1. Tom Brady- Everywhere I look I keep seeing projections putting Brees ahead of him. Yes, New Orleans throws quite often, but how can anyone put him ahead of a healthy Brady? Fact is, I don't see Brees having to throw as much now that they are committed to RB Pierre Thomas. A true RB instead of Bush. The roles I think actually reverse here. I believe Brady may throw a bit more that normal for the Pats. Maroney can't get through a season healthy and Taylor although still going is not a break away threat.
2. Drew Brees- As I said above, an established true RB will not force Brees to throw 35 times a game.
3. Peyton Manning- Marvin is gone and in his place is Wayne whom has more speed and is committed to being the "man". Taking Wayne's spot is Gonzales who looks to be a complete replica of Wayne in the younger years. Since Addai has had health issues and a rookie is their fallback, I see Peyton throwing as much as last year. Peyton has the 7th easiest schedule against the pass so that means lots of numbers.
4. Phillip Rivers- LT back and healthy will keep the defensive focus on the running/flare pass game instead of those down field. The emergence of Malcom Floyd last year and having Chambers back gives Rivers more options after he was doing just fine with only V.Jax and Gates.
5. Aaron Rogers- If Ryan Grant shows up this year, that could mean a continuation of the great numbers Rogers put up last year amidst the pressure he was under.
6. Kurt Warner- Although he scares me due to the whole hip situation. I didn't hear a peep from him during OTA's and with only Hightower and Wells in the backfield, I thing things are not so dependable for Arizona.
7. Brett Favre- IF HE PLAYS! Which I think we all know he will, look at the options this guy will have compared to last year. Think AP is good for at least 5 TD's on screen/flare passes? How about Percy Harvin? Favre will not have to create as much as he had to last year and will have a reliable set of weapons behind him.
8. Tony Romo- I think the release of TO was great for Romo. A quiet clubhouse with motivated Roy Williams and reliable Witten coupled with the 3 headed running game will offer Romo the stability he needs.
9.Donovan Mcnabb- Especially if Westbrook does not return as his old self after 2 surgeries, I think Mcnabb could throw as much as he ever has. A new back-up RB takes away the safety net Mcnabb had in Buckhalter.
10. Carson Palmer- Plamer is the forgotten QB whom is not even making other top 10's. He is healthy, commited to the off season, and now has Coles to throw to. Ocho Stinko says he is actually making an effort this year and C. Benson was a top ten back the last 7 games of last season. Palmer will throw a lot and the Bengals seem to be slipping in under the radar.
Friday, July 10, 2009
Thursday, July 2, 2009
Fantasy Running Back top 40
This is only a preliminary ranking since camp has yet to even start for most teams. Barring injuries and any major shake up's, it should hold somewhat steady.
1. Adrian Peterson- Think the Favre show and Percy Harvin in the Wildcat are going to keep defenses from paying all their attention to him?
2. Matt Forte- He is a pass catcher in an offense which has a weak receiving core. I think the Bears do the same as last year where he caught 63 for 477. The addition of Cutler is nothing but a bonus for Forte.
3. L.T.- Somewhat of a risk at this spot I know. However, look at the upside. Merriman returns which means a revamped defense. Denver has gone from bad to worse and faces him twice. Oakland has yet to make a mark in the division and the Chiefs are rebuilding. Add to that games against the Browns and Bengals and you have some solid numbers forLT. Sproles will help as well.
4. Frank Gore- Only because of pure workload does Gore get in the top 5. Well, that and the addition of the drafts top WR. Still does not solve the QB issues but if he can stay healthy he will put up monster numbers. Problem is he may have games where he gives you peanuts. He may be a bit high here, but only the next two guys could outpace him in terms of volume.
5. Michael Turner- Was anyone really surprised at his production last year? He was well known in San Diego and will again be a big focal point of the Offense. Add Tony Gonzalez and now defenses have other worries. A big year may be in store.
6. M. Jones Drew-Everywhere I read it people are high on MJD. Who gives a shit if he is now "The guy"? What are the Jags other Offensive weapons? They just traded Northcutt and have nothing to keep opposing defenses at bay. Like Gore, I will give him this high since he is not in a time share situation and the volume will produce big numbers TOTAL. The risk is his average is great but won't win games. Beware of this guy I say.
7. Chris Johnson- I don't see the sophomore slump for this guy. One more year in this O with time to prepare is scary! He may be in the top five if it were not for Lendale jacking his TD's.
8. Clinton Portis- Haynesworth=more Portis. Look for the Offense to be on the field al ot more this year. Betts is still a pain in the ass, but Portis has proven he is not yet done.
9. Marion Barber- going back to the TD guy role he had with Julius Jones, there is no reason to think he can't score 13 or possibly more. Felix Jones has proven himself and this offense can be potent when driving down field.
10. Steve Slaton- The guy is talented and Houston knows how to expose that talent. Andre Johnson healthy is only going to up the ante for Slaton.
11. S. Jackson- As in my previous post, S. Jax is up for a monster year if he can stay healthy. He is the only weapon the Rams have and would be higher if not for a lack of offense around him. His O-line has been upgraded and he very well should surpass this ranking. However, it is the Rams and with defenses keying of SJax there is no guarantee he will stay healthy.
12. B. Westbrook- This is extremely low for Westbrook, but I put him here for good reason. Anyone hear a peep from Philly on Westbrook and his 2 surgeries this past year? It has been a steady decline in terms of body issues for Westbrook and it is no wonder. I love the guy and if during camp he looks healthy then he should jump 3-4 spots.
13. Deangelo Williams- This is a guy I do not go any higher on. He will not reproduce his 20 TD year, and J. Stewart is reportedly having problems.
14. R. Brown- The addition of Pat White in the Wildcat will help the value of Brown. I don't think many people were scared of Pennington out wide. He seems to be ready for a heavier workload after a season where he excelled anyone's expectations after surgery.
15. Brandon Jacobs- No more Ward means he is truly the man. But can he stay healthy? He has yet to rush the ball more than 219 times in a season and his hard nose bang up style does not help matters.
16. Pierre Thomas- In this offense, defenses will be focused on stopping the pass monster Brees. Pierre could quietly turn out to be a top 10 RB this season if he can score.
17. Kevin Smith- Detroit
18. Darren Mcfadden- He may have a great season coming off some injuries, but the fact Oaklands backfield is crowded does not help his value. He is a great #2 but not worth #1 money.
19. Thomas Jones- Think Kellen Clemens or Sanchez are going to keep defenses at bay? He is old and slowing despite a solid year last season. However, I attribute it to Favre and not to him all of a sudden realizing how to be a great rusher.
20. Derik Ward- A timeshare and a revamped offense make him a solid number two but no more.
21. Ryan Grant- IF!!!! he can return to the guy we saw two years ago, Grant could surprise big time. He is worth every risk and if you can get him do so. I would venture to put him as high as 15 but questions remain. Wait and see what camp produces.
22. Joe Addai- Think they drafted Donald Brown because of their confidence in Addai? He has surprised before and you can't count him out but for now I will until proven otherwise.
23. Larry Johnson- Being in such a shitty situation really hurts LJ. We don't know how high his workload will be and you saw how defenses keyed on him last year.
24. Willie Parker- The guy can still run but goes dry at the goal.
25. Reggie Bush- Who knows what this guy decides to do between Kim Kardashian's but cheeks? Want to play some football Reggie?
26. Jamal Lewis- He will be in for a heavy workload, but will be down in most games having to air it out which hurts his value.
27. Cedric Benson- This is the steal of the draft!!!!!!!! He has been given #1 status, Carson is back, Ocho gives a shit, and Benson closed out the year as one of the leagues hottest rushers.
28. Marshawn Lynch- The suspension hurts his value but once back he should be a monster with TO there to relieve the pressure. Once he is back, could be a top 5 scorer.
29. Johnathan Stewart- Timeshare does not help but he did show some potential of being able to unseat Deangelo Williams if Williams falters.
30. Lendale White- He will again jack the TD's and be a solid 10 point guy. A guy you can count on to give you average.
31. W. Mcgahee 32. K. Moreno 33. B. Wells 34. L. Mcclain 35. J. Jones 36. L. Washington 37. Felix Jones 38. D. Brown 39. A. Bradshaw 40. C. Taylor.
1. Adrian Peterson- Think the Favre show and Percy Harvin in the Wildcat are going to keep defenses from paying all their attention to him?
2. Matt Forte- He is a pass catcher in an offense which has a weak receiving core. I think the Bears do the same as last year where he caught 63 for 477. The addition of Cutler is nothing but a bonus for Forte.
3. L.T.- Somewhat of a risk at this spot I know. However, look at the upside. Merriman returns which means a revamped defense. Denver has gone from bad to worse and faces him twice. Oakland has yet to make a mark in the division and the Chiefs are rebuilding. Add to that games against the Browns and Bengals and you have some solid numbers forLT. Sproles will help as well.
4. Frank Gore- Only because of pure workload does Gore get in the top 5. Well, that and the addition of the drafts top WR. Still does not solve the QB issues but if he can stay healthy he will put up monster numbers. Problem is he may have games where he gives you peanuts. He may be a bit high here, but only the next two guys could outpace him in terms of volume.
5. Michael Turner- Was anyone really surprised at his production last year? He was well known in San Diego and will again be a big focal point of the Offense. Add Tony Gonzalez and now defenses have other worries. A big year may be in store.
6. M. Jones Drew-Everywhere I read it people are high on MJD. Who gives a shit if he is now "The guy"? What are the Jags other Offensive weapons? They just traded Northcutt and have nothing to keep opposing defenses at bay. Like Gore, I will give him this high since he is not in a time share situation and the volume will produce big numbers TOTAL. The risk is his average is great but won't win games. Beware of this guy I say.
7. Chris Johnson- I don't see the sophomore slump for this guy. One more year in this O with time to prepare is scary! He may be in the top five if it were not for Lendale jacking his TD's.
8. Clinton Portis- Haynesworth=more Portis. Look for the Offense to be on the field al ot more this year. Betts is still a pain in the ass, but Portis has proven he is not yet done.
9. Marion Barber- going back to the TD guy role he had with Julius Jones, there is no reason to think he can't score 13 or possibly more. Felix Jones has proven himself and this offense can be potent when driving down field.
10. Steve Slaton- The guy is talented and Houston knows how to expose that talent. Andre Johnson healthy is only going to up the ante for Slaton.
11. S. Jackson- As in my previous post, S. Jax is up for a monster year if he can stay healthy. He is the only weapon the Rams have and would be higher if not for a lack of offense around him. His O-line has been upgraded and he very well should surpass this ranking. However, it is the Rams and with defenses keying of SJax there is no guarantee he will stay healthy.
12. B. Westbrook- This is extremely low for Westbrook, but I put him here for good reason. Anyone hear a peep from Philly on Westbrook and his 2 surgeries this past year? It has been a steady decline in terms of body issues for Westbrook and it is no wonder. I love the guy and if during camp he looks healthy then he should jump 3-4 spots.
13. Deangelo Williams- This is a guy I do not go any higher on. He will not reproduce his 20 TD year, and J. Stewart is reportedly having problems.
14. R. Brown- The addition of Pat White in the Wildcat will help the value of Brown. I don't think many people were scared of Pennington out wide. He seems to be ready for a heavier workload after a season where he excelled anyone's expectations after surgery.
15. Brandon Jacobs- No more Ward means he is truly the man. But can he stay healthy? He has yet to rush the ball more than 219 times in a season and his hard nose bang up style does not help matters.
16. Pierre Thomas- In this offense, defenses will be focused on stopping the pass monster Brees. Pierre could quietly turn out to be a top 10 RB this season if he can score.
17. Kevin Smith- Detroit
18. Darren Mcfadden- He may have a great season coming off some injuries, but the fact Oaklands backfield is crowded does not help his value. He is a great #2 but not worth #1 money.
19. Thomas Jones- Think Kellen Clemens or Sanchez are going to keep defenses at bay? He is old and slowing despite a solid year last season. However, I attribute it to Favre and not to him all of a sudden realizing how to be a great rusher.
20. Derik Ward- A timeshare and a revamped offense make him a solid number two but no more.
21. Ryan Grant- IF!!!! he can return to the guy we saw two years ago, Grant could surprise big time. He is worth every risk and if you can get him do so. I would venture to put him as high as 15 but questions remain. Wait and see what camp produces.
22. Joe Addai- Think they drafted Donald Brown because of their confidence in Addai? He has surprised before and you can't count him out but for now I will until proven otherwise.
23. Larry Johnson- Being in such a shitty situation really hurts LJ. We don't know how high his workload will be and you saw how defenses keyed on him last year.
24. Willie Parker- The guy can still run but goes dry at the goal.
25. Reggie Bush- Who knows what this guy decides to do between Kim Kardashian's but cheeks? Want to play some football Reggie?
26. Jamal Lewis- He will be in for a heavy workload, but will be down in most games having to air it out which hurts his value.
27. Cedric Benson- This is the steal of the draft!!!!!!!! He has been given #1 status, Carson is back, Ocho gives a shit, and Benson closed out the year as one of the leagues hottest rushers.
28. Marshawn Lynch- The suspension hurts his value but once back he should be a monster with TO there to relieve the pressure. Once he is back, could be a top 5 scorer.
29. Johnathan Stewart- Timeshare does not help but he did show some potential of being able to unseat Deangelo Williams if Williams falters.
30. Lendale White- He will again jack the TD's and be a solid 10 point guy. A guy you can count on to give you average.
31. W. Mcgahee 32. K. Moreno 33. B. Wells 34. L. Mcclain 35. J. Jones 36. L. Washington 37. Felix Jones 38. D. Brown 39. A. Bradshaw 40. C. Taylor.
Wednesday, July 1, 2009
Steven Jackson and Brandon Marshall
Will Steven Jackson be back? After being a nothing close to his healthy self, Steve Spagnuolo seems hell bent on giving teams nothing but a full dose of S. Jax. Which is good since the Rams have nothing else to throw at teams. This is good news for Fantasy owners of Jackson but it may come at a cost. Given the fact they are going to use Jackson heavily, what is going to stop opposing teams from putting 8 in the box? Also, what kind of wear will being the only offense put on Jackson's body? If he can stay healthy, it still does not mean we should go overboard. Look at what happened to Frank Gore last year. A similar situation where teams simply attacked Gore on every down. He is definitely worth the risk.
Brandon Marshall says "FUCK YOU DENVER"! At least that's what he said during his traffic stop two years ago. The Denver situation can't get any worse. It may have been two years ago, but I have yet to see a statement explaining how he no longer feels that way. Is there any way Denver keeps a guy who will not most likely give 100% and will opt out first chance he gets anyway? How about the fans? Are they going to dish out the cash to go see him given he is the headliner? Probably not, Denver fan has gotten the shaft this season and the best way to make a statement would be to not show up until the team gets it's act together. Not that it is all on management, of course it falls more on the players but it is the organization's responsibility to make them happy as long as they produce. Would any other company succeed if they sold their best products to a competitor?
Brandon Marshall says "FUCK YOU DENVER"! At least that's what he said during his traffic stop two years ago. The Denver situation can't get any worse. It may have been two years ago, but I have yet to see a statement explaining how he no longer feels that way. Is there any way Denver keeps a guy who will not most likely give 100% and will opt out first chance he gets anyway? How about the fans? Are they going to dish out the cash to go see him given he is the headliner? Probably not, Denver fan has gotten the shaft this season and the best way to make a statement would be to not show up until the team gets it's act together. Not that it is all on management, of course it falls more on the players but it is the organization's responsibility to make them happy as long as they produce. Would any other company succeed if they sold their best products to a competitor?
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