TOP 5 RB SLEEPERS FOR 2011

Here's my list of the top sleepers at the RB position this year now that Free Agency has settled and camps are in full swing.

1. FELIX JONES-Marion Barber the TD vulture is gone, and while Choice may assume that role the fact remains that Jones averaged about 100 YPG once Jason Garrett took over as head coach. Jones will no doubt be used in all aspects and could be the steal of the draft since he is being taken in the 4th round or later in most mock drafts. Let's not forget either that he did this all without Tony Romo keeping defenses honest.

2. BEANIE WELLS-Hightower has departed and Wells will get his chance to prove he is able to handle an every down load. He has been a china doll since his arrival in the league, but if he does stay healthy he could wind up a solid #2 RB.

3. MARSHAWN LYNCH- We know Forsett is not an every down back so Lynch looks to be the primary starter. The main reason he looks to have a great year though is because the Seahawks were anemic in pass offense last year, ranking 19th. Now, they have added Zach Miller, Sydney Rice and a mobile QB in Tavaris Jackson. Throw in Tate and Mike Williams and now you have an Offense the opposition at least needs to take seriously. Teams will no longer focus on only the backfield and Williams out wide. They will have to game plan for all those weapons which means more running lanes for Lynch. Just the presence of these new additions make Lynch a top #2 RB and borderline low #1.

4. BENJARVIS GREEN-ELLIS- He quietly ran for over 1,000 yards and 13 TD's last year yet everyone is forgetting this guy. He's currently 31st on the RB order behind guys like Addai, Best, and Ingram. Brady was extremely efficient due to Ellis' emergent and the Pats will continue on last year's game plan. Ellis should actually be a top 20 back and just may pay off huge.

5. TIM HIGHTOWER- He is the more complete back than Torain and Shanny will no doubt be forced to run since he'll be going with either Grossman and Beck at QB. Two guys who need the run game in order to succeed. Even if this is a time share, I think Hightower gets the majority of the carries and enough to be a great #3 RB with upside. He should be very involved early.

FANTASY DRAFT FOCUS: RB's 1-20

Ahhhhhh! Smell that? Football is finally back and this year will be heaven. Yes we had to sit through owners and players fighting over 9 billion, but think of the non-stop information and movement which will keep us busy right up to week 1 kick off! So, each week leading up to draft day I'm going to break down a list of the players by position so you can dominate your draft. This week is the top 20 Running Backs. The prized beauty queen of fantasy.

RUNNING BACK BREAKDOWN FOR DRAFT DAY (1-20)

1. ADRIAN PETERSON: Most people have him as the consensus #2 or #3 back to be drafted but I have to disagree. He has the 5th best schedule for his position and seems poised to see his work load bump up once again. Peterson's touches have dropped each of the last two years and though he averaged 4.6 YPC last season he actually was even better in 2008 when he had 80 carries more and averaged 4.8 YPC. With Ponder looking to take the role immediately you can bet AP will come close to those 2008 numbers or at minimal increase his touches and yardage from last season. Even with the Mcnabb talk, I still think Peterson sees major increase regardless.

2. DARREN MCFADDEN: This is probably not the one anyone expects to take here but he should be. Most analysis has C.J. or Foster going top two but both worry me big time based on off-season issues which I will get to once it's their turn. For starters, Mcfadden plays in a defensively challenged division and will once again be the feature of the offense. Zach Miller will most likely be re-signed and IF Jacoby Ford or a big FA signing can step up this year then McFadden may see even more day light. Mcfadden had a hell of year with zero help in the passing game last year and it can only get better. Mcfadden has the 8th best sched for his position and if he stays healthy will warrant a top two pick.

3. JAMAAL CHARLES: Charles moves up for two reasons, first he plays in the same defensively challenged division and also faces the 10th best SOS for his position. With teams like the Bills, Lions, and Colts in the first few weeks, Charles stands to get off to a quick start. Not only that, he is a big part of the passing game, collecting 469 yds with 3 TD's. Thomas Jones' role should diminish further this year, but he should play enough to keep Charles fresh. I see Charles also getting a few more looks in the red zone which Jones jacked last year. Charles YPC average was sick last year but in 2009 it was at a studly 5.8 YPC so don't look for too much of a drop off from last year. KC selected Jonathan Baldwin at WR to help Bowe which shows they are committed to mixing things up and keeping defenses off balance. This will only help Charles' cause since everyone knew it was Bowe or Charles on 80% of the plays.

4. LESEAN MCCOY: Here is a guy which could jump to elite status this year if current trends continue. He put up 9 games of 100 plus yards from scrimmage last year and the illusive Vick is just another weapon teams must worry about, making it nearly impossible to cover all bases. McCoy benefited from the Vick revival, posting 5.2 YPC and 10 TD's. Despite the 28th SOS at his position, McCoy will be one of the few backs where it really doesn't matter. He will see many running lanes and will improve on last years stats though about 10 TD's seems like about where he will stay given the plethora of scorers the Eagles have in the red zone.

5. MATT FORTE: Forte was only 170 plus yards off his 2008 rushing campaign last year despite getting 90 FEWER attempts! Even his YPC of 4.5 were a huge jump from 2008. Forte seems ready for an even better season, especially if the team brings in a serious #1 WR in FA. Forte is very involved in the pass game as well and averaged 10.7 YPR. Things can only get better for him this year as he faces the 7th SOS at his position. This is a guy currently going 10th in most drafts and will be a super value if you can get him that late. Given the CJ and Foster woes I see coming, to see Forte wind up as a top 3 back this year is not far from reality. He may be the best value pick in the draft.

6. PEYTON HILLIS: Despite having the 29th SOS at his position, Hillis is a horse and his number of touches and red zone opportunities make him a solid pick at 6th. Hillis has been in the league a few years and is the only reliable weapon the Browns have, so a sophomore slump in unlikely. If he can stay healthy, expect him to again post double digit TD's. He is a solid pass catcher as well and has the tools to continue on last year's breakout. If the Browns can add to the pass game via free agency to take some pressure off him, Hillis could be much more effective. He did taper off at the end of last season, going scoreless in his last 5 games, but expect the Browns to keep him fresh with the return of Hardesty whom will ease the load Hillis carried last year. The 4.4 YPC seems about right for a guy of his style, but the TD's could actually go up with him fresh and not taking as much punishment.

7. CHRIS JOHNSON: CJ should be higher and may wind up there but he has issues to overcome. First of course is the fact all signs point to Jake Locker taking the rock unless Tenn signs a veteran QB. Even then, the abbreviated off season gives a much shorter time for either QB to digest the playbook. A new coach, the Britt jailhouse saga, and a weakened defense all add up to a drop in CJ's production. I wouldn't be shocked to see him end up lower than this ranking. Remember last year where he had 5 yards total?? It would have been unthinkable in years past, but defenses have gotten savvy and this year the Titans have lost their leader and may lose Britt.

8. ARIAN FOSTER: A torn meniscus all season, Foster showed his heart and led all rushers. However, I don't see this as a good thing for him. First off, the tear could not have been too bad but at the same time, how much more damage did he cause to it and what is his current health status? Camp and preseason will show us but he is likely to take it quite easy leading up to a heavy work load for the season. Coaches will also want to limit his touches this year due to the injury and give him more rest than normal. Common thinking seems to be that if the guy had that season on a torn meniscus then what could he do healthy! We all know how these injuries affect every back differently and usually for the worse. Time will tell where he stands, but I'm not risking anything higher than a 5th pick on him this year. He has the 16th SOS for his position and had a much weaker schedule last year. Expect a slight decline at minimum for Arian.

9. RAY RICE: Despite getting 50+ more touches than in 2009, Rice saw major drops in production. Even with the extra load, Rice dropped 120 total yards and went from 5.3 YPC to 4.0 YPC and two fewer scores. He faces the 27th SOS at his position so things don't look like they will get too much better. He will be a solid pick but I don't see a big jump from last year. This spot seems like the most reasonable number for him and I would not go higher.

10. RASHARD MENDENHALL: Mendenhall a top ten back you ask? Can you really argue 1,273 Yards and 13 TD's last year? Yes it was partly due to Big Ben being on the shelf in the start of the season, but the Steelers are finally confident in using Mendenhall to set up the pass. If anything, I see him improving on last season with Ben starting week one. His production in the pass game jumped big time once Ben returned and added to his opportunities. Also, he faces the 13th SOS at his position this year which should keep him at least around the same numbers as last season. With so many questions below him (in my rankings) I believe this is the year youth and safer options win out. Especially in a shorter off season than normal.

11. MICHAEL TURNER: I would have him higher if it were not for Atlanta drafting Julio Jones this year. Jones stands to be a day 1 starter and has a solid QB throwing to him. Atlanta will do damage in the air this year and the team may want to keep Turner fresh and limit his touches a bit this year since he carried the ball 300+ last season. His red zone value will go up and he can possibly even improve on his 12 TD's last year. The NFC South has had issues with run defenses so turner will have 6 very nice games when in division. He has the ability to wind up as a top 5 when all is said and done, but I see Atlanta going more to the air this year.

12. FRANK GORE: Harbaugh says he plans on keeping Gore on the field as much as possible this year and if true, Gore could have one of his better seasons. That of course if he can somehow stay healthy all year. This is a guy with a grueling off-season workout schedule and a guy who preps year round. How much the injury affected him is yet to be seen and he should be much higher than this ranking but the questions on his health and his history have him a safe pick here.

13. MAURICE JONES DREW: As of July 2nd, MJD says he's about 85% healthy. This is one of the guys I said last year looked like he was playing injured and it turned out to be true. (Pat, Pat) He thinks he can still carry the load, but Simms-Walker's departure and the unease at QB means more questions for MJD. He is a very big risk despite his talents and the load he has carried alone points to a back on the decline. His red zone opportunities keep him here as an early 2nd/late 1st round pick but if you're gonna take a risk it's better to go with a guy like Legarrette Blount or Ryan Matthews whom have more upside. His name will probably have him go higher but we really have no clue which MJD will show up week one. Draft him with caution and be sure to get two other reliable backs if you take him with your first pick.

14. STEVEN JACKSON: Jackson had a pretty solid season and will put up his normal numbers. The reason I place him at 14 though is two fold. First, his YPC of 3.8 is his career lowest and secondly, the Rams are clearly turning into a balance pass attack. The need to ride S. Jax has diminished with the play of QB Sam Bradford. However, if the Rams can continue upon their passing growth then it could open things up for Jackson even more. The biggest problem for he and the Rams is their scoring which ended up at 26th in the NFL. Jackson did get roughed up often last year and being the baller he is, fought through the injuries. The Rams are still at least one season away from making that jump and Jackson's value is the biggest casualty.

15. LEGARRETTE BLOUNT: There may be some more appealing names to put at 15 but Blount is in a prime position to significantly build on last season. He will be the goal line back and will be kept fresh by again coming off the field on 3rd downs. He has the 20th ranked SOS, but teams will need to respect Freeman and the passing game which stands to get better than it was last season. Also keep in mind that Blount did not truly get the starting job until week 4 yet still rushed for over 1,000 yards and averaged 5 YPC. Cadillac Williams may be released this season and if the Bucs pass on a guy like Reggie Bush for 3rd down play then Blount may possibly see more time on the field.

16. RYAN MATHEWS: Mathews is a player whom could go either way. He scored 7 times in only 12 games but fumbled 4 times. The presence of Tolbert and his nose for the end zone also looks to eat into Mathews value if the Chargers use Tolbert in the same role as last year. The Chargers have been a pass first team and will have Floyd and V. Jackson along with Crayton all healthy for week 1 which wasn't the case last year. Antonio Gates should also be ready to go after an injury plagued season. Mathews is a risky play because of all the options this offense has but could produce good value as your #2 back since he has the #3 SOS.

17. SHONN GREENE: Like Mathews, we really have no clue what to expect from Greene. The Jets are saying Greene will be the primary ball carrier and LT says he's ready to be the 3rd down guy but they said the same thing last off-season and look how that turned out. He has the 4th ranked SOS for all running backs so the potential is there. The question is will he be the featured back and how effective will he be if he does get the job. The Jets stand to lose both Santonio Holmes and Braylon Edwards whom both played big roles in the pass game. This could only put more focus on the run game and make it even tougher on him. He is a high risk/ high reward guy to take at 17 but the fact the Jets love to run gives him good value.

18. JONATHAN STEWART: The likely departure of Deangelo Williams is a great sign for Stewart, but his constant injury issues and a very green rookie QB who has a shortened off-season are two big strikes against him. Not to mention Steve Smith may be a gonner as well. This team struggled last year to get anything going and the pieces are there to possibly have an even worse season. The Panthers will not score much this year and Stewart's value is limited. The only thing keeping him here is the possible large number of touches he stands to see.

19. CEDRICK BENSON: The Bengals will most likely re-sign Benson this year but with Carson likely gone as well as Chad Ochocinco, Benson will be the primary target of defenses. He had already shown a big drop in production last season and I believe well past the point of being able to be the spotlight of an offense. He does have the 14th ranked SOS, but look for B. Scott to eat into his touches as well which further drops Benson's value. Still, he's in a better situation from a job security standpoint than the backs left outside of the top 20.

20. KNOWSHON MORENO: His job is also safe for now and it's his pass catching ability that will buy him some time. The Broncos have a lot to sort out once camp starts but regardless of who starts at QB, the bottom line is that Moreno's inability to thrive with a great pass offense last year was disappointing. If Tebow starts this year it's going to put even more pressure on Moreno as teams will bring the heat until Tebow proves he can beat basic coverage. Moreno is a candidate to really exceed expectations, but we will have to wait and see how he responds and who wins the QB job in camp.

WEEK 16 PREVIEW

CAROLINA @ PITTSBURGH:

CAR: Clausen had his best showing of the year albeit against the Cardinals. Jonathan Stewart is back and produced also but forget about starting him vs. the top rush defense. Steve Smith should also struggle since Pittsburgh will be able to roll extra coverage his way without issue. Look at your possibilities before you think of starting a Panther. Go with a better match up if able.

PITT: The must start here is Mendenhall who will face Carolina's 23rd rush defense. While they did do well vs Hightower, remember the opponent was a team as bad as they are. Carolina is 8th vs the pass and does have a talented secondary, but they will be far from able to shut down all the Steeler weapons. Heath Miller returns this week and should be good for a score. All your Steeler players make solid starts this week, with Mendenhall being a top 5 back this Sunday.

The Steelers lost a tough one last week and need this one. PITT 28-CAR 13.

DALLAS @ ARIZONA:

DAL: Romo went to the IR for the year and Kitna ironically hasn't been much of a drop off fantasy wise. This week he faces the 23rd pass defense and 30th rush defense. Felix Jones is also a great start and should at minimum give you 10 fantasy points this week. Kitna may be a bit held back because of the run game effectiveness, but he will be efficient. Witten has been his favorite target and is a solid start here against a defense that will have more than it can handle. Start all your Cowboys with confidence against the 26th overall defense which has nothing to play for.

ARI: The Boys are 28th vs the pass, but a majority of their issues have come against far better teams with more talent. They are a good defense when facing one dimensional teams like Arizona and will make sure Fitzgerald doesn't burn them this week. Fitz is a good #2/Flex play, but don't expect him to put up great numbers. Breaston is a good sleeper/Flex play this week since he is the beneficiary when teams focus their efforts on Fitzgerald. Past that, I wouldn't trust Hightower vs Dallas' 14th rush defense this week.

Dallas is playing at a higher level and the Cards continue to fall apart. DAL 31-ARI 17.

WASHINGTON @ JACKSONVILLE:

WASH: Grossman seems to have showed us he is far from a downgrade from Mcnabb and has been given the starters role this week also. He returns to his old stomping ground in Florida this week and there may be quite a few Grossman fans in Jacksonville which is close to his college home in Gainesville. The Jags are 27th vs the pass which is pretty much all the Redskins are able to do somewhat well. Jacksonville's 18th rush defense allowed Donald Brown to put up some great numbers last week but I would not trust Torain quite yet. He is a decent start, but not one where I would have a ton of confidence. Armstrong should have another double digit day and is a safe Flex start if you have him. Moss should also be a solid start this week.

JAGS: Put back in their place last week, the Jags return home to face one of the worst overall defenses. However, they are one of the most opportunistic. MJD should have a monster day here and will be a top 5 back by Sunday's end. Both Thomas and Simms-Walker also have top starter potential, but in a championship week the problem is figuring out which one will have the best day. Either one may be worth the gamble but the question is should you gamble on them? I would opt for a safer play if you have one, but if you have a more solid play I would role with it. Gerrard also makes a good start and should be good for 15pts.

The Jags need this one desperately and squeak one out. JACK 24-WASH 21.

DETROIT @ MIAMI:

DET: It looks like Shaun Hill will return this week which boosts the value of your Lions just a bit. The problem is they are facing Miami's 6th pass defense. Miami is also 6th vs the run so don't expect anything from an already poor run game. Megatron is of course a must start, but don't be surprised if he gives you single digits. He faces an injury laden secondary last week in TB and Miami will have all it's studs on the field. Megatron should be your only start but one with lower expectations.

MIA: Detroit's 24th rush defense makes Ronnie Brown a solid play and one which should have him end up as a top 10 back on Sunday. Detroit is 13th vs the pass, but TB's Mike Williams posted a nice day last week despite the Lions knowing exactly where Freeman was looking. Marshall makes a good start here and should score one for you. Fasano should also bust out of his slump and give you good production here. Williams is too much of a risk though has high upside if he gets a decent number of carries.

Miami has all but been eliminated but the Lions are one of the worst teams on the road despite their win last week. MIA 30-DET 24.

SAN FRANCISCO @ ST. LOUIS:

SF: Things keep on getting worse for the 49ers and the loss of Gore has obviously killed Vernon Davis' and Crabtree's value. Forget about starting any 49er back against St. Louis who is tied with Pittsburgh for least rushing TD's allowed. Despite the decent match up in the pass game, I would avoid starting your 49ers. S.Jax will be able to help the Rams control the clock which only further limits your 49ers values.

STL: SF is 7th vs the rush, but they struggle against top tier runners and when they don't it's the pass game that kills them. Amendola warrants a look as a Flex play this week, but the only safe bet is Jackson who has gotten his all year long despite seeing extra men up front. Jackson will be a top ten back by Sunday's end so start him with confidence.

St. Louis should lock up the division this week. STL 20-SF 13.

TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY:

TEN: KC is 13th vs the run and 19th vs the pass but play a bit above their ability at home. The Titans have been sputtering on offense as of late, but CJ is of course your top option. While I expect a solid game out of him this week, I don't see gaudy numbers. 12 pts. should be about the total you get which is a solid game by any standards but a bit low for CJ. Kenny Britt also makes a solid start and I believe has a top 10 day at WR. The Chiefs will be unable to stop both Britt and Washington while defending against CJ. Look for this to be a productive day in the pass game for the Titans.

KC: Charles has continued his second half beast mode last week and should do well here against the Titan 17th rush defense. The Titans are not as solid on the road as they are at home, and Charles has had some great games at home. Thomas Jones also makes a great start as your RB 2 since he has had double digit fantasy games in 4 of 6 home games and scored 9 pts. in one of the other two. The Titans are even worse vs the pass at 26th and pose good match ups for Bowe and Moeaki. Start all your Chiefs here in an important game which has the Chiefs trying to hold on to the divisional lead.

KC 30-TEN 17.

NY JETS @ CHICAGO:

CHI: This should be one of the better games this Sunday but the big question is how hard will the Bears play given they have now locked up their division. Atlanta has locked up the top seed in the NFC so there really isn't much use in the Bears taking chances on injury just to win a game for pride. I would keep expectations very low for all your Bears given the weather and the possibility the starters have a chance at being benched early. Not only that, but they face one of the best overall defenses in the NFL. Forte makes a somewhat decent start, but given the situation I would only trust him as a Flex this week.

NYJ: The Jets are officially playing for a wild card spot and luck out in facing a Chicago team that may take the day off if the Jets get ahead early. Despite this, Tomlinson will face the 3rd rush defense of Chicago early which will limit his scoring. If the Bears decide this is one worth playing for, bump down your expectation overall for the run game. If not, then both Tomlinson and Greene will have good value. The Bears are 17th vs the pass which is their weak spot and Sanchez has to have gained his confidence after a good showing in Pittsburgh las week. Santonio Holmes makes a great start here and if weather isn't bad should wind up as a top 10 WR Sunday. Edwards may get his token 50 yards and a score here also so he is a good #2WR/Flex guy.

The Jets should put up a good fight here but in the end may see a team that pulls their starters.

NYJ 24-CHI 20.

NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO:

NE: New England has sealed their division, but will provide some effort since they are still fighting the Steelers and Baltimore for top AFC seed should those teams win both games and the Pats lose. If the Pats have a heavy lead by the 3rd then look for Brady and company to get sat. Otherwise, all your Pats make decent plays here. Primarily, you are starting BJE regardless as he faces the worst rush defense in the NFL. Green Ellis has a top 10 RB start here and will be good for a score. Start your Pats with confidence as you normally would.

BUFF: Fitzpatrick has caught fire again and makes a solid play vs one of the weaker but opportunistic pass defenses. NE will focus it's energy on F. Jackson and scheme the secondary to roll coverage Steve Johnson's way. Both guys make mediocre starts this week despite the Pats 23rd overall defense.

In the end, the Pats know it's a guaranteed first round bye if they win and will play it hard. The Bills do play NE tough at home and it's closer than expected. NE28-BUFF 24.

BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND:

BAL: The Ravens will be giving an all out effort as they fight with Pittsburgh for the divisional title. Cleveland is 25th vs the run and Ray Rice is looking unstoppable the last few weeks. Rice has another top 5 RB day Sunday with a good shot at 2 scores. Cleveland is pretty good vs the pass, but lack the depth to stop all the Ravens weapons especially with Heap returning. Cleveland will focus on Boldin with success, but Heap and Mason will burn them. Start all your Ravens.

CLE: Hillis has actually become human the last three games and now faces Baltimore's 5th rush defense. Hillis did go for 144 yards vs Baltimore last time, but that was week 3. Watson is the biggest benefactor when Hillis is kept in check, but produces regardless as this team's top catch threat. Watson is a must start as always and so is Hillis, but with Baltimore playing lights out of late, temper your Hillis expectations. Another sub 10 pt. game is very likely.

Baltimore will not let down with so much on the line. BAL 20-CLE 14.

HOUSTON @ DENVER:
HOU: Both teams are playing for nothing but pride this week and both are equally as bad on defense. Denver is 31st vs the run, setting Foster up for a monster day. Foster should earn the top spot as the most productive RB on Sunday. Unfortunately I face him so it kills me to write that. Denver hasn't been much better vs the pass, and Johnson has victimized far better secondaries so look for a 90 plus yard with a score day from him. Schaub is also a solid start and don't be surprised if Jacoby Jones has a nice day as well, though he's only a start in very deep leagues and depending on your options.

DEN: Tebow had a good debut and it gets better against the worst pass defense in the NFL. Houston is 9th vs the run so don't expect big things from Denver's run game. Moreno may be held out with a rib injury regardless which will but some extra pressure on Tebow seeing multiple blitzes. Drop the value of Lloyd this week, though he will be good for a score. Lloyd will make a decent #2 WR start, but he does come with big risk despite the match up. Caution on the side of error and start someone else if they have a better match up.

Denver has too many issues to keep up with Houston's potent offense. HOU 34-DEN 21.

SAN DIEGO @ CINCINNATI:

SD: The Bengals are a decent secondary at keeping long balls in front of them, but injuries on their offense will allow the Chargers to win the battle of possession and time making all your Chargers good starts this week. While the weather does cause some concern against a speed team like SD, they have too many weapons for Cinci to cover and two Running Backs both capable of handling the load. Cinci is 22nd vs the run so both Matthews and Tolbert actually have good value here. There hasn't been much word on Gates, though rumors are he may be done for the season until the playoffs. Vincent Jackson is a must start of course and if you have Floyd, he will benefit from the extra attention on Jackson.

CINCI: T.O. has been shut down for the year, leaving a less than 100 percent Ochocinco as their lone stud WR. SD has the 1st ranked pass defense though and will easily shut down Chad and keep him from burning them. The good news is the Bengals will again be playing from behind so he does have value as a possible garbage time score. SD also has the 2nd ranked rush defense and Benson struggles against good teams so I would use other options. Ochocinco is the only play here and he is borderline bench worthy at that.

If weather is good, SD rolls on the Bengals. If not, they still win but just by a closer margin.

SD 37-CIN 27.

INDIANAPOLIS @ OAKLAND:

IND: The Colts gained an important win for their playoff race and their confidence as well. Manning lost Collie for at least this week and Wayne will have Asomugha on him most the day. Oakland however is 26th vs the run and Donald Brown seems to be healthy finally after having a solid day vs the Jags. Expect Brown to see a lot of action as will Tamme, who will be needed and will get back to posting big numbers here. Bump down Wayne's value and Garcons a bit. They are both still good starts, but not #1 this week. Brown and Tamme will do the damage here. Peyton is of course a must play but will have a good but not great day.

OAK: The Raiders run game must be salivating at facing the 28th rush defense. McFadden is running with force and should have no problem getting a 100 yard with a score day. Indianapolis is decent vs the pass but the effectiveness of Mcfadden will open things up a bit for Jacoby Ford. Ford is the play here since Murphy continues his unpredictability week to week. Zack Miller is a decent play at TE but still looks a bit rusty after being injured for so long.

The Colts will be crafty enough to pull this one out. IND 24-OAK 20.

NY GIANTS @ GREEN BAY:

NYG: The loss to Philly must've killed the Giants spirit as they hope for a wild card spot and face competition. Manningham was a surprise start and abused Philly. He should see plenty of targets this week, but it will be on Manning to get him the ball under pressure. Green Bay is a very aggressive defense and will be in Manning's face all day. The Packers to struggle vs the run (19th) so Bradshaw and Jacobs are solid starts as a #1RB and Flex respectively. Trust the run game here, but be cautious using Manningham or even Nicks vs this 3rd ranked pass defense.

GB: Flynn looked better last week but has his work cut out for him vs the Giants 2nd ranked pass defense. You really have to start Jennings because of his YAC ability, but look hard at your options when it comes to starting Driver. Jackson and Starks shouldn't fare much better against the 10th ranked rush defense so look elsewhere.

The Giants are crushed so mentally who knows what team will show up. They are still alive in the wild card race and can help things by winning here. NYG 27-GB 20.

SEATTLE @ TAMPA BAY:

SEA: The Bucs have returned to their piss poor rush defensive ways again and the loss of so many defensive starters is much to blame. Lynch makes a good #2 RB start here and should be good for a score. Despite losing Aquib Talib, the Bucs are still a talented pass defense and with only Mike Williams to defend, they should be efficient again. Avoid Williams if possible, especially with Hasselbeck playing so poorly lately. Start Lynch and that's it.

TB: Seattle is 21st vs the run and 29th vs the pass so start all your Bucs with confidence. Aurellious Benn missed another big play TD so if you are in a bind at the Flex/#3 WR position he could be worth it though is a risk. Start your Bucs.

Tampa is still in the race but must win. TB 23-SEA 17.

MINNESOTA @ PHILADELPHIA:

MIN: Favre may be done for the year, and past short throws and running, Webb is showing all the traits a rookie does. AP was held out last week and depending on how he feels could be held out this week. The Vikes have nothing to play for so if he is even somewhat ailing, look for him to be benched. Harvin also takes a major hit as does Rice. Really consider other options here since the Eagles will lock up their division with a win and Giants loss.

PHI: Easy....Start all your Eagles against a team that has mailed it in.

PHI 38- MIN 17.

NEW ORLEANS @ ATLANTA:

NO: The Saints lost a tough one last week and face an Atlanta team that has locked up the division. Since this is a rivalry game I would look for Atlanta to play solid but be cautious with their players if New Orleans gets up by the 4th quarter. Fortunately for NO Atlanta is 20th vs the pass but the only guy you can trust is Colston at WR. Meachem is too up and down as are Henderson and Moore. Ivory is still questionable and Bush with Thomas will face a solid Atlanta rush defense ranked 10th. Brees and Colston are the two you want here. Everyone else is a gamble.

ATL: NO is good vs the pass but 20th vs the run so Turner should have quite a solid day, and finish in the top 10 at RB on Sunday. White is of course a must start as well, but temper expectations of Ryan and Gonzales whom will find the Saints secondary a tough opponent.

New Orleans has their season possibly on the line while Atlanta is secured. NO 27-ATL 24.

WEEK 15 FANTASY/GAME PREVIEW

SF 49ERS @ SD CHARGERS:
c SF: So Alex Smith made a solid return last week and looked pretty good. Problem is it was against a weak opponent and how many times have we seen this from Smith throughout his career? He gets benched, comes back and has a good game, only to remind us he is Alex Smith the next week. It will be more of the same this week as he faces the SD 1st ranked pass defense. He and Crabtree were out of sync last week and even if they get it together it wont matter here. While Crabtree was a must start a few weeks ago, you hopefully have better options this week. He does have value since the 49ers will be passing a lot due to the score, but the Chargers don't need to worry about the run and will sit back on Smith all day long. Vernon Davis is the best start here, but don't expect a big day. Expect Crabtree and Davis fortunate if they hit double digit fantasy points.

SD: The Chargers destroyed a much better team last week and now face the 49er 19th ranked pass defense. The 49ers are actually 9th vs the run but dont let that impact starting Tolbert or not. Rivers pass abilities allow Tolbert room since defenses are on their heels and this week is no different. The bigger issue is the return of Matthews who will steal some carries and possibly a score. Turner seems hell bent on keeping him involved, so only trust Tolbert as a Flex or at best a #2 RB. If between a guy like Hightower or Felix Jones and Tolbert, i would go with them. Antonio Gates looks like he will again miss time and you wont know till kickoff if he is a go so have reserve options ready. At receiver, start Floyd and Jackson if they start and both are solid starts this week. Rivers should also end up as a top 5 QB performer on Sunday.

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The Chargers are now only a game back from the Chiefs and should roll on the 49ers whom have no offense without Frank Gore.... SD 34-SF 17.

 CLE BROWNS @ CIN BENGALS:
 CLE: The Browns situation is one of the few which week to week is the same review. Start Hillis and Watson and that's it. Hillis should have an especially great day vs the Bengals 24th Rush Defense but Watson may be a bit of a gamble since the Bengals are 13th vs the pass and will be able to slide extra coverage to Watson. Still, he is a better start than most TE's. Past these two, don't even think of starting another Brown. CIN: T.O. has returned and is blaming the ownership and coaches for their losing ways. Guess they won't be renewing his contract at season end. Benson makes a solid #2 RB start this week vs the Browns 23rd Rush Defense. This will help depending on weather conditions with the pass game. Palmer is far from a trustworthy start any week but if weather is decent he may be worth the gamble. The Browns are 15th vs the pass and given their hands will be full with Benson, both TO and Ocho make good starts this week. Each should score and at least give you 70 yards at minimum.

The Bengals get one of their few wins since they face a one dimensional opponent. Though that one dimension is pretty damn good. CIN 28-CLE 20.

WASH REDSKINS @ DAL COWBOYS:
WASH: The Skins are adept at finding ways to lose but face a team that will allow their 9th ranked pass game to shine. The Cowboys are 27th vs the pass and there really won't be much the Skins can do but throw. If you have Moss or Armstrong, each warrant consideration as WR#3 or Flex plays with good upside. Dallas is 17th vs the run but no Washington back has produced much the last few weeks so avoid them. This will be an air show, and one that could see Moss or Armstrong with multiple scores. Problem is figuring out which one. DAL: While this is a game that will produce plenty of fantasy points, it actually will hurt your Dallas players values a bit. Washington is 28th vs the pass and the run which means there will be success both through the air and ground. The Boys still like to run the ball and is Felix Jones and Choice are effective as I think they will be, it could hinder the pass stats a bit for your WR core. You have to start both Austin and Williams given the match up but temper your expectations if the run game gets going early. Kitna also makes a solid start this week.
The Cowboys still remember week one but Washington is far from what they were then. DAL 28- WASH 21.

HOU TEXANS @ TEN TITANS:
HOU: The Texans must be feeling the hangover after a tough loss on Monday but the Titans are a perfect cure. The Titans are 26th vs the pass and equally as bad vs the run. Start all your Texans this week and Jacoby Jones makes a good play as a WR #3 if you have a tough match up there. Arian Foster should be in beast mode again so look for another productive day from him. Start all your Texans confidently.
TEN: Britt took over for Moss last week so its safe to say Moss is a risky play. With Britt back, it also makes Washington another risky play so look for alternatives though Houston is the worst pass defense in the league. Houston last kept CJCJ and still worth a score. Figure him for about 12 points this week.

Houston seems to have the Titans number and round two of Finnegan vs Johnson will be fun to watch. HOU 24-TEN 17.

JACK JAGS @ IND COLTS:
JAGS: Believe it or not, this is a huge game for both teams and one that could help the Jags lock up the division for all intensive purposes. Though the Colts are 29th vs the run, the Jags pass game is ineffective and won't have the Colts worried. The Colts are actually 5th vs the pass and have the talent to man up on the outside and bring extra men up on MJD. Does it matter? MJD will find the holes and has been doing it even with extra men in the box so start him with confidence. Mercedes Lewis is the only other fantasy start here so forget about starting any Jags WR's.
IND: This will be another good week for Payton and the pass game as the Jags rank 29th vs the pass and have made lesser teams look good. Don't buy in yet on Garcon. He has had a very Simms-Walker type year, up and down and riddled with injury. Against the Jags he has a good shot at back to back performances, but I expect Tamme to be involved more after last week and Reggie Wayne to have a monster day. Obviously any Colt RB is untrustworthy so go with other options since it will be a highly effective pass day for Manning.

Though the Jags sit atop the division they are not as good as their record and it has been more the result of a slumping Colts team than any other reason. Colts are back after last week and should put the Jags back in their place. IND 31-JAX 20.

KC CHIEFS @ STL RAMS:
KC: The Chiefs missed Cassel last week as they were pounded by the Chargers who loaded the box vs the run. Cassel will be back this week and faces the Rams 23rd rated secondary which bodes well for Bowe and Moeaki as solid starts. Charles and Thomas will both get back on track vs the 12th rated Ram rush defense which is underrated but vulnerable. The fast turf should see some nice runs for Charles while Thomas gets a goal line carry for a score making him a decent #2 RB start.
STL: KC is in the bottom half vs the pass and 15th vs the run which is about the only thing STL does well. Expect the focus to of course be on Jackson but the man is a beast and will get his regardless how many men KC brings up front. The sleeper here will be Amendola who is worthy a look if you have some tough #3 WR/Flex match ups. Trust SJax and risk Amendola only based on your needs.

While this will be a better game than expected, KC gets Cassel back and the Rams will have to respect the pass game leaving the weak side open for the taking. KC 20-STL 17.

BUFF BILLS @ MIA DOLPHINS:
BUFF: The loss of Lee Evans should hurt Steve Johnson the rest of the way now that teams will be able to play more man and cover one since there is only one pass catching threat to worry about. That means extra help vs Jackson up front. Add to that the fact Miami just shut down a much more potent Jets team last week and now face another division rival. I would seriously think about starting either guy vs the Miami 7th ranked Pass and Rush defenses this week if you have options.
MIA: The Bills are a solid pass defense team but they are bottom of the barrel vs the run which means good numbers for Brown and Williams whom have struggled all year. Williams is a good start this week as a flex guy but Brown is a sure fire #2 RB with #1 potential in your line up. While Marshall will be the primary focus for the Bills corners, the run game should allow him at least a red zone look as the Bills stack up on the run in that situation. He is a decent start as your #3 WR.

Miami has to be feeling confident after last week and won't let down since this is another divisional game. MIA 24-BUFF 13.

PHI EAGLES @ NY GIANTS:
PHI: A major showdown with playoff implications, the Eagles will be looking to all but lock up a divisional title. It won't be easy however vs the Giants 2nd Pass defense and 5th Rush defense. While I would lean towards lowering expectations of your Eagles given the opponent, there is a good chance the fact they will have the ball often helps things. The Giants will be without Smith and Manningham which leaves only Nicks as the lone legit pass threat. The Eagles should be able to cause a good amount of 3 and outs so expectations will be met.
NYG: As stated, Manning is down to Nicks and you can bet the Eagles will bring the house against the run every play. The Eagles are 11th vs the run as it is and with no need to respect the pass it will make for a long day for Manning. While you can't sit Bradshaw this week, he will give you decent numbers but far from what the norm has been. Jacobs gets the bigger bump down given he is a more north/south guy which falls right into the Eagle's scheme.

The Eagles catch a break with the Giants injuries and lock up the division. PHI 20-NYG 17.

DET LIONS @ TB BUCCANEERS:
DET: The Lions are all about the pass and have a tough one here vs the Bucs 6th pass defense. The Bucs are 27th vs the run but given Best's ongoing toe issues and the lack of a run game you're not taking the risk anyway. Megatron will have a clear hiegth advantage over Rhonde Barber and makes a solid start since he is bound for a jump ball in the red zone. Brandon Pettigrew will also have a decent day since the injury plagued Bucs also lost Quincy Black last week.
TB: Thankfully for the Bucs defense, the offense should be able to put together long drives vs the Lions 17th pass defense and 22nd rush defenses. Mike Williams is a good start after a 14 yard performance last week and Blount has a good chance at putting up his best rushing day yet. Add Winslow as a solid start and if you're in a tight spot and have Aurellious Benn he has quietly become a big play threat for the Bucs and has sleeper potential.

The Bucs injury issues may make this closer than expected but should still pull it out. TB 24-DET 20.

ARI CARDINALS @ CAR PANTHERS:
ARI: The Cards finally face a team as bad as they are this week but Carolina has been improving and has the 11th pass defense. Tim Hightower is the guy you want to start if necessary but only if he's your best option. Fitzgerald will of course get his but consider him only a #2 WR option this week. Breaston will give you his normal numbers but should cap out at about 8 pts this week.
CAR: The only guy on this team to consider is Goodson vs Arizona' 30th rush defense. He could have a Hillis like day and I wouldn't be surprised to see him score twice. Steve Smith really didn't help things calling out Clausen this week but it can't get any worse. Don't consider Smith even against the 24th pass defense of Zona. Clausen is too unpredictable.

This is a toss up, but the ball control behind Goodson should be enough to win this one for Carolina. CAR 20-ARI 13.

NO SAINTS @ BAL RAVENS:
NO: The Saints went from no backfield to a crowded one now that Thomas is back. However, keep tabs on Chris Ivory's health after he strained his hammy last week. This will be another tough test as the Saints travel into cold weather and face the Ravens 14th pass and 8th rush defense. The weather should slow down Colston and Bush a bit so while they are good starts, don't expect monster days. Really weigh your options if you're thinking about Ivory,Thomas,or Meachem. Brees will also see the effects as well so expect about a 14 point day from him.
BAL: NO has the 4th ranked pass defense and are good at not allowing the deep ball so Mason takes a bit of a hit this week after probably winning your first round game for you. Boldin should be more reliable to give you his normal numbers with his underneath routes which are more effective vs a defense like this. The solid guy this week is Rice who faces the NO 16th rush defense. He will be extra involved in the pass game also and should wind up among the top 5 RB's in fantasy this week.

The last time the Saints went into cold weather in Cinci they should have been beat had the Bengals not self destructed. BALT 20-NO 17.

ATL FALCONS @ SEA SEAHAWKS:
ATL: The Falcons have been all but unstoppable this year and now face Seattle's 31st ranked secondary. Both Gonzo and White make top tier starts and Jenkins also could have a sleeper day if in a bind. Turner faces their 20th ranked rush defense and is also a top tier start. Atlanta should easily win the battle for time possession meaning plenty of touches for your Falcons.
SEA: Mike Williams has been banged up and now Deion Butler has been lost for the season leaving Tate as the lone healthy option for Seattle. Expect Forsett to see a lot of action in the pass game but to top out at 10 pts if he's lucky. Lynch has been hitting a groove, but against the Atlanta 13th rush defense, he will come back to earth. Avoid Seattle players if able.

The only thing that could derail the Falcons this week is the weather. ATL 31-SEA 13.

DEN BRONCOS @ OAK RAIDERS:
DEN: Orton is still putting up decent numbers despite his struggles but faces Oakland's 12th pass defense on the road. Oakland seems to be getting back on track defensively despite last week's debacle and their 26th rush defense does have the ability to play better against a rusher like Moreno. Moreno was effective catching out of the backfield last time these two met and is a risky Flex play who could do well or just as easily fall flat. You have to start Lloyd but know that he too could easily give you single digit points. All Broncos are risky starts this week despite the head coaching change and a divisional foe.
OAK: Despite the let down, Mcfadden had a great game and had a career day vs the Broncos 31st rush defense last time they played. Mcfadden is another top 5 start this week and Bush could make a solid #2 option if you are struggling for a start decision. Passing wise, all the Raiders make high risk high reward plays because of Campbell's inconsistency week to week. Start them, but only as Flex or #3 WR plays.

Oakland is still in the hunt while the Broncos are eliminated. They would still love to play spoiler but the talent isn't there defensively. OAK 24-DEN 21.

NY JETS @ PIT STEELERS:
NYJ: As if last week wasn't enough, the Jets now travel to Pittsburgh and face the top rated rush defense. Sanchez is a different guy without the run game and despite the Steelers 25th pass defense, he will struggle again here. Greene is coming back from a neck injury and isn't a good play regardless. LT has value as a pass catcher and is really the only start worthy guy here. Holmes and Edwards are start worthy but risky given Sanchez' mind set and recent struggles.
PIT: The Jets 3rd rush defense should be able to shut down Mendenhall this week but will have some issues in the pass game. The return of Miller helps Ward this week and will be more than the Jets secondary can handle. Wallace has the best match up if Cromartie is assigned to him as Cromartie is prone to giving up deep balls despite his ability. Ward will have a decent day curling and slanting under Revis but the sleeper day will go to Randle-El and Miller whom will both have the best match ups.

The Jets and Steelers are going in different directions. PIT 20-NYJ 17.

GB PACKERS @ NE PATRIOTS:
GB: While Rogers still has a chance to play if he passes his concussion testing, the weather and opponent don't bode well for the Packers regardless. Starks has been a solid addition since returning but if the Rodgersless Pack couldn't score on Detroit it won't change here. Unfortunately, the values of Jennings and Driver are tied to Rodgers so wait and see till Friday before you plan on starting your Packers.
NE: The short game has everyone remembering the 07 team and for good reason. Brady has been as effective as he has since and spreading the ball around to everyone. Its keeping defenses off balance and allowing for the best match ups to take advantage of the situation. While GB is 8th vs the pass, expect a lot of short unproductive drives from the Pack if Rodgers is out which means plenty of touches for your Pats.

Given the situation, NE has no problems if Rodgers is out. The Pats have not turned the ball over in 5 straight games. NE 24-GB 17.

CHI BEARS @ MIN VIKINGS:
CHI: Last week was one to forget for the Bears and you could make the case that it was the weather. This week they face a very balanced and good Vikings defense. The good news is the Bears offense could be on the field often if the Vikes have to start Webb again which means Forte will get plenty of touches. Both Knox and Olsen make decent starts, with Knox as a #3 WR start. Cutler is too unreliable and given the opponent and possible weather conditions it may be best to start another option if you have one.
MIN: Easily put, if Webb starts, bench your Vikings outside of A.P. Even then, temper expectations as the Bears will leave man coverage on Rice and Harvin and take the risk with Webb beating them rather than letting AP beat them.

Chicago faces the Vikings at the right time. CHI 24-MIN 13.

WEEK 14 PLAYOFF ANALYSIS

NOTE: ( ) will denote what tier start the player ranks as....1st tier is a guy you should start no matter what your options, 2nd is a guy worthy of your number 2 spot, and Flex is the lower of the three which carries risk.

COLTS @ TITANS:

TENN: What more could you ask for than the 29th Rush Defense as a cure to CJ's recent tough times. He is a sure fire monster this week and if you're concerned about the last two weeks, don't be. Two weeks ago he faced a Houston team that kept him to 5 yards on 7 carries but he had a third string QB handing him the ball. Houston was able to basically bring 9 guys and contain Johnson. Last week was Collins first game back, and we saw improvement for CJ vs an under rated Jacksonville rush defense. This week he faces the Colts whom are in big trouble and have struggled to stop far lesser backs. Not only that, but the Colts don't have the talent to stack the box and defend the pass in man coverage so this is a prime start for CJ. The only other guy you should look at even considering as a start would be Nate Washington who is their top threat but will be limited because of Collins.

COLTS: As bad as the Colts are against the run, so are the Titans vs the pass. Ranked 23rd, they have made weaker QB's look like Pro Bowlers. This is the game where Manning gets his groove back and both Wayne and Tamme make solid starts again. If you notice, Peyton has become increasingly frustrated with White and the Colt supporting cast and has turned to the guys he knows he can trust, sometimes forcing the ball. He will rely on these two guys all day, and both will score. Also, Colts president Bill Polian has stated that Austin Collie, Bob Sanders, and Joseph Addai will be out for this one.

The Titan defense has been miserable the last few weeks but the Colts have been equally as miserable at putting up scores too. This week things change and Colts win a close one. IND 24-TEN 21.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Reggie Wayne (2T), Jacob Tamme (1T), Peyton Manning (1T), Chris Johnson (1T) .

BROWNS @ BILLS:

BROWNS: The Bills are the worst rush defense in the NFL which makes monster Peyton Hillis my top RB for week 14. There is no reason he should be the most productive RB this week given nobody has been able to stop this guy. If you have Ben Watson, he is the only other must start guy and has quietly been a top fantasy TE throughout the year.

BILLS: The Browns are 20th vs the run and Fred Jackson continues to be one of the most undervalued RB's in fantasy. He is a solid start, but the problem is that the Browns are also 20th vs the pass. If Fitzpatrick gets a hot start, this could limit Jackson's value a bit though he is virtually a sure thing to score at least one TD. He will give you double digits, but depending on who your options are this week is one of those guys who may give you a tough time in deciding which to start. I consider him a solid #2 RB who will finish about 10th among RB's this Sunday. I also see Steve Johnson as a must start since Evans will be lining up across from Whitner and has the tougher match up. This could also be one of Johnson's better days and would see him amongst the top 10 WR's this week.

While Hillis will have a field day here, the Bills are a more balanced team offensively which will keep Cleveland on their toes. BUFF 28-CLE 20.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Peyton Hillis (1T), Ben Watson (1T), Fred Jackson (2T), Steve Johnson (2T).

BENGALS @ STEELERS:

BENGALS: Their misery continues last week as they continue to find ways to lose each week. The most concerning point last week was how Ochocinco was held to zero points almost till halftime and how he did not produce much more until garbage time. T.O. did have a score, but he too was somewhat limited in producing throughout the game. Granted this was all against a top pass defense, but the combination of Palmer's accuracy issues and a lack of cohesiveness all year make your Bengals very untrustworthy. This week they face a much weaker secondary, but the Steelers have the top rush defense and will be able to contain the under achieving Benson without bringing help into the box. This will leave some extra help in coverage against both Ocho and TO. Look for average yardage from both and a decent chance at a score for both if the Bengals are able to get into the red zone.

STEELERS: The Bengals are decent vs the pass, but are 24th vs the run which makes for a great day coming for Mendenhall. Heath Miller looks like he will be held out due to a concussion he suffered on Sunday night, so you can bet Mendenhall will be used a bit more in the pass game as well. This should also benefit Hines Ward who runs those intermediate routes and will probably see more targets as a result.

While this is always a fun game to watch and will be a closer one than expected, the Steelers should have no problem taking it. PITT 31-CINCI 24.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Ochocinco (3T), T.O. (3T), Benson (Flex only) Ward (2T) Mendenhall (1T) Wallace (2T)

PACKERS @ LIONS:

PACK: After last week's dismantling of the 49ers, you were hopefully fortunate enough to pick up James Starks who looks like the lead back from here on out. He is a far better option than Jackson and should have no problem running all over the Lions 25th rush defense. While the Lions are middle of the pack vs the pass, we all saw what GB did to a SF team with better talent at the corner position. All your Packers warrant starting spots this week and Starks is the safer play over Jackson who carries no value at this point.

LIONS: Simply put, the only guy you should be willing to play this week is Megatron. Given what is on the line however, take into consideration he will be facing Woodson most the game and will see double coverage all day. When he's not covered by Woodson, it will be Tremon Williams who is quietly having a stellar season and even outplaying Woodson to this point. So much so that the Packers have extended his contract. Burleson is a definite no play and Megatron should not be considered a top tier guy this week. You gotta start him, but keep your expectations in check. Don't even consider starting Best despite his decent performance last week.

The Pack are in the thick of things right now and will not be victims of playing down to the competition this week. GB 34-DET 17.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Rogers (1T) Jennings (1T) Driver (3T) Starks (2T) Calvin Johnson (2T)

GIANTS @ VIKINGS:

NYG: Bradshaw seems to be trustworthy again, but he will be facing a Vikings team that has gone 2-0 under Frazier and is playing up to expectations. The Vikes have moved up to 4th vs the run and will be one of Bradshaw and Jacobs tougher tests. Given that Manning is limited with his weapons still and all the Giants can really do is run, look for the Vikes to stack the box and shut down the Giants run game. This will leave Manningham and Manning as the primary offense, but the connection is far from the one he has with Nicks and things could sour quickly if Manning has an off day. While Manning is most likely the QB 2 on your team, really look at your other options based on match up and see if he is worth the start. As for Bradshaw and Jacobs, Bradshaw is the one you want to take a risk on, but don't expect a huge day from him either.

VIKES: Favre will practice Thursday and coach says if he can throw then he can play. Either way, Tavaris has Rice and Harvin owners comfortable with him after last weeks performance. Problem here is the Giants are 2nd vs the pass and 7th vs the run so this will be a war of attrition. Despite the Giants solid pass game, there will be holes for the Vikings to find. The Giants rarely face a team with as many weapons as the Vikings and this isn't the Childress Vikings. This team will take shots with nothing to lose and catch the Giants off guard on a few plays. Look for Harvin and Schiancoe to get the numbers in the pass game since they will find space in the middle of the field and Harvin has the versatility to line up at multiple positions to create a mismatch. Peterson will be held in check for the most part, but should be good for a score with about 70 yards.

This should be one of the best defensive games of the week barring a Jets like collapse and the Vikings multiple talents offensively help them squeeze out a close one at home. MIN 20-NYG 17.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Harvin (3T) Peterson (2T) Schiancoe (2T) Bradshaw (2T) Jacobs (Flex)

BUCCANEERS @ REDSKINS:

TB:What little resistance Legarette Blount would have faced against the 28th ranked Redskin rush defense evaporated with the Haynesworth suspension this week. Blount could wind up as a top ten back overall for this weekend. Mike Williams is a sure fire start this week also against the Skins 29th pass defense though he will see a lot of Hall in coverage. However, Hall is not the speedster he once was and will get caught. Freeman is probably your back up QB but will have to be strongly considered moving into your starting line up if you have a starter like Eli Manning, Flacco, Palmer, etc. Freeman makes the move from the 2nd tier group to tier one this week.

WASH: The Bucs top ten pass defense took a hit this week, losing Aquib Talib to injury and now will be forced to put rookie Myron Lewis in Nickel packages. This will also have E.J. Biggers step into the lead corner role and will square off against Anthony Armstrong. Believe it or not, I think this is actually a good match up for the speedy Biggers whom is a very able corner with the ability to handle Armstrong. Also, he will have safety Sean Jones as help over the top. This week it will be Santana Moss who is the one to trust more as he squares off against Rhonde Barber and will only have the inexperienced Corey Lynch as help over the top. This should be the side to exploit, and Moss should be able to get a score and some decent yardage. Where the Bucs struggle is in their 26th rush defense. Still, Williams or Torain are not great plays since the Bucs were able to keep both Ray Rice and Mike Turner in relative check the last two games and have looked very good vs the rush. As most Redskin games, the scoring will take place through the air, and though nobody here is truly trust worthy as a start, I would error on the side of Moss if you have to use a Skin this week. Avoid it if possible though due to the inconsistency week to week fantasy wise.

This is a game that could easily go either way despite the fact Tampa is the more disciplined and talented team. TB 21-WASH 20.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Legarrette Blount (1T) Mike Williams (1T) Freeman (1T) Moss (2T) Armstrong (Flex) Williams, Keiland (Flex)

FALCONS @ PANTHERS:

ATL: Atlanta is doing what good teams do and finding ways to win on bad days. They escaped another one vs the Bucs and will stay in the division this week. The Panthers oddly enough are a defense that ranks almost exactly like the Bucs, 7th vs the pass, and 28th vs the run. Turner will again be a solid option, I'm guessing somewhere around 100 total yards and a score. Roddy White faces a tough match up for the second week straight, now having a Carolina defense that is good at not allowing the deep ball. Gonzalez did roll his ankle vs the Bucs and it has yet to be seen how reliable he will be. You have to start White and Turner, but trusting anyone else is a risk.

CAR: Despite all of their struggles and weaknesses, anyone who has actually allowed themselves to watch a Carolina game will tell you they are improving. Clausen is still very much a young rookie making all the mistakes, but he is getting better at his reads and shows great accuracy and strength at times. Mike Goodson should still be able to post decent numbers vs the Atlanta 8th rush defense, and even Steve Smith warrants consideration if you are in a bind since Atlanta is 26th vs the pass.

I almost came through on the Bengals upset last week, and for some reason I get the same feeling that the Panthers could upset the Falcons this week. CAR 24-ATL 20.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Turner (1T) White (2T) Ryan (2T) Gonzo (2T) Goodson (2T) Smith (Flex)

RAIDERS @ JAGUARS:

OAK: The last time the Raiders beat the Chargers it set off a win streak that saw the Raiders playing some great ball. After doing it again, the Raiders face a cup cake match up vs the Jags and their 27th pass defense and 17th rush defense. The Jags are a very bad defensive team no matter where they are playing and for the first time in a while, Louis Murphy makes a good start this week. Both McFadden and Bush make great plays this week and each could realistically see a score this week. While Murphy will have his opportunity, Jacoby ford is obviously the safer play of the two. Overall, the Raiders WR core is not one you can trust despite good match ups because of QB play. You never know which Campbell is going to show up and it could kill your WR on any week.

JAGS: The Raiders are 23rd vs the run and MJD has been running like a mad man against 8 and 9 defensive fronts like last week vs the Titans. MJD should be good for two scores in this one and will be a top five RB performer at Sunday's end. At WR it's far from a reliable group you can depend on so avoid them if possible. If you must start one, Thomas is the logical choice since he will not be matched up with Asomugha and has the best chance at some actual production.

This is a game that will be a great ground war and could possibly provide 2 rushers that are top 5 scorers at the position when all is said and done. This will also be a kickers dream, so look for lots of scoring from Scobee and Janikowski. A field goal is the difference here. OAK 31-JAC 28.

PLAYOFF STARTS: MJD (1T) Thomas (Flex) Scobee (1T) McFadden (1T) Bush (Flex) Ford (Flex) Murphy (Flex)

SEAHAWKS @ 49ERS:

SEA: At 6-6 and tied with the Rams, this is a game that has playoff implications? Part of the reason for the 49ers recent success is their return to solid run defense where they now rank 10th, but surprisingly still have issues vs the pass, coming in at 17th. Marshawn Lynch had a beast day last week but will find it harder on the road this week. On the road he has only hit double digits twice out of six games, but they constituted his only two scores of the season until last week. He is a safe flex play here depending on your options but not reliable as one of your two starting backs if you have options. Receiving wise, stay away from the Seahawks regardless what the match up says. Nobody has been consistent and are risky even as a flex play.

49ERS: I told you to be weary of Westbrook last week and his 31 yards proved to be right. While he faces a Seattle team ranked 21st vs the run this week, it remains to be seen if his legs are dependable this far along in his career. He has high risk/reward, but it's the playoffs and do you really want to risk it? Unfortunately you may not have many options and I think he is safest as a Flex play. Both Crabtree and Davis are far more reliable options and each has great match ups against the Seattle 30th ranked pass defense.

The 49ers are playing more to their potential as of late and this is a game that can put them right in the hunt again. SF 20-SEA 17.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Lynch (Flex) Westbrook (Flex) Crabtree (1T) Davis (1T)

RAMS @ SAINTS:

STL: Thankfully for the Rams, the Saints are weak against the run, ranking 15th. S. Jax will carry a heavy load as always and has looked increasingly good the last few weeks. He seems to be running with the power and speed normally seen from him at the start of the year. The Saints do have the talent to man up in the secondary and bring help vs Jackson so it will bring down his potential top five scoring day to the lower part of the top ten when all is said and done. Amendola is not a good start this week so roll with Jax and avoid all your other Rams.

NO: They are finally back to looking like the Saints of old, but barring a neutral zone penalty last week would have lost to the Bengals. Now they are back at home and face a Ram secondary ranked 19th. Great news for Colston, Meachem, Bush and Brees. Chris Ivory also carries good value this week as I expect the Saints to be up by the start of the 4th and pound Ivory to run the clock. If it's a closer game, the Rams do have a decent run defense and can hold him in check, making him more of a #2 RB/Flex play.

The Saints should have no problem with the Rams. NO 32-STL 20.

PLAYOFF STARTS: S. Jackson (1T) Colston (1T) Meachem (Flex) Bush (Flex) Ivory (2T)

DOLPHINS @ JETS:

MIA: The Dolphins pass game has been extra stagnant without Marshall 100% and it looks like Hartline may possibly be headed to the IR. This leaves Bess and Fasano as the only two real options in the pass game, but it's what this does to the run game that hurts most. Without any threat of Henne beating them through the air, the Jets will be able to load up vs the run and stop Brown and Williams whom both are having down years. Each guy is no more than a Flex start if you must but I do think Fasano will carry some value since he will be the only one able to find space and move the chains. After the embarrassment the Jets went through on Monday night you can bet they will be playing their best football especially on defense.

JETS: The Dolphins do have a solid pass defense ranked 5th, and their rush defense comes in at 9 which also is a good unit. The problem is they will be spread thin with the Jets weapons and the Jets should dominate the time of possession, meaning more fantasy points for your Jets players. I like both Greene and LT as starters, with Greene obviously more of a Flex/#2 back and since Edwards will have Vontae Davis on him I like what Holmes should be able to do. You can also bet Rex will have Keller be more involved this week in the hopes of getting Sanchez back on track and completing some easy passes after the 3 pick night vs New England.

There should be no stopping the Jets and they will be prepared to get back on track after a national debacle. NYG 31-MIA 17.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Fasano (1T) Brown (Flex) Keller (1T) Holmes (1T) Edwards (2T) LT (1T) Greene (Flex)

BRONCOS @ CARDINALS:

DEN: The firing of Mcdaniels spoke volumes of where this team is and they were able to use spy gate 2 as an excuse. Though I wouldn't expect a Cowboys/Vikings like resurgence, I do like the match up here since Arizona is incapable of stopping a Pony League team. Moreno, Lloyd and Orton are all top tier starts, while Gaffney makes a solid Flex/#3 WR play who should give you minimum 8 pts.

ARI: Both Hightower and Wells have been huge bombs this year, but they face a Denver rush defense even worse than theirs ranked at 31st. Wells if healthy makes a good #2 RB start and should be good for a score. Fitzgerald is obviously a must start, and I like him here against a banged up Denver secondary. Putting him around 11 fantasy points should be a realistic projection.

Though Arizona is facing one of the few teams as bad as they are, Orton and the spread attack will be too much for the Cards to handle. DEN 28-ARI 17.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Moreno (1T) Lloyd (1T) Gaffney (Flex/3T) Orton (1T) Fitzgerald (2T) Wells (2T)

CHIEFS @ CHARGERS:

KC: This is one of if not the biggest game of the year so far for the Chiefs as they look to hold on to the divisional lead and end the Chargers season. The Chargers have seen them year in and out and know what the Chiefs plan will be which is run, run, run. This time around however, the Chiefs pass game is far from an afterthought as Bowe has blossomed into a top fantasy WR now. The Chargers do have one of the best overall defenses in the NFL coming in at 5th vs the run and 1st vs the pass. This will be a very tough game for the Chiefs so temper expectations. Charles because of his versatility and elusiveness makes a decent #2 RB start, but I would avoid the more commonplace straight running style of Thomas Jones this week. Bowe should also be considered a Flex guy this week with #2 potential. The biggest benefactor here is Moeaki whom will see lots of space as the Chargers LB core focus on keeping Charles contained.

SD: The Chiefs do have a decent rush defense but are 21st vs the pass and guess what the Chargers do well? It remains to be seen if V.Jax is a for sure start or not, but if he is a go it's a top tier start for him. Gates and Floyd if healthy are also top tier starts of course, but I would stop there and not risk Naanee, or Davis if they are go's this week. Tobert will most likely be good for at least a goal line score, but don't expect him to get a ton of yardage vs the Chiefs 12th ranked rush defense.

The Chargers know what to expect this week and need this one desperately. The lack of another true #2 WR is what hurts the Chiefs this week and makes this division one of the more interesting ones to watch. SD 31-KC 27.

PLAYOFF STARTS: Charles (1T) Jones (Flex) Bowe (3T/Flex) Gates (1T) Floyd (2T) Rivers (1T) V. Jax (1T) (If he plays)

PATRIOTS @ BEARS

NE: I've said it before, that these Pats are very reminiscent of the early 2000's crew that were not full of studs but spread the ball around and chipped away at you. Ironic that Branch is back with the team and this is the case. This week, they will face a Bears team which has improved it's pass defense issues but still comes in at at 13th. Brady will of course look to take advantage of the mismatches so like Monday night, expect a lot of Welker, Branch, and Woodhead with a bit of Hernandez. Forget BJE coming close to his performance on Monday as this Bear team will not be primed for the same fate as the Jets. It will be a heavy pass day for NE and Brady who makes a great play this week.

CHI: The Patriots are one of the weaker defensive units in the NFL but The Hoodie is good at one thing week in and out...taking away your teams best player. For the Bears, that is Matt Forte whom really is the base of this offense both passing and running. Expect him to have a tough day and force Cutler to beat the Pats through the air with limited weapons. We should see a heavy day for Olsen who will need to be very involved. Hester warrants sleeper start status if and only if you're in a bind this week. I wouldn't trust Knox this week either since he is likely to see extra coverage.

If the Bears pull this out it will be because of their defense, but the short pass spread attack of the Patriots will be the difference. They are tailor made for the game they are playing with a bunch of speedy YAC guys. NE 24-CHI 21

PLAYOFF STARTS: Welker (2T) Branch (2T) Woodhead (Flex) Brady (1T) Forte (Flex) Olsen (1T)

EAGLES @ COWBOYS:

PHI: While the Cowboys are playing the best ball of the season, they have yet to see a weapon like Vick. The Cowboys are a balance but average defense, prone to giving up the big play and will have a tough time stopping all of the Eagle weapons. Vick with his speed on turf should have another stellar performance as will the rest of your Eagles fantasy players. All make top tier starts.

DAL: Tashard Choice was told he earned more playing time by Garrett and makes a decent sleeper play if your 2nd RB is banged up or has a tough match up. The Eagles are 14th vs the run and 17th vs the pass so this is a game where all starters from both teams will make top tier plays. Give Roy Williams a boost as well now that Bryant's season is over, though in reality this will make it easier for the Eagles pass defense to know what is coming. Samuel should be able to keep Austin to an average yardage day with a score. Look for a heavy dose of Felix Jones and Choice whom both make solid starts this week.

PLAYOFF STARTERS: ALL YOUR EAGLES ARE TOP TIER STARTS! DAL: Jones (1T) Choice (Flex) Austin (2T)

RAVENS @ TEXANS:

BAL: Baltimore is playing the worst pass defense in the NFL....start them all if you have them other than TJ Houshmenzadeh who is far from a playoff start you want to risk.

HOU: Baltimore is 6th vs the run and 11th vs the pass which fits well into the scheme the Texans run regardless. Temper expectations for Andre Johnson, whom has struggled against the better secondaries in the NFL. All eyes will be on him, so expect more of a 2nd tier performance this week instead of his normal big numbers. The guy who should see an amazing amount of work is Foster who will be the only chance the Texans have of winning this game. Schaub also gets a bump down to 2nd tier status as well because of the match up.

The Ravens have enough talent to stop the Texans often enough that the Offense takes advantage of the very poor Houston pass defense. BAL 28-HOU 17.

PLAYOFF STARTS: All BALTIMORE PLAYERS ARE 1st TIER STARTS. HOU: Schaub (2T) Johnson (2T) Foster (1T)

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PREVIEW

NY JETS @ NE PATRIOTS:

JETS: They are one of the few teams who continue to find ways to win, but this can be a drawback as much as an asset. The Jets have had to pull out 2 OT wins in three weeks and it wasn't against top tier teams either. Sanchez has been able to make critical passes when needed, but he is still prone to some bone headed throws and though the Pats are collectively a mediocre defense, they have been good at taking advantage of mistakes the last few weeks. Hopefully you had better options at QB which you already started because I don't trust Sanchez on this type of stage on the road. The Hoodie is great at developing schemes which ensure your best player is shut down, and he knows everything the Jets do runs through L.T. Look for him to be the focus of this defense and force Sanchez to beat them. Both LT and Greene make decent plays, but I think they come below expectations. The red hot Santonio Holmes is the guy you will want tonight as he has the best match up and will torch the NE secondary for a score.

PATS: The Jets are one of the best vs the run and BJE is far from an elite back. BJE may get a short yardage score, but that's only a small possibility. Revis will in all likely hood be running with Tate, leaving Branch and Welker to deal with Cromartie who is prone to giving up a few big gainers throughout the game. Welker and Branch make great starts as will Brady whom I see throwing quite often. Hernandez vs the Jets LB core will make an interesting match up to watch tonight and will be one of his tougher tests.

This is a playoff game before the playoffs and though the Jets defense is far more superior, Sanchez makes mistakes still and Brady understands the importance of ball security. I think Sanchez gets rattled early and Pats win. NE 24- NYJ 17.

FANTASY STARTS: NYJ: LT (13 for 45 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 30 yds) Holmes (4 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Edwards (5 for 60 yds.)

PATS: Welker (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Branch (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Hernandez (4 for 45 yds. 1 TD)

SLEEPER: Woodhead NE.....With BJE being more of a typical runner who will struggle tonight, Woodhead offers the versatility to catch in space from out of the backfield which will be a highly important aspect to use vs this defense.

WEEK 13 FANTASY/GAME PREVIEW

TEXANS @ EAGLES:
HOU- (12th Passing Offense, 7th Rushing Offense, 31st Pass Defense, 10th rushing Defense) They escaped losing Andre Johnson to suspension and Foster continues to be the force that drives this offense. They face an Eagles team now 1st in interceptions, 1st in passes defended and 12th vs the run. To make matters worse, the Eagles will probably get Assante Samuel this week. Look for a plan similar to the Bears execution last week. Plenty of short throws and middle of the field routes. Foster will be used a bit more in the pass game since the Eagles are a bit weaker through the air. However, the birds have the talent to all but shut down Andre Johnson this week and should be effective stopping him. Look for Jones or Walter to be more involved and relied on more than usual. The Eagles LB's are fast enough to keep pace with Foster which is why Jones and Walter will see more action.
PHILA: (6th Passing Offense, 3rd Rush Offense, 16th Pass Defense, 12th rush Defense) Mike Vick should easily get back on track this week against a defense not nearly as fast or disciplined as Chicago's. Both Maclin and Jackson should have great days and Vick's run ability will keep the decent Houston run defense worried about closing the outside gaps which opens things up the middle for McCoy. All of your Eagles will make solid plays here.

The return of Samuel and a tough loss will have the Eagles focused and ready to let off some steam. PHI 31-HOU 20.

FANTASY STARTS: HOU: Foster (13 for 55 yds./ 6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Johnson (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD)
PHI: Vick (270 yds. 2 TD/ 4 for 45 yds. 1 TD) McCoy (11 for 65 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 30 yds.) Maclin ( 4 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Jackson ( 6 for 110 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: K. Walter HOU....As stated, Schaub will be needing a secondary target and should find both Walter and Jones open often. One of these two gets a score, leaning to Walter.

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BILLS @ VIKINGS:
BUFF ( 21st Pass Offense, 17th Rush Offense, 11th Pass Defense, 32nd Rush Defense) Not much has gone right for the Bills lately, but they will get CJ Spiller back this week though he is far from a major contributor. The Vikings defense is especially strong at home and much faster. The Bills are going to throw as always and try to attack the Vikings secondary which is their weakest unit ranked at 14th. Steve Johnson should do well here as he wishes to make ammends for the dropped pass last week. Buffalo should be down and playing catch up early so Jackson makes a weak play while Johnson and Evans are the guys you can trust to give you 8 or more points this week.
 VIKINGS: ( 18th Pass Offense, 10th Rush Offense, 14th Pass Defense, 5th Rush Defense) AP chose a bad week to sprain his ankle and while they say its only a sprain, if it is a high ankle sprain you can expect him to miss two weeks. Gerhardt makes a great replacement and should have a solid day againt the league's worst rush defense. However, he is not AP and is more of a north/south runner which will make things a bit easier for the Bills. I see the Vikes having some good numbers in the pass game, especially Schiancoe and Harvin since Rice will be dealing with Whitner all day. If AP does play after all, it could be a 20pt. day for him, but it looks doubtful so far. 

The Vikings are playing inspired ball with Frazier and will not let down here. MIN 24-BUF 17.

 FANTASY STARTS: BUF: Johnson (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Evans (5 for 60 yds.) Jackson (13 for 55 yds. 1 TD) MIN: Gerhadt (13 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Harvin (4 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Rice (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Schiancoe (3 for 45 yds) SLEEPER: CJ Spiller BUF....he has done nothing all year to make a big impact but he will be used to get in space this week and have some value as a receiver.

 BROWNS @ DOLPHINS:
 MIA: (13th Pass Offense, 18th Rush Offense, 6th Pass Defense, 14th Rush Defense) Expect Henne to have one of his better days against a weak Browns secondary. Marshall should be closer to 100% this week and looks like a go although listed as day to day. Both Brown and Williams will have success as well though Brown is the better play. Miami is usually good at beatting the teams they should and this week is one of them.
 CLE: (29th Pass Offense, 12th Rush Offense, 21st Pass Defense, 21st Rush Defense) The Biggest problem for the Browns is they can't keep up with the score. Peyton Hillis has been a monster and if this defense could hold teams they would be in better position. Delhomme seems to be airing it out more with conviction, but it could have been his want to beat his former team which prompted that last week. Hillis will of course have great value and is a must start, but temper your expectations this week. Miami has the horses to man up and allow their athletic LB's chase Hillis down.

 Cleveland's inability to move the ball through the air kills them once again. MIA 24-CLE 14.

 FANTASY STARTS: CLE: Hillis (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Watson (6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) MIA: Marshall (6 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Brown (15 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Fasano (3 for 45 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: R. Williams MIA....While Brown usually gets the goal line carries lately, this is a match up which could produce a double digit day for Williams despite fewer touches.

 JAGS @ TITANS:
JACK: (26th Pass Offense, 4th Rush Offense, 28th Pass Defense, 20th Rush Defense) The Titans have been improving as of late and face a Titan defense weak vs the pass. Finnegan will most likely be on Thomas and Finnegan has the ability to shut him down. As always, the Jags will pound MJD but I think he does the most damage in catching instead of on the ground. Look for Karim Osgood to have a good game if Finnegan does indeed follow Mike Thomas around. Mercedes Lewis is the key here and has the potential to put up another multi score day.
TEN: (31st Pass Offense, 11th Rush Offense, 27th Pass Defense, 17th Rush Defense) The Titans get Collins back this week and he will have a solid day against one of the worst secondaries. This is the week if ever Moss finds the end zone again and CJ2K should have a monster day as he tries to shake off a 5 yard on 7 carry day last week.
 Both teams are facing similar destinies and each seems well suited for one another. This one could become a fantasy feast for your players. TEN 31-JAX 28.

 FANTASY STARTS: JAGS: Osgood (4 for 80 yds. 1 TD) MJD (14 for 65 yds./ 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Thomas (4 for 55 yds) Lewis (5 for 60 yds. 2 TD) TEN: CJ2K (16 for 110 yds. 2 TD) Moss (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Washington (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: J. Ringer TEN....Ringer doesn't get the touches to warrant a start, but his limited use will reap some good results this week.

 BRONCOS @ CHIEFS:
 DEN: (2nd Pass Offense, 30th Rush Offense, 19th Pass Defense, 31st Rush Defense) The Broncos will in all likely hood abandon the run this week and Orton will throw 40 times easily. The Chiefs are 7th vs the run but can be passed on and don't have the depth to cover all of the Broncos pass weapons. No doubt the focus will be on Lloyd so expect Royal and Gaffney to see more action.
 KC: (28th Pass Offense, 1st Rush Offense, 25th Pass Defense, 7th Rush Defense) Charles and Jones are both primed for huge days against a defense that has given up many of the best performances to opposing running backs. While KC has a poor pass rank, it should be taken with a grain of salt because of its effectiveness. The Cassel to Bowe connection has been amazing the last seven games which has seen Bowe post career numbers. Expect a heavy dose of Jones and Charles in a game where they both have RB 1 potential as starters.

 Arrowhead is one of the toughest places to win and the Broncos have struggled to get it done at home much less on the road. KC 31- DEN 24.

 FANTASY STARTS: DEN: Lloyd (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Gaffney (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Royal (8 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Orton (280 yds. 3 TD/ 1 INT) KC: Charles (17 for 110 yds. 1 TD/4 for 50 yds.) Jones (15 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Bowe ( 4 for 75 yds. 1 TD)
 SLEEPER: Moreno DEN....While he has zero value as a runner, he has produced catching out of the back field and I could see a 55 yd day for him with a possible score. He is a lower tier sleeper so find options.

 REDSKINS @ GIANTS:
WASH: (9th Pass Offense, 25th Rush Offense, 29th Pass Defense, 27th Rush Defense) The Skins face one of the tougher rush defenses this week and are already in a position of weakness there with Torain still mending from injury and not at top shape. Regardless. the Skins will rely on Mcnabb to make some plays through the air as they have most the year. What Washington does have is an opportunistic secondary who can make you pay. They face a Giants team down to one dependable WR. Washington will look to stack the box and stop the run game and make Eli beat them with limited weapons. Moss has the tougher match up here so look for Armstrong to do most the damage if any against this top pass defense.
NYG: (10th Pass Offense, 6th Rush Offense, 1st Pass Defense, 9th Rush Defense) The answer to what they will do is easy....RUN! The Skins are weak overall and while the pass game can be effective, Coughlin understands why risk it when you have two backs with the ability to run over the Skins all day.

 This one could be closer than expected if Manning turns the ball over or Bradshaw fumbles again. Giants should be able to limit the mistakes. NYG 24-WASH 17.

 FANTASY STARTS: WASH: Armstrong (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Moss (4 for 45 yds.) Williams (12 for 50 yds. 1 TD) NYG: Bradshaw (17 for 95 yds. 1 TD) Jacobs (13 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Manningham (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD)
 SLEEPER: Cooley WAS....He has been awefully quiet this year and may be the key to the Skins moving the ball. A good shot for a score though you are most likely starting him if you have him.

 SAINTS @ BENGALS:
NO: (4th Passing Offense, 23rd Rush Offense, 2nd Pass Defense, 15th Rush Defense) Chris Ivory has been running harder as the season wares on and the return of Bush seems to have actually made things easier for him. He has a great match up here, as does Bush who now has a week of play under his belt. Though Cinci is decent vs the pass, they have done worse against lesser teams. All your Saints are start worthy this week, but as Bush gets healthier it may limit both Moore's and Ivory's potential if you are looking at the playoffs. CINCI: (11th Pass Offense, 24th Rush Offense, 12th Pass Defense, 24th Rush Defense.) The big question here is if the Bengals have mailed it in or not. This may be the last game we see any fight in them and it would be a huge morale booster if they can somehow get it done. The problem has been Carson and his accuracy. He has been sporadic at best and is facing one of the tougher pass defenses he has seen yet. While Benson does have a good match up here, I still think Ocho and TO carry some value as WR's 3 since the Bengals will most likely be playing from behind....or maybe not.....

 While all rationale says otherwise, the Saints did get dumped on by Cleveland and Arizona whom are equally as bad as the Bengals. Now add in the Saints first cold weather game and....CIN 27-NO 24.

 FANTASY STARTS: NO: Colston (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Ivory (11 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Bush (8 for 40 yds./ 4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) CIN: Benson (16 for 85 yds. 1 TD) Ochocinco (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) TO (7 for 90 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: Meachem NO....Colston will be lining up against the Bengals top CB (if healthy) and could be held in check leaving Meachem to make a rare big contribution this year.

 BEARS @ LIONS:
CHI: (23rd Pass Offense, 20th Rush Offense, 17th Pass Defense, 2nd Rush Defense) The Bears are playing some serious defense and look as fast as they have since their last playoff run. The Offense even looks to be getting in sync with everyone playing their roles and Martz understanding the value of Olsen. This week they will have no problem executing their game plan as Martz looks for revenge in Detroit where he was left for dead. Every Bear is starter worthy, even Hester who has kick return written all over him this week.
 DET: (7th Pass Offense, 28th Rush Offense, 18th Pass Defense, 25th Rush Defense) Like Denver, look for the Lions to abandon any notion of running and do what they do best which is pass. The problem here is the Detroit line will be doing all they can to stop an aggressive pass rush which shut down Vick last week. Hill doesn't come close to Vick and will be looking at shorter routes and check downs which hurts Megatrons value the most.

 No Brainer....CHI 27-DET 13.

 FANTASY STARTS: CHI: Everyone.
 DET: Megatron (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Burleson (7 for 70 yds.) Pettigrew (6 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Bears Defense...While not technically sleeper status since they are one of the better defenses, I put the defense here because there really is no sleeper in this game and because the Bears have the potential for a 15 to 20 pt day as a unit in your league.

 49ERS@ PACKERS:
 SF: (27th Pass Offense, 27th Rush Offense, 16th Pass Defense, 8th Rush Defense) What hopes they had of keeping it close in Cheese Land diminished when Gore fractured his hip. Yes Westbrook is a solid reserve but he is far from replacing Gore. On a short week with Smith's toughest game since Tampa, there really isn't a great play here worthy of taking a risk on outside of Vernon Davis.
GB: (8th Pass Offense, 22nd Rush Offense, 15th Pass Defense, 18th Rush Defense) San Fran has been weak against the past as of late and it feeds right into what the Packers were going to do anyway which is pass the ball. Due to the loss of Gore which means a whole lot of 3 and outs, Jackson actually makes a good start since he will see plenty of action running once this thing gets out of hand.

 SF takes it's worse loss of the year...GB 38-SF 13.

 FANTASY STARTS: SF: Davis (7 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Westbrook (11 for 45 yds./ 3 for 25 yds) GB: ALL your Packers.
 SLEEPER: Jones GB...He has asserted himself in recent weeks and makes a great play here if you are in a bind.

 RAIDERS @ CHARGERS:
 OAK: (24th Pass Offense, 5th Rush Offense, 10th Pass Defense, 29th Rush Defense) The last time the Raiders played SD it jump started a defensive frenzy with Oakland going on a tear. This time around they are in a minor funk and Asomugha is not at 100% and Miller is Questionable with a Plantar injury. McFadden over his last two games has rushed for only 16 yds. on 18 carries but will find little room here against a Chargers defense ranked 3rd vs the pass and rush. McFadden is the only play here unless you have a better option. Wait till he proves he's back on track before taking the risk.
 SD: (1st Pass Offense, 15th Rush Offense, 3rd Pass/Rush Defense) Tolbert looks like he will be ready come game time and V.Jackson made his entrance for a quarter last week before supposedly injuring his calf which will keep him out two weeks. Rivers has already proven all he needs is warm bodies out there and if Asomugha is unable to go it makes his day that much better. If Tolbert is for some reason unable to go, bump up Naanee and Floyd's value since Hester is far from reliable in comparisson.

 SD should look to return the favor this week and hit the Raiders while they're down. SD 38-OAK 21.
 
FANTASY STARTS: OAK: McFadden (12 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Murphy (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Ford (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) SD: Rivers (310 yds. 3 TD) Tolbert (15 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Floyd (6 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Naanee (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Gates (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
 SLEEPER: Bush OAK...The Chargers have been able to keep the quick backs like McFadden in control and Bush's running style may be more effective in grinding down the defense.

 FALCONS @ BUCCANEERS:
ATL: (15th Pass Offense, 8th Rush Offense, 26th Pass Defense, 6th Rush Defense) Atlanta has been good at scoring just one more than the other team and stopping the run which forces teams into errors. The last time these two met, the Bucs were stopped one yard short of the upset. Matt Ryan faces one of the better secondaries here so look for the Gonzales connection to play a big role as it did their last meeting. Turner will have a good day this week, but the Bucs have bettered their rush defense problems though they will be hard pressed to keep Turner under 90 yds.
TAMPA: (25th Pass Offense, 13th Rush Offense, 5th Pass Defense, 28th Rush Defense) Tampa will follow the same plan as last time, a slight bit more pass than run though Blount was effective last time despite getting stopped a yard short for the win. The Bucs will look to open it up a bit this week after playing conservative ball vs the Ravens and losing by a score. Expect a decent day for Blount and good days for both Winslow who has emerged as Freemans pressure go to guy and Mike Williams.

 Tampa had them last time and now face them at home in a defining game for this young team. TB 24-ATL 20.

 FANTASY STARTS: ATL: Turner (17 for 95 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 20 yds) White (6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) TB: Blount (14 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Williams (4 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Winslow (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD)
 SLEEPER: A. Benn TB....He has the ability to explode any given week and has become the Bucs number two guy. Spurlock will probably see less time after a big drop last week and Freeman may look to Benn often.

 COWBOYS @ COLTS:
 DAL: (5th Pass Offense, 26th Rush Offense, 23rd Pass Defense, 19th Rush Defense) A Roy Williams fumble is the only reason the Boys didn't upset New Orleans last week and they've had extra time to prepare for a struggling Colts team missing Bob Sanders. The Colts solid pass defense is very weak without Sanders as the Chargersd showed. Look for Dallas to attack the secondary as much as possible to set up the run. Dez Bryant should have a solid day as the Colts don't have the depth to handle both Austin and the run game which faces the Colts biggest weak spot. Expect Jones to give you serious nimbers.
 IND: (3rd Pass Offense, 29th Rush Defense, 8th Pass Defense, 30th rush defense) Manning has been left scratching his head but there's not much he can do with no run game and teams dropping extra guys back. However, the Boys are not the Chargers and they can be picked apart in the secondary. Manning is one of the tougher guys to beat after a loss and he will have this team on the right path. Look for serious action as always in the pass game since there really is no run game to speak of.

 This looks to me like a coin flip but I give the Colts the edge only because of Manning at home. IND 30-DAL 28.

 FANTASY STARTS: DAL: Jones (16 for 95 yds. 1 TD/3 for 20 yds.) Austin (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Bryant (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Witten (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
 SLEEPER: Choice DAL....He has proven his ability in the past but been held back because of Barber's tenure and contract. This may very well be a breakout week for him.

 RAMS @ CARDS:
 STL: (22nd Pass Offense, 19th Rush Offense, 24th Pass Defense, 13th Rush Defense) The Rams are one of the younger but very under rated teams who have the ability to beat anybody. Bradford has been nothing short of amazing for a rookie and Jackson will be running all over the Arizona defense. A big day for Jackson is on the horizon and Bradford should have no issues hooking up with Amendola for at least one score.
 ARI: (30th Pass Offense, 32nd Rush Offense, 20th Pass Defense, 23rd Rush Defense).....Nobody is start worthy here other than Fitzgerald so There is no sense in wasting time.
 STL 23-ARI 17.

 FANTASY STARTS: STL: Jackson (18 for 100 yds. 2 TD/ 5 for 45 yds.) Amendola (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) ARI: Fitzgerald (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: S. Breaston ARI....He has consistently put up solid numbers since his return and could be in line for a great day against a weak CB.

 PANTHERS @ SEAHAWKS: Why Bother? SEA 24-CAR 10.

 FANTASY STARTS: CAR: Goodson: 16 for 75 yds. 1 TD) SEA: With Mike Williams doubtful, look for Butler to step up. (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Lynch (13 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Forsett ( 10 for 55 yds./ 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
 SLEEPER: Smith CAR....sadly he has been degraded to sleeper status but has a great match up here as the Hawks rank 30th vs the pass. Problem is he has a bad QB and will see double coverage all day which makes him a sleeper/ WR 3 at best.

 STEELERS @ RAVENS: PIT:(20th Pass Offense, 9th Rush Offense, 22nd Pass Defense, 1st Rush Defense) The Steelers will look to take advantage of what Tampa realized too late and run a no huddle offense and pass the ball. Ben has the tools to attack a Raven secondary which can be beat. Mendenhall should have a RB 2 day so temper expectations but he should get a score as this becomes a very physical game. The huge question is just how bad Ben re-injured his foot in practice this week and how bad it limits him.
 BALT: (14th Pass Offense, 14th Rush Offense, 7th Pass Defense, 10th Rush Defense)
The Steelers have big holes in the secondary and Flacco will be able to take advantage of his weapons. Wallace is the guy who will see double coverage all day while Ward gets the man coverage. Todd Heap should be a big part of what the Ravens want to do. Ray Rice seems to be hitting a wall this late in the season and has not looked as fresh. He will be involved heavily in the pass game and will be another big part of what direction this game goes. Rice and Heap are your solid starts while Wallace and Ward have only decent days.

The Ravens Defense has the better balance and ability to hold the Steelers from scoring While it is a toss up, gotta go with the home team. BALT 20-PIT 17.

FANTASY STARTS: BAL: Rice (11 FOR 45 yds./ 6 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Heap (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Boldin (4 for 50 yds.) Mason (6 for 70 yds.)
PIT: Mendenhall (12 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Wallace (4 for 60 yds.) Ward (7 for 85 yds 1 TD.)
SLEEPER: Miller PIT....He is the guy who will be able to find room as Winslow was able to last week. He could be a key cog to whether or not the Steelers pull this one out.