ NY JETS: HOU: The Texans are almost out of contention and it won't get any easier here. The offense has the play making ability but their league worst pass defense makes even the Jags look great. The Jets are 5th vs the run but can be beat through the air when staying away from Revis island. Revis' ability will allow the Jets to bring extra heat and force Schaub into checkdown and short routes since Johnson will have one of his tougher tests of the year. Foster will have a big day through the air along with either Jones or Walter who seems to have the hot hand. Though he will be lining up across from Cromartie, Walter has the ability to shake him. With Daniels status, expect to see a lot of three man sets to spread the field and allow Foster some room to sneak out in the flats. Keep an eye on Schaub's status after being in the hospital with bursa sac inflamation. (knee joint)
NYJ: Two overtime wins in two weeks behind Sanchez is boosting his confidence and he is using the weapons he has efficiently. He faces the easiest defense he's seen yet so it's a matter of how well the running game does which could limit monster game potential. Greene has slowly looked to be regaining that midseason form we saw last year and is running behind another older back this year. Don't be surprised to see Ryan limit Tomlinson's carries the next few weeks if Greene has a hot hand so that LT is fresh come playoff time. He's a good stash for your playoffs if this does happen. Houston is 15th vs the run so Greene may see extended use regardless if the Jets get up big.
Houston will keep this game closer than expected but come 4th quarter, as in most games, the defense will allow enough to get them beat. NYJ 28-HOU 21.

FANTASY STARTS: HOU: Johnson (4 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Foster (12 for 45 yds. 1 TD/ 6 for 65 yds) Walter (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD)
NYJ: Tomlinson (13 for 55 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 25 yds) Edwards ( 5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Holmes (6 for 95 yds. 1 TD) Keller (5 for 55 yds.) Greene (11 for 60 yds.)
SLEEPER: J. Jones HOU....Walter loves to disappear after having good games and Jones may face the weakest of the Jets corners. He could wind up stealing Walter's numbers and more.

BUFFALO BILLS @ CINCINNATTI BENGALS: BUFF: The Bills got the monkey off their backs but now travel to Cinci where there is equal frustration but better talent. The Bills pass game has tapered off a bit and the absence of Parrish will allow teams to focus more on Johnson and Evans. The Bengals are 12th vs the pass and don't allow the big plays the Bills have had some success with down field. Fred Jackson comes off his biggest day of the year and will be the only guy in town until CJ Spiller recovers from what seems to be a serious injury. Jackson will post good numbers here vs the Bengal 22nd rush defense and should be good for a score or two. The Bills will ride him often this week if they want to keep this one close.
BENGALS: Cedric Benson should be able to shake his down year this week facing Buffalo's worst in the NFL rush D. Not only is this good news for him, but expect the passing game to be more effective as well as a result. The Bengals have lacked any serious run threat all year and it has allowed teams to sit back on Ocho and TO. The Bills do rank 7th vs the pass, but have been burned by the split end position all year which should be good news for Ocho provided his shoulder doesn't swell up on him this week. Carson Palmer has started to show it may be time to look for a QB and needs a solid game to get back on track.
The Bengals are almost at the point of playing for pride but have better talent and match up well here. CIN 24-BUFF 20.

FANTASY STARTS: BUFF: Jackson (16 for 85 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 25 yds.) S. Johnson (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
CIN: Benson (16 for 95 yds. 1 TD) T.O. ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Ocho (4 for 90 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: B. Scott CIN...Buffalo has a knack for allowing second backs have productive fantasy days. Scott averages more YPC than Benson in limited duties and could be good for a score.

OAKLAND RAIDERS @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS: OAK: The Raiders face their first real test of the year on the road against the league's top rush defense. The Steelers have only allowed 4 rushing TD's all year and now they face Oakland's 2nd rush offense. The Raiders have had the extra bye week to prepare and get healthy for this one so this could be a better battle than expected. This should be a true test of where Oakland is since they have yet to face a defense as tough as this one. The Raiders needed the time off too, with Miller and Murphy both recouping from injury. So far, Murphy looks like the safest bet to play but the Raiders have found a gem possibly in Jacoby Ford. Oakland will need to get their 25th ranked pass game going and this should be the focus of their attack since Pittsburgh is 26th vs the pass. Look for Oakland to use the pass to set up the run and find creative ways to get Mcfadden into space. If Miller and Murphy return, the Steelers could have more than their secondary can handle. Look for Ford to be the go to guy until Miller and Murphy knock off the rust.
PITT: The pass game has slowly improved under Ben but it's been more a result of effectiveness than anything else. Not since New Orleans has Roethlisberger faced a pass defense like Oakland's #2 rated. Unlike the Raiders, the run game will help set up the pass since Oakland struggles with better backs. Another possible problem may be if Hines Ward is forced to take a game off after minor concussion. While he says he will be fine, the NFL has put pressure on teams to force testing before a player is cleared. Given how bad Ward will be needed, he will probably be given a green light. The guy to watch here will be Randle-El as well as Heath Miller. Oakland is good enough to limit Wallace and shut down Ward and will try to pressure Ben into errant throws. Thus leaving Miller and Randle-El beneficiaries of extra targets. Mendenhall will probably see more touches than normal and be the go to guy.

If all the Raiders are healthy this one should come down to the end in a low scoring affair but I will err on the side of the home team though an upset here would not suprise. PITT 20-OAK 17.

FANTASY STARTS: OAK: McFadden (12 for 50 yds./ 5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Ford ( 4 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
PITT: Mendenhall ( 17 for 95 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 25 yds.) Miller ( 5 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Wallace ( 3 for 60 yds.)
SLEEPERS: Randle-El PITT....as stated, he has been a surprise scorer as of late and is often the forgotten man from defenses. Look for a possible score catching Oakland off guard.

CLEVELAND BROWNS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGS: BROWNS: Peyton Hillis has torn through every team he's faced regardless of how tough the defense. Things get easier here vs the Jags 21st rush Defense. While McCoy has had limited options, Ben Watson has been the only consistent pass threat and faces the Jags even worse pass defense ranked 29th. Look for Jacksonville to try it's best to limit Hillis this week and while it will be futile, it will continue to allow Watson room to run. Cleveland has only scored 7 passing TD's this year which ties them at the bottom but this is the week if ever they make it 8.
JAGS: Riding high after a last second Hail Mary answered, the Jags take on a Browns defense 24th vs the pass and 19th against the rush. MJD as always will be fed till he collapses but the Jags 27th pass game could find life after last week's heroics. Gerrard has actually been a consistent fantasy producer the last few weeks and it should continue here. Since Simms-Walker is an every other game producer and best at home, he should be the guy Gerrard tries to get going. Mercedes Lewis though continues to be the only trust worthy receiving option.

The Browns tend to lack a little on the road and match up well with the Jags. However, the Jags have MJD going full throttle of late and are a force when Gerrard is hot. No Josh Cribbs puts the Browns forcing longer drives with bad field position. JAGS 28-CLE 20.

FANTASY STARTS: CLE: Hillis (16 for 95 yds. 1 TD) Watson ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
JAGS: MJD (14 for 80 yds 1 TD./ 4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Lewis (4 for 65yds. 1 TD) Simms Walker (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Chansi Stuckey CLE...he's done it with the Jets and has proven he can be a legit threat when given the call. This is his opportunity and he should make the most of it. He's also a savvy vet who is a purer WR than Cribbs. Look for a score here.

DETROIT LIONS @ DALLAS COWBOYS: DET: Shaun Hill continues to put up numbers but fall short of getting the wins. The Lions as a whole can manufacture yards but like Houston always find a way to allow teams the last shot. They are 7th in passing but Best and his 3.1 yards per carry have been bad enough that Kevin Smith has taken a good share of the carries away making it a time share. They face a Dallas secondary that has collapsed as of late, falling to 21st and is also 23rd vs the run. Garrett had this defense playing as fast as they have and beat an opponent far better last week. Dallas will continue to do what they do best which is throw the ball often. You can expect the normal numbers from your Lions, but I see Best as having a better game than normal through the air and scoring. Pettigrew will also be another threat once the Lions get to the red zone and seems to be Hill's favorite target where Stafford looked more for the long ball.
DAL: Felix Jones did it through his pass catching abilities last week and will do it on the ground this week against the Lions 26th rush defense. What was telling was how Garrett used his roster by putting them in a position to succeed based on their talents. Jones is clearly the back you want and has a decent playoff schedule so scoop him up if able. Look for Roy Williams to rebound against the Lions 17th ranked secondary as well. Kitna doesn't have the arm to toss the long ball any more so Dez and Austin have been doing it with their run after the catch abilities. Roy is more of a intermediate route possession guy but should find room while the Lions are caught trying to cover the other weapons. Garrett's first home game as head coach should turn into a feast for your Cowboys. P.S. Back when Jerry was saying Phillips was safe and "his guy" I was saying it would turn out otherwise. Three weeks later....

Dallas gives the home crowd something to cheer about and there's nothing worse than a confident Cowboy team. DAL 34-DET 21.

FANTASY STARTS: DET: Johnson (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Pettigrew (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Best (11 for 45 yds./ 4 for 55 yds. 1 TD)
DAL: Jones (14 for 80 yards 1 TD/ 3 for 35 yds.) Austin (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Williams (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Bryant (6 for 85 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Barber DAL....Marion has scored in 3 straight games against the Lions and may see a goal line run since the Cowboys will be there often.

GREEN BAY PACKERS @ MINNESOTA VIKINGS: GB: The Pack had a bye week to rest Donald Driver's quad and prepare for a Vikings team that has all but packed it up after losing to the Bears. While the Vikings are 9th is pass defense, Rodgers and crew carry the 10th pass offense. The Vikings can be beat through the air and Rodgers proved it their last meeting throwing for 295 yards and 2 Touchdowns. Brandon Jackson was getting comfortable before the break and faces a Viking defense ranked 9th in this category as well. They are stronger vs the run regardless of ranking and though the bye may have helped Jackson rest his legs, the time off may have actually cooled him off a bit. Jackson did score last time out as well but seems to be averaging less than 60 YPG the last 4 games. Look for about the same here with maybe a little through the air. James Jones could also continue to get the reps here since he has been very productive and the Pack will want to ease Driver back into game play. This could be a changing of the guard game if Jones produces well again.
VIKINGS: Latest word is that Sidney Rice may be playing contract games and could possibly not play the rest of the season since his contract is up this year. The last thing he wants to do is re-injure himself and play in meaningless games so he may be wanting to take his chances in getting a contract next year based on last year. The Vikings do need him and could offer him some type of incentives if he does hit the field by dangling a contract offer sheet in front of him. The worries on Percy Harvin should be put to rest at this point as he has scored double digit points since Moss' departure. They are finding ways to get him the ball and despite a nagging ankle, has been able to produce come game time. What hurts this team most is their -11 giveaway/takeaway ratio caused mostly by Favre returning to being Favre this year. Berrian looks like he will be able to go after sitting out last week but hasn't really been a factor regardless. Schiancoe continues to get a big boost because of the lack of any options other than Harvin in the pass game. Green Bay is 20th vs the run so the Vikings will look to pound Peterson but the Packers are fast up front and will focus on stopping him since he was most their offense last meeting. Shiancoe and Harvin will see plenty of targets as will Peterson through the air.

Green Bay is clearly in better position to win this game, but the Vikings do play better at home and their backs are against the wall in a possible season ending game should they lose. While normally I am big on the bye week, the Vikings could just throw caution to the air and let it loose catching the Packers by surprise much like Washington did in week 5. Favre's added incentive to beat the Pack pays off. MIN 24-GB 21.

FANTASY STARTS: GB: Jennings (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Jackson (15 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Rodgers (250 yds. 2 TD)
MIN: Peterson (18 for 80 yds. 1 TD/ 5 for 45 yds) Shiancoe (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Harvin (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: J. Jones GB....The Vikings will limit Jennings and Jackson forcing Rodgers to look for Jones and Jordy Nelson. Their last meeting was Jones coming out party for the year where he caught 4 balls for 107 yards.

TAMPA BAY BUCS @ SF 49ERS: BUCS: The Bucs have jumped to the 19th ranked rush attack behind Legarrette Blount after ranking at the bottom to start the year. Another rookie, Aurellious Benn has emerged as a true number 2 threat at WR catching two TD passes in two games and almost catching one at Arizona but coming up inches short. He makes a good pick up if you need depth and his big size will make him a red zone target Freeman looks to. The Bucs now will face San Francisco whom have been hot of late but rank 20th in total pass yards allowed and 10th in rush yards allowed. The Bucs are still a team that leans more on the pass game and should have success here. Mike Williams makes a great play this week and though it will not be an easy one, Blount should be good for a score with average yards. Where the Bucs should thrive on pass defense. They have a 6th ranked pass defense and it will be QB Troy Smith's toughest match up yet. SF: Troy Smith's accuracy and confidence has sparked this offense and has them on a two game win streak. As stated though, this will be his first good pass defense faced and I expect him to struggle more than we've seen. Where the 49ers will excell is the ground game. The Bucs rank 31st vs the run and Frank Gore should have a field day. Expect to see a ton of Frank but lower expectations on all your other guys. This game should be as close as they come. The Bucs actually tend to play better on the road and are just as hot as SF. It's a coin flip pick but I see the Bucs ability to throw and move the ball being the difference. The Bucs are +5 in takeaways and lead in interceptions. BUCS 24-SF 23. FANTASY STARTS: TB: M. Williams (5 for 85 yds. 1 TD) Blount ( 14 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Freeman (250 yds. 2 TD's) Aurellious Benn (3 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Winslow (5 for 60 yds.) SF: Gore (15 for 90 yds. 1 TD/6 for 55 yds) Davis (6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Crabtree (4 for 50 yds.) SLEEPER: Spurlock TB....He has contributed in the pass game recently and is also a threat at KR. Freeman does look for him in the red zone and has the speed to burn the Niner secondary.

ARIZONA CARDINALS @ KC CHIEFS: ARI: The return of Steve Breaston has helped Fitzgerald open things up more and look a bit more like his old self. The Cards are still tied for the league worst 7 passing TD's and have been especially weak on the road. Anderson should continue to see the work at QB and has a good match up against KC's 22nd ranked pass defense which was gobbled up by Orton last week. Beanie Wells is a major issue for fantasy owners and should not be trusted as a start this week regardless of how good he says he is feeling. After we see him in a game then we can make decisions but any time there are knee issues it is time for concern. Hightower is the play here, but don't expect much from him either as KC is 13th vs the run. Yes, Moreno was effective last week, but when a defense is on it's heels the whole game it becomes easy for a running back. Arizona doesn't have the spread attack of Denver so temper your decisions if you're going based off last week's performance. The Chiefs are also one of the toughest teams to beat at home so consider that as well.
KC: The Chiefs have propelled themselves to 1st in rush offense behind the explosive Jamaal Charles and Hailey is finding ways to use him in the pass game as well. Charles is the guy you want but Thomas Jones continues to carry value against weaker teams as well as Arizona ranks 28th in rush defense. Both guys are great starts this week and should each see the end zone. Matt Cassel and Bowe will also produce vs Arizona's 27th ranked pass defense. Bowe has become Cassel's favorite target surpassing that roll Moeaki was holding in the beginning of the year. Moeaki still has value and scores here but the days of being top dog in targets seem long gone, especially with the Chief's schedule. Start all your Chiefs.

KC is tough at home and should be able to handle the Cardinals who find ways to lose on the road. KC 31- ARI 20.

FANTASY STARTS: ARI: Fitzgerald (7 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Breaston (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Hightower (15 for 60 yds.)
KC: Charles (13 for 80 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 35 yds.) Jones (11 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Bowe (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Moeaki (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Cassel (225 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: Chambers KC....He has been very quiet all season and faces a team that likes to give up points. While all the attention should go on Bowe, Chambers plays well at home and may be the recipient of a red zone look.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS @ TENNESSEE TITANS: WASH: No team in the NFL must feel as humbled as the Redskins after being blown up on national TV. The Mcnabb contract release didn't help matters as the criticism was flying even before kick off. Washington worked behind Keiland Williams who stepped in for Torain and had a great fantasy day. In reality, the Washington offense didn't play that poorly. It was the defense that simply allowed the Eagles and Vick to do whatever they wanted, making it hard for Mcnabb to be effective when a team knows you can do nothing but throw. Anthony Armstrong continues to be the most unknown prospect in football and has been actually more consistent than Santana Moss since getting the nod as the starter. The Titans have slid down the charts in defending the pass ranked 25th, so look for Mcnabb to silence his critics and throw the ball every chance he gets. They will have to since the Titans are 11th vs the run and could be relying on Williams once again and possibly Portis who thinks he will be good to go this week. Start your Redskin WR's since they should once again be playing catch up.
TITANS: The debut of Randy Moss was a recreation of what we saw in Minnesota and we saw Nate Washington play the role of Percy Harvin. Even Bo Scaife returned to fantasy life though it was minimal. As I said when the trade went down, CJ just somehow got better. That he did and he will find it increasingly easy now that teams can't stack the box without getting burned my Moss or Washington. Vince Young is the real winner in all of this and makes a great back up on your team because of his schedule and new Moss toy. This week he faces the 31st ranked pass defense and will find plenty of open targets. CJ will have another 100 plus yard day vs the Skins 25th rush defense. Fantasy utopia if you own any Titans.

The Titans play solid ball at home and Moss will finally have a week to work with Young and develop their timing. TEN 28-WASH 17.

FANTASY STARTS: WASH: Moss (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Armstrong (4 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Cooley (4 for 45 yds.) Williams (13 for 50 yds)
TENN: CJ (14 for 110 yds. 2 TD) Moss (3 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Washington (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Young (225 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: J. Ringer TEN....While he hasn't done much with the carries he has received, this week presents a chance for him to be effective and may see extra work since CJ will be gassed after gashing this defense over and over again.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: SEA: Seattle beat up on Arizona last week, but it doesn't change the fact they can be too one dimensional at times and lack a serious rushing attack they can depend on. Mike Williams is a good bet for come back player of the year and has been the only real threat the Seahawks have. Lynch and Forsett have gone back to the committee approach since neither one has successfully sealed the starting gig. This week they face a Saints team ranked 25th vs the rush and will be called on to carry the offense since the Saints are tops in Pass defense. Hasselbeck should have a long day trying to throw against them and you can bet Carrol will have a run first mentality this week. Both Lynch and Forsett are good plays since Forsett will see plenty of pass catching targets and Lynch should find room to run down hill. Forsett gets the edge as a better fantasy play though since the Seahawks should be down and need to throw often in the second half.
NO: A Bye week and a team that ranks 28th vs the pass means plenty of scores for Brees and company. This week looks like the one Bush makes his return and it's a good one since he should be able to ease back into the flow of things after missing so much time. Ivory still carries good value so keep him stashed away. The team seems to be fed up with Pierre Thomas' slow rehab and it looks like Ivory will be their guy even when he returns. Seattle does rank 14th vs the run but it shouldn't matter much as the defense will be forced back on it's heels to keep this one from getting ugly.

NO is one of the best prepared teams in football on normal weeks. A bye only makes them that much more effective. NO 34- SEA 21

FANTASY STARTS: SEA: Lynch (14 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Forsett (9 for 40 yds./5 for 55 yds. 1 TD)
NO: All your Saints WR's and even Ivory whom could sneak in for a score and have some extra reps if NO gets up big. Wait on Bush since we don't know what his conditioning is and how much Peyton wants to use him in his first game back.
SLEEPER: Carlson SEA....Carlson should be the only guy to find much room against this tough pass D and Hasselbeck should be under constant pressure and need a safety valve.

ATLANTA FALCONS @ ST. LOUIS RAMS: ATL: Atlanta continues to silence it's doubters and now sits atop the NFC South. Matt Ryan is having the best year of his young career and can thank Roddy White for being the hardest WR to cover in the NFL. Teams know White is getting the ball yet he still continues to show an uncanny ability to find the holes in coverage and break away from defenders. The return of Jenkins has also helped keep teams honest and deny them the ability to bring an extra man in the box to defend against Mike Turner who has turned it on the last three weeks after a slow start. He faces a solid rush vs St. Louis who ranks 6th in the NFL and has allowed only 3 rushing TD's which ties them for 1st. St. Louis also is good against the pass, ranking 17th but they know how to apply pressure logging 28 sacks this year which ties them for tops in the NFL. Ryan and company are not the same team on the road and will face a tougher test than what people think.
RAMS: As stated they are one of the most under valued defenses in the NFL and have quietly been one of the better units. It's the offense that needs a shot in the arm and will face a tough defense which matches up well against them. S. Jax faces the Atlanta 7th ranked defense which has also only given up 3 rushing TD's and shares the lead in that category with the Rams. Where the Rams will attack is through the air where Atlanta is 23rd. Amendola will need to be very involved as will S.Jax in the pass game, but the Rams will need Brandon Gibson to step up big time and force the Falcons to give S.Jax running room. Even against the tough rush defense, S. Jax will be effective as he has proven it really doesn't matter who he plays, he will get his.

The Rams have won four straight at home and Atlanta is weaker on the road although in their favor is the fact that it is a dome game. The Rams are more of a potent defense than people think and will surprise here, shocking Falcon fans on Sunday. STL 23-ATL 20.

FANTASY STARTS: ATL: White (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Gonzales (4 for 40 yds 1 TD.) Jenkins ( 5 for 65 yds.) Turner (13 for 70 yds)
STL: Amendola (6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Jackson (14 for 55 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 40 yds.)
SLEEPER: Daniel Fells STL...He is targeted often by Bradford who is excellent at not turning the ball over. Fells may see some extra work as the Falcons try to take Jackson out of the picture.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: IND: They escaped a late rally by the Bengals who exposed the holes in their 10th ranked pass defense and showed what can happen when you spread the ball around. However, the Colts face a far lesser pass defense in New England which ranks 30th vs the pass and is prime for the taking when Peyton Manning is throwing the ball. No word on if Addai will return as of yet, but Brown and James should see decent days against the Pats 18th rush defense. Look for Peyton to take advantage of this young secondary and for Garcon to return to fantasy worth this week. There was way too much Jacob Tamme last week and the Colts should recognize this and try to spread it out more since it almost cost them the game. Tamme is banged up this week but should be good to go come game time.
PATS: Brady and the Pats put on a clinic last week on how to beat the Steelers, chipping away at them with the short pass game and all but abandoning the run which would have been futile anyway. You have to love "the hoodie" because as a coach he is one of the best. He realized why waste a play on a run against the best run stopping defense when your pass percentages are better? This week look for him to flip the script as the Colts are 10th vs the pass and 29th vs the run. It works not only because it's the Colt weakness but also because more time and longer drives means less time for Manning. Woodhead and Green-Ellis should have great days, with Woodhead getting a slight advantage since he will be involved in the pass game. I also like Welker but would avoid Ben Tate who is the deep threat route runner. The Colts cover 2 scheme is best beat over the middle and with Freeney charging at you the short throw is your best option.

This will be one of the better games this weekend and football is always better when the Patriots are doing well because you either love them or hate them. Although it's a home game, the Colts pass game is more effective than the Pats run attack. Colts win a close one. IND 24- NE 21.

FANTASY STARTS: IND: Manning (310 yds. 3 TD) Garcon (6 for 85 yds. 1 TD) Wayne ( 5 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Tamme ( 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Brown (12 for 55 yds.) NE: Brady (280 yds. 2 TD) Woodhead (9 for 45 yds/ 4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Green-Ellis (12 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Welker (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: A. Hernandez NE....while he gave you zero last week, this week he should be in high demand as the Pats receivers struggle to find the long ball. Hernandez has great speed for a TE and will find the holes in the center of the Colts zone coverage.

NY GIANTS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: NYG: The Giants no doubt are the second most humbled team after the Redskins considering they were blown out by a team everyone counted done for the season. The Cowboys destroyed the Giants 4th ranked secondary last week and now Vick comes to town with an even better arsenal. The Giants face an Eagles team ranked 12th vs the run and 16th vs the pass. While middle of the road, the Eagles are a bend but don't break defense but excell at takeaways where they are at +12 on the year with 16 interceptions after Monday night which is best in the NFL, Manning typically struggles a bit vs better secondaries and the Giants will most likely opt for a heavy run scheme with passing a supplement. Nothing new to the Giants, but it will lower the value of the deep threats like Nicks. Steve Smith and Ramsey Barden now are both out this week which makes it easier for Assante to know where Eli will be going with the ball. This is why we've seen Boss more involved, and he is now dealing with the injury bug himself. The Giants quickly become one dimensional now with the loss of Smith and the Eagles will send pressure up front. It will boil down to how effective Bradshaw and Jacobs can be on the road. Both guys will carry good value this week because of their work load.
PHI: Mike Vick is possibly football's version of Muhammed Ali in respect to another guy who missed years of his sport only to return and dominate. Of course that's where the comparisson ends but Vick is already being talked about in the possible MVP race. I watched him in pre season and it was apparent then that he has matured as a pocket passer and realized his feet are a better weapon when it's a second option and not the first. The MVP talk will either stop with this game or catapult him to the upper list if he beats a Giants team ranked 4th vs the pass and 3rd vs the rush. It will be squarely on him if the Eagles faulter so we will see exactly how good he is against playoff caliber teams. This will by far be his hardest test presuming the pre Cowboyed Giants show up. Look for the high percentage passes and McCoy to be used heavily in the passing game. This is also a game where Brent Celek will be used more than the past. Vick will have plenty of opportunities to scramble, but the Giants are good at collapsing a pocket, thus leaving Vick in a position where he will need to dump off the ball. Nobody should have especially gaudy numbers in this game, but if anyone does emerge as the top fantasy scorer here it will be Vick.

The injuries and lack of dimensions to the Giants boosts the Eagles ability to defend in what should be a great defensive show down. In the end, Vicks scramble for a score on a broken play is the difference. PHI 20- NYG 17.

FANTASY STARTS: NYG: Bradshaw (13 for 60 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 25) Jacobs ( 12 for 45 yds. 1 TD) Nicks (4 for 60 yds.) PHI: Vick (230 yds 1 TD/ 4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) McCoy ( 12 for 45 yds./ 5 for 40 yds. 1 TD) Jackson (3 for 60 yds) Maclin (4 for 50 yds.)
SLEEPER: Celek and Boss.....both teams should value their Tight Ends more than normal this week and both will be needed to move the chains. Don't be shocked if both score.

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MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PREVIEW

2010-11-15T11:26:00.000-08:00

EAGLES AT REDSKINS: The Redskins have thrived off of turn overs and been extremely opportunistic. They've had to be since they have one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL, next to Houston. Now they will face Mike Vick, whom they put out of commission last time they faced each other. The Skins will have to do it playing solid football since there won't be as many opportunities for turn overs. Vick has yet to throw an interception and uses his feet when things are crowded down field instead of forcing the ball. He's matured as a QB and knows how to use his talents now. Mcnabb and company will find success against this defense but it will depend on Anthony Armstrong and Ryan Torain. Moss will have Samuel in his face and you can be sure the Eagles will do their best to limit Cooley as well. Tonight could also see the return of Clinton Portis and while common sense says it's Torain's job, Shanny has a way of keeping fantasy owners guessing. All your guys on both teams are good starts here but Torain's value could be limited since the Eagles should have no problem scoring, thus forcing Mcnabb to air it out come second half. EAGLES 32-REDSKINS 24.

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SUNDAY IN REVIEW

2010-11-14T21:49:00.000-08:00

BUFFALO BILLS: The monkey is off their backs and the Bills can celebrate for at least one night. CJ Spiller suffered a hamstring injury and didn't return in the second half so Fred Jackson owners can finally get the value they expected out of him on draft day. Two TD's and 170 yards probably helped you win this week. Fitzpatrick had an off day but is still a good start depending on the match up as is Steve Johnson. With Parrish being out, Lee Evans is also a good #3 guy if you lack options.

DETROIT LIONS: Shaun Hill had a good day statistically but the most worrisome part is how Jhavid Best and Kevin Smith both failed to put up good days against one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL. Best has amazing potential but is nothing more than a safety valve if you have better options. Do not trust this guy as a start. Megatron retained his value this week and looks like he can be depended on as a WR #1 regardless who is at QB. He and Pettigrew are the only two start worthy guys regardless of the match up. The Lions have DAL, NE, CHI, and GB the next four weeks so if you are really weak at RB or QB it may be wise to sell high on Pettigrew or get a combo package for CJ. The Playoff's are GB, at Tampa who's pass defense is very good and Miami who is also solid vs the pass. If you're looking at playoff's and need to fill holes, CJ in a trade should do it.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS: Favre had a Favre day and tossed three picks to seal the Vikings fate in the division. Percy Harvin aggravated his ankle once again and is a sell high prospect since he should be a top eight WR in fantasy after this game. Take away the 53 yard reception and you're looking at 3 catches for about 12 yards. Not good, especially since it looks like the Vikings "have a foot in the parking lot", waiting for the off-season. The Vikings are missing Moss, and it was way too much Peterson which tells me they are not confident in anyone other than Harvin. The Vikings have NYG, CHI, and PHI in the playoffs so look for a multi player deal for Harvin to another team on the bubble who is WR deep. Give him up for a Solid #2 WR and another positional guy you can use.

CHICAGO BEARS: Cutler had one of his better days, completing passes to 9 different receivers but still threw 2 picks to his 3 Touchdown passes. As I've been preaching, the Bears need to involve Gregg Olsen. When they do they win, when they don't they lose. Forte finally had a decent day on the ground gaining 69 yards but he has a so-so schedule going ahead. His ability and use in the pass game makes him a keeper but he is less than an absolute lock every game to give you good scores. Cutler will make or break you so if you can unload him for someone more consistent do so. He has 12 TD's to 9 INT's so that tells you what you can expect with his 86 QB rating.

NY JETS: Ryan stayed true to his word on making sure Greene and Tomlinson had a better share of the work load and both guys had very productive days. Greene will hold good value and is a great safety valve as a guy who is not really start worthy but could become a solid play come playoff time. Sanchez gave you numbers this week but it took a full OT to give you what many other QB's can do in 4 quarters. However, his schedule has two good match ups the coming weeks but gets tough with MIA at home then at PIT and CHI in the playoffs. He will give you mediocre numbers but hopefully you have better balance at all other positions if you are depending on him as a starter.

CLEVELAND BROWNS: Peyton Hillis is a monster...82 yards rushing with a score and 27 through the air. He is quite possibly the best and most consistent fantasy back this year and has proved he can produce regardless of the opponent. He has a great schedule the rest of the way and is a sure fire stud the rest of the year. Colt McCoy may be a guy you want to snag in keeper leagues. He isn't putting up gaudy numbers but is showing great decision making skills, not causing turn overs and if they sign a solid starting WR he will only become more effective. No WR currently on the roster is a good start but if you have to have one in your line up, Cribbs is the guy. The Browns defense is one which can serve as a solid reserve squad come the playoffs so get them if you need depth or if your current defense has a tough road ahead of them. TE Ben Watson is another guy flying under the radar and a solid play every week. He is seeing as many targets as any WR on the team.

CINCINNATI BENGALS: The time for Carson Palmer has come. He has struggled with accuracy issues all year and the only thing keeping him fantasy relevant is the sheer amount of throws he is having to make playing from behind. Ochocinco took a hard fall on his shoulder but did return so he should be fine after sitting out a few practices and getting treatment. Don't freak if you see him on the injury list unless it turns out to more serious than he let on. Cedric Benson continues to be underwhelming going for just 24 yards on 14 carries. Part of it is the fact the Bengals are being forced to abandon the run game, but Benson has lacked the second gear we saw last season. Other than Buffalo next week, Benson does not have an easy go at it through the playoffs so if you can get a solid second tier back or fill another position you need go for it. However you may want to wait until after next week vs the Bills when his value will be higher.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: Javarris James was my sleeper and delivered, rushing for a TD on limited action. He now is tied with Addai for the lead in TD runs, but once Addai is healthy will most likely go back to reserve status. Sell high on him now while you can to a team struggling at RB. He was a waiver guy, so fill your voids with him now. Tamme has proven to be valuable and a great replacement to Clark. If you followed me on Twitter you were the first ones to know about Tamme as I posted him up as an immediate pick up as soon as Clark went down. The problem for the Colts overall is that Peyton seems almost overly dependent upon him. Tamme caught 7 balls but was targeted at least 11 times. The Bengals do have a good secondary, but Manning seems to be checking off quicker than normal and not allowing things to develop down field. Both Garcon and Wayne had below average days because of it. Both guys are still starter worthy, but Garcon is on the most shaky ground as he dropped a TD pass and if Collie returns come playoff time it will hurt his value even more. Do not buy into this back field until Addai returns and even then he will not be more than a reserve back you can trust.

HOUSTON TEXANS: Houston has lost 3 in a row and teeter on a team losing it's faith. Andre Johnson posted the numbers you would have expected, with 146 and a score. Arian Foster had a normal day, rushing for 56 and a score. While Kevin Walter gave 90 yards and a score, do not buy into it. Trade him now at his peak and reap the benefits. The Texans face some of the best secondaries around and don't have an easy playoff game until week sixteen vs Denver. Walter is one of those guys who can get you great value that pays off long term. The Texans as a whole are facing a losing streak that could very well continue and derail their good start to the season.

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: MJD made the most of his bye week, returning for 100 yds. 2 TD's and 24 through the air. MJD has a great schedule going forward, with a majority of the teams having weak run defenses. Simms-Walker returned to his unreliable ways and is a guy that can hurt you if you are depending on him. He's a good flex or WR #3 but comes with high risk. The Jags got away with one here, getting the lucky bounce but Gerrard faces some good pass defenses in the next few weeks. MJD will continue to be the work horse and limit Gerrard and Simms-Walker's value.

TENNESSEE TITANS: If we have learned anything about Randy Moss this year it is that he bumps the value of the second WR for each team he is on. Nate Washington only had 26 yds. receiving but was the only one to catch a score. I still believe Young will look for him every chance he gets and this was probably more a factor of not knowing the play book 100%. CJ had 117 and a score and will continue to thrive as long as Moss is around forcing help deep for corner backs. Vince Young is a solid back up for your team that comes with a higher potential than most other QB's who are secondary options.

MIAMI DOLPHINS: Looks like the future may be in Tyler Thigpen's hands after Pennington and Henne went down. Early work is Pennington may be gone for the year and given Henne wasn't trusted to start the game, Thigpen should get the start next week. Brandon Marshall may as well call himself Steve Smith (CAR) given the lack of production due to a QB carousel and the lack of any real talent at the position. Teams are taking him out of the equation and forcing the Dolphins to beat them with Bess or Hartline. Both are great reserve guys/ borderline #3 or flex plays if we could get a good read on who the QB will be. Ricky Williams had the best game on the ground with 64 yards but both he and Brown are not close to what they were last year and should not be starting on your team. If you have to start one it's Brown who has the most upside so far and has given you the most production fantasy wise overall. Anthony Fasano had 107 yds with a score and should be a solid play if Thigpen gets the stat next week.

CAROLINA PANTHERS: Clausen continues to remind us all he is a rookie and struggled to make the plays on 3rd down to move the chains. Mike Goodson did rush for 100 yards, but don't read too much into it. The Bucs are very weak vs the run and faces Baltimore next week if Williams still isn't healthy. Steve Smith will have games where he gives you a decent points, but is only dependable as WR #3.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS: Aurellious Benn is a good waiver pick up if you need depth, scoring for the second time in as many games and should have had one more had he not come up inches short vs Arizona. Mike Williams should be in your line up every week and could come cheap via trade since he doesn't carry the name value of other higher profile guys. Legarrette Blount seems to be the real deal and is a solid RB #2 start you can depend on. Hold on to these guys though the tougher match ups coming the next few weeks because come playoff time the Bucs face WASH, DET, and SEA.

KC CHIEFS: They were down early after three quick scores by Denver but more telling is how they fought back and finished the game losing by only 10. This team is for real but simply had one of those days. Denver shut down the run early and schemed well, allowing Charles only 41 yards which would be the best output of any runner. Charles continues to prove he is the back you want here as he caught 5 passes for 80 yards and a score. He is a sure #1 RB and has one of the best schedules vs the run. Matt Cassel has become a guy that may make you question putting him in over your starter depending on the match up. He has helped Dwayne Bowe be fantasy relevant again and add a dimension that will help this team contend for the playoffs. Bowe and Charles are must starts every week, with Thomas a solid #2 RB play if you have him. KC has ARI, SEA, and DEN the next three weeks so all the mentioned guys are good plays to help you get into the playoffs. Don't think Denver will have another one like this in Arrowhead.

DENVER BRONCOS: They flipped the script, doing to KC what Oakland did to them. Orton looked back to his old self, throwing 4 TD passes, two of them to sleeper of the decade Brandon Lloyd. Demarius Thomas looked to have tweaked his tail bone on a catch so will be one to watch this week. The bigger news is that Knowshaun Moreno is back and looks to finally be 100%. He rushed for 106 caught for 50 yards and a score. Moreno is a solid play from here on out and has some good match ups ahead. He is a solid RB #2 guy the rest of the year.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: Mike Williams looks recovered from whatever injuries were bothering him and Matt Hasselbeck threw for 333 yards. Neither back is one you can rely on. Marshawn Lynch is the starter, as he continues to get the majority of the carries. Justin Forsett gets fewer touches, but often out produces. While this was a good win, lets remember it was against Arizona. Mike Williams is a solid start, but nobody else on the team warrants a start.

ARIZONA CARDINALS: At this point it's the Fitzgerald and Breaston show and they are the only ones you should rely on. Wells is too injury prone and Hightower too inconsistent. Don't buy the Early Doucet game. The Cards had to throw to come from behind and we know who the top targets are.

DALLAS COWBOYS: I had the feeling Garrett would switch things up a bit and he did. Far from just a new start, the Cowboys looked different in every facet of the game, playing with great speed I haven't seen from them since week 1. Felix Jones was one of my Gut check guys and produced because Garrett realizes how to use his talents and put them to use. This is how Jones should have been used all year long. Felix Jones value obviously goes up, but the rest of the guys should stay where you currently have them. Jones will be relied on to open up things and I see Garrett using him more in a Reggie Bush type of role from here on.

NY GIANTS: There really is no change with the Giants values since they were simply just overwhelmed from the start. Mario Manningham's value did jump with the loss of Steve Smith so grab him if you can. He will be a solid play, and may lead this team in targets and receptions from here on. If you want depth, Ramses Barden looks like he will be a third option at WR but the Giants looked as if they wanted to use the TE more instead of Barden. Kevin Boss stands to see a big boost in value and should be on most people's waiver wire. Pick him up if he is.

ST.LOUIS RAMS: Another game, another score from Amendola, who has boosted himself to solid #3 WR status. SJax is his normal fantasy beast self and has proven he will provide you double digits every week no matter what. The bigger thing here is that it should be time to drop Laurent Robinson if you have him as a reserve and pick up Brandon Gibson. Neither is lighting it up but if you need depth Gibson has more up side.

SF 49ERS: Troy Smith has transformed this team and has them back to believing in their potential. I called another SF win and am high on Troy Smith's value going ahead. He's not afraid to throw the ball unlike Alex Smith and his feet make him more of an asset. Crabtree seems to be trust worthy for about 50-60 yards a game with good upside to score since Troy Smith seems to have a connection with him. Really, nothing has changed in the pecking order of this team, they just have become better at executing which means more points for you.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: Just when I talk about how reliable Woodhead will be, Welker comes back and makes me question it. All year it has been Woodhead doing the things Wes was doing and now it looks like Welker may be getting healthier. Regardless, you have to roll with Woodhead because of his two position availability and because of his touches. Hernandez is still the guy you want at TE, but this game just reminds you that Brady likes to spread out the love and the Pats are a team that will do what is necessary to win and roll with the hot hand.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS: They were hurt by Ben's mistakes and showed the best way to beat them is with the short passing game. Mendenhall came short of what we all expected him to produce though the Pats run game is average and not as bad as believed. Ben has spread the love since his return and Mike Wallace value sky rocketed. Heath Miller could be a good trade bait candidate since he will be a part of this offense but looks to have fallen to option #4 in the pass game since Randle-El has emerged.

FRIDAY GUT CHECK

2010-11-12T09:31:00.000-08:00

A list of players who may have bad match ups, under performing, or are secondary options but believe will perform well Sunday. Purely gut decisions, it's those starts you don't make because it's not rational although your gut tells you otherwise.

CHAD PENNINGTON MIA.....This guy doesn't go away and for good reason, he has a 66.1% career completion percentage and a 90.1 career QB rating. So far in 3 years, Henne has a rating of 76. Pennington is that quick strike short throw guy who will do well against the Titan secondary. Pennington has the weapons here unlike his previous years where the Dolphins lacked a dimension. The Titans are giving up 239 yards per game thru the air, so if you have a starter on a bye he makes a good play to me even though it's his first start in a year.

FELIX JONES DAL....He faces the Giants 3rd ranked run defense, allowing only a total of 80 YPG. However, something tells me Jason Garrett is going to use the weapons he has and focus on Jones' versatility in the pass game. Look for plenty of creative plays from Dallas as he tries to spark some life into this team. Felix Jones stock could be on the rise starting with this game.

JAVARRIS JAMES IND....In one game he has 2 Touchdowns, giving him just one less than team leader Joseph Addai who has three. Donald Brown will get the start here and a majority of the carries, but James is a harder runner who is reminiscent of Edgerrin James to me. Not as fast, but hits the hole with force. There will be plenty of love to go around too vs the Bengals 21st rush defense. I see him scoring again and maybe opening eyes as the possible back of the future for the Colts.

CADILLAC WILLIAMS/ KELLEN WINSLOW TB....While he is a shadow of his former self, Cadillac did have his second best game of the year on the ground against the Panthers gaining 51 yards on the ground. While that is not saying much, he did also have a long run called back on a penalty so could of finished much better. This week, Clausen gets the start as does Mike Goodson. The Bucs defense should allow plenty of work for their offense, so Williams may see more touches than normal and will no doubt be a force in the passing game since the Panthers secondary is one of the best in the game. Raheem refuses to give up on Cadillac so there could be good value here. Winslow had his best game of the year the first time they faced the Panthers, finding holes and being Freeman's safety valve target since most of the down field throws were taken away. Winslow could have another 80 yard day but score this time around.

WEEK 10 PREVIEW-PROJECTIONS

2010-11-09T23:52:00.001-08:00

BALTIMORE RAVENS @ ATLANTA FALCONS: Baltimore has consistently gotten better every game and are fresh after a bye week and a home game versus the Dolphins which they won easily. The bye no doubt afforded them time to dual game plan for both Miami and the Falcons so Baltimore carries the edge in both prep and health. While Atlanta has the 11th ranked pass offense, Roddy White banged up his knee and though he returned to the game was not close to as effective as normal. Regardless, the Ravens 7th ranked pass defense will be a tough task for Matt Ryan who has a history of struggling against 3-4 defenses. The key here will be the Ravens 13th rush defense versus the Falcon's 6th ranked rush attack. Turner seems to have gotten a second wind after the bye and ran well versus the Bucs. The Falcons are easy prey against the pass, especially over the middle. Look for Flacco to connect well with all his receivers, but especially Todd Heap who should see gaps in coverage as the LB's for Atlanta focus on stopping Ray Rice. Don't expect a big day on the ground from Rice as the Falcons are 5th vs the run. Flacco should wind up as a top seven QB this week given the passing work he will be forced into. With Roddy White looking a bit limited expect to see Gonzales and Jenkins get a fair share of work given the pass game is Baltimore's weakness. Matt Ryan will be a decent start, but should be held in check.

Matt Ryan is now 7-1 at home in his last 8 but has struggled against this type of scheme and may be with a less than 100% White who has been his go to guy. Ray Rice has found his legs also and is producing both on the ground and in passing. The Ravens simply have too many weapons for Atlanta's secondary to handle. BALT 24- ATL 20.

FANTASY STARTS: RAVENS: Flacco (280 yds. 2 TD) Rice (12 for 60 yds./ 5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Boldin (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Mason (4 for 65 yds.) Heap (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
FALCONS: White ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Jenkins (6 for 80 yds.) Gonzales (5 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Turner ( 14 for 55 yds/ 3 for 35 yds.)
SLEEPER: McGahee Balt....He has been increasingly productive the last few games after being an after thought for the first part of the season. He could find an increased work load given the Atlanta front 7 and allowing Rice a breather.

DETROIT LIONS @ BUFFALO BILLS: Detroit is now down to Drew Stanton at QB after Stafford separated his shoulder once again. Megatron will be affected by the switch but lets face it, all the Lions can and will do is pass...except in this game. Buffalo has the WORST rush defense in the NFL and face a speedy back in Jhavid Best who is just getting healthy from turf toe. Given the Lions pass defense is 21st and face a good passing team as of late, there is the possibility the Lions fall behind in the second half and are forced to abandon what should be an effective run game. The Lions are not much better against the rush ranking 25th. CJ Spiller could have his breakout game here in an effort to prove he is better than Best which many scouts and analysts compared him to before the draft. Best has definitely been the more productive one as CJ failed to over take Jackson as lead back. The Bills lost Roscoe Parrish this week and will be down to sensation Steve Johnson and Lee Evans. Look for Spiller to at least have an increased role in the pass game because of this, though he should only be considered a sleeper. On the Detroit side, look for Pettigrew to be heavily involved since the Bills will be effective shutting down Megatron and Burleson. The Bills pass defense is ranked 4th and that is with only 1 interception recorded. Pettigrew will be relied on as Stanton's check down guy and should find some room over the middle.

The Bills get a Detroit team whom are good at finding ways to lose much like themselves. However, the Bills face Stanton now on the road against a tough secondary led by Whitner. Buffalo gets their first win. DET 17- BUFF 27.

FANTASY STARTS: DET: Best (14 for 80 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 35 yds.) C. Johnson (4 for 55 yds.) Pettigrew ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
BUFF: S. Johnson (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Evans ( 6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Jackson (15 for 75 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: CJ Spiller BUFF....as stated, I think he has the best game to date in a competition of highly touted future backs. He gets a score here, though should be weighed if you have better options.

CINCINNATI BENGALS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: As if things couldn't get worse for the Bengals, they miss a comeback win vs the Steelers by two yards and now face the Colts 5th rated pass defense. Ochocinco is frustrated and making it known Carson is the source. Given that, you can bet he will be more involved this week. The Colts are vulnerable to multi faceted WR deep teams and face one here against the Bengals 7th ranked pass offense. This will be the focus for the Colts since they will apply a lot of pressure using Freeney while allowing that cover two to keep TO and OchoCinci is not much better either, ranking 21st against the rush. This is what the game should boil down to. Both teams strengths are facing the pass and both are weak run stoppers. Brown had a marginal day last week but Javarris had two scores though he had minimal yardage. Given it was the best rush defense on Monday vs the Steelers, Benson was able to put together some decent runs and will have success here. Since both teams are pass happy, don't be surprised if each one tries to establish the run first and foremost. Both backs are good plays this week and while both teams are solid pass defenders, each does allow those mid range and sideline throws the cover two is succeptable to. The Colts will also be without Collie this week, and Blair White should take his place. The emergence of Tamme has been a welcome but expected addition, allowing Manning to not miss Clark's big plays. On the other side, both Greisham and Shipley have been effective in their roles and will be big parts of moving the chains.

This could be one of the best games to watch this weekend and has a high probability of being a shoot out. The Colts are one of the toughest to beat at home and win this game though the Bengals could surprise. IND 31- CINCI 28.

FANTASY STARTS: BENGALS: Palmer (300 yds 3 TD) TO ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Ochocinco ( 7 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Benson (17 for 90 yds. 2 TD)
COLTS: Manning (330 yds. 3 TD) Wayne (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Tamme (7 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Garcon (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Brown (15 for 80 yds 1 TD)
SLEEPERS: Blair White IND and Jordan Shipley CIN....both should be key influences on the game and both will find room to work underneath Ochocinco and Reggie Wayne. Each one has great chances at a score.

NY JETS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS: The Browns seem to be adept at beating winning teams poised to be playoff contenders so here is another possible upset in the works. Mangini gets the chance to spoil both his former teams in consecutive weeks. Cleveland has the 15th ranked rush defense and has allowed an NFL best 1 rushing TD. Where they are weak is versus the pass where they sit at 25th. The Jets 4th ranked run game will have one of the few tests it's faced all year and Tomlinson has slowed a bit in the last two weeks. Tomlinson has to be getting a bit run down by this point which may explain the drop off and remember this is about when Greene started to get involved and take over for Thomas Jones. Sanchez did struggle last week but showed tremendous poise in the final quarter against Detroit. He has better weapons to take advantage of Cleveland's weak secondary and should be the deciding factor. Hillis has been lights out this year and was in beast mode last week. Remember though it was vs New England's 19th ranked D and not the Jets 4th. He should be good for a short score, but he will be extremely limited since Cromartie and Revis can handle Massaquoi and Cribbs without much help over top allowing extra men in the box. The sneaky play here will be Ben Watson who will slip out behind those blitzes the Jets love. Edwards will have some extra fight in him facing his old team.

Cleveland had the talent to beat up on New England whom is not even close to the defense we are used to seeing. The Jets strengths match up well here and pull out an easier win than expected. NYJ 28-CLE 17.

FANTASY STARTS: NYJ: Sanchez (270 yds. 2 TD) Tomlinson ( 15 for 60 yds./ 5 for 40 yds.) Holmes (5 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Edwards ( 6 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Keller ( 4 for 50 yds)
CLE: Watson (6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Hillis ( 14 for 50 yds. 1 TD)

MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ CHICAGO BEARS: Everyone seems to be thinking all is back on track in Childress' club house after beating Arizona, but it was Arizona! The Vikings were 4 minutes from another loss but found a team in as much a mess as they are to come back against. This week they travel to the Windy City and face the 3rd ranked Chicago rush defense and 18th ranked pass defense. Peterson will have a serious time finding room to run and the Vikings longest pass play of the year has been for a wee 37 yards. Guess who they are tied with at the bottom in the shortest long pass play?...Arizona. Where the game gets interesting is what the Bears 22nd ranked pass offense will do vs the Viking 9th ranked pass defense. The Bears have allowed 32 sacks this year and are a miserable 22.9 % converters on 3rd down. Minnesota is 6th against the run and will face Forte who has struggled to do anything on the ground, now ceeding goal line carries to Chester Taylor. Cutler will be beaten up this week but the defense will have it easier since outside of Peterson the only real threat is Harvin. Berrian did step it up last week and is another player facing his former team that will have extra incentive.

Given how we have seen what happens against a formidable pass rush, the Bears chances boil down to Cutler having time to make accurate throws. The Vikings have been quiet on the pressure front all year but seem to have picked it up. Another toss up game here, but I will go with Chicago who comes off a win and is at home. CHI 24-MIN 21.

FANTASY STARTS: MIN: Peterson (16 for 55 yds / 6 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Berrian (5 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Harvin (7 for 70 yds. ) Favre ( 240 yds. 2 TD) Schiancoe (5 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
CHI: Forte (12 for 40 yds/ 6 for 55 yds 1 TD) Knox (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Olsen CHI....Martz shows me he gets it then doesn't....the Bears win when Olsen is involved. Olsen needs to be a key contributor and I think he will be since Cutler will be under pressure often.

HOUSTON TEXANS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGS: Houston allowed Phillip Rivers a monster day with none of his normal starters. Now they face a rested MJD and a pass offense that is 28th but was catching heat before the bye week. Facing the Texan 32nd pass defense will be just what Gerrard needs if there is any rust to be shaken off. MJD and their 8th ranked run attack square off against Houston's 11th ranked rush defense that held Mathews and Tolbert in place last week, but have faltered against tougher backs like Drew. The good news for Schaub and Foster though is that the Jags have allowed the 2nd most rush TD's at 11 and are just as bad versus the pass coming in at 28th. Both defenses like to give up points and this could come down to the end. It will be fantasy heaven for all the big names here.

While the Texans are the more potent offense, they have only two tricks...Johnson and Foster. The Jags come off a bye and we should see MJD as healthy as he has been all year after struggling with injuries in the first few weeks. The Jags will focus on Foster and leave it up to Johnson to beat them. With no Owen Daniels and no true second threat, the Jags pull out the upset. JAGS 34-TEXANS 28.

FANTASY STARTS: I won't even bother since it should be a fantasy feast. Start em if you got em.

SLEEPER: J. Jones HOU...With all the focus on Johnson and a weak secondary, this is the game Jones lives up to his pre-season hype.

TENNESSEE TITANS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS: The Fins were road warriors but have come up short recently. Henne's interceptions have been a big cause of their woes as the Dolphins are -7 in giveaway/takeaway ratio. The run game has found it's footing the last two weeks and Ronnie Brown is all of a sudden fantasy relevant in the Miami 17th ranked run offense. Somehow, despite the turnovers, Miami is 14th in passing even with teams taking away Marshall who is getting frustrated. Now that Henne has been benched Miami will look to stop the trend and it will help this offense be more effective. The Miami Defense will be tested now that the Titans have Moss who if nothing else demands safety help in case he runs a route fully. Keep in mind, Moss may be in great spirits as he is from Tennessee and has already earned praise from the club house. Nate Washington to me is a clone of Britt, just a bit older. The Titans really lost nothing and Chris Johnson will now be even deadlier with teams being forced to pick their poison. Vince Young gets a huge boost with Moss and the Titan 26th ranked pass defense will only get better.

The Titans already were showing they are more than just a run team with Britt and now will have defenses guessing even more. Pennington faces a rough first start here as the Titans are +6 in turn over ratio and have 13 picks with 6 fumble recoveries. TEN 28-MIA 20.

FANTASY STARTS: TEN: Young (240 yds. 2 TD/ 3 carries for 40 yds.) Washington (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) CJ (16 for 110 yds. 2 TD) Moss (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
MIA: Brown (14 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Marshall (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Bess MIA...he is averaging 5 catches per game and has been a trust worthy option while Marshall gets the attention. Look for a possible sneaky score here.

CAROLINA PANTHERS @ TB BUCCANEERS: Things went from bad to worse for Carolina's 32nd pass offense. Matt Moore is out now, Jonathan Stewart should be out with a head injury and Deangelo Williams is Questionable this week. No firm decision on Clausen has been made yet and Coach Fox hot seat just got hotter. The Bucs on the flip side were one yard away last week from beating Atlanta and sitting atop the division. Their bad taste left from the loss should be relieved this week as their league best 14 interceptions and +6 turnover ratio face an even weaker pass offense left with finding starters in the parking lot. Carolina should be able to keep the Bucs 20th ranked pass game in check but Carolina is 24th versus the run and facing a Bucs run game that has found itself behind Blount. Because of the run game, which is what the Bucs use to set up the pass, look for some success through the air for the Bucs as well. If Deangelo Williams is able to go, he should be the most productive as the Bucs are 30th against the run.

The Bucs handled a healthy Carolina earlier in the year and should win this one at home unless the young team gets cocky.
TB 31-CAR 17.

FANTASY STARTS: CAR: Williams ( 16 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Smith ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
TB: M. Williams ( 5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Blount (14 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Benn ( 3 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Winslow (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Freeman (260 yds. 3 TD/ 2 rush 25 yds.)

SLEEPER: C. Williams TB...Williams could have relevance here against this weak rush defense.

KC CHIEFS @ DENVER BRONCOS: The Chiefs 20th pass defense showed it's weakness last week allowing Jacoby Ford and the Raiders to come back and win a big divisional game. This week, KC faces another divisional foe and will be tested by Orton and the Bronco's 4th ranked pass attack. The Chiefs will drop extra guys this week making the pass a primary focus since the Broncos are last in rushing and have yet to have a runner hit 100yds in a game this year. The good news for KC is Charles and Jones will run over the Denver 31st rush defense that has allowed 14 rushing TD's. Denver is 6th against the pass so it will boil down to which team's Achilles heel can step up to the challenge. Look for KC to sustain long drives behind the run game to eat up clock and keep Denver from scoring quickly through the air.

Kansas City is the more balanced of the two and we all saw what the Raiders were able to do behind McFadden's career day. While Denver has had a bye week to prep, they don't have run stopping talent. The Chiefs do have talent in the secondary and if they can scheme correctly could keep Denver from scoring o too much.KC 27-DEN 24.

FANTASY STARTS: KC: Charles (13 for 60 yds. 1 TD/ 5 for 60 yds.) Jones (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Moeaki (5 for 45 yds 1 TD)
DEN: Orton (280 yds 3 TD) Lloyd ( 5 for 95 yds. 1 TD) Gaffney ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Royal ( 7 for 75 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Moreno DEN....While he absolutely can't be trusted, he could have a good day as KC focuses on the pass game allowing Moreno some running lanes in a surprising day.

ST.LOUIS RAMS @ SF 49ERS: Both teams head out of bye weeks but the 49ers have had two weeks to gain confidence after beating Denver and seeing they are still in the divisional race as Seattle and Arizona both lost. Troy Smith and the Niners were my sleeper upset picks and delivered vs Denver. I see them delivering here also. SF 9th ranked rush defenses faces S.Jax who can be held in some check when Bradford is on the road. The Rams have not broken the road loss streak and their 7th ranked rush defense will be busy chasing the versatile Gore around the yard. The Rams are a one dimensional team without Clayton and while Amendola has been a bright spot, he lacks the speed to stretch the field which is what the Rams need. SF wins this game and gets back in the thick of things. SF 20-STL 17.

FANTASY STARTS: RAMS: Jackson ( 16 for 55 yds. 1 TD/ 6 for 40 yds.) Amendola ( 6 for 55 yds. 1 TD)
SF: Gore (16 for 75 yds. 1 TD/ 5 for 55 yds.) Davis ( 6 for 60 yds 1 TD) Crabtree ( 4 for 60 yds.)
SLEEPER: L. Robinson STL.....they are waiting for another receiver to step up and Robinson has now had another week to get healthy.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ ARIZONA CARDS: Both teams are mirror images of each other except that the Seahawks were finding ways to win. As of Tuesday night Hasselbeck still hadn't been cleared to practice so Whitehurst could be in for another start. Seattle is 29th in passing/29th in rushing. Arizona is 31 in passing and 28th in rushing. Both teams are over 27th in pass defense and only separate in rush defense where Seattle is 18th and Arizona is 27th...See what I mean about mirror images. Though it's obvious without the stats, each team is lacking the diversity it had a year ago, especially Arizona who is a shell of themselves. Derik Anderson should have earned another start and will look to Fitz often as Wells continues with the knee issues. Seattle does have the advantage with Lynch and Forsett at RB and the two will be the center pieces of the offense if Whitehurst starts again. Steve Breaston adds some depth here and may be the wild card that puts Arizona over the hump for the win. ARI 20-SEA 13.

FANTASY STARTS: ARI: Fitzgerald (7 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Breaston (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SEA: Williams (4 for 65 yds.) Lynch (16 for 85 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Forsett SEA....he could see a ton of action sweeping out into the flats on passes making it an easy completion for Whitehurst with YAC potential.

DALLAS COWBOYS @ NY GIANTS: Jason Garrett has been the brides maid for years and gets his crack now. The team likes him and believe in him. Besides that change I am sure Jerry Jones made his voice heard that Felix Jones needed to see more touches to help this 31st ranked rush offense. Dallas has held on to 5th in passing with Kitna but it has decreased Miles Austin's value. Dez Bryant seems to be the most trust worthy start of the bunch. The Giants are one of the better balanced teams, ranking 8th in passing and 3rd in rushing. They face a Dallas team good versus the pass but 22nd vs the rush. Jacobs and Bradshaw will play power ball with the front seven and force Dallas to bring up help and allowing Nicks another game with another TD. While I expect a better showing than last week, the Giants win this one playing ground game football. GIANTS 27-DAL 24.

FANTASY STARTS: DAL: Bryant(6 for 60 yds.) Austin (8 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Jones ( 14 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
NYG: Bradshaw (15 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Jacobs ( 11 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Nicks (5 for 80 yds 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Roy Williams DAL....He' been quiet since Kitna took over and will run those under routes that are one of the few effective plays against the Giants. Not a good start, but has potential if your guys are on bye weeks.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS: The Steelers escaped the Bengals pass attack Monday and get a bit of a reprieve vs the NE 18th ranked pass offense.While not the Pats of old, they are the dink and dunk offense that can be effective. The Steelers are vulnerable vs the pass as they showed again Monday living up to their 24th rank. Against the run however, they are top of the league allowing opponents only 58 YPG. The Pats are 16th in rushing, but have zero fumbles this year. The Patriot defense has been bad vs the run but even worse vs the pass ranking 29th. Their real weakness is on 3rd downs where the Pats allow a league worst 48% conversion rate. New England showed their weaknesses at Cleveland and now slide over to Pittsburgh against a more potent team on both sides of the ball. Pittsburgh wins a tight one. PITT 23-NE 21.

FANTASY STARTS: NE: Brady (280 yds. 2 TD) Woodhead (6 for 60 yds. 1 TD/ 5 rush for 25 yds.) Hernandez ( 5 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
PITT: Roethlisberger: (240 yds. 2 TD) Wallace (4 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Ward (7 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Mendenhall (16 for 90 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: B. Tate NE.....As TO showed, Pitt is vulnerable to the deep middle pass and Tate has speed to burn. He is a good bet to surpass expectations and maybe tilt this game in favor of New England.

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SUNDAY IN REVIEW

2010-11-07T13:42:00.000-08:00

BUCCANEERS: One yard....The Bucs were one yard away from winning this game on the road, but Legarrette Blount missed the hole and chose a lane which led him into a chop tackle just short on 4th and 1. This team is still in the thick of things for the NFC South and showed poise on the road against the divisional leaders. Raheem Morris continues to allow Cadillac Williams the starters carries for the first two drives of every game and those are very significant tone setting carries which are being lost to Cadillac's ineffectiveness. Blount should be the lead back with Caddy as the 3rd down guy from here on out. The rush defense was better this week, but still allowed Turner 100 yards. Mike Williams is the guy you want most on this team, scoring once again and breaking a 52 yard TD on a ten yard pass. Blount has more favorable match ups coming and was simply a victim of a good rush defense. Aurellious Benn has emerged as the Bucs true #2 WR and is worth picking up off waivers in a keeper league while you can.

FALCONS: The Falcons defense held when it needed it most and escaped by a yard to cement themselves atop the NFC South. Roddy White went down with a knee injury in the first half but returned. This could be worth watching as he was largely ineffective and Ryan looked more to Gonzales and Jenkins. Matt Ryan seems to have found great comfort ability in the pocket but will be hindered if he loses White. His value is clearly tied to White's health and he should finish the second half of the year as a top ten QB if White is healthy.

DOLPHINS: Chad Henne continues the Jeykle and Hyde act as he tossed three picks and no TD's. Given it was against one of the NFL top defenses, but he is not a guy to trust as your starter. Brown had another good game, scoring with 59 yards rushing. He is trustworthy as a #2 RB but I would rather see him in a flex spot if you have better options. Brandon Marshall is a must start since you probably drafted him high but really is only safe as a WR 3 with amazing upside depending on Henne's day. The Dolphins are better plays at home stat wise but use caution on any other guys except Brown and Marshall.

RAVENS: The Ravens came out firing after the bye week. Ray Rice found his usual form rushing for 83 yards and receiving for 97 yards though he did not score. Derik Mason and Willis Mcgahee caught the only two TD passes. Boldin was kept in obscurity catching only 2 balls for 28 yards. The Ravens are one of the few teams that have lived up to the hype and have yet to really let down. Boldin and Rice are the studs, but I think Flacco and Mason are being very undervalued. Both guys are putting up solid numbers for their position and you should be able to get them for lower value than you would expect. If you have Mcgahee, trade him to upgrade or get depth at another position you need while his value is high this week. He is too sporadic to trust overall.

BEARS: While the Bears had a bye week to prepare for this game, they came out a bit flat, most likely due to the time off. It really doesn't matter since they get the win though. Cutler was only at about 55% but more importantly he didn't throw an interception. He seemed to manage his throws well and pick his spots. Forte had another ho-hum game on the ground getting 49 on 14 carries and not being a factor in the pass game. After a fast start, Forte has slowed a bit giving fantasy owners an average of 8 PPG. He still has great potential but faces the Vikings twice, the Jets, Philadelphia, and Miami on the road. Receiving wise, Earl Bennett had the catch this week but Knox is the only true threat overall. None of them are better than WR #3. Forte though should be considered a RB #2 due to schedule the rest of the way. He does have a good match vs Detroit but it gets tougher overall.

BILLS: Steve Johnson overcame a slow start to finish with 11 catches and 145 yards. He clearly is Fitzpatrick's favorite target and has been one of the safest WR plays this year. Fitzpatrick has also been a good start lately given his need to throw so much coming from behind every game. The Bills run game has come up short from being the lead attack expected, but were facing a tough run defense. They do have some favorable matches against Cleveland, Miami, and New England whom currently do not have the greatest rush defenses. However, all three teams seem to be improving vs the run and come week 14 could be tough opponents. Better to find options if you are in contention.

SAINTS: What looked to be a close one during the first quarter turned into an easy scrimmage game as the Saint defense knocked out both Matt Moore and Jonathan Stewart then make Clausen look just bad. The Saints got a win they needed as the NFC South is very up for grabs and should be until the final weeks. Lance Moore and Marques Colston are the only two to trust at WR as Meachem and Henderson continue to have bad statistical seasons. Both are drop worthy or trade bait if you can find any takers. While Betts got the start and the carries, it was Julius Jones who doubled his rushing total on half the carries with 68 yds. on 6 carries. The good news is that Bush should be back after the bye week and maybe Pierre Thomas will be close to returning. Thomas was almost traded to the Patriots this year and looks to have worn out his welcome with Sean Payton. Ivory and Bush are the best two options moving forward.

PANTHERS: I had the Panthers down as my upset of the week, but after two drives those thoughts were shattered by Matt Moore going down and then adding Jonathan Stewart to the injury list. After that it was an after thought. The question became how bad would the Panthers lose. No receiver came away with more than 22 yards and no RB with more than 41 yards. As Steve Smith said...it was pathetic. While Clausen looks in line to get the next start, Tony Pike came in an put up the same yardage on fewer throws and looked better overall. Steve Smith is officially no better than a flex play until he can develop continuity with a QB. Coach Fox needs to make a statement and roll with one guy for the rest of the year for the team's sake and start developing for next year. No Panther is trustworthy and Deangelo Williams will be hampered when he returns by a passing attack which scares nobody.

PATRIOTS: While I pegged Hernandez for a score as my sleeper, it was about all I had right in this game. Brady couldn't find a rhythm, the law firm went bankrupt, and Danny Woodhead led all players with 92 total yards. The Patriots were caught by a Browns defense which has gone under rated most the year. Coming off the bye allowed them extra time to scheme against the Pats short shot game and catch them off guard with some sneaky play calls. The Patriots simply had an off day but will look to get back on track next week. Hernandez is a solid TE #1 and Woodhead has clearly overtook Welker as that all purpose guy who racks up the yards. Brady however has fallen in value after losing Moss and is not the dependable monster you are used to expecting. If you can get name value for Welker do it. Green Ellis may have fallen short this week but has some good games coming up and is worth being patient with. Try and get him if you are weak at RB #2 or need a good flex play.

BROWNS: The Browns overwhelmed the Pats in a game that may have saved Mangini his job yet again. He wins the ones the shouldn't and loses everything else giving the perception he has potential. It was the same with the Jets until Woody realized this trend. The Browns have the talent and seem to be getting better, but will have to wait until next year before becoming serious contenders. McCoy is clearly the choice at QB so he can develop into the potential he is showing. Peyton Hillis is a monster, running for 184 and 2 scores as well as catching 3 for 36 yards. Massaquoi showed some relevance again and may have value moving forward as a reserve should one of your studs go down.

JETS: Mark Sanchez started off a bit rusty but gained composure and took control of the pocket as time went on, eventually driving the Jet s to the Detroit 20 with two minutes left for the game winning field goal. The bigger concern here is what is going on with the Jets run game? This was a game primed for the Jets backs to have success yet neither reached more than 55 yards on the ground. This is the second game where the run game has come short of expectations and while you are not going to move LT anywhere, it may cause you to lower expectations just a bit. I have been a firm believer that as the season wares on, LT will slow a bit and we will see Greene a bit more. Greene was featured more towards the end of this game and this could be a sign of things to come. Santonio and Braylon each continue to give fantasy numbers worthy of #2 and 3 guys and should be trusted moving ahead. Given the schedule coming up, Sanchez may also be a good play for the next three weeks if your starter has a bye or some really bad match ups.

LIONS: At this point either Stafford has a bum shoulder and needs to sit out the rest of the year or the Detroit medical staff is the worst. Either way, Stafford will only be able to afford so much scar tissue before it limits his career. Bench him since the season is mostly shot at this point and let him fully heal and prepare for the long term. He has amazing potential but it's worth nothing if he misses 5 games a year. I called Jhavid Best as a sleeper and he delivered with 88 yards. The Lions as a whole are playing good football, but the defense can't close in the 4th. There is much to be hopeful about but fantasy wise Calvin Johnson and Jhavid should be the only two guys you put in as starters. Megatron is the obvious start week in and out but he will fall to WR #2 as long as Stafford misses time. As long as Best is healthy he will continue to rack up yardage and you can depend on about 70 YPG. While it may not be spectacular, it should be consistent production and more than you can rely on compared to higher picks like Ryan Mathews, Shonn Greene, or Deangelo Williams.

CHARGERS: Phillip Rivers is undoubtedly the best QB in football right now. While it was the worse secondary in the NFL, Rives threw 4 TD's without any of his star receivers, a stagnant run game, and came back from a 23-14 deficit to win. It will only get better for Rivers after the bye week when Vincent Jackson returns, Malcom Floyd should return as well as Naanee and Gates. Rivers also faces a favorable schedule after the bye making him all the more valuable. Ryan Mathews injured his ankle once again which only strengthens the case for Mike Tolbert being on your team. He has the most TD's out of the RB core and is a more durable back. Sit on your Chargers during the bye as it should only get better.

TEXANS: Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson were shut down by the top rated pass defense, making it the Arian Foster show. Foster ran for 127 yards and led all receivers with 70 yards. Foster is by far the best back in the NFL but the work load is worrisome. Every touch means another hit and in today's NFL that can be a slippery slope to tread. It's not like you would dream of trading the guy away, but if you own Foster you are most likely in playoff contention and should have some reserves just in case. He runs smart and does know how to avoid the big hits, but it should be a valid strategy to have depth. Owen Daniels missed the game and if you own him it is time to seek other options.

CARDINALS: The Cards had this game until the last five minutes but it never really felt like they were winning. It was more a case of the Vikings offense beating itself, and it proved to be true as Favre led two scoring drives in five minutes to tie and eventually win. Fitztgerald did get his on 107 yards receiving but failed to reach the end zone. I liked Hightower more than Wells though neither was appealing and Hightower finished with a team leading 39 rush yards. Though Wells is the starter, Hightower brings a better ball control game and is more physical right now. Regardless, you won't feel comfortable using either of these two and need better options. Fitzgerald is a high end #2 as I've been saying and should be expected to give you around 10 PPG. That said, if the QB carousel can stop, Fitzgerald only faces one solid pass defense for the rest of the year including the playoffs.

VIKINGS: Now the work is Ziggy Wilf is still considering if he should release Childress. It's the only true option and needs to be done now while the team is still in contention. The fans and players hate the guy and think he is clueless. He questioned Percy Harvin's work ethic on Friday and Sunday he posted 126 receiving yards. Berrian was my sleeper and he came away with 89 yards. I had said not to panic on Harvin just yet and it will only get better. Sidney Rice warmed up before this game and could return next week. That will help this team and help Harvin find the end zone. Schiancoe's value will still be high regardless of Rice's return since it looks like Childress has figured out that him being involved means a more effective team. Pick up Rice from waivers now if he is available. The Vikes only have two tough pass defenses through the fantasy playoffs left.

GIANTS: Bradshaw and Jacobs flip flopped their roles this week, with Jacobs getting the yardage and Bradshaw getting the scores. The Giants came out rested and overwhelmed Whitehurst. Eli went to his favorite target Nicks often who finished with 126 yards and a score. Manningham and Smith had decent days, with Smith getting the TD but neither is a safe play every week because you really don't know which one will come out with the score. Jacobs is a trustworthy start depending on the match up and Bradshaw is a must start weekly. Eli and his receivers have a good schedule until the fantasy playoffs where he faces Min, Phi, and GB. All three will be challenges so if you have a solid back up or can trade for a QB/need player I would go for it. Sounds crazy, but if you are looking at getting in the playoffs with Eli as your guy it could be tough to expect production three weeks straight from him.

SEAHAWKS: So much for the Whitehurst hoopla. The Seahawks were not the healthiest group, but right now Hasselbeck gives them the best chance of winning as everyone saw on Sunday. The only player of note that produced anything significant was Marshawn Lynch who posted 48 yards. Lynch is the back you want on this team but is nothing more than a reserve. The Mike Williams bandwagon should also be unloaded and he should be traded while he carries some weight.

CHIEFS: Jamaal Charles delivered again on fewer touches than Jones and was also an impact in the pass game catching 5 balls for 47 yards and rushing for 53 yards to Jones' 32. Once again, Charles is the one you want on this team though both are starter worthy. Dwayne Bowe has continued his new found trust with Cassel, receiving for 63 yards and a score. Bowe has become a solid #2 WR and should be trustworthy as such for the rest of the year. The Chiefs have the best rushing schedule in the NFL and don't face a truly tough rush defense until the last week of the fantasy playoffs against Tennessee. Despite the loss, the Chiefs are still in the divisional race and will be playing hard. Moeaki should be in your line up every day despite the fact you probably have a better name on your squad. He is the Chief's second option in the pass game and should not be benched.

RAIDERS: After a bad first half which looked like KC would be in control, the Raiders regrouped and Jacoby Ford ate his Wheaties. Ford finished with 148 yards and was the only other player than Mcfadden to make a significant impact. He is worthy of a waiver pick up since he may have just earned himself starter time given Heyward-Bey's magic act week to week and Murphy's health. Oakland has a bye week coming and should have all it's receiving threats back so wait and see what Ford will do and how he will be used. Mcfadden and Miller are the two you can obviously trust but take a wait and see approach before you start anyone else despite this week's production. Besides, you'll probably forget Ford's performance after next week anyway.

COLTS: I tweeted it on the 4th and had him here as a sleeper. Javarris James didn't give you crazy yards but he did give you two scores if you had the balls to start him. Just when you think it's safe to play Garcon, he shows up for 15 yards on two catches. Both Tamme and Wayne had 11 receptions but Tamme had the score on a night where Peyton was hurried often and faced solid coverage. Tamme is another one I called the night of Clark's injury and has lived up to the label of being a Clark clone. As of now, Reggie Wayne is the safest play at the WR position. Garcon and Collie are interchangeable from week to week and the addition of Blair White only complicates things. Garcon has the most upside overall, but is only trust worthy as WR#3 or a flex.

EAGLES: Mike Vick returned right where he left off, rushing for 74 yards with 1 TD and passing for 218 with a score. Desean Jackson is his favorite target and returns to WR 1 status as long as he is healthy. McCoy had his best rushing day since week two, gaining 95 yards on 16 carries. Maclin had a quiet game, but Vick will find him like he did before the injury. The only true change from what you expected on this team is the total lack of production from Brent Celek. Celek had a hard enough time hooking up with Kolb who looked for him more often. Now with Vick, Celek is bench material. Given he was probably drafted as your TE #1, look for options on the wire.

COWBOYS: I've said previously that regardless of what Jerry Jones says, Wade Phillips will get the boot before seasons end. It looks like after the blow out in GB that Jones has softened his stance on not making moves as he stated he will be making changes. It starts with Phillips and has translated to the mentality of this team. The Cowboys have the talent, but they don't have the discipline needed. They need a coach who knows how best to use each individual's talent in given situations. Best to make the change now and use the rest of the year slowly implementing a new system under a new coach. Jason Garrett has always been the guy in waiting and the time is now. Still, Dez Bryant carries the most value on this team and is the only one you can trust to start every week. He faces weaker corner opposition than Austin, runs the routes in space, and has the speed to burn a defense. Austin continues to take a big hit without Kitna, but like Fitzgerald is a high end #2 with #1 potential. If you can hold Austin until the second week of the playoffs, he faces Washington and Arizona. Until then he faces some tougher opponents but will still produce, just not what you expected on draft day.

PACKERS: James Jones came up big again in relief of Donald Driver catching a TD on 123 yards. Jennings added 80 yards with a score and Brandon Jackson had one of his most productive days rushing for 42 and a score along with 26 receiving and a score. The Packers defense has gotten healthier and may be the fastest defense in the league. This is a defense that can win you games. Jones has evolved to a solid WR 3 but will have to be monitored since Driver has the extra week to heal with the bye. Brandon Jackson is a decent RB 2 start, but since you probably have better options could make great trade bait if you have holes on your team.

FRIDAY GUT CHECK

2010-11-04T20:25:00.001-07:00

A list of players who may have bad match ups, are back up or role guys, or are just plain having a bad year but feel good about this week. It's the guy you kick yourself in the ass about Sunday night cause you had a feeling but benched him.

MIKE TOLBERT SD: He is quietly a top 20 guy and has scored in five straight. Norv loves Mathews and is doing everything to get him going in two games before last week Tolbert averaged three carries but still had a score. He has become the Lendale White of two seasons ago. They face the Texans this week and may be down to Patrick Crayton as the only pass option with Gates hurt. Last week all three backs had a healthy amount of touches and I expect the same here. Tolbert should be good for a score and good yardage.

CEDRIC BENSON CIN: He faces the stellar Steeler run defense on Monday night. The Steelers have held everyone to minimal yardage and Benson is projected by most to have a 50 yard day at best. However, the Bengals will attack the weak secondary and throw it often. The Steelers will need to drop some LB's back leaving Benson with room since umlike other teams, the Bengals can make you pay vertically in single coverage. I say about 60 yards but he does score.

PATRICK CRAYTON SD: Gates may be out and while Crayton hasn't really done much with the opportunity, he is facing the horrible Texans secondary. He still has the speed to make teams pay, and the Texans should load the box trying to stop the Charger back field.

SHONN GREENE NYJ: He has been far less than great and is getting limited touches because of LT's great play. However, they face the dead last Lions rush defense and memories of his 111 yard game vs Buffalo come to mind. He should at minimum give you seven points and I think scores.

JONATHAN STEWART CAR: While he failed to produce much of anything last week as the starter, he has at least gotten his feet back. Unless Williams practices today, he again will get the nod vs New Orleans. This time he will be at home in a divisional game guys step up for. The Saints can be run on and Stewart won't come up short two weeks in a row. I see a score and about 60 yards.

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WEEK 9 PREVIEW

2010-11-02T19:06:00.000-07:00

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS @ ATLANTA FALCONS: BUCS: The Bucs have been road warriors this year, and look to continue their streak in Atlanta. They have found a running back in rookie Blount who pounded Arizona for 122 yards. This week Blount faces the Falcon's 6th ranked rush defense (ranking a bit inflated due to bye) but none the less their strong point on defense. The Bucs run attack has risen to 21st behind Blount after averaging under 3YPC before his emergence. The biggest benefit has been to the Bucs pass game which saw Freeman connect on a deep pass to Aurellios Benn last week. One of the very few. Freeman now faces Atlanta's 25th ranked pass defense which will force Atlanta to be unable to load up on Blount without getting burned. Despite the good rush Defense, Blount seems like a good play here as is Mike Williams whom leads the league in pass yards for WR's.
FALCONS: They are coming off a bye which I expect they had to adjust their planning from last week after watching Blount explode. I think in essence they lose the extra week advantage because of this and will play more of a Tampa 2 style in an effort to keep Blount in check while keeping Williams from burning them. Turner should be the focal point as the Bucs own the 30th ranked run defense. Roddy White should have some tough coverage against this 4th ranked pass defense, but the Bucs are known to allow one big deep ball due to youth in their safety position. Expect a good day from White but not a great one. The match up to watch will be Jenkins against Biggers. Jenkins should have a sleeper day here.

While I am a big fan of the bye week, the emergence of Blount will even things up here. Both teams play into each others strengths except for the Bucs pass game vs. Falcon secondary. In the end I think this is the difference maker. Turner will see a big day and eat the clock. This is a toss up in a game to decide who sits atop the NFC South. I am biased to the Bucs so will pick them though it is anyones game. BUCS 24-FALCONS 20

FANTASY STARTS: TB: Blount (16 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Freeman (270 yds. 2 TD) Williams (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD)
ATL: Turner (17 for 110 yds. 1 TD) White (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Jenkins ATL....He should have the good but young Biggers covering him while White is covered by Talib. Jenkins should be the main 3rd down target and has the ability to slip by the secondary who will be focused on White.

CHICAGO BEARS @ BUFFALO BILLS: BEARS: The bye came at a good time for the Bears after a sloppy outing vs the Skins which saw Cutler throw 4 picks to Hall. Now he faces the 3rd ranked pass defense which is ranked so because of their yardage allowance. We saw how Baltimore did with their weapons and I expect Cutler to have a good day if he has some protection. Forte should post his best game yet on the ground which will allow Cutler some throws. The question is if anyone other than Knox will show up. Buffalo should be able to cover him well, leaving Hester in space. The mentality of Matz has got to be run first this game. However Martz can be unpredictable and if he's patient will have success.
BILLS: The Bills run game has fallen a bit flat in recent weeks and now they face the Chicago 4th ranked rush attack. Luckily, the play of Fitzpatrick has offset the run game struggles and kept Buffalo within striking distance since he was handed the job. The Bears are 14th vs the pass and can be caught sleeping. Look for Buffalo to use the throw to set up running lanes. However, the Chicago LB core is made of some athletes whom are more than capable of confusing Fitz into mistakes. Buffalo may see a lot of blitz packages forcing Fitz to make throws he doesn't want to.

The Bears no doubt got back to basics during the bye and maybe even simplified things a bit for executions sake. The Bills face a running back who can burn them both ways and will be the difference. CHI 28-BUFF 17.

FANTASY STARTS: BEARS: Forte (12 for 70yds. 1 TD/ 6 for 50 yds. TD) Cutler (280 yds. 2 TD) Knox ( 5 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
BILLS: Jackson (13 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Johnson (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Evans (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Hester CHI...with the attention on Forte and Knox, Hester is left to run free in single coverage and burns them for his best game of the year.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS: PATS: The new Patriot offense is far from what it was pre Moss, but it has forced them into finding a running game that doesn't consist of a committee approach. The Pats have jumped to 16th in rushing behind Green Ellis who has scored two weeks straight in solid outings. The person hurt the most has been Wes Welker who has seen his numbers drop now that he is the focal point. Hopefully Brandon Tate's big game last week will be something he builds on. Cleveland ranks 21st vs the pass and 15th vs the run so both the run game and pass will be effective. Woodhead should have another good day and post double digits as will Hernandez .
BROWNS: Another team coming off the bye whom should be prepared but just outnumbered in the talent department. The Browns will be facing the Patriots 10th ranked rush defense and 28th pass defense. Hillis will not find much running room since it looks like Mccoy will get another start against a defense that is tough to read for even seasoned veterans. That and the lack of quality options in the pass game will make things easier for the Pats.

New England is coming off a big win against the Vikings and facing the "hoodie's" former pupil. No chance for Mangini here. NE 28-CLE 17.

FANTASY STARTS: NE: All your Pats should post good numbers and are all starter worthy. No news there.
CLE: Hillis (13 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Cribbs (5 for 40 yds/ 3 for 40 yds. 1 TD) Watson (6 for 70yds.)

SLEEPER: A. Hernandez NE: his numbers are growing steadily and Brady is trusting him. Look for his first score this week.

NY JETS @ DETROIT LIONS: JETS: Last week should be chalked up to just one of those days where they came out rusty and keep in mind were facing a defense close to their own. Sanchez faces a much better match up here against the Lions 17th pass defense, and that's their strong suit. The Jets have too many weapons for the Lions limited secondary and will find plenty of options. Especially since the Lions 24th rush defense will be busy chasing Tomlinson around the yard.
LIONS: The return of Stafford has rejuvenated this offense but he faces the Jet pass defense with a healthy Revis. To make matters worse, the Jets are 3rd in rush defense so Stafford will be forced to carry the load. Megatron vs Revis will be a great match up to watch, but it will be Pettigrew whom will find the most success in the middle of the field. Being Stafford's second game back he should show some rust mentally and will force some errant throws.

The Jets will take last weeks humbling loss out on the Lions. JETS 31-LIONS 17.

FANTASY STARTS: JETS: Tomlinson ( 15 for 70 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 30 yds) Keller ( 4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Holmes (5 for 80 yds 1 TD). Edwards ( 5 for 70yds) Sanchez (300yds. 2 TD)
LIONS: Johnson ( 7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Pettigrew (5 for 50 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPERS: Best DET/ Greene NYJ.....Best should see a ton of work out of the back field catching passes and should see room as the Jets focus on the main three pass options. Greene had great numbers against a similar defense in Buffalo and may see extra work if they are up big in the 4th.

ARIZONA CARDS @ MINNESOTA VIKINGS: CARDS: Derik Anderson should get the start after a good performance overall but a late pick which cost them a potential win vs the Bucs. Hall could be back if Wisenhunt decides Hall just had an off day. Steve Breaston showed an immediate impact which opened things up for Fitzgerald who had one of his bettef games of the year. Regardless who is at QB, the Vikings are 8th in pass yards allowed and the Cards are 30th in passing. Beanie Wells will have a tough match up after being named the starter as he faces the Vikings 11th run defense. Fitzgerald will get his in this game though shouldn't post numbers too big. If Wells can somehow be effective it will open things up but it's a bit much to ask here.
VIKINGS: They are a team in as much disarray as any and will try to put it all behind them as they face an Arizona team ranked 19th and 28th against the pass and run respectively. Peterson will be asked to carry this team once again now that the Moss threat is gone and allows teams to focus in on Harvin. Berrian needs to earn his money here and has shown glimpses of becoming a factor in recent weeks but it was with Moss there and no pressure. Maybe the last few games got his confidence up and he can start becoming the deep threat they need. Look for Schiancoe's numbers to rise as he had games of 90 and 77 yards pre Moss with a score. He should be the main benefactor without Moss though both Harvin and Berrian have decent match ups too.

Peterson should control this defense and allow Favre to have a comfortable day in the pocket. Vikings get a win they desperately need. MIN 31-ARI 21.

FANTASY STARTS: ARI: Fitzgerald (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Wells (13 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
MIN: Peterson (17 for 110 yds. 2 TD) Schiancoe (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Harvin (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Favre (250 yds. 2 TD)

SLEEPER: Berrian MIN....while he has not produced, the ease of the run game here will have him see some single coverage and I think he has better confidence than before. He should see the end zone.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS: SAINTS: Brees and company have found a groove last two weeks and are coming off a solid win versus Pittsburgh. Meachem looks to be fairly reliable again and will only help make life easier for Colston. The problem lies in the run game where they rank 24th behind an unstable Chris Ivory who had a horrible game last week and saw Betts and Jones do no better. Brees faces the top rated Carolina pass defense so will have his work cut out for him. Bush seems to be a week away from full recovery but has an outside shot to return. Carolina ranks 18th vs the run and is what the Saints will need in order to win.
Expect Williams to return even if he isn't 100%. New Orleans is 22nd vs the run so there will be yards available. Matt Moore and Smith can expect typical low averages as the Saints rank 7th vs the pass.

New Orleans is very one dimensional now but good at what they can do. Here they go on the road vs a divisional foe who is great at shutting down passing teams....Upset of the week here as the Panthers have their best rush game to date and play small ball to beat the Saints. CAR 24-NO 21.

FANTASY STARTS: SAINTS: Ivory (14 for 60 yds.) Colston (6 for 70 yds) Moore (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Meachem (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
CAR: Williams (15 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Stewart (8 for 50 yds 1 TD) Smith ( 7 for 70 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Shockey NO....The Carolina secondary may be stout, but the Saints WR will have them stretched, allowing him to capitalize in open space.

MIAMI DOLPHINS @ BALTIMORE RAVENS: MIAMI: The Dolphins continue to be a team that is unpredictable week to week but are hanging in there and getting plays when they need it. They are middle of the back in both rushing and passing and have to be a bit let down by the run game production this year. That said, both Brown and Williams had decent days last week and may be able to build off that. If Miami is going to win, it will be on the ground against the weakest part of Baltimore's defense which really isn't bad at 13th. Marshall should be held in check so look for guys like Fasano, Bess and Hartline to be more involved.
RAVENS: A bye week, a home game and maybe a healthy Mason add up for bad news if your a Dolphin fan. Though Miami is stout in run and pass D ranked 9th in both, Baltimore has many ways to beat a team. However, they too are about middle of the pack in both offensive categories and have a run game that has not been as great as expected. To their credit, they have faced some decent defenses and it gets no easier here. Ray Rice should be the one to do most damage as a pass catcher and like Miami it will be those secondary options who matter most in Heap and Housh.

This should be a closer game than most expect but the Ravens have had ample time to prepare and rest.
RAVENS 20-DOLPHINS 17.

FANTASY STARTS: MIA: Brown (14 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Williams (9 for 50 yds.) Fasano (4 for 65 yds. 1 TD)
BALT: Rice (16 for 65 yds./ 5 for 40 yds. 1 TD) Boldin (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Bess MIA...He is averaging 5 catches per game and has scored 3 times in seven games.

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS @ HOUSTON TEXANS: SD: They got a much needed win and didn't seem too happy about it as they know their record should be much better. Buster Davis has been sent to IR leaving Rivers with Crayton and Gates. Floyd could possibly make it back this week but is doubtful. What Norv did figure out is the use of his backs as all chipped in using their strengths to each have solid fantasy production. Though they want Mathews to produce, this team realizes what Tolbert brings to the table and he has scored in five straight, out producing Mathew despite fewer touches. Look for Norv to employ a similar strategy this week as his WR's heal up. Tolbert is definitely start worthy depending on your options with the bye weeks. Especially against Houston's dead last pass defense. Sproles could have the most surprising game since he is a pure pass catcher able to run short routes.
TEXANS: Schaub and the Texans were torn up by the Colt pass game and face a short week awaiting the top passing offense to arrive. The Texans will rely on a heavy dose of Foster in order to keep the ball away from Rivers hands and control the clock. Kubiack has already stated there eill be more balance this week and will need to deliver on it as the Chargers are 11th vs the pass and 5th vs the run. However, the Chargers can be run on and have not seen their best moments against top Running Backs. Houston will need Jones to step it up here and make it harder for the Chargers to employ a cover 1 tactic.

This will be a tough game for both sides but the edge goes to the Chargers depth and defense.
SD 31-HOU 24.

FANTASY STARTS: SD: Rivers (320 yds. 3 TD) Mathews (11 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Tolbert (9 for 50 yds 1 TD) Gates ( 8 for 110 yds. 1 TD). Sproles ( 4 for 15 yds./ 6 for 55 yds. 1 TD)
HOU: Foster ( 17 for 90 yds. 1 TD). Johnson (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Jones (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: O. Daniels HOU....the long forgotten man, Daniels seems to be getting his legs back under him and will be a key weapon as Johnson draws the attention on his side of the field.

NY GIANTS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: GIANTS: The Giants are coming off a bye and they needed it as they prepare to enter one of the harder places to win on the road. Expect the G men's 5th rated rush attack to come down after the bye which can work against this team whom was rolling. They face the Seattle rush defense ranked 8th and will have a tough time. However, now that Jacobs has found a role, he provides the depth needed to wear this defense down. Also they will have some things open up for them as Nicks runs wild against the Seattle 27th ranked secondary. One should help the other, giving Seattle fits and keeping the defense winded.
SEAHAWKS: Seattle lost on the road to Oakland and now come home to face an even better defense. The ranks are skewed due to the bye, but the Giants are 2nd vs the pass and the rush. Not good news for a team that thought they had found their lead back in Lynch whom was shut down vs Oakland. Their youth at WR and seeing Williams come back to earth last week unfortunately is a sign Seattle is over matched here.

The Giants defense turns out to be too over whelming. NYG 24-SEA 17.

FANTASY STARTS: NYG: Bradshaw (13 for 60 yds.) Jacobs (10 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Nicks (5 for 90 yds. 1 TD). Manningham (4 for 70 yds.) SEA: Forsett (10 for 45 yds./ 4 for 45 yds. 1 TD) Williams (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: J. Carlson SEA....He will need to be a big part of moving the chains and is usually Hasselbecks pressure valve against top defenses.

KC CHIEFS @ OAKLAND RAIDERS: KC: The Chiefs coaching dream team has produced results and will be a key factor in this fight for the top. KC owns the only tandem of RB' s which are both starter worthy. KC is 2nd in rush offense and face Oaklands 29th ranked rush defense. While Oakland owns the 15th pass defense, they will be significantly hurt by Asomugha's ankle sprain which is expected to keep him out. Great news for Bowe who has been finding a report with Cassel, but I see Moeaki and Chambers as having better days since Oakland is bound to bring up help vs the run and leave a safety to focus on Bowe over top.
OAK: Mcfadden has been the highlight of this team, leading the Raiders to the top ranked rushing offense. However, the loss of Murphy hurts since KC is 20th vs the pass and not nearly as bad as Seattle. Heyward Bey will need to reproduce last week's numbers, especially since Miller was on crutches after the game. He should be ready Sunday but if he is even less than 100% it makes it much easier for KC to focus on Mcfadden.

The injuries for Oakland couldn't come at a worse time but this defense has been lights out as of late. If they can somehow shut down Charles and Jones they have a chance here. However, the KC defense has the easier job shutting down Mcfadden as they are 7th vs the run. KC 24-OAK 17.

FANTASY STARTS: KC: Charles (15 for 90 yds. 1 TD). Jones (11 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Bowe ( 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
OAK: McFadden (16 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Bush (9 for 40 yds. 1 TD) Heyward Bey (6 for 80 yds)

SLEEPER: Janikowski OAK....This could be a game where drive after drive comes up short and he kicks 6 FG. He's a great start if you have him.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: COLTS: The Colts came out of their revenge game in Houston winners but left with questions surrounding their run game. With Addai nursing an injured shoulder and Brown not close to 100%, Mike Hart was having a great outing and then left with an ankle injury which sounds as if it will keep him out this week. Brown couldn't even last the game so now it may boil down to Javvaris James. Not the best news as the Colts travel to Philly and face the Eagles 14th ranked rush defense. The Eagles are also 13th vs the pass and had an extra week to prep for Manning and his audibles. Losing any semblance of a run game makes things much harder for Manning who is working with Garcon and Gonzo whom just came back from injury and Wayne who has been dinged up a bit. Wayne should again be the focal point and Peyton has to be happy with how Tamme produced in his first game. Tamme has already made Clark's absence barely noticeable and is a solid play moving ahead. Manning will be throwing even more than normal this week.

EAGLES: Looks like Vick makes his return this week but he will find it a tough passing day against the Colts 5th ranked pass defense whom just held Matt Schaub in check. The good news is Vick will be able to use his feet as the Colts are 25th vs the run. With the bye week you can expect some success through the air as Vick will be well prepared and McCoy has now had an extra week to heal the rib which he says still isn't 100%. With the Colts secondary facing a rusty Desean Jackson, who is awaiting to be cleared to play but is no lock, they will be able to focus on Maclin and keep things in front of them. If ever there was a week for Celek to be more involved it's here as they will need a solid third option. If Jackson is not cleared, he becomes even more important in the pass game. McCoy should be featured in this game as the Eagles try to put together some time eating drives. Vick has value since he will be scrambling often from Freeney's pass rush.

The Colts are getting more confident but have not looked like the same team on the road this year. They are facing an Eagles defense rested and prepared for them coming off the bye while the Colts have a short week and have no answer at RB.....PHI 23-IND 21.

FANTASY STARTS: IND: Manning (320 yds. 3 TD) Wayne (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Garcon (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Tamme (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD)

EAGLES: Vick (180 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) McCoy (14 for 70 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 35 yds.) Maclin (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Celek (5 for 60 yds.)

SLEEPER: Javarris James IND...this is a guy undreafted from Miami whom is similar to Hart. He is a hard runner who could surprise given there is no tape on him in a pro game.

DALLAS COWBOYS @ GB PACKERS: DAL: The Cowboys rallied around Kitna by making Jacksonville look like the Saints of last year. Kitna showed his rust and the run game failed to show up again. At this point, Phillips looks as if he has lost control. The defense has seemingly stopped playing after being on the field too often and will have it's hands full against the Packers 7th ranked pass offense. Dallas does catch a small break though with Driver ruling himself out. It will allow for some help with Gregg Jennings over the top, and Green Bay is only 19th in rush offense. If Kitna was rusty against the Jags, he should expect even more issues against a Green Bay defense that delivers constant pressure and is very opportunistic. The Packers do rank 27th vs the run so Jones and Barber could help make life easier if they are able to get away from Mathews. Look for Dallas to focus on the run game and simplify the pass game into short easy throws where Kitna can have success. Dez Bryant had a decent outing last week and should have an equal showing this week.

PACKERS: Dallas has been pretty good against the pass up till last week and sit at 10th, although that number is in good standing since they had an earlier bye week and actually played while Romo was active. Even with Jennings as their only threat, the Pack have depth with Jones and Quarless. Jones has been unreliable, but look for him to have a great game here. Quarless should also post solid numbers. Brandon Jackson has only really produced against the weaker defenses and faces a great match up here vs Dallas' 21st ranked rush defense. He is a good RB #2 start this week.

The Packers should be able to handle the Cowboys whom take to the road for the first time in three weeks with a QB making only his second start this year. GB 28- DAL 20.

FANTASY STARTS: DAL: Jones (14 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Bryant (5 for 70 yds.) Austin ( 7 for 90 yds. 1 TD)

GB: Jennings (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Jackson (15 for 85 yds. 1 TD) Quarless (5 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Jones (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Jordy Nelson GB...While has yet to score this year, Rogers seems to trust him and Jordy may take Jones' stats I have projected for him. Nelson is a speedy receiver with sure hands who may be that guy that finds a lot of open space this week.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS: STEELERS: The Steelers came back to earth and realized Ben was far from Superman. He faces a third tough pass defense this week in the Bengals who rank 12th vs the pass but is offset by their 20th rush defense. Mendenhall will carry the Steelers again much as last week in a game that is always closely contested between these two rivals. With Adam Jones out, Hines Ward should see a good number of targets. Mike Wallace should also be effective but the Bengals are good at not allowing the deep ball to burn them. Look for Ward to get the yardage here and Heath Miller to play a larger role than last week.

BENGALS: Nothing has gone right for them even when it does. Despite lucky bounces and their first opening drive score of the season last week, the Bengals found a way to lose to Miami at home. This week they face the top rush defense but a pass defense much more vulnerable. It will be on Carson to fix his accuracy issues and find that zip on the ball he has been lacking this year. The Bengals do well when Ocho is involved and look for them to do that since Benson will find it hard to deliver any substance of a run game. Both TO and Ocho should have big days as will Palmer, who I expect to throw about 40 times this week.

Though the Bengals are struggling, this is a rivalry, it's their second game at home and the Steelers are good prey against the pass. The question is if the Bengals defense can rise to the occasion. I think they do and pull out the upset. CIN 31-PIT 28.

FANTASY STARTS: PITT: Mendenhall (17 for 105 yds. 1 TD) Ward (8 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Miller (5 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Wallace (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Roethlisberger (270 yds. 2 TD)

CIN: Ochocinco (6 for 110 yds. 1 TD) T.O. (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Benson (13 for 40 yds. 1 TD)

Palmer (280 yds. 3 TD) Greisham (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: J. Shipley CIN......Shipley is quickly becoming a guy Palmer trusts and looks to when the pressure is coming. Despite 15 fewer receptions, he has only 105 fewer yards than Ocho and is averaging 14.5 YPC which is best on the team. He could easily be the guy who has a better game than either or both Batman and Robin.

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The Randy Moss release

2010-11-02T12:10:00.000-07:00

While I still wonder if there is a mutiny on Brad Childress' hands, today the picture became a bit clearer as to why he wants to release him. Allegedly, the team had a catered meal after practice which was done my a mom and pop's restaurant. The home grown owners prepared some BBQ which most of the team seemed to enjoy. Moss however allegedly said "What the Fuck is this? I wouldn't feed this to my dogs". He apparently made sure the restaurant owners and team could hear this, prompting embarrassment and Childress to say enough is enough.

While it is still a very stupid move in football terms, I give Childress huge props for putting decency and respect before talent. It's an issue we all experience but too many times the talent wins out because it means $$$$. Regardless, Childress will still lose most of the offense because they knew what they were getting when they signed him. So while it is a great moral move, it is still his fault to begin with. You don't walk up to a Lion in the zoo with a piece of steak then get pissed when he gnaws your leg off! From a management standpoint, Childress is all but gone. Look, Randy's reputation only gets further damaged from this and in the end it doesn't reflect on the team. It falls on his legacy. So keep the guy who gives you the best shot at winning and let him look like a scumbag. You've stood up and made him an example so that is enough to prove you are not an organization that accepts this kind of action. However, for those being asked to fund a new stadium, they will look at a team that makes poor personnel moves then takes a further loss by releasing players. Childress has already lost Favre and you can bet there are a number of guys he has lost already and will lose after waiving Moss.

Randy Moss release

2010-11-01T14:37:00.000-07:00

While it has yet to officially hit the waiver wire, reports are that Childress notified the team Moss will be released. The reason I think it has yet to hit the wire though is because of a few things in my opinion. 1. Favre, Harvin, and Peterson must have serious reservations and are voicing them to ownership. Moss isn't the problem, the coach is. When all your star guys voice displeasure and probably threaten to shut it down, guess who's head will roll instead...Coach. 2. A release like this doesn't bode well for new stadium funding. 3. If Moss stays, then Childress not only loses the locker room, but he loses his job. Either way he now becomes a man alone and has no control.

If management is smart, they keep Moss and get rid of Childress. It is the only solution that makes sense for this team and I believe is the final solution. If Moss does indeed go, sell your Vikings now! We saw what kind of production we got from Favre and Harvin pre Moss and outside of Peterson it hurts their value. Harvin and Favre will still put up decent numbers, but sell while their value is high.

SUNDAY IN REVIEW

2010-10-31T17:15:00.000-07:00

BRONCOS: Denver tried to feature it's run game and get the defense to respect the run. Too bad it didn't work. Statistically, Moreno put up 40 on 11 carries, far from menacing and enough to get a defense on their heels. Orton focused in on Lloyd passing to him for 169 yards and a score. The Tebow chatter will only grow louder after losing to the 49ers under a QB making his first start. The criticism is misplaced however, since it is the banged up defense making Orton's job that much harder. Aside from that, no QB is going to be effective when defenses are able to sit back and not worry about the run. At this point, the Broncos might want to think about giving Tebow some carries out of the back field. If the Broncos are serious about putting the future in Tebow's hands, now would be the time to let him have a shot. Though they are not out of the divisional race, it will be a big uphill climb.

49ers: Who called a 49er win??? This guy did! I was probably the only one too. I watched Troy Smith in college and liked what I saw. His brief stint in Baltimore was also a good indication of what he could do. He was plagued by injury there, but the little we did see from him seemed hopeful. He can manage a game and his feet are a great secondary weapon. Say hello to SF new QB. I believe he is more a long term option than Smith ever could be. Expect more wins from this squad going ahead. SF simplified the offense and proves that sometimes in the NFL, coaches out think themselves when all you really need is execution on the basics. Troy Smith warrants a pick up if he isn't already taken.

JAGUARS: Gerrard continued his Jeykl and Hyde act this week throwing four TD passes after missing a week injured. This guy is a wild card every week and can't be depended on. If he can one day show some consistency then maybe we can consider him a starting option, but not until then. However, it was nice to see Mike Simms-Walker return to last years type game and hopefully this performance will force Gerrard to look at him more instead of checking down. Mercedes Lewis put up another great game and I said weeks ago to pick him up. This is a guy I drafted after hearing him say he spent the whole off season in Jacksonville just to work out with Gerrard. This is not a fluke! Pick him up and start him every game! MJD had his 3rd solid start in a row rushing for 135 and looks like he may be over his early season injury. Buy low on him if you still can.

COWBOYS: Bye Bye Wade Phillips...I've been saying that despite Jerry Jones' talk that Wade's job is safe, Jerry has to be ready to pull the trigger. The season is lost, your team has obviously stopped playing defense and nobody respects the head coach. They are jumping ship! Bring in Gruden or Cowher and let them start putting the pieces in place and developing this team. Think of it as an early training camp. When the real camp rolls around, these guys will know what the system is and be comfortable. Waiting for the inevitable will only make things harder. Make the change now. While Roy Williams had a down day, I still think he has the relationship with Kitna to have value. As does Austin whom I though would take a small hit because of Kitna's throw power. If you can, I would play it safe and get rid of your Cowboys while they still carry value. The writing is on the wall so don't wait until it hits you on the head. Trade em all.

DOLPHINS: I had both Williams and Brown as sleepers for this game so if you started them you should be happy as Brown gave you 6 points and Williams gave you 10. Not great, but sleeper value. The Dolphins continued to win ugly, not dazzling in any way but letting Carpenter kick five field goals. The defense is this teams savior and is what continues to keep them in games. Marshall is still fantasy start worthy, but after this game I would sell both Brown and Williams as high as you can. Let's face it, you will not feel comfortable starting them all year and you can get something decent for them this week.

BENGALS: Carson Palmer's days are officially numbered. He tried to force to many throws and again was dealing with accuracy issues. One of the passes to Owens should have been a pick but turned into a TD off deflection. After coming out strong to start the game, the Bengals crumbled and could not muster a come back. The defense is especially a problem since they are becoming proficient at letting teams get back into games. Benson racked up only 69 yards on 2o carries which doesn't really give me confidence in him at all. Benson is trade worthy as is Palmer. Palmer is still having value since he will be throwing often, but he can just as easily give you single digits as he can a 15-20 point day. Ocho and TO will be unreliable but when they have big days, like TO did today, expect them to be all or nothing. This will put fantasy owners in a bind, but unless you have a better option, they are worth a roll of the dice.

BILLS: Fitzpatrick, Fred Jackson, and Johnson are the only three names you need to know. They are the only three consistent producers both on the field and for your fantasy team. The Bills couldn't get anything going this week yet were still in the game. This is a team that is just coming up short every week but has potential down the line. It's always just a few plays that make the difference for the Bills, and expect them to improve every week. Ironically, I think their struggles bode well for the three guys mentioned as they are what the offense is built around. If you play in a keeper league, these guys are of particular value since you probably got them for a steal and they will have value next year. Be patient, and the above three all are good plays depending on the match up.

CHIEFS: Hailey finally figured out that Jamaal Charles needs more carries and is giving it to them. He has also won both games since giving Charles lead back duties. Charles racked up 177 on the ground and 61 through the air. As I have said before, out of the two he is the one you want. Though Jones is no slouch and a solid #2 starter if you have them. Bowe caught another TD pass and his value is rising. Trade for him now while he will carry mid range value still. This should become a regular type of game for him and while he could have worse games happen, 10 points seems like what you can expect a game out of him.

REDSKINS: First off, I have been singing the praise for Anthony Armstrong who had another solid day and is Washington's main deep threat. He posted 92 yards on only 3 catches. Mcnabb spread the ball around to 7 different receivers since the run game could get nothing going. Moss and Cooley had mediocre days and as stated, Torain found nothing. Keiland Williams did put up better yardage on the ground though and may be an interesting situation moving ahead. The big news out of this game will be the benching of Mcnabb with 2 minutes left because Shanny believed Grossman had a better chance at scoring. Huh? You bring a guy in to bench him when you need him most? The Skins have a bye coming up and they seriously need to settle the coach vs. players issues.

LIONS: Another upset I picked, Stafford proved to be just what the Lions needed. Stafford threw for 4 TD's, and Megatron posted the big day I was expecting. Stafford has the arm and accuracy to take advantage of the weapons around him. The Lions win a few of those close loses in recent weeks if he were at QB. Moving ahead, Stafford has starting QB value and could quietly finish the second half as a top 12 QB in my opinion. CJ's value, Pettigrew, and Best all get a bump while he is in. The curious situation to watch here is that Kevin Smith received the same number of carries as Best. This could become a time share situation, but one offset by Best's pass catching numbers. Best is the one you want but if Smith continues to get equal carries, he could become fantasy relevant while eating into Best's value just a bit.

PANTHERS: This is a team I expected to win in St. Louis and instead they laid an egg behind 3 Matt Moore interceptions. Steve Smith's value obviously is back up after returning from injury last week, but like Fitzgerald in Arizona, his value has been hindered big time due to QB play. Smith is more a solid WR #2 play than the top ten guy we expect. Jonathan Stewart did little to take advantage of his opportunity and will most likely return to his back up role once Williams is healthy. At this point, all Panthers are trade bait. Use Smith's name value and decent game to upgrade weaker positions if you can.

RAMS: They continue to do it by chipping away at you moving the chains. They are doing it by playing defense fast and executing. I will pat myself on the back for calling out B. Gibson as a sleeper for the game, but other than his 67 yards, no Ram went over 60. These guys play well as a group, each man being efficient at his role on the field. The Rams continue to be one of the most exciting teams to watch and are on the right path to becoming serious contenders. Gibson warrants a pick up and should be a solid WR #3 if he can produce again next game. Otherwise, Jackson and Bradford should be guys you sit on and use.

PACKERS: Really not much to take from this game since it was one of those where they faced a great defense who were a perfect fit for the Packers strengths. Three field goals was all the scoring this game had. Keep an eye on Donald Driver's situation since this looks to be a bigger injury than what is being portrayed. No receiver other than Jennings is a safe play. Rogers likes to spread the ball around and so far nobody has cemented the #2 spot. Quarless still has the most upside if you are choosing between him or Lee.

JETS: People are quickly back on the Sanchez hate wagon, but as I said it was just one of those games. Don't jump ship yet as they were facing a defense every bit as good as theirs. Expect the Jets to come back strong next game. Shonn Greene continues to see minimal use and since like me he was probably taken as 2nd RB value it is time to look for options until LT goes down with an injury if that even happens. Hold him, but use any WR or QB depth you have to upgrade the position if you had him as your RB 2.

TITANS: Kenny Britt pulled up lame here and it looks to be a serious hammy pull which can take a speed guy like Britt a few weeks to heal up from. Since in all likely hood he was a waiver pick or low round pick, it shouldn't affect your team. Vince Young also went down with what appears to be an ankle issue but it seems like a sprain and nothing too serious. It will be another week of unknowns for Young owners so hopefully you have another QB not on a bye. Nate Washington stepped up for Britt and looked every bit as good. He will be the one you want moving ahead.

CHARGERS: Using a patch work of receivers, Rivers took advantage of his running backs, throwing to all three. As expected Gates was his main target and will continue to be until one of the starting WR core returns. Tolbert again out performed Mathews with fewer touches though both did get scores. This looks to be what to expect from here on out. Mathews will get the carries but Tolbert will get a good amount and make the best of them. Sproles has emerged as a threat again, though a minimal one. If you own Mathews or Tolbert he may be worth a pick up if you have room in case either of the two go down. Rivers continues to be a stud for fantasy regardless who he throws to and is having a top 3 year.

VIKINGS: Moss is starting to get unhappy and looked like he was ready to make out with Brady after the game. He has good reason since the Vikes are limiting his shots down field, but a big part of that is that teams are double teaming him. Harvin continues to be the beneficiary of this since he is finding more room under the secondary. Peterson has also benefited and continues to be AP game in and out. Favre went down with a chin laceration that took 10 stitches but don't dare start wondering anything about his availability. The Vikings needed this game but are somehow still in the hunt with the loss.

PATRIOTS: I expected Tate and Woodhead to deliver here but it was Tate that surpassed expectations and Woodhead who came under them. Woodhead did score and looks to have taken over what we expected from Welker this year. Maybe Welker is slowed by the knee or maybe Woodhead's versatility is the factor, but Welker should be replaced by Woodhead in your line up. The law firm has planted himself as the undoubted number 1 in New England as we are seeing the Patriots actually look readable for once as far as what guys you can depend on week to week. This could be the game Tate needed to get the confidence a rookie needs at the position and he can be depended on as a WR 3/ borderline 2.

BUCCANEERS: Blount, Blount, Blount. Tampa Bay has found a run game and it is paying off for Freeman, taking the load off of him and allowing the big down field plays. The Bucs have also found a good rotation of Spurlock and Benn at the X spot. The bigger news is how this defense is playing fast and attacking the ball. While there still are miscues in the secondary at times because of the lack of Safety experience, the Bucs are very opportunistic, forcing turnovers. They had 4 picks in this game, two returned for touchdowns. This is obviously a team I watched closely in preseason and could see the potential. I drafted them in fantasy, but they are surpassing even my expectations. Mike Williams continues his bid for ROY catching a TD on 105 yards. Blount ran for 120 yards for 2 scores and is the obvious choice at RB. Winslow on the other hand isn't close to last years numbers and should be a secondary option at best.

CARDINALS: The Cards broke down and continued the QB shuffle, benching Hall and giving Anderson another shot. Though Anderson did force two picks of his own, he looked much more efficient than Hall and led the Cards on solid drives. He should have earned himself at least a shot at being a starter next week but will most likely be back to his #2 role because of the faith the team has in Hall. Fitzgerald did get his as expected, and Beanie Wells did me good on picking him as a sleeper this week. Sell high on him if you can as he will be facing the Vikings, Seattle, and KC whom all pose solid run defenses. However, if you can afford to stash him on the bench and are in contention for the playoff's, he has a great three games then facing Denver, Carolina, and Dallas. Steve Breaston is also back and merits a look as a possible #3 guy depending on your starters opponents.

SEAHAWKS: Seattle could get nothing going against the Oakland defense and were blown off the ball play after play. Much like the Jets, it wasn't necessarily an indication of anything other than a bad day all teams can expect. Lynch did get the bigger number of carries but the run game was abandoned early due to the situation they were in. Once they were down it became awfully hard to pass against a solid Raider secondary. John Carlson didn't quite live up to the sleeper status I billed him for but was the leading receiver with 47 yards. I believe Carlson will be used more in the future so get him at a very low price if able. The back you want here is still Lynch, and his remaining schedule is a mixed bag that should provide good numbers moving ahead though not stellar numbers. He is trust worthy as a flex guy but if he is your #2 it may not be the best situation.

RAIDERS: This defense has found it's groove and are playing as aggressive as any unit in the NFL. Mcfadden continued to shine, posting 111 yards, and has elevated to #1 back status. Since he was taken at #3 back value in your draft, you should be sitting pretty with depth. Heyward Bey also finally broke out passing 100 yds. and a score but should not be counted on. Do not count on Campbell to be a trust worthy start weekly either. Past Mcfadden and Miller your Raiders should be used as bench and bye week fodder. The Oakland schedule gets a bit harder coming up as they will face KC, MIA, and PIT.

STEELERS: Another game I called, my thoughts on why they would lose proved right on as Ben did struggle facing a tough, fast, defense on the road for a second week. It's a loss caused more by his rust than anything else. Not much to be read into here. The Steeler offense will return to itself but a game like this was needed to get Ben sharp again and seeing different looks from a good defense. It's a growing type game both he and the team should grow from. Mendenhall had the best game rushing for 71 yards and a score so no news as to his value. Keep your Steelers and chalk it up to a game that was bound to happen.

SAINTS: The Saints pass game finally looked like the team we saw last year as Brees spread the ball to Meachem, Colston, and Moore effectively. The cause for concern comes in the back field where it was a committee approach. Ivory was not the lead back as expected, though no back really produced against the Steelers front seven. With Bush looking to return this week, expect Ivory's numbers to drop along with your expectations. If you can get something for him now is the time to do it. Wait on proclaiming Meachem back, but it was a great sign and could be a game that puts faith in Brees in looking for him more.

SATURDAY ODDS and ENDS

2010-10-30T09:44:00.001-07:00

Vernon Davis has a TD in 4 straight games. Denver and a new QB seem like a good combination to make it 5.

The Carolina Panthers haven't scored a defensive TD in 15 games.

The Bengals have not scored yet on an opening drive.

Buffalo defense is on pace to allow 500 pts. this season.

Ahmad Bradshaw is on pace for a 1,500 yard season.

Josh Freeman has a 91.3 passer rating in the 4th quarter. CB Ronde Barber plays his 200th game on Sunday.

The Texans are #1 in Red Zone offense.

The Dolphins are 3-0 on the road.

Brett Favre has a 93.3 passer rating against the Pats in 7 games.

Players who look to be out this week: Pierre Thomas, Reggie Bush, Joseph Addai, Austin Collie, Louis Murphy, Denario Alexander, Malcom Floyd, Legadu Naanee,

FRIDAY GUT CHECK

2010-10-29T12:36:00.001-07:00

A list of players whom have tough match ups, or maybe are not producing but feel are good starts despite their projections or status. It's that feeling in your gut that tells you it's their time.

1. RONNIE BROWN & RICKY WILLIAMS MIA.......Neither one has had a good season so far and neither one has been start worthy. This week they face the Bengals 15th ranked run defense on the road. Not much to feel good about, but Williams had a pretty good game last week against the top run defense. Both guys seem to slowly be getting things going, and with the loss of Adam Jones this week I can see Henne and the pass game opening things up for the back field. Brown has had some amazing games on the road in his past and both guys are over due.

2. CADILLAC WILLIAMS TB.....Legarette Blount for all intensive purposes has become the clear cut best running back in Tampa, yet Morris refuses to name a lead guy. Part of it is that Williams is the better 3rd down/blitz pick up guy. The emergence of Blount I think actually helps Williams value. Especially against the Arizona 26th ranked rush defense. Blount will open up lanes for Williams and since Williams will be considered just a pass threat, he could surprise with a few big runs. As he showed last week, Williams has value even if he is averaging only 3 YPC. I think he scores again this week but on the ground.

3. BEANIE WELLS ARZ......Another guy who has struggled with injury and has been slow to produce. Beanie has however received a huge majority of the carries over Hightower since he has come back and has been getting a bit better every week. He hasn't been start worthy all year, but the Bucs are a bad rush defense team and the Cards will need to run the ball since the Bucs are 2nd in pass defense. I expect to see Wells post over 60 yards and a score despite his poor start.

4. JHAVID BEST DET......He has been hurt and very ineffective since his huge two weeks to open the season. Best this week faces the 23rd ranked rush defense, and will have Stafford back whom will have the Redskins respecting the pass. Best had a bye week to help rest his ailing toe and will no doubt be in the best health he has been in since the toe injury. I don't expect him to be 100% but I do expect a big involvement from him Sunday.

5. TROY SMITH SF......This is the riskiest of the list since nobody knows where he stands after not seeing much action since the Baltimore release. However, we do know he has the tools and can manage a game. The guy is a former Heisman trophy winner and while that doesn't mean anything in the NFL, it does say the guy has a certain skill set. He can't be worse than Alex Smith, and he adds the threat of running with the ball which helps catch defenses off guard and move the chains. This week he faces Denver's banged up defense which ranks 16th against the pass and just got torched by Jason Campbell and the run game. SF has Gore, as well as more receiving weapons than the Raiders. Do not be surprised if he leads them to a win in London.

WEEK 8 PREVIEW

2010-10-26T20:42:00.000-07:00

WASHINGTON REDSKINS@DETROIT LIONS: The Redkins continued their combination of luck and skill in Chicago, forcing Cutler into 4 picks by Deangelo Hall. The performance was outstanding, but it's not a statement game for this secondary which still ranks at the bottom of the league. That belongs to the Washington front seven whom continue to be impressive and are pressuring QB's into mistakes. Mcnabb now travels to Detroit where he faces the 12th ranked pass defense. Granted that number is skewed due to the bye, but Detroit is a more balanced team at home. Where the Lions do struggle is against the run. They rank 25th and will have problems trying to stop Ryan Torain. Expect the Redskins to have success on both fronts and for Anthony Armstrong to post solid numbers as the attention focuses on Moss and Cooley along with the run game. This could turn into a high scoring affair where whomever has the ball last wins. The Skins have proven if they do then they will come away with the win.
LIONS: The Lions come off a weeks worth of rest and look to have Stafford back in the fold. This team has been competitive throughout injuries and should have everyone healthy for the first time since opening day. Washington is at the bottom when it comes to pass defense so Stafford should have no problem readjusting. Washington also ranks 23rd against the run which is bad news considering the lightning fast Best. Expect the Lions to try and get Best involved early to allow Stafford to settle in as well as control the ball.

Though all signs point to another Washington win, I am a big believer in the bye week giving teams an extra advantage and see Detroit being amped up and ready. This team has lost marginally in all but one game against some solid opponents whom have more fire power than the Skins.....DET 31-WASH 21.

FANTASY STARTS: WASH: Mcnabb (250yds. 2 TD) Torain ( 14 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Armstrong (4 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Cooley ( 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD). DET: Best (13 for 70 yds. 1 TD/ 5 for 40 yds) C. Johnson (6 for 110 yds. 2 TD) Burleson (3 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Stafford (300 yds. 3 TD)
SLEEPER: Pettigrew DET...while I am all in on Megatron this week, Stafford may have a little rust to bang off in the first half and expect some safe underneath throws to Pettigrew. He could easily steal one of the scores I have slated for CJ.

JACKSONVILLE JAGS@DALLAS COWBOYS: JAGS: Gerrard has been cleared to play and should get the start despite Bouman's performance last week. I liked what I saw from a guy who looked every bit as Gerrard despite not throwing an NFL pass for five years. Regardless, nobody knows how Dallas will react on a short week with a new QB. Kitna will no doubt make his mistakes and this secondary proved it can be torched. After the 200yd day by the Giants run game, MJD has to be salivating after a good last few weeks. He seems to be hitting his stride just in time to face a Cowboys rush defense that is 14th. Gerrard is an enigma when it comes to his play and nobody can be sure how he comes out looking. Simms-Walker has seen an increase in targets the last two weeks and will need to be a factor if the Jags have a shot here. Look for a ton of MJD and Mercedes Lewis first half, with some Simms-Walker after Gerrard gets his feet wet.
COWBOYS: Kitna is no spring chicken, but that also means he is a savvy veteran who can manage a game. He is facing the 29th ranked pass defense which has been especially bad the last two weeks. Miles Austin's deep ball value is the only thing I see taking a hit here and for the duration of Romo's absence. A guy like Dez Bryant will be a target often looked to. Don't forget Roy and Kitna were team mates back in Detroit and had a good relationship. Felix Jones should see a big increase in production as they won't want to put it all on Kitna's shoulders.

Expect Dallas to rally around Kitna this week. Jones has probably given this team a motivated tongue lashing after being embarrassed nationally. Wade Phillips knows he is a goner at end of the year and needs to prove he is worthy of another job. DAL 27-JAGS 17.

FANTASY STARTS: JAGS: MJD (16 for 100yds 1 TD/ 5 for 40 yds). M. Lewis (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Simms-Walker (80 yds.)
COWBOYS: F. Jones (14 for 80 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 40 yds) Williams ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Bryant (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Austin (8 for 90 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Marion Barber DAL...even with Felix Jones emergence as the lead back, games like this offer great value for strong secondary backs. Expect a score.

MIAMI DOLPHINS@CINCINNATI BENGALS: MIA: The Dolphins are coming off a heart breaking loss to the Steelers and have a chip on their shoulder coming in. They face a Bengals team that is one dimensional ranking 11th in passing but 24th rushing. This fits well for Miami's solid pass defense ranked 10th and even better for their 9th ranked run defense. Offensively, Miami has been plagued by their 22nd rush attack, a far cry from what expectations were. They have been forced into throwing more, but they are doing it effectively. They face a Bengals team down Adam Jones so look for them to attack through the air here.
BENGALS: The Bengals have been one of the bigger disappointments this year. The bulk of the blame needs to sit on Cedric Benson and Palmer's shoulders. Palmer has no excuse given his weapons yet he continues to struggle with accuracy. He is very fantasy relevant because of his work load, but needs to find a rhythm. While he did have success last week, he will continue to be vulnerable with the lack of a run game. I have always been low on Cedric Benson because of his consistency issues year to year. While he is by no means having a bad year, he is not the explosive guy we saw last season. Cinci is currently 24th rushing and faces a Miami rush D ranked 9th whom held Mendenhall in check last week. Don't expect much from Benson this week. Do expect TO and Ocho to have decent days as Carson will be forced to throw 40 plus times again.

Miami proved they can handle road trips when they beat Green Bay, but the Bengals season is on the line if they lose this one. Given the Miami rush issues, I don't see Henne being able to match Palmer's pass game.
CINCI 28- MIA 24.

FANTASY STARTS: MIA: Marshall (7 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Bess (5 for 60yds.) Fasano (3 for 40 yds. 1 TD) Brown (13 for 60 yds. 1 TD). BENGALS: Palmer (280 yds. 2 TD) Ochocinco (8 for 85 yds. 1 TD) TO (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Benson (13 for 60 yds) Greisham (5 for 45 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Bengals defense....while I do expect the loss of Pac Man to hurt overall, I can see them off setting the damage with Henne turnovers and a score.

BUFFALO BILLS@KC CHIEFS: BILLS: the Bills came close to a huge upset, catching the Ravens sleeping. The emergence of Steve Johnson along side Lee Evans was just what this team needed. The future looks bright for Fitzgerald whom put up 28 fantasy points last week. The Bills are still a run first team but unless they get more production from Spiller and Jackson things may shift more to passing as we saw last week. Expect just that as KC's run defense is ranked a legitimate 3rd. Where KC can be beat is their 19th pass defense. Given the success they had last week, the Bills will try to recapture that lightning they sparked last week.
CHIEFS: I will say it again, TJ and JC may be the only RB tandem worth starting every week! If you have them. The duo must be sleepless this week knowing they face the 31st ranked rush defense. The Chiefs may not even need to throw a pass in this one. The pass game will no doubt open up because of the run so expect another decent day from Cassel but huge performances by the backs. Of course, watch it become a low scoring affair because of the easy expectations.

While the Bills should be confident after a great performance, they could also be shaking off the bad taste left in their mouths after their best performance coming up short. Arrowhead would be the last place I expect them to win their first game. KC 28-BUFF 17

FANTASY STARTS: BUFF: Fitzpatrick (280 yds. 2 TD) Johnson (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Evans ( 5 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
KC: Charles (13 for 90 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 40 yds.) Jones (10 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Bowe ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Mokeaki (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: CJ Spiller BUFF....while the Chiefs will be ready for Jackson, speed backs like Spiller have had some success against the Chiefs.

CAROLINA PANTHERS@ST. LOUIS RAMS: PANTHERS: Carolina came off the bye beating a underachieving 49ers team. While a win is a win but the Panthers can't be over confident about it. Carolina won because of their under rated defense which is 1st against the pass. The return of Steve Smith bodes well for Matt Moore but even better is the emergence of a possible second receiving threat in Gettis who blew up against the 49er secondary. They have another good match up here in the Rams 25th pass defense. The possible loss of Williams this week will hurt as the Rams are middle of the pack against the run. Even if Williams plays, he will be slowed down by the injury and Stewart hasn't done anything this year that stands out in the run game. I do see solid days for Smith and Gettis with Stewart doing some damage coming out of the back field for passes.
RAMS: S. Jax injured a finger last week and had surprise surgery on Tuesday. He tweeted he would be good to go this week and I would expect so since he has played through worse. What is more perplexing was the dissapearing act of Denario Alexander last week against the Bucs leading to rumours he was injured. The Rams will need him against this top ranked pass defense. Carolina is 21st against the rush and very similar to the defense the Rams just played in Tampa as weaknesses go. Expect Jackson to be the main weapon of choice and Spagnulo to try and chip away at the Panthers with a hefty dose of Amendola.

St.Louis should be ready to regroup from their mistakes last week as they face another team which is similar to the Bucs. This will be Matt Moore's first road trip since injury and there may be some adjusting. A less than 100% Williams or lack thereof completely only makes things easier for the Rams. However, Amendola will not be enough to keep Jackson from seeing a stacked box up front. CAR 20-RAMS 17.

FANTASY STARTS: CAR: Smith (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Gettis (4 for 50 yds.) Stewart (15 for 60 yds.1 TD/ 6 for 40 yds.)
RAMS: Jackson (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 20 yds.) Amendola (7 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Brandon Gibson.....The Rams will need him involved if nothing else than to serve as a distraction from the focus on the run game. I don't see big numbers, but he could sneak in for a score on a play action inside the ten.

DENVER BRONCOS@SF 49ERS: DEN: Mcdaniels no doubt led an ass chewing after one of the worst beatings we've seen in a while. It must especially hurt that it came against the Raiders. There are whispers in Denver of bringing in Tebow so look for Orton to be more focused than ever in order to squash the whispers. He should right the ship as he faces the 21st ranked 49er pass defense. SF is middle of the pack versus the run and Moreno had a good game but he did most his damage through the air. Expect a heavy pass attack this week.
49ERS: Alex Smith will miss this week in all probability with a shoulder sprain, but David Carr did little last week to instill confidence. Troy Smith is getting the reps in practice and will get the start. Denver is 16th against the pass and have fallen to dead last against the run after last week. There will be many holes for Gore, but expect Denver to make stopping him priority one. The question is how rusty is Smith and can he take advantage of the match up?

Denver is banged up defensively and it showed last week. Now they go to visit a team equally as desperate but in a better situation overall. Singletary was not crazy to think they still have a shot at the division. SF muscles up here and puts on their best game of the year for win number two. SF 24-DEN 21.

FANTASY STARTS: DEN: Lloyd (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) D. Thomas (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD). Moreno (11 for 50 yds/ 3 for 40 yds. 1 TD) Gaffney (4 for 60 yds.)
SF: Gore (16 for 80 yds. 1 TD/ 5 for 50 yds) Davis ( 6 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Crabtree (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Troy Smith SF....He knows what this can do for his career. He has no pressure and has nothing to lose. Don't be shocked if he is the surprise of the week. I like Troy Smith and think he has the tools to win!

GREEN BAY PACKERS@NY JETS: PACKERS: Aaron Rogers and company outlasted Favre last week in a game that had implications moving forward. Donald Driver was limited due to injury and James Jones stepped up for him, posting 107 yards, proving it doesn't matter who Rogers is throwing to. Brandon Jackson has gotten more effective as the season moves on fantasy wise scoring no lower than about 8 pts the last three weeks. However, this week he faces the stingy Jets run defense which ranks 4th. He should wind up with his average day of 50 yds. and a score since the Jets are vulnerable to the pass game. With Jennings likely to see a lot of Revis island, expect James Jones to be the match up Rogers looks for. Lowery and Wilson have had games where they have been caught with their pants down and Jones has the talent to be a solid play even if Driver is 100%. We also could have found Jermichael Finley's replacement in Quarless. He looked every bit athletic as Finley and looks to be an upgrade from Lee. He should see more time this week.

NY JETS: They are coming off a bye, at home against a Green Bay team finding a new way to win without a good run game. The Jets 15th pass defense should have it's hands full and will face some mismatches if James Jones plays as well as he did last week. Tomlinson and Greene will be facing a Packer defense that has fallen to 28th. The Packers are better at defending the pass, so expect to see a lot of run plays early on. Both Tomlinson and Greene have value here and could both see the end zone. While the Jets will be effective passing, Sanchez seems to be a guy whom the bye week can affect in a negative way. He can be very streaky and was looking great throwing the ball. The down time may take him the half to get back into the swing of things.

While I am a big fan of the bye weeks, the Packers just beat a Minnesota team delivering their best shot. Clay Mathews is back and will cause problems for Sanchez who makes mistakes under pressure. In the end, it's a Sanchez pick that makes the difference.

GB 31-NYJ 24.

FANTASY STARTS: GB: Jennings (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Jones (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Jackson ( 13 for 50 yds. 1 TD) NYJ: Tomlinson (14 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Greene (9 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Holmes (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: A. Quarless GB...He could very well be the difference maker, that one guy whom the Jets are not able to account for amid the pass game. I expect him to be put more on display and get another score.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS@ARIZONA CARDINALS: Josh Freeman has a knack for 4th Quarter come back wins and it's a good thing he does. Tampa has been able to hang around close enough each game to allow his theatrics but may have found an answer to their problems. The lack of running game which has averaged 3 YPC (25th) this year was helped with the emergence of Legarette Blount last week as he rushed for 72 yards on 11 carries. Up until the second half when he was given the ball, it has been the Freeman show. Finding the run game will only make the Bucs more effective at the pass where they are ranked 22nd. Mike Williams is quietly having a great rookie year catching 3 TD passes in six games played and leads the NFL WR's with 365 passing yards...no joke. He is Freeman's top target and a solid #3 WR. Blount will also have good value moving ahead as a bye week play/low end #3 RB and is a possible start here as the Cards rank 26th against the rush.

CARDINALS: Max Hall had a rookie game last week but looks to rebound but will find it hard against the Bucs 2nd ranked pass defense. Especially without a decent option at the #2 WR spot, the Bucs will be able to bring up help in stopping the run where they rank 29th in rush defense. Beanie Wells has been slowly getting his feet under him and has a great match up as mentioned. He will face a stacked box until Hall makes the Bucs back off, but the match up is still good enough to start him if better options are on a bye week. Fitzgerald has had a hard time this year with all of the changes and being the only weapon on the team. He should still get good numbers this week but it will be the run game that sees the most use.

These two teams couldn't be more opposite of where they were last year overall, but the Cardinals are still 3-3 and not going away lightly. The Bucs actually have played better and more effective on the road. I'm not being a homer here and believe that because of the Bucs better balance and new found run game they squeak another one out. TB 19- ARI 17

FANTASY STARTS: BUCS: Mike Williams (5 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Blount (12 for 60 yds. 1 TD) C. Williams (10 for 55 yds.) Winslow ( 4 for 60 yds.) ARI: Wells (14 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Fitzgerald (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Sammy Stroughter TB....with Rogers-Cromartie likely to shadow Williams, Stroughter is the second most reliable target who is a possession guy with good speed that can rack up yardage if the holes are there.

TENNESSEE TITANS@SAN DIEGO CHARGERS: Kenny Britt of all people has emerged as fantasy's #4 WR and has taken full advantage of teams focus on CJ. It looks like Vince Young will return after Collins played hurt last week but still managed a win. Young will face the Chargers rated 3rd pass defense and Johnson faces the Chargers 8th ranked pass rush. Where the Titans will find the most success will be special teams and the run game. Vince coming off injury, on the road, with a little rust doesn't point to another 40 point day for Britt. Expect CJ to get his usual work load but lower receiver expectations.

CHARGERS: Tennessee gets toasted by wide out's and faces a team set to get back Naanee and will have Gates a week healthier. Malcom Floyd is not scheduled to return until next week so look for Naanee to have a good first day back. Mathews has been a huge let down and will not come close to his pre season expectations. If you have Tolbert as his handcuff, he is the one I would actually start because of his red zone potential. The Titans are solid against the rush 13th so expect what we've seen from Tolbert the last few weeks in a score with low yardage.

The Titans will have a harder time against the Chargers whom are another team that despite their horrible start are still viable division contenders. SD 24- TEN 17

FANTASY STARTS: TENN: Johnson (15 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Britt ( 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)

SD: Rivers ( 300 yds. 2 TD) Naanee ( 4 for 60 yds.) B. Davis ( 6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Gates ( 5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Tolbert ( 6 for 40 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Bo Scaife TEN....Tight Ends have had great success against the Chargers and Scaife could be the wild card here. Young will look for him often and Scaife catches a score.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS@ NE PATRIOTS: MINN: Favre seems like a 50-50 shot but even if he is not able to go, do not sleep on Tavaris Jackson. No he is not the leader Favre is but he is not a scrub either and has never had these weapons to throw to. They face a Patriots secondary ranked 26th against the pass and 5th against the run. Expect Tavaris to have no choice but to pass and this bumps up the value of Schiancoe if Jackson does get the start. If not, I still bump Schiancoe up because they are trying to get him more looks. Harvin should have another solid day, but look for Moss to get the lions share of the catches. Facing his old team....from....3 weeks ago, weird....Moss showed frustration last week and you can bet the Vikings want him happy. Expect them to ensure he is the biggest part of the pass game plan.

PATS: Everyone is trying to get used to this dink and dunk offense, but until Tate or somebody steps up they will continue on this path. Woodhead looks to be the changing of the guard and replacement to Welker. He is targeted often by Brady who trusts him and he is a dual role players guaraunteed to get a certain number of snaps and receptions. He is a good play here against the Vikes 6th rated pass defense. The Vikings allowed J. Jones from GB to rack up the yardage last week while they focused on the Packer's main threats. I see a similar game plan here only the Packers had more fire power. Another guy to expect and see good production out of is Aaron Hernandez whom has been impressive and will be the one who can sneak over the middle for chunks of yards.

The Vikings are in a very serious position here and now travel to New England. The Patriots need that deep threat to keep a defense like the Vikings on their heels and New England doesn't have the run game to force the Vikings up. MIN 24-NE 21.

FANTASY STARTS: MIN: Harvin ( 4 for 60 yds 1 TD/ 3 for 25yds) Moss ( 7 for 90 yds 1 TD) Peterson ( 14 for 70 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 40 yds.) PATS: Woodhead ( 4 for 50 yds/ 6 for 35 yds.) Hernandez (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Welker (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Brandon Tate NE...The Pats have set a base line of what teams are to expect out of them now, and the deep ball is not part of that. A few surprise deep balls to him may catch the Vikings off guard.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS@OAKLAND RAIDERS: SEATTLE: The Seahawks just continue to find ways to win despite their low ratings. What they are is effective at moving the chains when they need to and stopping the run, where they rank 2nd right now. They travel to Oakland who will put that ranking to the test with Mcfadden and Bush. Mike Williams should be lining up opposite Routt/Johnson and not Asomugha, so it will be interesting to see if Cable assigns Asomugha to Williams since he is really Seattle's only pass threat and will limit Seattle. Marshawn Lynch looks to have taken on the lead back duties, carrying over 20 times last week and faces a very porous Raider run defense. Forsett could be very involved in the pass game out the back field if and when Williams is limited in his production.

RAIDERS: They are riding high after last week and return home against an opponent more suited to expose their weaknesses. However, the Raiders will be able to afford bringing up extra help against the run this week since Seattle lacks talent depth at WR and are facing a strong secondary. The Raiders plan should be simple, use Mcfadden to set up the pass. While Seattle is good at stopping the run, they have not faced a team as effective at running the ball as Oakland. Mcfadden will come back to human status this week but still post decent numbers and Campbell could have another surprise day against this secondary. Zach Miller will be more involved since Murphy looks to miss this game with a bruised lung. Heyward-Bey could possibly become a fantasy factor, but when Murphy has been out in the past he has failed to produce.

The loss of Louis Murphy will make this a low scoring affair since each team will be somewhat one dimensional for the defensive match up's. Oakland's defense has been creating pressure for opposing QB's and are on a roll since beating San Diego. After last week, they must be prepared.

OAK 24-SEA 21.

FANTASY STARTS: SEA: Lynch (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Forsett (6 for 35 yds/ 5 for 50 yds. 1 TD) OAK: Mcfadden (15 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Miller (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Bush ( 7 for 50 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Carlson SEA...widely ignored this year, he will be the best chance at Seattle moving the ball through the air.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS@NO SAINTS: PITT: Big Ben has sparked the pass game, making Miller, Wallace, and Ward fantasy studs again. Expect a performance much like last week though as New Orleans is very good against the pass (3rd) but weaker against the run. The defense is very similar to Miami although Mendenhall should find room against the Saints middle of the pack run defense. This will be Ben's second road game with a tough match up for him. As stated, the numbers for your fantasy guys should be similar to last week except for Mendenhall. Look for Heath Miller to be more involved as the Steelers opt for those short intermediate throws and the run game to move the ball.

SAINTS: They can still pass the ball, and that's where the Steelers can be beat. The Steelers 3rd ranked rush defense doesn't bode well for Ivory. Chris Ivory should be very ineffective this week and warrants a benching if you have options. Look for Brees to throw a hell of a lot to exploit this secondary.

The Steelers face their second straight road game and Ben faces an even tougher match up than last week. While Mendenhall will ease the pressure, the Saints pass game should be effective and prove to score more than the Steeler Offense can. NO 28-PITT 21

FANTASY STARTS: PITT: Mendenhall (15 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Ward (7 for 65 yds 1 TD) Miller (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) SAINTS: Moore ( 6 for 70 yds 1 TD) Colston (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Meachem (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Ladell Betts NO....While Ivory will get the nod with Bush and Thomas out, I like Betts the best to score. The Steeler defense is nasty and effective against suave backs like Ivory. Betts is hard nosed and can push the pile on a short yardage red zone situation. Don't expect big yardage, but he may be good for a score.

SUNDAY IN REVIEW

2010-10-25T12:05:00.000-07:00

BENGALS: The Bengals came out flat but then found their game in the second half. Carson continues to be fantasy relevant because of how much he is throwing, and Ocho is clearly the only receiver worth starting and TO is nothing but a flex play if you don't have other options. I know he had a good day but Shipley is eating into his production. Cedric Benson coughed the ball up in a critical situation which led to a Falcon score and would wind up being the difference. He has not lived up to his pre-season hype and is a good sell if you can get value for him. He is currently ranked 17th in standard scoring and has only broken double digit fantasy points once.

FALCONS: This is a team that has only a few weapons, yet despite everyone knowing what is coming they are still effective. It's like trying to hit Mariano Rivera's cutter. You know what he's gonna throw but his one trick is better than anything you can do about it. Roddy White is on track to finish this year as a top three WR and has scored double digit fantasy points in all but one game. Matt Ryan is still a number two QB but seems to be slowly evolving into a possible start status depending on your options. Mike Turner has only scored double digit points now in two games, and this was his second game of the season with a score. I see him as a sell high after this performance. He has not lived up to his first round status and you should be able to trade him for a guy like Felix Jones who has more upside going ahead and a solid #2 WR.

STEELERS: I called a Miami upset, and it should have been in the end there but Big Ben got lucky once again. He is obviously a solid starter at QB and the value of Hines Ward is back to normal. Most likely, anyone who drafted Wallace, Ward, or Ben did so in the middle rounds and has a solid line up already so these guys have just made your team that much better. I do think that Mendenhall's value actually decreases with the return of Ben since he's been relied on less and the Steelers are more effective passing. Mike Wallace is a must start every game going ahead and will finish the second half as a top ten WR.

DOLPHINS: Oh Ronnie Brown...where are you? The Dolphins have become a passing team with the ineffective run game this year. Neither Brown nor Williams has come close to their original values, and I don't see things getting much better for them. Henne is still not a starting QB on your team, but Hartline and Bess are emerging as guys who are fantasy relevant come your bye week or depending on the match up.

BILLS: What? Go buy a lottery ticket if you saw this one coming. Fitzpatrick a 28 pt. day against the Ravens? Don't jump on the bandwagon yet, though Fitz does have value as a number two guy because he will be throwing so much. Although Lee Evans had the monster game here, Steven Johnson is the WR you want on this squad. He has been the most consistent week to week and has great value in keeper leagues. I still don't trust either RB as a start unless it's against lesser defenses.

RAVENS: Nothing changes for this team in fantasy perspectives, but talk about being unprepared. In their defense, Buffalo always plays to the level of their competition and is the Cinderella man of football. The Ravens will be good to go moving ahead as your starters are concerned but I think Houshmenzadeh has value as a player but not in fantasy. He should carry nothing more than sleeper status from here out. Rice has been somewhat of a let down so far, scoring in double digits in only three of the seven games. He does have a great schedule though coming after the bye week, facing only two tough rush defenses in Pittsburgh and Miami. He should payoff for you soon.

JAGS: Uhh, Todd Bouman, you may be 38 years old but here's your new five year deal....That's what the Jags should be saying. A guy who hasn't thrown a game pass in five years just performed better than any of your starters. Even better, he made the Jags players somewhat relevant again. If Del Rio has any cojones he will start Bouman again to see what he can do for this team. Though, isn't this a huge knock on Del Rio being the problem? A QB who you only had a week to coach lights it up compared to the QB you have groomed. MJD finally had that game we were all waiting for, though keep in mind he only put up 47 rush yards. Yes, KC is stout against the run but he has only broken the century mark on the ground once this year. Only one other time did he come close so far. Given this team and just how bad the pass defense has been, they will be throwing a lot more to come. Yes Drew still has value in the pass game as he just showed, but I think he is a great sell high candidate who can garner multiple players to shore up the holes on your team. You can probably get a top WR and a guy like Cedric Benson, Felix Jones, Moreno, T. Jones, or B. Wells. All guys who can give you a decent average close to the norm for Jones Drew.

CHIEFS: As I've said before, the Chiefs may have the only fantasy duo at RB worth starting every week. With the pass game coming alive we can see the benefits Jones and Charles are reaping. KC has the best schedule this year against the rush and both have potential to produce. Although, if you have needs and multiple backs worthy of starting, Thomas Jones is the one you would want to part with over Charles barring any injury. Charles is getting the touches and has more long term value as the season goes on. The Chiefs are the real deal this year and should win their division.

BROWNS: Hello upset city! The Browns have always had a good defense but 4 picks on what many consider the 2nd best QB in the league? While this was a great win, don't expect it to happen again. Sorry Browns fan. Peyton Hillis continues to impress and is a solid #2 RB going ahead. The overall problem will be the growing curve McCoy has to face since he is a rookie and will limit Cribbs' value and Masssaqoui when he returns. Ben Watson's value on the other hand should continue to be high as McCoy will continue to rely on him. He is a TE who may quietly be a top ten for the season when all is said and done.

SAINTS: I was saying it all pre-season to whomever would listen. Being a Bucs fan, no team in this division tends to repeat winning it the next year. Also, the numerous surgeries to all the WR's gave me doubts. They have all looked to be missing a step except for Lance Moore whom looks to finally be healthy after struggling with injury last year. Brees just had a bad game, and not much should be read into his performance. The great thing about the Saints is that even on a Brees off day both he and the team still have fantasy value. Colston is slowly looking like the receiver we expected of him and should be solid moving ahead. Reggie Bush should be back this week which is great news for a team that is missing the dimensions he brings. It should also have an impact on Chris Ivory's value so trade him if you can while you can. This was just a bad day for the Saints, but do not expect last year's numbers as they have proven to have lost a step.

REDSKINS: They are the epitome of Rocky this year. They get beaten all game, take their lumps and in the end deliver a knock out blow after wearing you down. This game wasn't as typical, since both teams made a number of errors. In the end, it was Deangelo Hall's record day that led the Skins to victory. All the names continue to be decent fantasy starts, but the guy I am most excited about is Anthony Armstrong. While he finished with only 42 yds, he dropped a pass that would have gone for about a 30 yard score in open field. Mcnabb trusts him and he has become the down field threat that matches Moss. He will be a feast or famine guy, but his famine consists of about 5 fantasy points. Not that horrible for a #3 guy who has the ability to score double digits in any game. Especially with bye weeks, he garners great consideration.

BEARS: Jay Cutler single handedly gave the game to the Redskins with four picks, but the blame doesn't fall completely on him. He was also sacked four times and faced pressure throughout the game. This Offensive line needs to create more time for Jay. A QB running for his life all game can't be effective no matter who you are. Johnny Knox is definitely the only Bears WR you can trust, and will face the Buffalo secondary after the bye. Other than Forte, I would sell high on all your Bears. They face Minnesota, Philly, New England, and the Jets at home along with Minnesota and Miami on the road. Excluding NE, all these teams have good secondaries and are solid overall defensively.

49ERS: Alex Smith went down with a shoulder injury to his non throwing arm which opened the door for David Carr. Too bad he showed nothing to garner confidence and threw the interception that allowed a Carolina win. It's too early to abandon ship fantasy wise as we need to see what Carr does with a week of practice as the starter. Smith was just starting to look somewhat dependable and now there may be more frustration to come for Crabtree and Davis owners. Gore is and will continue to be the work horse for this team and is an obvious start every week.

PANTHERS: It looks like Matt Moore was the right choice for coach Fox as he threw for two TD's . D. Gettis was the primary beneficiary catching a TD and 125 yards. We may have found a second WR that makes Carolina relevant again and takes some pressure off Steve Smith, but let's wait and see what this team does next week. They beat an uninspiring team who has fallen hard. Both Deangelo Williams and Stewart continue to be major disappointments but do have some good match up's coming up. Williams has been listed as day to day with injury so Stewart gets a slight bump in the coming weeks as a Flex play.

RAMS: The Rams continued their road losing ways against the Bucs, but had the game in their grasp until a Josh Freeman TD pass to Cadillac Williams with only 20 seconds left. Steven Jackson looked good and was extremely effective against the Bucs rush defense. Sam Bradford also threw 2 TD passes but was held to 126 pass yards. The Rams were at a loss in terms of finding a passing game but were effective in the red zone where it mattered. They let the Bucs hang around, hitting field goals throughout the game. Danny Amendola is the receiver to trust on this team as Denario Alexander disappeared completely. Steven Jackson continues to be a very under rated back this year, as he has scored double digit points every week except one. He did have some type of surgery on Monday to a finger but looks good to go based on his words. Bradford has also proven to be a viable number two QB.

BUCCANEERS: Josh Freeman continued his 4th quarter come backs pulling out a win in the final two minutes which led to the Bucs only TD of the day. He looked overall off his game, having a bad day until the second half. Mike Williams came inches from a score and is the WR you want on this team. He is just outside of top 20 WR in fantasy and is someone who continues to slip under the radar. He showed special poise on the last drive where with time winding down instead of running out of bounds, he cut in and ran for another fifteen yards which set up the score. Cadillac Williams is all but drop material as Legarette Blount ran for over 70 yds. and showed the best performance by a back this year. He is a definite pick up this week. Freeman has been reliable as a QB 2 this year but is still lower tier #2. Kellen Winslow is playing hurt and it is showing. He will have his games where he blows up, but don't expect him to return to last years stats.

EAGLES: Kolb officially lost the job with his 2 interception day and misses the opportunity to continue his hold on what could have been his. The Eagles are a much different team without Desean Jackson and there is a shot he can return after the bye. The Eagles played a good team that is going largely unnoticed. The Titans defense has played better than anyone expected, but Kolb had his chances and could not get it done. Vick will return and hopefully get the Eagles back on track. The bye comes at a perfect time for the Eagles so they can regroup and get their guys some health back. Celek has been a huge let down and if you can find a better replacement do so. Kolb was his best bet at fantasy scoring and now that he is going to be second fiddle, Celek loses the little value he has.

TITANS: Kenny Britt has emerged into a fantasy monster and the future looks bright for him depending on if he avoids a suspension and future trouble. Chris Johnson has opened up the passing game for Britt but the Titans need Nate Washington to step it up. Bo Scaife is putting up numbers very similar to Washington and that isn't a good thing. Vince Young looks to possibly return this week and will get his job back. Though it is comforting to know Collins hasn't missed a step and is a very solid replacement. The Titan defense is quietly having a very solid year and warrant consideration as a capable defense to start.

CARDINALS: Max Hall left in the third Quarter after having his bell rung and Anderson again proved unable to make something happen. Hall has been named the QB for the season but there will be cause for concern in Arizona since he is just getting his feet wet. Fitzgerald carries name value only this year. While he will get his, it will be a far cry from what we expect from him. If you can get a good deal trading Fitz in non-keeper leagues, I say do it while you can. The better news is that both Wells and Hightower looked decent but Wells is definitely the guy you want as he is getting double the carries and most likely to score. Neither one is a safe play yet but they only have two games left on the fantasy schedule which look like tough run match ups.

SEAHAWKS: They continue to get the job done, chipping away at opponents. This is a team playing very similar to the Redskins as they always seem to do just enough to win. Mike Williams is officially a legitimate starter and has looked to shed the baggage he once literally carried. Hasselbeck trusts Williams and is the only WR you can trust on this team for now. Marshawn Lynch's 24 carries to Forsett's 9 has to worry you as a Forsett owner. It looks like Carrol trusts Lynch and has all but crowned him the lead back. Like Arizona, the Hawks back field only have two somewhat tough run defenses left to face so Lynch is a good #2 going ahead.

PATRIOTS: They just got away with one against the Chargers and this new offense is taking some getting used too. Brady is spreading the ball out too much to trust anyone at this point, even Welker. This is reminiscent of the old Patriots that went to the Super Bowl, but minus the swagger. Aaron Hernandez seems to be the best fantasy play for now week in and out with Woodhead a close second because of his carries and receiving abilities. He's one of the first to carry a RB/WR positional slot making him very valuable to your fantasy team. The law firm did not do anything special but again got the carry for a TD. He is only trustworthy as a borderline flex/#2 play at best. The Pats continue to cause headaches for owners of their RB's and a healthy Fred Taylor may just compound things when he returns.

CHARGERS: Another week of Ryan Mathews getting the touches but not the score. The Chargers are a pass first team which opens up the run. You would expect more production from Mathews with teams on their heels, but he has not been able to produce anything close to expectations. Tolbert seems to be the guy you want because of his nose for the end zone, and I would expect Norv to maybe get him back to touching the ball more. Rivers is a great play regardless of who he's throwing too. With another week of rest for Gates and Floyd, the team should be more effective. Floyd is still a question mark this week and we may be getting closer to seeing Naanee return. Stay patient with your Chargers, but look for options if you own Mathews.

RAIDERS: Don't even act like you saw this one coming. The Raiders had their best day in years where everything they did resulted in a TD. A game like this only makes things harder to evaluate since they went from a horrible game against the 49ers to a lifetime game in Denver. What we can take for fact is Mcfadden is recovered and a solid starter from here on out and Zach Miller is the only receiving option you can trust. Murphy re-injured his collar bone and has questions on if he will be ready this week coming. Forget about buying into Campbell just yet until he shows reliability two weeks in a row. The Oakland defense has been playing well but faces some tough opponents from here on out.

BRONCOS: Nothing changes here in terms of fantasy starts, though Moreno does become slightly more reliable after two weeks of decent performances on the ground. Far from great, he has proven to be Denver's best option. Overall, this is a game you chalk up to fate. The Broncos were beaten around from the first possession and will return to their passing form and effectiveness next week. Start the guys you have in confidence next week.

VIKINGS: Don't panic just yet Harvin and Moss owners. Yes Favre's iron man streak may come to an end, but he wasn't really lights out so far. Despite his ineffectiveness, the WR core has put up points and Tavaris could be a good thing. He will especially pay off for Schiancoe and Harvin in those intermediate routes. While Moss may take a slight hit in value, he will still be the top red zone target cause of his size and don't underestimate Jackson's ability to throw deep. He's never had all these weapons at once to work with and will surprise if given a chance. While Favre is not a sure bet to be ruled out, my guess he is done for at minimum a week. He looked to be very hampered by the injury and a heel isn't the best place for a QB to get injured. If he is out, look for more doses of Peterson. Thankfully, the Vikes face the NE secondary next week so don't expect a big drop off from any production in your receivers. Buy low on Harvin and Moss if there are anxious owners out there.

PACKERS: Brandon Jackson had another productive fantasy day and although he is putting up average yardage, the ability for Rogers to get him within scoring distance makes him a decent play. The biggest thing I noticed was the play of Andrew Quarless. He caught a TD and looked more athletic than Lee and reminiscent of Finley. Expect Mcarthy to use him more next game. If he produces again you may have your new GB TE #1 for the season which carries good value. Pick him up and stash him for a week if you have the room. I wouldn't completely buy into James Jones yet though he would be interesting in a keeper league to pick up if you have the room to stash a guy for a while. Given Driver's age and injury issue, Jones could even pay off this year IF he continues to get the playing time instead of Driver.

COWBOYS: What a difference a day makes....Romo looks to be out anywhere from 6 to 10 weeks with a fractured clavicle. While Kitna is a serviceable replacement, he is far from the threat or talent Romo is. Dez Bryant would be about the only guy I trust as far as the receivers go since he will run those routes Kitna is comfortable with. Austin takes the biggest hit, as his down field value diminishes with Kitna. I would buy low on Felix Jones however. The Boys will need to run the ball more often in hopes of not putting too much on Kitna and Jones has the best upside. The problem comes if the Cowboys continue to find themselves behind and need to pass more. Even then, Jones pass catching ability does make him interesting. While the Cowboys won't necessarily mail it in for the season, they are in a big hole to dig out of. We will have to see what Kitna can do since he's always been an under rated QB and has ability to manage a game if given the chance. This could not be as bad as we all think if Kitna avoids turning the ball over.

GIANTS: Manning started off bad but finished with a career day, tossing 4 TD's. Jacobs and Bradshaw continued their effectiveness in their new defined roles and Hakeem Nicks had another feast this game. Steve Smith may have cemented himself as the #2 WR you want over Manningham, but week to week it is still uncertain. Nicks is the only sure play at WR but now Jacobs has increased his value big time. The Giants have a great schedule after the bye but face Minnesota, Philadelphia, and Green Bay come playoff time. Something to keep in your mind going forward. If you have depth at RB and Jacobs is on your squad I say sell high and address weaknesses on your team.

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PREVIEW

2010-10-25T10:49:00.000-07:00

NY GIANTS @ DALLAS COWBOYS: COWBOYS: Despite Dallas' great rankings and success in the pass game, the Cowboys continue to let games slip away from them in the closing moments. Part of it all points to poor coaching discipline. Penalties have killed them in at least two games and blown routes and assignments have hurt them in key situations as well. Felix Jones has officially been given lead back duties, and the Cowboys will benefit from it. They need him as they rank 25th in Rushing and face the Giants 7th ranked pass defense. Romo won't have it any easier as the Giants have been stingy against the pass too and rank 2nd. The Cowboys may catch a break is Kiwanuka misses time, but I see the key to this game being the run attack. The Boys are beating opponents in every category except the run, but they choose the worst times to allow a turn over or a penalty. This has been a week of reflection no doubt, and expect the Boys to come out in their best form.

GIANTS: The Giants have found their run game now that both Jacobs and Bradshaw have roles which suit them perfectly and more importantly are happy with. They rank 6th in rushing and will face the Cowboys 12th ranked run defense. While the Giants will see success on the ground, they may be without Hakeem Nicks whom is questionable with a hammy issue. Expect him to play, but you won't know until kick off if you can play him. If he is out, the Giants have a tougher hill to climb against the Dallas 4th ranked pass defense. The Giants know what they have to do and that is pound the ball and control the clock, something they do well. However, Manning has shown the ability to pass 50 times a game if it dictates.

I don't see this as a shootout high scoring affair. Both teams will look to lead with their run games in order to set up the pass. The Cowboys are desperate and at home. DALLAS 24- NYG 21.

FANTASY STARTS: NYG: Bradshaw (13 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Jacobs ( 8 for 40 yds. 1 TD) Nicks (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) ....give these numbers to Manningham is Nicks is out.

COWBOYS: Romo (250 yds 2 TD) F. Jones (14 for 60 yds./ 4 for 35 yds, 1 TD) Williams (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Austin ( 7 for 90 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: S. Smith NYG....with or without Nicks, Steve Smith will be the odd man out when it comes to Dallas' pass coverage. Smith will need to have key receptions and should be that guy who sneaks in for a score.

SATURDAY ODDS and ENDS

2010-10-23T01:01:00.000-07:00

Sunday night in Green Bay there is a 60% chance of rain, and it will have been raining for most the day at that point. You always start your studs, but if conditions are less than ideal it could hurt the pass game for both teams.

Adrian Peterson has rushed for a TD in 4 straight games versus Green Bay.

Seattle has rain expected for their game and breezy. Seattle has not lost at home yet, while Arizona is 1-2 on the road. Their only win coming against St. Louis in the first game.

Matt Hasselbeck is 16-5 in his last 21 games versus divisional foes.

The Chargers are 20-6 at home under Norv.

Donovan Mcnabb is 4-1 career in Chicago.

FRIDAY GUT CHECK

2010-10-21T18:57:00.000-07:00

A list of players whom despite the match up or expectations gnaw at you as a good play despite all the facts. We all have em, here are mine.....

BEANIE WELLS ARI: He's playing Seattle's 2nd ranked run defense in Seattle, on an offense that has been terrible. Yet, Beanie has had a bye weak to continue his health and is the clear lead back. Arizona should have taken their win against New Orleans as a motivator and used that during an extra week of study for Seattle. Expect to see Wells best effort and I believe he could wind up as a solid number two RB in hindsight after Sunday.

CADILLAC WILLIAMS TB: He has averaged a miserable 3 YPC this year and has yet to put up a decent game. Yet last week he was inches from a score and has had a few big runs negated by penalties. He faces a mediocre run defense this week at home in St. Louis. His job was on the line last week as Kareem Huggins was slated to start taking his carries, but after two touches, Huggins was lost for the year with injury. So, Cadillac gets a week stay of facing the bench and his future is on the line this week. Enough motivation and a good match up make this a possible surprise week.

STEVE JOHNSON BUFF: The Bills face the Ravens in Baltimore and while this sums up to the "they will have to throw cause they are down" theory, this is one time I believe it fits right. Buffalo will face a deficit and will need to play catch up. I expect Baltimore to rest it's starters towards the end and allow some good fantasy time for guys like Johnson.

MIKE CRAYTON SD: Naanee is a question mark, Floyd looks to be out, Gates is questionable and now on Thursday Buster Davis was named probable with a rib issue. We know what Crayton can do and we know Rivers is going to throw often because of their depth at WR and scheme. I believe if Gates does play, Crayton becomes his second most trust worthy target and they will put up some points against the weak Patriots defense.

MAURICE JONES DREW JAGS: MJD has been nothing close to his top five status this year and as I've said in the past, I believe he is playing injured. He faces a KC rush defense that ranks 5th with the possibility of Gerrard and Edwards missing time, though unlikely. MJD should be relied on heavily this week, more than normal, and more than normal when it comes to the passing game. Don't be surprised if he has his best game of the year this week. He is a must start every week since if you own him you probably don't have better options. I say start him and expect minimum 10 fantasy points.

WEEK 7 PREVIEW

2010-10-20T14:18:00.000-07:00

CINCINNATI BENGALS at ATLANTA FALCONS: BENGALS: The Bengals no doubt spent their bye week shoring up their pass issues. Ochocinco, T.O. and Carson Palmer have not looked in snyc this year and it has affected Cedric Benson's effectiveness. They now face Atlanta who plays better at home but is facing further pass defense issues as Dunta Robinson looks to be held out this week due to his concussion after a hit on Deshaun Jackson. Atlanta already ranks 25th against the pass and that was with Robinson. Cincinnati ranks 7th passing even with their lack of continuity passing wise and face a great match up here. Look for the Bengals to air it out often and Carson to have his best game of the season after preparing well to take advantage of the situation. Atlanta ranks 9th against the rush so expect an average day for Benson.

FALCONS: The Falcons boast the 7th rated rush offense and face the Bengals 18th ranked rush defense. The Falcons know the Bengals will air it out and will give Cedric Benson all the work he can handle to keep the ball out of Palmer's hands. Matt Ryan finally got Jenkins back who saw as many targets as White last week. The Bengals do have corners capable of covering Jenkins and White well leaving the opportunity to bring a man up against Turner's rush attack. Turner has not looked particularly stellar this year but will be a good start given the work load he should see. Given the tight secondary the Bengals will play, look for Gonzales to score with single coverage.

Cincinnati has the better match ups here offensively and despite their lack of a pass rush will probably use a lot of cover 1 effectively. Cincinnati is in a much more desperate situation and coming off an extra week to prepare should be effective. Atlanta plays great at home but loses this one by a hair. CINCI 27-ATL 24.

FANTASY STARTS: BENGALS: Palmer (270 yds. 2 TD) Ochocinco (5 for 90 1 TD) T.O. (4 for 60 1 TD) FALCONS: Turner (19 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Gonzales (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) White (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: J. Greisham CIN...Given how the ATL secondary will have it's hands full, Greisham should be productive and sneak in for a score.

JACKSONVILLE JAGS at KC CHIEFS: JAGS: David Gerrard went down with what seems to be yet another concussion on Monday night and Trent Edwards has been diagnosed with a thumb injury serious enough for Del Rio to call in some players for a work out. Whoever the QB is, it will be on them to win this game. KC ranks 5th against the run so MJD should be relatively held in check. Good news for Jags is that they also rank 25th against the pass. However if it boils down to Patrick Ramsey or some other guy they pull off the street all Jags, yes even MJD become secondary thoughts if you have another warm body to replace them. If Gerrard does play, MJD is an average play but Simms-Walker and Mike Thomas become decent #3 WR options.

CHIEFS: Somehow in a game where everything went right for the Chiefs they managed to lose. It was a bad call, but none the less was a loss. Todd Hailey has these guys believing in what they can do and the Chiefs are a legitimate contender for the division this year. Jacksonville is 19th against the run where the Chiefs are tops in the league. The Jags are even worse against the pass facing a Matt Cassel that hit his stride last week and looks to build on it. All the Chiefs look to be solid plays this week in Arrowhead where it's tough enough for better teams to win much less the Jags.

The Chiefs should have a field day with Jacksonville, regardless who starts.

KC 28-JAGS 17.

FANTASY STARTS: CHIEFS: Charles (13 for 90 yds 1 TD) Jones (10 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Cassel (240 yds 1 TD) Bowe (4 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
JAGS: If Gerrard plays...MJD (14 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Mike Simms-Walker (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Chris Chambers....If KC gets up quick they will want to involve Chambers and show him some love after he was the only one left out in the cold last week.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS at CHICAGO BEARS: SKINS: Mcnabb and co. finally ran out of 4th quarter luck against the Colts. Washington continues to hang around and while they are not excelling in anything they always get that play when they need it. Torain should find it hard against the Bears 3rd ranked rush defense leaving it to Mcnabb to put up the points. I love Anthony Armstrong and think by season end he becomes this teams leading TD grabber. Look for a big game from him this week against the Bears 18th ranked pass D.
BEARS: A huge let down last week to the Seabags will have this team hungry again. I called the upset last week and believe it was a result of several factors, one being Cutlers rust. That won't be the case this week. Greg Olsen needs to be involved this week as Martz tends to just forget about him yet the team is more effective when he gets targets. Aromashadu actually played last week and is interesting this week to see how they use him. The Skins rank 31st against the pass so there should be plenty to go around for Knox, Olsen and even Hester.

The Bears offense should thrive in this match up as there really is no Washington defense to speak of.
BEARS 31- SKINS 21

FANTASY STARTS: WASH: Mcnabb (250 yds. 2 TD) Armstrong (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Moss (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) CHI: Cutler (300yds. 3 TD) Knox (6 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Hester (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Forte ( 14 for 90 yds./ 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Olsen ( 4 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: K. Williams WASH....after last week, he should look to be more involved going ahead. Maybe as a 3rd down back but could see more action with Torain a bit nicked up.

CLEVELAND BROWNS at NO SAINTS: BROWNS: As if it couldn't get worse, Massoqoui and Cribbs went down with injuries. Massoqoui seems more serious as he may have a concussion and was down for a bit before getting up. Cribbs is a gamer and it wouldn't surprise me if he plays. McCoy probably gets the start, but he is facing an uphill battle against a NO pass Defense that ranks 7th and likes to bring the heat. NO brought 8 and even 9 men up against the Bucs last week and should have no problem being effective again. Hillis says he will be fine after getting banged up as well but will see too many Saints in his way to be effective.
SAINTS: Quite simply, a great match up for Brees and co. whom will be facing the Browns 21st pass defense and 23rd Run defense. Chris Ivory should get the start again and is a good bet to hit 100 yards. Look for Colston to get his this week after not having a huge day while everyone else did against the Bucs.

The Saints should roll over the Browns...NO 32-CLE 13.

FANTASY STARTS: BROWNS: Watson (7 for 60yds. 1 TD) Hillis (17 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SAINTS: EVERYBODY!!! Just be wary of Devery Henderson who continues to look phased out since Bush' injury.
SLEEPER: Julius Jones....The Saints should be trying to be respectable and run often in the 4th, giving Ivory some rest and Jones garbage time that could result in a score. Betts is a possibility here too depending on which back Payton wants to get a better look at.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES at TENNESSEE TITANS: EAGLES: Kolb gets the nod as Vick still lingers and all of a sudden Reid seems to be easing off the Vick is the starter rhetoric. The Eagles will be without Deshaun Jackson who suffered memory loss and is a good bet to lose decent time possibly after the bye week. Jason Avant becomes the pick up you want since he's a good possession guy and does have the ability to break one. Celek gets a big boost since he already is Kolb's go to guy in the red zone and of course Maclin is a must start. The Titans have the 23rd ranked pass defense and 8th rush defense so look for a lot of success through the air.
TITANS: Vince Young got away with only a knee sprain but is iffy for Sunday as it stands. Collins looked like he hasn't missed a beat, and should get the start even if Young feels good to go. Scaife seemed to actually play better with Collins and gets a little boost here since Britt will be facing the Eagles 9th rated pass defense. Tennessee will...run the ball, especially against a lower tier rush defense like the Eagles. Look for a lot of ground game, ball control to keep Kolb off the field.

The Titans are hot right now and looking for three straight as are the Eagles. This will be an interesting game and higher scoring than most people would expect since both teams strengths play to each others weaknesses. While the CJ run game will eat clock and move the ball, I give the edge to the Eagles who have a stronger pass game and may force a rusty Collins into a turnover or two which decides the game. Collins looked good last week, but it was the Jags. PHI 28-TEN 24

FANTASY STARTS: EAGLES: Celek (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Maclin (8 for 100 yds. 1 TD) McCoy (14 for 60 yds. 1 TD) TITANS: CJ (16 for 110 yds. 2 TD) Britt (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Scaife ( 5 for 55 yds.)
SLEEPER: Jason Avant PHI....He will see enough targets and if the Titans force coverage on Maclin he will get a lions share of the yardage with a score.

BUFFALO BILLS at BALTIMORE RAVENS: BILLS: Fred Jackson is expected to get the ball in his hands more as Buffalo realizes he is their best option as CJ Spiller develops. Unfortunately, he will face 8 man fronts since Baltimore has the 3rd rated pass defense and is capable of keeping the Bills receivers in check with man to man coverage. There really doesn't seem to be many positives for the Bills this week as the Ravens defensive strengths fit well with the Bills strengths. However, S. Johnson will be the one to watch as he has the speed and ability to make the Ravens pay if they get over zealous.
RAVENS: The Ravens are actually middle of the pack in both offensive categories and face a Bills team that does rank 10th against the pass and will focus on Boldin without having to worry about Todd Heap since he looks to miss a game after a helmet to helmet hit and possible concussion. Regardless, the Bills are dead last against the run and will need help up front if they want to try to stop Rice which will lead to Boldin getting his.

The Ravens should not allow a let down and will come out making sure the Bills have their backs against the wall early. BAL 28-BUFF 17.

FANTASY STARTS: BILLS: S. Johnson (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Jackson (15 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
RAVENS: Flacco (280 yds. 2 TD) Rice (15 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Boldin (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Mason ( 5 for 90 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: W. Mcgahee....after getting zero touches last week, Ray Rice is a prime candidate to get rest after leaving a mark on this worst rated run defense allowing McGahee a good amount of touches.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS at MIAMI DOLPHINS: STEELERS: Roethlisberger was no doubt hungry and had a great match up against the Browns during his return. While he will be prepared this week, he faces a much better pass defense in Miami ranked 12th against the pass, and he is on the road for the first time. The Dolphins are a well balanced team defensively, ranking 16th against the run. Big Ben does have the weapons to expose the Dolphins, but Miami is quick and will be his first real challenge of the year. Even against Cleveland there were moments where you saw the little rust and the adjustment to throwing to Wallace. Mendenhall should be called on to relieve that pressure but also will face a decent challenge on the road. Ben's conditioning will also be tested in what is expected to be 90 degree heat with the good old Florida humidity.
DOLPHINS: Henne and the team are coming off a huge confidence booster after beating Green Bay on the road and will no doubt be ready for the Steelers as a result. The Steelers are 1st against the run which will limit the Dolphins 14th run offense. However, the Steelers are 24th against the pass and facing a Henne that will have more steadiness throwing the ball. Marshall should be in for a good day, and the emergence of Bess and Hartline will be an issue for the Steelers.

My upset of the week, Miami's pass game steps up two weeks straight and Ben comes back to earth after an easy opening game. MIA 23-PITT 20.

FANTASY STARTS: STEELERS: Wallace (5 for 80 yds.) Ward (7 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Miller (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Mendenhall ( 16 for 80 yds. 1 TD) DOLPHINS: Bess (5 for 60 yds 1 TD) Hartline (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Marshall (7 for 85 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Fasano...the Dolphins should be in a position where they throw often to win and Fasano will find room in the middle of the field possibly getting either Bess' or Hartline's score instead of them when it gets inside the ten.

ST. LOUIS RAMS at TAMPA BAY BUCS: RAMS: They got their biggest win of the year without their best receiver as Danario Alexander looks to be the newest rookie sensation. However, the Rams have yet to win on the road and have only traveled to Oakland and Detroit. This will be the Rams second game outdoors so far all year. Bradford continues to make a case for ROY and looks to have a new weapon in Alexander who came from the practice squad and showed his speed, burning SD for a TD pass. Tampa does have run stop issues, ranking 31st against the run. They lead the league in interceptions, but rank 16th against the pass. Steven Jackson must be salivating at this match up with good reason.

BUCS: After playing a great defensive game against the Bengals, the Bucs as they often do came out looking equally as bad against the Saints. Part of it was Drew Brees understanding of the Bucs defense, facing them twice a year for quite some time, and part was blown assignments in the secondary. They still have only 1 sack in four of their games, and are abysmal at stopping the run. Their run game has been as bad, ranking 27th and the loss of Huggins should have the Bucs turning to Graham who has always been reliable. Mike Williams is a good play here as the Rams rank 20th against the pass. The wild card player here is Stroughter, whom the Rams will have trouble accounting for in the middle of the field.

This could be an interesting game, coming down to the 4th quarter. The key here is if the Bucs secondary can hold Rams receivers in check using man and cover 1, allowing extra bodies to guard against Steven Jackson. Since the Rams have yet to win a road contest and Alexander's talents will be no surprise.......BUCS 23-RAMS 21

FANTASY STARTS: RAMS: Jackson (17 for 110yds. 2 TD) Amendola (11 for 90 yds. 1 TD)

BUCS: M. Williams (6 for 90 yds 1 TD) Stroughter ( 5 for 80 yds.) Winslow (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: E. Graham....if his hammy is healthy this week, watch for Graham to get a good share of the carries if Williams comes out struggling again. The Bucs will probably allow Cadillac two series to see where he is and then make an adjustment.

SF 49ERS at CAROLINA PANTHERS: SAN FRAN: Finally, a win, though it was at home against Jason Campbell whom was horrible last week with a 10.7 passer rating. The win also came at the expense of Vernon Davis whom suffered a strained right knee and is day to day. Crabtree has settled in as I called once they made the change from Jimmy Raye at OC. Despite the win, don't be fooled into thinking San Fran found it's passing game. They were struggling early and were still sporadic passing wise. They face a Carolina team coming off a bye with extra prep time that ranks 5th against the pass. Where they will have great success is in the run where Carolina is 26th. Expect heavy doses of Frank Gore with average at best passing numbers.

PANTHERS: Matt Moore gets the call at QB. Carolina has opted to protect their franchise QB Clausen and not feed him to the wolves. However, like Gore, Williams and Stewart should have productive days against the SF 20th ranked run defense. Steve Smith did practice on Wednesday, so it may open things a bit for Carolina as San Francisco is 11th against the pass. He's always been a good healer, and should be good to go Sunday. San Francisco ranks 10th in total yards allowed despite their run D problems and is an indication of how they will give up plays but do have success holding opponents from long drives.

This game looks like toss up, you have two teams that love to run the ball. I am a big fan of teams coming off a bye week facing close match ups. SF does have more weapons, but if Davis is unable to go, this becomes a dead even race. Carolina has yet to put up more than 7 pts. at home and SF has maxed out at 14 pts. on the road. Carolina wins a close one that sees both teams score more than their norms.
CAR 24-SF 20.

FANTASY STARTS: SF: Gore (17 for 90 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 40 yds.) Crabtree (5 for 70 yds 1 TD)

PANTHERS: Williams (13 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Stewart (9 for 50 yds. 1 TD) S. Smith (4 for 60yds. 1 TD)

ARIZONA CARDINALS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: ARIZONA: The Cards are coming off a bye where hopefully Beannie Wells had yet another week to get healthy and in shape to perform. Max Hall received a ton of credit for their win versus NO but his actual play was far from better than Anderson. Hall does have the luxury of facing the 30th ranked pass defense, but is in Seattle where better teams find it hard to win. Seattle is 2nd against the run so despite Wells return don't expect much.

SEAHAWKS: A huge win in Chicago may be just what this team needed to propel them to that next level of play they have been lacking. It should be easy for the Hawks to execute against Arizona as they are 26th and 29th against the Pass and Run respectively. Mike Williams continues his return from the depths of obscurity under his college coach. Marshawn Lynch had some very telling carries last week which seem to point in the direction of him being the goal line/red zone back.

While this will be a hard fought divisional game, the Seahawks always find ways to win at home and Sunday should be no different against a lesser opponent. The game should be closer than expected though since they will get Arizona's best effort after a bye week. Take the points with Arizona if you're a betting man. SEA 24-ARI 21.

FANTASY STARTS: ARI: Fitzgerald (7 for 100yds. 1 TD) Wells (16 for 60yds. 1 TD)

SEA: M. Williams (4 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Butler (3 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Forsett (12 for 60yds./3 for 20 yds.) Lynch ( 9 for 70 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: B. Patrick ARI....Patrick hat five receptions last week and as everyone knows a TE is a young QB's best friend. Expect Patrick to see about as many catches again with a score as the attention focus' on Fitz come red zone time.

OAKLAND RAIDERS at DENVER BRONCOS: RAIDERS: oh what a difference a week makes. Oakland pounded SD defensively two weeks ago and then comes up flat against the 49ers. Campbell may be out this week leaving Kyle Boller at QB who actually looked very good in pre-season. Believe it or not, he may be the best QB on this team in my eyes. He is more of a pocket presence and has been waiting for a shot at becoming a starter in the NFL again. I believe he actually helps the value of the Raiders WR's, but especially Z. Miller who will be his security blanket. McFadden will test the hammy out this week and looks close to a return. He and Bush should see plenty of yardage against the Bronco 25th ranked run defense.

BRONCOS: A heart breaker against the Jets last week will have the Broncos up and ready for a divisional match against the Raiders. The Broncos horrible run game actually broke the century mark in a collective effort that saw Tebow rush for his first score. If Moreno is going to have a good game this year it should come against the Raiders as they are 30th against the run. This will make it easier against the Raiders tough secondary and is the key to winning this game. Orton targeted Thomas heavily in the second half and seems to be his go to guy in the red zone.

The Broncos will get the Raiders best shot this week. However, the Broncos have three great WR's and that may be one more than the Raiders can handle despite their tough pass D. In the end, it should be the Denver run game of all things that makes the difference and forces the Raiders loss. DEN 28- OAK 21.

FANTASY STARTS: OAK: McFadden (12 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Bush (10 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Miller (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Murphy (4 for 50 yds.) DENVER: Moreno (15 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Gaffney ( 4 for 60 yds.) Lloyd (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Thomas (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Heyward Bey....With Murphy drawing Champ Bailey, Heyward Bey should be the one who has the most success out of the two Raider wide outs...if he shows up that is.

NE PATRIOTS at SD CHARGERS: PATRIOTS: New Englands new dink and dunk pass offense had success last week against Baltimore and the emergence of Woodhead is for real. Especially in this new offense, Woodhead should thrive. This new offense should be the perfect fit going against the Chargers 1st ranked pass Defense and they don't allow many big downfield plays. The Chargers are just as stout against the run 5th and given that NE has a weak run game we could see Brady air it out 40-50 times this week. All the NE receivers should bring in decent numbers due to sheer work load, but especially A. Hernandez.

CHARGERS: Another loss, this time at the Rams has a bitter taste in the franchise's mouth. They may have lost Floyd for this game and Gates looks like he will play through a toe injury. Regardless, SD does have enough talent to be effective against the Pats 29th pass defense. Expect to see a heavy work load for Mathews this week and for him to be effective. Mike Tolbert only saw three carries last week but did score. Due to the Pats weak rush defense 17th, I see Mathews getting the goal line touch as they need him to get going.

This will be one of the better games of the weekend. NE makes the East coast to West coast trip which is always a hard one. While they will be in the game, the Chargers have just too much to lose at this point and their backs are against the wall. Their defense is the difference maker.

SD 28- PATS 20.

FANTASY STARTS: NE: Brady (260 yds. 2 TD) Welker (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Woodhead (90 total yards) Branch (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) SD: Rivers (300yds 2 TD) Mathews (16 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Gates (8 for 90 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Buster Davis...with Floyd out, Davis becomes the field stretcher and connects on one deep.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS at GREEN BAY PACKERS: VIKINGS: Finally out of their slump, the Vikes looked effective against Dallas and could be the spark they needed. Moss gets another week of practice with Favre which is needed. He still looks a bit uncomfortable out there but the more time that passes will develop their connection. The Packers rank 21st against the run so Peterson could have success her and will be a big part of the game to keep the ball out of Rogers hands.

PACKERS: Green Bay defense gets a boost with the return of Matthews this week and they will need it facing a Viking offense slowly coming into their own with Moss in the fold. Green Bay had a let down last week against Miami and the loss of Finley with Driver's injury slowing him down has had it's effect on this once explosive offense. The run game allowed the trade deadline to pass without getting help. Don't expect much either as the Vikes rank 11th against the run and are even better against the pass.

While Green Bay needs this game desperately, there seems to be a lack of confidence surrounding this team. The lack of any run offense has had big impact on the offense overall and the Vikings many weapons are going to cause issues for the Pack. I think the Pack actually lose another one at home. VIKES 24-GB 21.

FANTASY STARTS: VIKINGS: Moss ( 5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Harvin ( 4 for 50 yds/ 2 rush for 25 yds.) Peterson (16 for 90 yds. 1 TD) PACK: Rogers (250 yds. 2 TD) Jennings (7 for 90 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: D. Lee...after being held in check last week the Pack need that TE position to be a difference maker. Lee should become more involved and score as the Viking defense clamps down against the run in the red zone.

NOW ON TWITTER!

2010-10-19T23:12:00.000-07:00

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TUESDAY HOT TOPIC

2010-10-18T21:25:00.000-07:00

I brought this up briefly yesterday and during Monday Night Football the NFL released a statement that starting Sunday players will receive suspensions for leading with their helmet. I keep hearing how players use it as a weapon, how it's gotten out of hand and how players will just have to adjust. While it's the correct move in an attempt to slow down what has become a weekly issue, it doesn't make it the best move going forward. Anyone who thinks this is a new phenomenon is mistaken, all that's changed is the exposure concussions receive and players willingness to open up about this injury. Science and medicine have also opened eyes to the extent of damage concussions can cause long term, furthering the case for action to be taken. My point is, is it the players who really need to change? I have yet to hear a player state how they learned to lead with their head at any level. I have yet to hear how it's a trick of the trade to inflict more damage to a player. I'm not talking about defenseless players or quarterbacks here, that's a different story. This is just physics and how two people converging on a target make it nearly impossible to avoid. Why have I not heard a word from the talking heads about the possibility that maybe...it's the HELMET! God forbid it be an equipment issue from the manufacturer which has a lucrative contract with the NFL. A contract which both entities make millions of dollars for each other. No, better to blame the players. Look at the act of catching a ball or running with possession of the ball. You are trying to make the other player miss while that player is leaving or about to leave his feet in an effort to create enough force to stop you. How can the defensive player do anything to avoid the offensive player making a move that creates helmet to helmet contact. Will this rule apply to offensive guys who lower their heads anticipating contact? How about linemen whom bang heads countless numbers of times throughout games. No, they aren't going full speed, but go bang your skull against a wall fifty times and tell me how you feel. News flash, there is no way to tackle without leading with your head...it sits on your shoulders. You have only so much room between a shoulder and your noggin that makes this rule almost laughable. Go for the knees you say? Has anyone seen what a knee to the head produces even with helmets on? How about the number of knees that will be torn ending seasons as a result of low tackles? Kareem Huggins? Carson Palmer? Bottom line, put the blame where it lies, the equipment hasn't grown with the athletes, science, or medical communities. Shame on the NFL pushing it on the players as their fault. Then again, since they would be subject to a host of lawsuits if they admitted it was issued equipment by the teams they have no other choice.