Thursday, October 21, 2010

FRIDAY GUT CHECK

A list of players whom despite the match up or expectations gnaw at you as a good play despite all the facts. We all have em, here are mine.....

BEANIE WELLS ARI: He's playing Seattle's 2nd ranked run defense in Seattle, on an offense that has been terrible. Yet, Beanie has had a bye weak to continue his health and is the clear lead back. Arizona should have taken their win against New Orleans as a motivator and used that during an extra week of study for Seattle. Expect to see Wells best effort and I believe he could wind up as a solid number two RB in hindsight after Sunday.

CADILLAC WILLIAMS TB: He has averaged a miserable 3 YPC this year and has yet to put up a decent game. Yet last week he was inches from a score and has had a few big runs negated by penalties. He faces a mediocre run defense this week at home in St. Louis. His job was on the line last week as Kareem Huggins was slated to start taking his carries, but after two touches, Huggins was lost for the year with injury. So, Cadillac gets a week stay of facing the bench and his future is on the line this week. Enough motivation and a good match up make this a possible surprise week.

STEVE JOHNSON BUFF: The Bills face the Ravens in Baltimore and while this sums up to the "they will have to throw cause they are down" theory, this is one time I believe it fits right. Buffalo will face a deficit and will need to play catch up. I expect Baltimore to rest it's starters towards the end and allow some good fantasy time for guys like Johnson.

MIKE CRAYTON SD: Naanee is a question mark, Floyd looks to be out, Gates is questionable and now on Thursday Buster Davis was named probable with a rib issue. We know what Crayton can do and we know Rivers is going to throw often because of their depth at WR and scheme. I believe if Gates does play, Crayton becomes his second most trust worthy target and they will put up some points against the weak Patriots defense.

MAURICE JONES DREW JAGS: MJD has been nothing close to his top five status this year and as I've said in the past, I believe he is playing injured. He faces a KC rush defense that ranks 5th with the possibility of Gerrard and Edwards missing time, though unlikely. MJD should be relied on heavily this week, more than normal, and more than normal when it comes to the passing game. Don't be surprised if he has his best game of the year this week. He is a must start every week since if you own him you probably don't have better options. I say start him and expect minimum 10 fantasy points.

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