JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS at BUFFALO BILLS:
JAGS: David Gerrard knew he had to produce after the team made a statement by signing Edwards last week and produce he did. Leading the Jags to a 31-28 win in his most productive game so far. MJD showed he may be getting healthy and may have found his rhythm. This week he faces the league's worst rush defense allowing 172 RYPG. Expect Drew to continue where he left off, most likely breaking the century mark again with at least a score. Mike Simms-Walker was shut out once again last week and Gerrard just isn't showing the chemistry they had last year. The Bills have faced Brandon Marshall, Randy Moss, and Greg Jennings not allowing anything more than 53 yards receiving. The Bills do love giving up big games to TE's however and Mercedes Lewis should be able to put up his best game of the year yardage wise along with a score.
BILLS: The Jags defense faces a reverse problem, ranking 30th against the pass and 13th against the run. But the trade of Marshawn Lynch on Tuesday I think actually makes it easier for the opposition. Planning a defensive game plan around two rather than three backs will make things easier. Especially considering Lynch was the team's leading rusher with 167 yards. The Bills have allowed 11 sacks in four games and the line continues to be an issue. If the Bills have a hope, it will be because Fitzpatrick has just enough time to find his receivers. His longest pass has gone for 37 yards and is averaging only 5.8 yds. per pass so don't expect any big numbers here regardless of the rankings. Due to the fact they will be throwing the ball playing catch up, there may be a decent game here to be had for either Johnson, Parrish, or Lee but good luck guessing which one. Look for other options.
This game should be close due to the commitment to the run games on both sides of the ball which will eat the clock. The Bills are always at their best at home and while a win wouldn't surprise me it is not likely given their youth and lack of talent. JAGS 23- BILLS 13
FANTASY STARTS: JAGS: MJD (18 for 117yds. 1 TD) Mercedes Lewis ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
BILLS: Jackson (14 for 60 yds. 1 TD) S. Johnson (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Mike Simms-Walker....sad that he's is now sleeper status, but the Bills had not faced a truly talented rusher until last week and we all saw what LT and Greene did which allowed Braylon Edwards to be the first number one receiver to put up 86yds. and a score. Simms-Walker will be a high risk high reward play.
DENVER BRONCOS at BALTIMORE RAVENS:
BRONCOS: Kyle Orton has been on fire and is for now ranked in the upper tier of QB's. The Broncos are a passing team and they have to be since they are dead last averaging 55 yds. RPG. Thus far, they have been able to get away with it but they are facing the 1st ranked pass defense in Baltimore whom are allowing only 14 PPG. There is no way they are able to shore up the run game in a week leaving Mcdaniels to be very creative in finding ways for Denver to move the ball. The good news is that Denver has three very capable WR's whom have all taken turns standing out. The most consistent of them being Lloyd who is where the Ravens focus will be. Look for Mcdaniels to try and get Royal in the middle of the field often and incorporate Graham and Gronkowski in this game to help on those short yardage situations. Moreno will need to have his best showing and set the tone early in hopes Baltimore can eat the clock. He may have relative success too since I don't see the Ravens being as agressive as normal given Orton has the weapons to expose weak coverage.
BALTIMORE: The Ravens were the first team to beat the Steeler defense last week and while Denver is ranked 17th and 12th in passing and rushing, they are not the Steelers. The Ravens are just starting to hit their stride and should have Ray Rice in a healthier situation than last week. Housh, Mason, and Boldin are proving that you won't be able to cover all the Raven weapons at once so whover you ignore will make you pay. Add to that Todd Heap who is actually second on the team with 188 receiving yards. The Ravens look to be just getting their chemistry going and defining roles for their players. They will be a match up problem for defenses all year if they can stay healthy.
A battle against wills, something will have to give between the Broncos pass attack and the Ravens Pass defense. Given the Broncos have yet to face a top rated, complete defense like this, count on the Ravens winning this one. RAVENS 26-BRONCOS 20.
FANTASY STARTS: BRONCOS: Moreno (11 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Royal ( 4 for 65 1 TD)
RAVENS: Rice (15 for 70 yds. 1 TD/ 3 rec for 40 yds) Mason (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Heap ( 4 for 60 yds 1 TD)
SLEEPER: D. Graham DEN....given the blanket coverage the Baltimore secondary provides and the focus on the WR trio of Den, Graham could actually post good numbers if Moreno is able to at least force the Ravens to respect the possibility of a run. Super deep sleeper here that could factor into the game.
GREEN BAY PACKERS at WASHINGTON REDSKINS:
PACKERS: Surprisingly, the Packers are only 14th in passing offense and have not looked like the explosive attack we expected. Part of that has been the efficiency of the defense in giving them short fields (unless they're playing Chicago). This week should help the passing game get in better sync as the Redskins defense ranks 30th against the pass allowing over 300 PYPG. The loss of Grant is proving to be part of their slow start since teams are playing cover 2 without worry of the run game being a threat. Kuhn has at least brought the Packers back to respectable in the run game, adding a dimension they have lacked. The Skins are 14th against the run allowing 101 YPG so this is a game the Packers can employ a balanced attack. If Jackson or Kuhn are able to have success in keeping the defense honest, this could become a blow out by the third quarter.
REDSKINS: Coming off an emotional but physical game with the Eagles, the Redskins really did little to prove to me they have what it takes to competed against top defenses. Here is their first shot to do do. After facing the likes of Houston, Dallas, and Philadelphia's secondaries, Mcnabb faces his first real test against the Packers 7th ranked pass defense. The Pack are weak against the run allowing 118 RYPG. but with Portis out and the lack of any weapons past Cooley, the Packers will be able to focus on the run game more. Torain has been the lone bright spot in the run game and will be the key to the Skins keeping competitive in this one.
Washington was shopping D. Thomas on Tuesday and have been looking for some help in the pass game. Cooley is the only steady pass catcher, but with a team like Green Bay his damage will be limited. The Redskins are too one dimensional and take away the TD called back against Dallas they would be 1-3. The Packers handle Washington easily. PACKERS 31-REDSKINS 20.
FANTASY STARTS: PACKERS: Rogers ( 310 yds. 3 TD) Finley (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Driver ( 6 for 80 yds 1 TD) Jennings (4 for 90 1 TD) Kuhn (14 for 70 yds 1 TD)
REDSKINS: Cooley ( 6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Moss ( 4 for 60 yds.) Torain (16 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Keiland Williams WASH....with Portis all but ruled out officially, somebody will have to spell Torain. Williams has the speed but has yet to be trusted by Shanny. Thrust to 2nd on the depth chart, this will be Williams chance to shine since the run game will be the most effective part of the Redskin attack.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS:
CHIEFS: If you were showed the two team records on paper and asked which belonged to which, none of us would have made the right choice. The Chiefs have done it with their run attack and their 5th ranked Rush defense and 2nd ranked defense in points allowed. They are only allowing 4.9 yards per play and have allowed only 12 third down conversions on 25 attempts. Offensively, Cassel had finally had a decent game passing and then came the bye week. I am expecting given the bye that this will only help his cause in preparing to play against 15th ranked Pass defense of the Colts. Who is really salivating are Thomas Jones and Jamaal Charles. The Colts are 29th against the run, allowing just a hair under 150 YPG. Both guys are great plays here and maybe Dwayne Bowe.This could be the first RBBC where you would start both backs in most games. Even with the bye to prep, I lack confidence in Cassel given his very poor showings. That said, I do like Tony Moeaki who has been Cassel's blankie and is their leading receiver.
COLTS: The Colts are about where we would have expected, 2nd in Passing YPG and 29th in RYPG. The defense is not as stout as last year, ranking 15th against the Pass and 29th against the Rush. I think the pass ranking is a bit inflated when you consider the efficiency of Gerrard and Schaub against them and how Orton had them beat but failed to convert in the Red Zone. Though they're 2-2 on paper, they are showing like a 1-3 team thus far. It's Peyton so of course he will turn it around, but the absolute lack of a run game is allowing teams to sit back. Collie has been phenomenal this year in Garcon's absence and has locked up the number two target role. Though he has only one less reception than Reggie Wayne but more yards. Wayne has looked just a tad slower this year and I am wondering if there is a conditioning problem for the Colts. Clark, Collie, Garcon,Brown and Wayne have all been bothered by something this year, even if brief. This is a good match up passing wise for the Colts and all your starters should be in play except for Addai if you have options though he could bring in a score at any moment after the passing game gets him close. The scores will be there but when is the question.
I see this game being a complete toss up due to the KC bye and the Colts sluggish start by their standards. It is at home for Peyton though and the Colts are strong there. With Cassel's pass issues, the noise, and a lack of chemistry as it is with his wide outs, the one or two turnovers he will give up are the difference.
COLTS 23-CHIEFS 17.
FANTASY STARTS: KC: Charles ( 10 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Jones (15 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Moeaki ( 4 for 50 yds.)
COLTS: All your guys except Addai if you have a better option this week. If it is close between Addai and another back though start Addai since he has more upside and will have chances at the goal line.
SLEEPER: D. Mcluster KC...Weiss has committed to using his speed in different placements and he will be needed. Much like Percy Harvin last year, Mcluster is that wild card whom is hard to game plan for. If you do, then that leaves someone else open, if you don't, he will hurt you.
ST.LOUIS RAMS at DETROIT LIONS: RAMS: Much like the Lions, the Rams have been the most entertaining losing team to watch this year only....they are not a losing team anymore. Clayton and Amendola have given this team extra dimension, allowing Jackson some running room for the first time in years. Bradford has been impressive in his rookie season thus far in terms of his Red Zone decision making. He has a rating of 72.3 which isn't that bad at all for a rookie QB. The biggest help to this team has been the defense.While they are ranked 21st against the pass and 20th against the rush, they are more balanced than last season and have taken a step in the right direction which is amazing considering the lack of big name talent. They are winning the little batlles such as third down conversions, allowing opponents only 17 conversions on 55 attempts and holding the opposition to 13 PPG which is good for 4th in the NFL. That is the only stat which matters, and why they have been in every game this year and are .500. Amendola is a solid 3rd WR/Flex start, especially in PPR and Clayton and Jackson are must starts. Bradford has put up respectable fantasy numbers and should be good for about 15 to 18 points here.
LIONS: The Lions are only 10 points away from being 3-1 and have been an exciting team to watch. Even without Stafford, the Lions are 7th in Passing YPG and have a legitimate play maker at RB in Jhavid Best. The issue is on defense where their averages per game rank no better than 25th. I am expecting all the Lions offensive players to be quality starts in this one. Burleson will return this week and figures to be a threat.
This could be one of the most exciting games to watch this weekend. Two offensive teams against defenses that allow yardage. The slight edge goes to the Rams whom have shown a knack for allowing the yards but not the points. That said, this will be the best match up the Lions have faced all year and they are at home. St. Louis has had only one road trip this year and could find it a bit harder in a hostile environment.
DETROIT 28-ST.LOUIS 24.
FANTASY STARTS: ST.LOUIS: Bradford (280 yds. 2 TD) Clayton (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Amendola (9 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Jackson (17 for 90 yds. 1 TD)
DETROIT: Hill (300 yds. 2 TD) Best (10 for 55 yds./3 for 40 yds. 1 TD) C. Johnson ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Nate Burleson DET....His first week back comes at a time where he will have a good match up and is that extra piece which allows him to get open while defenses are focused on Megatron and Best.
CHICAGO BEARS at CAROLINA PANTHERS: BEARS: Jay Cutler suffered a concussion before the half last week and as of Wednesday, Chicago papers and Lovie Smith expect him to play after practicing.(UPDATE: Cutler has been ruled out and Collins gets the start) Thankfully, he will face a mediocre defense this week in Carolina. The offensive line should hold up better here since the Panthers don't have Osi and Tuck playing for them. Julius Peppers returns to his former team and as if he wasn't already looking great, he will have extra incentive to play his best. Carolina does have decent CB coverage but they are not deep enough to handle Forte out of the back field. I would expect Carolina to drop two LB in coverage and leave Beason focused on the run game. Forte and Olsen will be the factors to the game as Hester and Knox should be handled fairly well in coverage.
PANTHERS: No Steve Smith this week with a high ankle sprain and no Dwayne Jarrett with....well with no team. Clausen gave his best effort last week but is still fighting accuracy issues. He has all the tools but is a rookie with a bright future. He is going to have it even more rough now with no Steve Smith. Expect more Jonathan Stewart running routes and flares in two back sets. Chicago's defense has been swarming to the ball and are 6th in rush defense which will limit Deangelo Williams production. David Clowney is officially their best option and will most likely be thrust into starting only days after being signed. Overall it's recipe for disaster in Carolina when you throw in the Chicago let down last week and their need to bounce back.
Chicago will no doubt be in whole different frame of mind and will be looking to relieve the embarrassment of last week. The Panthers have not faced a defense this fast or disciplined yet , with the closest comparison coming against the Bucs who racked up 4 sacks on them. This one shouldn't even be close.
BEARS 24-PANTHERS 13. (UPDATE: Without Cutler, Collins seemed to have too much rust. Drop all Bears rankings down except for Forte!!!!)
FANTASY STARTS: BEARS: Olsen (6 for 70 yds 1 TD) Forte ( 13 for 55 yds./ 4 for 35 yds. 1 TD)
PANTHERS: J. Stewart ( 7 for 35 yds./ 5 for 40 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Jeff King CAR.....King and Rosario should get plenty of looks given the lack of receivers. Clowney may factor in here but with only a few days to learn the playbook don't expect much.
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS at CINCINNATI BENGALS:
BUCS: The Bucs strength so far has been their passing game, and they face the Bengals 9th ranked pass defense. Knowing that the Bengals are mediocre against the run, Morris announced Kareem Huggins and Legarrette Blount will split carries with Cadillac who has not been good this year averaging under 3 YPC. The Bucs WR's will face a secondary much like Pittsburgh under 3 YPC. The Bucs WR's will face a secondary much like Pittsburgh in ways and will need to get physical. Best bet here is Mike Williams to put up decent yardage and maybe a score. I expect the Bucs to come out running the ball often as long as they don't fall behind early and use the pass once the Bengals creep up.Winslow is the wild card here since he will need to pose a threat and open up the WR's. They have had two weeks to prepare for this and last year after the bye beat Green Bay though it was in Tampa. Ball control and no turnovers are key for the Bucs to win.
BENGALS: The Bengals are seeing what the lack of a run game will do regardless of who you have at WR. I've never been a fan of Cedric Benson because of his inability to be consistently good and so far he has proven me right. The Bucs have a good secondary ranked 10th against the pass but are weaker against the run. Cedric Benson will be called on to carry the under achieving Bengals and I think it's only a matter of time before Scott gets even carries with him since Scott is averaging 4.9 YPC to Bensons 3.3.
This is a game that should be close if both teams play to their abilities on both sides of the ball. Given the Bengals loss last week in Cleveland, they should come out more disciplined and play better at home. The Bucs have their toughest road game to date here and come up short. BENGALS 20-BUCS 17.
FANTASY STARTS: BUCS: Mike Williams (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Winslow ( 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
BENGALS: Benson ( 16 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Ochocinco ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: K. Huggins TB....we will finally see if the preseason star can carry it over to the regular season after missing 3 games due to injury. He has 4.2 speed and the abilitiy to break the big one. He will receive split time with Cadillac and if hot will wind up getting the biggest percentage of carries.
ATLANTA FALCONS at CLEVELAND BROWNS:
FALCONS: Good at home and bad on the road so far for Atlanta. Jason Snelling and not Turner has been the more efficient back of the two and Matt Ryan still has only Roddy White as a reliable pass option since Gonzales looks to have slowed a bit this year. The good news is Ryan faces the 24th ranked pass defense this week and the Browns are 17th against the run. The Falcons haven't looked amazing, but they are efficient, ranking 10th in passing and 4th in rushing through a concerted effort. In the end, looks don't matter and they are getting it done. Roddy White is a solid play here as is Matt Ryan. You have to start Turner, but if you don't have him but have Snelling he should be a good play as well depending on who your 2nd RB is.
BROWNS: Delhomme is expected to practice this week but the Browns have proven they are a better team with Wallace. The emergence of Peyton Hillis has helped ease the pass game woes and even with teams knowing what to expect, Hillis is running all over them. Coming off a big win against the Bengals, look for Cleveland to carry the momentum over to this game. Then again, I thought Chicago would do well after beating Green Bay. Cleveland has Cribbs giving them good field placement on special teams which has contributed to their success. The lack of any help past Cribbs is this teams weakness and the Falcons are good enough to limit Hillis productivity.
Cleveleand is strong at home, but the Falcons have too many options offensively and are a decent enough defense where Hillis won't run wild on them. The Falcons proved their mettle last week trailing all game until the final two minutes and scrapping out a win. Atlanta wins on the foot of Bryant again, but not as dramatic.
ATLANTA 20-BROWNS 17.
FANTASY STARTS: FALCONS: White (6 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Turner (15 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
BROWNS: Hillis (16 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Cribbs (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: B. Watson CLE...He has been a favorite target on this team and is essentially their number two receiver. The Atlanta LB will need to respect the run and may allow Watson to sneak behind them on a few throws.
NEW YORK GIANTS at HOUSTON TEXANS:
GIANTS: Bradshaw seems good to go this week after both he and Jacobs having their best games of the year. Of course, they had plenty of time to run given how much the Chicago defense was on the field. This week they face the 2nd ranked rush defense but the 32nd pass defense. Good news for Nicks, Manningham and Smith owners. The Giants are not afraid to throw and last weeks run explosion shouldn't be read into too much. The Texans will apply pressure and Manning will have success against this horrible secondary. If you have to start a Giants back, you have to go with Bradshaw and his outside speed. Brian Cushing returns this week for Houston so this run defense will only improve.
TEXANS: The bad news is Schaub faces the 2nd ranked pass defense of the Giants, the good news is the Giants rank 22nd against the run. Andre Johnson is still nursing his ankle and this is as good a week as any for Arian Foster to continue carrying this team in the run game. Not only will he move the ball, but it will alleviate the pass protection since the Giants will be forced to defend him and give Schaub some breathing room and allow routes to develop. Foster should wind up having another top five week and Johnson's rehab should be monitored on how much he practices this week. You can never bench the guy, but at least know his health risks since it will affect how much of a chance you take starting other WR's on your team this week.
The Giants will face a whole different team this week and on their only road trip this year the Colts pounded them. If Johnson is healthier than last week, the Texans will have more than the Giants can handle. Foster alone will be enough to cause problems and you don't want Schaub having space to throw in.
TEXANS 28-GIANTS 20.
FANTASY STARTS: GIANTS: Manning ( 310yds 3 TD) Nicks (6 for 90 yds 1 TD) Manningham ( 5 for 55 yds. 1 TD)
TEXANS: Foster (15 for 90 yds. 1 TD/ 2 for 40yds.) Johnson ( 6 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: O. Daniels....while the Giants are solid against the pass, they have shown weakness against athletic TE's.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS at ARIZONA CARDINALS:
SAINTS: The Saints are winning, but are a shadow of what they were last year after four games. Carolina played them well but they face a Cards team in disarray who ranks 23rd against the pass and 30th against the run. Meachem was on the field for 28 snaps last week and is slowly becoming more involved. Henderson is the definitive number two but both he and Colston have not jumped out to the start we all expected. The loss of Reggie Bush is hurting the Saints more than anyone would have thought, but Lance Moore has essentially filled that role and Chris Ivory looks to be a good replacement. Pierre Thomas did not practice on Wednesday and may not make it come game time so Ivory may have another quality start here. Against the Cardinals all players are must starts. Even Meachem who I think breaks out here.
CARDS: Max Hall has been named the started because he led a drive last week which resulted in a field goal. Pretty sad state of affairs. Fitzgerald will only be dependable as a solid number two WR this year, at least until Hall proves he can do the job or until Fitz gets some weapons spread out with him. Wells and Hightower are week to week starts and it's a crapshoot which one has a better game. Other than Fitz, nobody is worthy of starting.
The Cards keep playing with the line up and keep falling flat. The last team this defense needs to face are the Saints whom are light years ahead of them after facing them in the playoff's just a year ago. Easy win for the Saints. SAINTS 31-CARDS 17.
FANTASY STARTS: SAINTS.....play em if you got em. CARDS: Fitzgerald (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Wells (13 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
TENNESSEE TITANS at DALLAS COWBOYS:
TITANS: Their 13th ranked pass defense showed holes against the Broncos pass attack but overall did a good job considering the opponent. The Titans are 30th in Pass offense and 27th in total yards. Past CJ there is nobody producing. Vince Young has looked like the guy pre-benching instead of how he looked the second half of last year. He has been prone to starting out slow, so giving up on him is way too early. K. Britt has shown he is growing into a threat they can use but teams have been able to get away with putting their attention on keeping CJ somewhat normal. Not good news facing the Dallas 8th ranked rush defense.Young need to be able to exploit the coverage mis-matches and has yet to do so.
COWBOYS: Much like the Broncos, the Cowboys have great weapons to attack the Titans 13th pass defense but the key is they have a better run game. Albeit not that much better, but at 26th it's much more effective than Denvers. Dallas' 4th ranked passing offense is going to pose problems for the Titans which will allow Felix Jones and Barber to have open lanes. Jerry Jones stated he wants Felix more involved and what the boss wants the boss gets. Dallas also had two weeks to prep for this game and will come out strong.
Dallas' D matches up well against the Titans one dimensional attack and while CJ will get his yards and a score, Dallas is able to hold them in check. COWBOYS 24-TITANS 17
FANTASY STARTS: DALLAS: Austin (8 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Bryant ( 5 for 60 1 TD) Barber (12 for 55 1 TD) TITANS: CJ (16 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Britt (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Felix Jones....Jones has the better speed and is more of a pass threat should the Titans be able to put clamps on Miles Austin. Either way I see Jones having a productive day in total yardage and could be the one to score instead of Barber.
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS at OAKLAND RAIDERS:
CHARGERS: Mike Tolbert has stolen some of Mathews thunder, causing Norv to name him a split chance goal line carry and after last week he will probably be eating into Mathews touches. Rivers has been nothing short of amazing, giving the Chargers the 3rd ranked pass offense. Even with the rivalry between them and Oakland and the Raiders 3rd ranked pass defense, I like Rivers to be effective in a game that should have the Chargers offense on the field for most the game. Given McFaddens injury, the Raiders 6th ranked run offense will take a hit and San Diego already would've been a tough match up being ranked 7th against the rush. Tolbert will see enough time to be a good fantasy play as will Mathews and all other offensive players.
RAIDERS: McFadden looks to not be available, Murphy's shoulder limited him to five yards last week and the Offensive line gave Gradkowski zero time to let anything develop. That was against Houston's horrible secondary. Had it not been for Miller it would have been far worse. This week, the opponent is far more stout against the pass and given the injuries it looks like a bad time to face a divisional foe with as much power as the Chargers. No real plays here for Oakland guys on your team.
The Chargers should have a fairly long possession time here since Oakland's defense will not be able to last with all the 3 and outs. CHARGERS 28-OAKLAND 14.
FANTASY STARTS: SD: All of them, including Naanee and Tolbert. OAKLAND: Miller (7 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Bush ( 15 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEEPER: Heyward-Bey...Given Murphy's and McFadden's injuries, the Raiders will be playing from behind and will need another weapon with the focus on Miller.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES at SF 49ers:
EAGLES: Kolb looked rusty last week in relief but should look much better after a full week of first team snaps. His start is good news for Celek owners like myself and if he can get a rhythm going he could spread the ball around making Jackson and Maclin solid starts. Mike Bell will likely be the lead back since McCoy has a busted rib and will cause Kolb to have to throw since Bell has seen nothing but limited action. The Eagles will be throwing often in this game making all WR and Celek good options this week on the road.
49ERS: Crabtree called out Smith, Singletary called out his defense, and the team is starting to point fingers at each other as Singletary sits on the hot seat. The Gore show has proven to be not enough, and they face a team who has equally under achieved this year and has had controversies of their own. The Eagles weakness is their pass defense and the 49ers may be able to take advantage of this depending on which Alex Smith comes out.
I will take the team with less chaos who is still in the hunt within their division. EAGLES 24-49ERS 17.
FANTASY STARTS: EAGLES: Celek (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Jackson ( 7 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Maclin ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
49ERS: Gore (15 for 60 yds./ 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Davis (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Crabtree...He has progressed slowly and with the team looking to get him more involved may have a decent game against this secondary.
Showing posts with label Panthers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Panthers. Show all posts
Wednesday, October 6, 2010
WEEK 5 PREVIEW
Labels:
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Bills,
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Friday, October 1, 2010
FRIDAY GUT CHECK
A list of players whom may have a bad match-up or may be low on your list as far as options on your fantasy team whom for some reason you get the feeling in your gut to start them regardless.
MIKE CRABTREE SF: He has been horrible the first three weeks and it's not really the fault of Alex Smith. He has dropped passes and his run after the catch has been nothing to write home about as well. However, with the firing of Jimmy Raye, I am looking for the Niners to simplify things and get Crabtree and Davis involved much more. They have been losing because it has been the Frank Gore show only and with no other help. Singletary knows he needs to ease the pressure off Gore or he will break down by mid season. Atlanta is allowing opponents 7.9 yards per pass play and almost 250 yds. passing per game.
DARIUS HEYWARD-BEY OAK: Murphy's collar bone and a Houston Defense who is worst against the pass should make this a game where Bey runs wild and is targeted in double digits. Murphy's injury was late news after writing my projections and regardless if he plays, Oakland will have success throwing the ball. With Bey's speed and the odds in his favor, this could be his best professional game to date.
SHONN GREENE NYJ: I had him on here last week, and though he wasn't amazing, he did up his numbers and looked to be running angry as hell in the last quarter against Miami. While LT will get the start, if the Jets get up big they may want to limit his touches, giving Greene a good amount of carries. Also, with the expectation that LT will have plenty of big yardage plays, he may need a bit more rest than usual. If Greene can't put up numbers worthy of a number two back then he will be officially nothing more than a flex play after this.
DEANGELO WILLIAMS AND JONATHAN STEWART CAR: I have been super low on these guys since the pre-season after keeping tabs on their surgeries and watching them look slower than normal. Both guys did make good contributions last week against the Bengals and I think that carries over here against New Orleans. Fox will not trust to put the game in Clausen's hands just yet and the two backs should get about 15-17 touches each against a New Orleans team where the best way to beat them is not to let Brees touch the ball.
DAVID GERRARD JAGS: This one is the riskiest of the group given his horrific start, but the Colts are not great against the pass (Houston, Denver) and while the Jags have been under performing, they do have talent at all positions. Gerrard was essentially put on notice with the signing of Trent Edwards and he knows the next few games could put his career on the line. Gerrard has the talent but seems lazy and slow at times. I expect him to have a fire under his ass this week against a divisional foe who they tend to give a great game. While he is risky, don't shy away from him if you're other QB has a stiff match up but has played better.
MIKE CRABTREE SF: He has been horrible the first three weeks and it's not really the fault of Alex Smith. He has dropped passes and his run after the catch has been nothing to write home about as well. However, with the firing of Jimmy Raye, I am looking for the Niners to simplify things and get Crabtree and Davis involved much more. They have been losing because it has been the Frank Gore show only and with no other help. Singletary knows he needs to ease the pressure off Gore or he will break down by mid season. Atlanta is allowing opponents 7.9 yards per pass play and almost 250 yds. passing per game.
DARIUS HEYWARD-BEY OAK: Murphy's collar bone and a Houston Defense who is worst against the pass should make this a game where Bey runs wild and is targeted in double digits. Murphy's injury was late news after writing my projections and regardless if he plays, Oakland will have success throwing the ball. With Bey's speed and the odds in his favor, this could be his best professional game to date.
SHONN GREENE NYJ: I had him on here last week, and though he wasn't amazing, he did up his numbers and looked to be running angry as hell in the last quarter against Miami. While LT will get the start, if the Jets get up big they may want to limit his touches, giving Greene a good amount of carries. Also, with the expectation that LT will have plenty of big yardage plays, he may need a bit more rest than usual. If Greene can't put up numbers worthy of a number two back then he will be officially nothing more than a flex play after this.
DEANGELO WILLIAMS AND JONATHAN STEWART CAR: I have been super low on these guys since the pre-season after keeping tabs on their surgeries and watching them look slower than normal. Both guys did make good contributions last week against the Bengals and I think that carries over here against New Orleans. Fox will not trust to put the game in Clausen's hands just yet and the two backs should get about 15-17 touches each against a New Orleans team where the best way to beat them is not to let Brees touch the ball.
DAVID GERRARD JAGS: This one is the riskiest of the group given his horrific start, but the Colts are not great against the pass (Houston, Denver) and while the Jags have been under performing, they do have talent at all positions. Gerrard was essentially put on notice with the signing of Trent Edwards and he knows the next few games could put his career on the line. Gerrard has the talent but seems lazy and slow at times. I expect him to have a fire under his ass this week against a divisional foe who they tend to give a great game. While he is risky, don't shy away from him if you're other QB has a stiff match up but has played better.
Wednesday, September 29, 2010
WEEK 4 PREDICTIONS
NY JETS at BUFFALO BILLS: JETS: The Jets have taken the training wheels off Sanchez and he has delivered the last two weeks. I still cringe when I see some of the balls he throws into coverage but Edwards and Keller prove that all you need is to give your receiver a chance to make a play and it will pay off. The run game at this point belongs to L.T. as Greene has been relegated to number two status. LT scored the lone rushing TD last week and is the one you have to start. This week, both guys should be a safe play. Buffalo has been horrible stopping the run, ranking 27th in run D and allowing 29 PPG for the 31st spot. If ever there was a week yet that Greene could prove some value it's this one. If he doesn't give you at least 9 points then it is time to look for options.
BUFFALO: The Bills sent their QB of the future packing this week and have given Fitzpatrick the keys to the kingdom for now. Word is they are back to selling Lynch for the right deal so they could wind up with a solid number two at some point. A guy like Leinart, Shaun Hill, Matt Moore or Quinn could be making his way to Buffalo soon. Buffalo is dead last in Total YPG and 31st in passing yards per game. Obviously their strength is the rush and it will be tested against the leagues 4th ranked run D who is giving up 61 RYPG. Add to that the fact that week to week it's anyone's guess who is going to have the good game and it will do you well to look for other options if you have them.
Buffalo did give the Pats a run for their money on the road so there is a chance for an upset here since they play above potential within their divisional games. However, there is too much chaos and uncertainty on this team to believe it will happen. If Gailey has any shot at winning this game he will have to throw early and often. JETS 28 BILLS 17
FANTASY STARTS: JETS: Edwards (6 for 80 1 TD) Keller (5 for 60 1 TD) L.T. ( 14 for 70 1 TD/ 4 for 48yds) Greene ( 11 for 70 1 TD)
BUFFALO: Parrish ( 8 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Steve Johnson BUF......He is second on the team with 137 passing yards and should be the best option to break one deep, especially in garbage time. The Jets will be able to run the clock with their run game, forcing Fitzpatrick to throw often in the second half.
BALTIMORE RAVENS at PITTSBURGH STEELERS: RAVENS: Ray Rice has a "significant" knee contusion and could be questionable for this game. Believe it or not, it doesn't really affect the Ravens as they are 17 in Passing YPG and 23rd in Rushing YPG with only 89 YPG. Not really what you would expect, but the addition of Boldin and Houshmenzadeh have allowed Flacco to throw more and not depend on Rice so heavily. Flacco finally burst out of his two week funk last Sunday but will face the league leading Defense in points allowed. Since they weren't really going to get much on the ground against the Steelers to begin with, this is a game where Houshmenzadeh proves his value to the team. While the Steelers are 17th against the pass, they will not be able to handle all three of the Baltimore receivers at once and guard Rice or Mcgahee flaring out of the backfield.
STEELERS: Ben who? Charlie Batch showed why the Steelers keep him around every year, torching the Bucs last week through the air. However, it was one of those games where the score doesn't tell the whole story. Two TD passes were interceptions that bounced off defenders hands and another drive came off a fumble that was returned for a TD. Facing the NFL's top Pass Defense will prove much more of a test and Pittsburgh should run the ball often since Baltimore is 23rd against the rush allowing 127 YPG on the ground. Mendenhall will carry the load in a game that is a toss up depending on what Baltimore team shows up.
The Ravens have too many options for even this Defense to handle and Flacco seems to be hitting his stride now. The key will be the effectiveness of Mcgahee on the ground but more importantly in pass blocking and catching. Batch won't be able to make mistakes against the Baltimore Defense and he is bound to face pressure all game behind a suspect O-Line. The Ravens win this one on the road. RAVENS 20-STEELERS 13.
FANTASY STARTS: RAVENS: Boldin (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Heap ( 4 for 40 1 TD) Rice/Mcgahee (14 for 43 yds. 7 for 50 yds 1 TD)
STEELERS: Ward (8 for 70 1 TD) Mendenhall ( 18 for 110 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Houshmenzadeh and Mcgahee....they should have a few good match up's in the game as the Steelers focus on Boldin and Mason and probably run a cover 2 against them.
CINCINNATI BENGALS at CLEVELAND BROWNS: BENGALS: Last year the run game was the source of the Bengals road to the playoffs and controlling the game. This year, the Bengals have shown a commitment to running the ball again, with Benson getting 65 carries thru three games. Problem is he has only gained 202 yds. with those touches for a 3.1 Per Carry Avg. and two scores. His longest is a 13 yard run, while Bernard Scott has a 12 yard run on only 13 carries and is averaging over 5 yards per carry. While Benson had a great game last week, keep in mind it was against the Panthers whom have proven they are far from the team they were last year. With Cleveland coming up you can expect a similar performance, though on the road against a state rival it could be tempered. Palmer has not looked as sharp as everyone hoped so far, with 3 TD's and 3 INT's. I expect this group to get better as the season goes on, but the Bengals are just barely getting it done so far, always doing just a bit more than the opposition. This game should be easily won by the Bengals as long as they don't play down to the competition.
BROWNS: This Defense is surprisingly top twelve everywhere but rushing. After what Boldin did to them last week though, look for these numbers to start rising as teams with better weapons come to town. Seneca Wallace has well outperformed Delhomme and should be the starter for the year if Mangini has a brain left in his skull. The big surprise here is Peyton Hillis, his 3 TD's and 5.6 per carry average. Hillis, like Wallace should keep his starting gig until he proves otherwise over the course of several games. Mangini at least has recognized who the better back is at this point and has given him the start. While the run game has produced results, the pass game has been abysmal ranking 22nd. Massaquoi and Robiskie are nowhere to be found after having high expectations. The Browns are not going to win games until one of these two can get some respect and allow the field to open up for Cribbs and Hillis.
This game has the potential to be closer than expected if the Browns can play on emotion against a rival. But emotion will wear off once the points start racking up. Did anyone see what Boldin did to them last week? The Bengals are a team just starting to get on a track and that doesn't bode well for Cleveland. Cincinnati should cruise in this one. BENGALS 24-BROWNS 13.
FANTASY STARTS: BENGALS: Ochocinco (8 for 110 yds. 1 TD) T.O. (6 for 80 1 TD) Benson (17 for 80 1 TD) Palmer ( 275 yds 2 TD) BROWNS: Hillis (18 for 90 yds./ 3 for 25 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Massaquoi CLE....with Adam Jones nursing the shoulder injury, there could be room for him to finally post a decent game as the attention is focused on Hillis and Cribbs.
WASHINGTON REDSKINS at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: WASHINGTON: Portis' slip and fall in order to "protect the ball" while he was in the middle of the field has taken the headlines this week. Shanny obviously wasn't happy, benching him afterwards. Ryan Torain came in instead of Keiland Williams which was a bit of a surprise but given he was with Shanny in Denver, it's no huge news. The question is who gets the start after Torain performed well and is not afraid to take a hit. In a way this helps the team, taking a bit of attention off Mcnabb's return to Philly. Washington is coming off a loss to the Rams and given their in house issues with diva's, this team is not one that can afford drama that detracts from their play. The Skins are very one dimensional with nobody being a true threat outside of Santana Moss and Cooley. They are 28th in Rushing YPG and the Defense is dead last in Total Yards Allowed PG and 31st against the pass. Guess what the Eagles do well? Washington will step up for this game, but the key will be if they can run the ball and keep Vick off the field. Look for Torain to get the start if he has a good week of practice and to possibly take the job if he produces come game time. If you remember the grudge Shanny carried with Haynesworth during pre-season, then benching Portis shouldn't be that wild an idea. The Redskins chances will hinge on Haynesworth getting penetration and putting up his best game in the last two seasons as well as the run game controlling the clock.
PHILADELPHIA: The Eagles are 14th in Passing YPG and 7th in Rushing YPG which makes all sorts of trouble for a Defense like Washington's. Vick has energized the city with his play and is out to prove he is a passer first and foremost. After D. Jackson's big game last week and the continued red zone prowess of Maclin, the Eagles will look to take advantage of Washington's weak pass Defense. I expect Washington to really use all their effort on stopping the pass, so this could become a game where the Eagles adapt and are forced to use the running lanes Washington leaves open for them. They will still have great success through the air, but don't be surprised if it turns into a balanced attack and McCoy has his first big game of the year.
The Redskins have been media darlings this year, but not in a good way. All the distraction and diva attitude on this team are the exact opposite of what this coach wants or looks for. Unless they control the clock with the run game, I don't see Washington having the mental fortitude to bounce back after a deflating loss to St. Louis and they lose big here. EAGLES 30- REDSKINS 20.
FANTASY STARTS: EAGLES: McCoy ( 16 for 98yds 1 TD/ 4 for 30 yds) Maclin (5 for 60 yds 1 TD) Jackson ( 8 for 115 yds 1 TD) Vick ( 240 yds. 2 TD/ 6 for 48 yds 1 TD) REDSKINS: Moss (8 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Cooley (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Ryan Torain.....Shanny will look to control the clock and keep Vick from touching the ball. If that happens and Torain gets the call, he could touch the ball 20 times.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS AT ST.LOUIS RAMS: SEATTLE: Coming off a game where Leon Washington single handedly beat the Chargers, there really wasn't a great deal that the team could feel good about other than the win and the Special Teams play. Granted they were playing the Chargers, but the Defense allowed Rivers to pass for over four hundred yards. This is a team that ranks 30th against the pass and 28th in total YPG allowed. With Steven Jackson possibly missing time this week, the Rams are going to attack their weakness and won't be able to expect Washington to bail them out again. Offensively, the Seahawks are 21st in Passing YPG and 24th in Rushing YPG. John Carlson is the teams leading pass catcher which isn't a good thing. The Seahawks are a team nearly unbeatable at home but very questionable on the road. The good news is that in their division all they need to do is win the home games and they could win it.
ST. LOUIS: The Rams are riding high after the big upset against Washington and will see a very similar team in Seattle. If Steven Jackson is unable to go, it may not hurt the Rams as much as thought since Seattle is vulnerable to the pass. The play of Clayton and Amendola has given this team a boost behind a QB who has proven to be worth the money they spent on him. The Rams are staying in games because of their play on 3rd downs, allowing only 13 conversions on 40 attempts and keeping opponents to an average of 16 PPG. Given their lower tier Defense, it's been a bit of teams stalling once they get to the red zone against them. Given last week the Seahawks stalled on two drives before the half, St. Louis could have another upset on their hands. The key will be Bradford's ability to make plays and not turn the ball over.
The Seahawks have always had split personality when it comes to their play at home versus the road and although they are riding high after a great win, I didn't see enough to encourage they are for real. I would feel a lot better if it were Sunday morning and Jackson was getting the start, but so far an MRI revealed only a groin strain which means he should be available. St. Louis builds off last week and beats a Seattle team who may be over confident after beating the Chargers. ST. LOUIS 24- SEATTLE 21.
FANTASY STARTS: SEATTLE: Forsett (11 for 60 yds./ 2 for 30 yds.) Branch ( 5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Washington (10 for 60 yds. 4 for 40 yds. 1 TD)
ST. LOUIS: Bradford (340 yds. 3 TD) Jackson ( 17 for 80 yds. 3 for 25 yds. 1 TD) Clayton (7 for 90 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Danny Amendola....with attention focused on Clayton and the possible loss of Jackson or the Rams using him cautiously, Amendola should receive plenty of target and break for one.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ers at ATLANTA FALCONS: 49ERS: Singletary shook things up firing the OC Jimmy Raye on Monday and this actually might be what the team needs. Usually firing an OC three games into the season is a very bad sign, but with a team that has the talent to score yet ranks 31st, can it get any worse? Ironically it hasn't been the play of Alex Smith killing them, but the lack of WR help and a Defense that is exhausted being on the field too much because of it. Crabtree did show some minor progress last week, but is far from living up to expectations. Singletary is also shaking up the defensive rotation, allowing some new blood starting which may help energize a defense that was torched by KC. If Frank Gore is going to make it through the season, someone has to step up soon. SF is killing itself on 3rd downs, converting only 10 on 41 tries. Atlanta ranks 22nd against the pass but it stout against the run ranking 12th. Smith will need to connect with his WR corps if he is to have a chance at winning. Singletary will make them focus this week and most likely be extremely involved on both sides of the ball this week during practices.
ATLANTA: The number 2 ranked run game will face a stiff test against an angry 49ers team whom before KC was ranked 7th against the run. Matt Ryan has yet to really be effective due to a lack of production outside of White. The Falcons will no doubt face a stacked box by SF in an effort to shut Turner down and force Ryan to pass to a receiver not named White. Turner will have to be more involved in the pass game if Atlanta is going to hold off SF and send them to 0-4. Once Jenkins returns, it will be a different story, but given what SF has to lose, this will be a test of what he can do with limited options.
The 49ers season rides on this game since there is a huge difference between 1-3 or 0-4. Singletary should have them focused and disciplined for this one ready to come out and live up to their potential. While the firing of Jimmy Raye be some cause for concern, they kept the promotion of OC in house to ease the transition. Given how desperately SF needs this game, they pull it out behind Frank Gore and a Defense with a chip on it's shoulder. SF 17- ATLANTA 14
FANTASY STARTS: ATLANTA: Turner (18 for 80 1 TD) White ( 7 for 80 1 TD) SAN FRANCISCO: Gore (15 for 60 yds./ 7 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Davis (7 for 60 yds.1 TD)
SLEEPER: Mike Crabtree....He has the ability, and look for Singletary to simplify things for him a bit to get the production he needs to win this game.
DETROIT LIONS AT GREEN BAY PACKERS: DETROIT: The good news is Stafford should start throwing this week. The bad news is that Best has a strained or maybe partially torn ligament in his toe. The Lions are 31st in Rushing YPG averaging only 66 YPG and they give up a league worst 148 YPG. Nate Burleson should be back, adding some help and relief to Megatron who has been largely held in check because of no other threat on passing downs. The possible loss of Best only makes things worse since he was also a factor in the pass game. Shaun Hill has been serviceable in relief of Stafford and getting Burleson back could help somewhat, but not against a Packer team steaming after beating themselves on Monday night. The Lions will not have much to work with and on the road in a hostile environment is the worst situation they could have walked into this week.
GREEN BAY: After shooting themselves in the foot with questionable play calling by Mcarthy and an obscene amount of penalties, the Packers should be in top form and angry. The Defense is 3rd against the pass, facing a team which will not have any other option but to do so. Just how out of hand this game could get is scary, but the Packers will have other issues to acknowledge this week as well. The run game is 22nd with Brandon Jackson and the Pack need to address the situation via trade soon. Their schedule has them facing tough run defenses in the next five weeks and waiting at this point is not an option.
Green Bay is a team expected to make a Super Bowl run and you don't get those expectations without being able to handle the teams you should beat. Green Bay easily walks over the Lions. PACKERS 34- LIONS 17.
FANTASY STARTS: LIONS: Calvin Johnson (9 for 80 yds. 1 TD) PACKERS: All of them, even Jackson who should find plenty of room. Defense ( 3 turnovers, 3 sacks, 17 pts allowed)
SLEEPER: Shaun Hill....He should wind up throwing close to forty times and while he will allow many turnovers, his overall production could provide points if your starting QB happens to be on a bye this week. But ONLY if you have no better options.
DENVER BRONCOS AT TENNESSEE TITANS: BRONCOS: I think the time to consider Orton a legitimate QB has arrived for any doubters. The Broncos lead the NFL in passing, averaging 350 Passing Yards PG. With a host of weapons to throw to thanks to the emergence of Brandon Lloyd, Orton has thrown four TD to four different players. The problem comes in the red zone, which kept them from beating Indianapolis last week.The run game has gotten off to a horrible start, but Maroney seems to have infused a bit of energy in what the Broncos hope will be enough of a run game to just keep defenses on their toes instead of sitting back against the pass. They will need it big time as they face the 5th ranked Pass Defense. This should be tempered by the fact that the Titans have faced Offenses of Oakland, Pittsburgh, and the Giants whom have all shown they are not close to the caliber of Denver. The key here then becomes the fact that Tennessee will focus on stopping the pass and will force the Broncos to turn to their 30th run offense. There shouldn't be much of a change in Offensive philosophy for the Broncos since they know the Titans have yet to be truly tested in the air and will test it early to see where they stand.
TENNESSEE: The Titans are 30th in Passing Offense but great in the run behind Chris Johnson. However, they face Denver's 10th ranked run Defense giving up only 95 YPG. Denver did face MJD albeit not the one we are used to seeing. Denver can be passed on, ranking 23rd so look for Young to get more involved here through the air. He had a mediocre performance after getting benched the game before and will be the key if Tennesse hopes to win.
This is a match up where each teams Offensive strength plays into the Defenses strength. The Broncos lost a game they had in their control last week but couldn't capitalize on short fields. Given that the Titans have yet to face a passing team of this caliber, I think the Broncos continue to spread the ball around and Maroney is able to contribute keeping the Titans Defense on the field longer than they are used to, forcing Vince Young to pass more than Fisher wants him to. BRONCOS 24-TITANS 20
FANTASY STARTS: BRONCOS: Orton (320 yds. 2 TD) Gaffney (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Lloyd (8 for 90 yds 1 TD) TITANS: CJ (18 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Washington ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Maroney...given the attention to the pass game and the battle that will go on there throughout the game, Maroney breaks some decent runs and sneaks one in the endzone.
CAROLINA PANTHERS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: CAROLINA: Turning the ball over 12 times in three games doesn't help your effort to win games. Especially when you are starting a rookie QB and have under performing RB's. Regardless, Fox made the right decision in starting Clausen and giving him the go this week as well. Deangelo William had somewhat of a breakout game rushing for 65 yards but Steve Smith was limited to little production behind Clausens pressure and fumble issues. This is a team that could become competitive later in the year, but facing the defending champs will pose problems for a Defense that ranks middle of the road against the Pass and Run.
NEW ORLEANS: With Atlanta and Tampa Bay surprisingly tied with the Saints in record up to this point, the Saints will look to beat a divisional opponent and put some distance between them at the top. The Saints seem to have picked up Offensively where they left off last year, and after a sluggish start, the Defense has started playing with the speed we saw as well. Lance Moore made his impact last week with the absence of Reggie Bush and should continue to produce as long as Bush is gone, essentially taking on his role as short pass routes in the middle of the field. Meachem has yet to make an impact this year, with Henderson getting more of the targets. This is a team that likes to use all it's weapons and spread the ball around so guessing who will be the benefactor week to week will be a headache. The position to watch is at RB to see who takes on the lead role s substitute to Pierre Thomas when he's not in the game.
Carolina has too much inexperience at QB and no real number two WR to be a threat to New Orleans. While it is a divisional game at home, the talent is not up to par with the Saints and they will be left with another loss. SAINTS 28-CAROLINA 13.
FANTASY STARTS: NEW ORLEANS: Brees (320 yds. 3 TD) Colston (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Moore (7 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Henderson (7 for 80 yds 1 TD) Thomas (15 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
CAROLINA: Smith (8 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Williams (13 for 60 yds)
SLEEPER: Goodson....Steve Smith will get the targets, but NO will make sure they surround him come red zone time. If he doesn't get the score as I predict or if the Panthers are able to get in the red zone more than anticipated, Goodson is a good bet to sneak one while the Defense is focused on the other side of the field.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AT JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: JAGS: David Gerrard has been put on notice after the Jags were awarded Trent Edwards off waivers yesterday. Given Gerrard's numerous chances to prove himself, he has proven ineffective. The lack of normal production we all expect from MJD has me believing he either had some minor clean up surgery this off-season or is playing hurt, which makes the need for Gerrard to produce all that more important. Gerrard is surrounded by capable weapons but his slow decision making is hurting him. I guess watching Leftwich all those years paid off in a bad way. Gerrard is most likely on borrowed time until Edwards picks up the offense and will need to have a great game to buy himself a little more time and create doubt. Jacksonville always gives Indianapolis a run for their money, but the Jags 29th ranked pass Defense is bad omen of things to come this week.
COLTS: Peyton is Peyton and the fall of Garcon has opened the door to Austin Collie whom is putting up the Reggie Wayne numbers in a flip flop of production thus far. Collie looks like the energetic, crisp route runner Peyton feeds on and that they have. The Colts run game and Defense are struggling this year which has them fighting harder than normal to win games. While it's still early, there isn't much to make you think this is something that will get significantly better. It could be age slowly creeping up on the Colts, but like Collie, they are a team with talent in the wings.
This should be another close game for the Colts with the balance depending on the play of Jones-Drew. If MJD can return to his dominating ways, Jacksonville has a chance to keep the ball out of Peyton's hands and pull off an upset. Given what we've seen so far though, this seems like only an outside shot. Mercedes Lewis is a wild card here who could affect the game if Gerrard can find him. Colts win 28-21.
FANTASY STARTS: Manning (340 yds. 3 TD) Wayne (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Collie (9 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Clark (8 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Addai (15 for 55 yds. 1 TD) JAGS: Simms-Walker (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) MJD (16 for 80 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 30 yds.) Lewis (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: M. Thomas....The Colts have the 20th ranked pass Defense and should have trouble watching Thomas if they are forced to bring help up front to stop MJD.
HOUSTON TEXANS AT OAKLAND RAIDERS: HOUSTON: The Texans had a wake-up call against the Cowboys last week as well as a reminder how average they can become when Andre Johnson is not at 100 percent. While they own the 8th and 5th Offenses in Passing and Rushing respectively, they also own the league worst pass defense, giving up an astonishing 369 yards Passing PG. Their Rush Defense is 2nd allowing only 54 YPG but teams will test them through the air, hoping to hold them just one drive more than they can hold the opponent. Andre Johnson has not stated any set backs after the game and should be available after a light week of practice. Regardless, they face Oakland's 2nd ranked pass defense and Asomugh should blanket Johnson regardless of health, leaving it on Arian Foster's shoulders to beat up on the Raiders weak run defense.
OAKLAND: The Raiders have found new life behind Gradkowski but are coming off a loss where normally dependable Janikowski missed three field goals. Both Louis Murphy and even Heyward-Bey have been effective with Gradkowski at the helm and McFadden has made his return to expectations when he was a top draft pick. The Raiders are coming off a tough loss in Arizona and return home to face a high scoring team who's strength is their Defensive strength. While Oakland has had success running the ball, they will be tested with Mario Williams providing penetration against a weak O-Line.
While the Raiders line offers questions, Gradkowski loves to move and throw on the run. Both Heyward-Bey and Murphy seem to be in sync with him, always coming back to the ball. Since Houston can't defend the pass at all, they will be unable to try and focus on limiting the damage thru the air and stopping McFadden. The Raiders win this game by a field goal as Janikowski redeems himself. RAIDERS 24-TEXANS 21.
FANTASY STARTS: OAKLAND: McFadden (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Murphy ( 8 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Miller ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) HOUSTON: Schaub (280 yds. 2 TD) Foster ( 17 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Johnson (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Walter ( 6 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Owen Daniels HOU...Daniels may be the key to the Texans chances and was targeted six times last week. With Johnson and Walter facing tough coverage, Daniels will have the middle of the field open as the LB's focus on stopping McFadden.
ARIZONA CARDINALS AT SAN DIEGO CHARGERS: SAN DIEGO: No doubt most of practice this week will focus on the Special Teams play after being torched twice by Leon Washington last week. The Chargers still almost overcame the deficit, having a chance to tie at the end. The Bolts also lost Merriman, although it shouldn't serve as a huge loss given his fall in production. The Chargers are ranked no lower than 13 in all categories Offensively and Defensively except for....yeah, special teams. Thankfully, the Chargers face a team ranked 25th in Passing YPG, Total YPG, and PPG.Add to that the 31st Run Defense and 19th Pass Defense and you have just the match up the Chargers needed after a tough loss. The Chargers rank 1st in Total YPG, 2nd in Passing and 13th in the Run game. Getting the Special Teams play up to par is their lone problem, and one that should be fixed within the next few weeks. Mathews went though individual drills on Monday without incident and could be back in the line up Sunday.
ARIZONA: Beanie Wells made his return last week and immediately was given starters carries. The Cards are hoping he can take some of the pressure off Anderson but no amount of run game is going to help a passing offense averaging just 175 YPG. Fitzgerald's stock is falling to number two status daily and the loss of Breaston and Doucet will only allow teams to add extra focus on him. Arizona has officially begun rebuilding mode as so many teams do after a Super Bowl appearance. Though their process should be a much quicker one since they have the base to build off of already in place.
The Chargers take advantage of the loss of Breaston and are able to bring extra men up to protect against Wells while picking the Defense apart with their choice of run or pass. SD 31-ARI 17.
FANTASY STARTS: SD: Mathews or Tolbert ( 16 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Floyd (6 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Gates (8 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Naanee (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Rivers (300yds. 3 TD)
ARIZONA: Wells (14 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Fitzgerald (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Steve Williams...Breaston averaged 6 targets a game and Williams has the speed to make those targets work for him if he gets the start.
CHICAGO BEARS AT NY GIANTS: BEARS: The Bears have silenced all the critics with their big win over Super Bowl pick Green Bay. The Bears Defense was especially relentless and Peppers played out of his mind. The question is if the Bears can continue the intensity here on out. Coming off a win like that there is no reason not to think so. A win like that can carry a team for a while given what it does to a team's confidence. Cutler seems to have settled in to Mike Martz system and the Bears have realized Greg Olsen's potential within the system. With some better growth from their WR group, the Bears have the potential to improve their already 5th ranked Pass Offense Per Game. Their problem lies in Rush offense, sitting at 29th. While a run game is not called for in a Martz offense, the Bears will need to fall back on it in games and will need to be effective. The pass defense sits at 28th and will be the Giants focus as they are 9th in the NFL in Passing YPG.
NY GIANTS: The Giants will air it out against the Bears given the match up and are ranked 4th against the pass which will give the Bears a bit of a challenge. Then again, the Packers were a top ten pass defense and gave up their share to Cutler. The Giants are coming off a beating at home against the Titans and the calls for Coughlin's job are starting to be heard again. The Giants will hope to use ball control but should wind up ineffective as the Bears own the top rushing defense. Steve Smith finally became involved in the Giants pass game last week and they will need him as this turns into an air show.
The Bears momentum and confidence coming off a short week and playing on National TV should propel them to another hard fought win as these two teams seem to be going in opposite directions. BEARS 21-GIANTS 17.
FANTASY STARTS: BEARS: Forte (12 for 40 yds./ 5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Olsen ( 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Knox (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) GIANTS: Nicks ( 5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Manningham (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Devin Hester....The Giants know who to focus on in the Martz attack and they won't be able to safely hold down the left side along the the Bears strong right. Hester could take a short slant to the house on any play here.
MONDAY NIGHT.....will be posted up Monday morning,
BUFFALO: The Bills sent their QB of the future packing this week and have given Fitzpatrick the keys to the kingdom for now. Word is they are back to selling Lynch for the right deal so they could wind up with a solid number two at some point. A guy like Leinart, Shaun Hill, Matt Moore or Quinn could be making his way to Buffalo soon. Buffalo is dead last in Total YPG and 31st in passing yards per game. Obviously their strength is the rush and it will be tested against the leagues 4th ranked run D who is giving up 61 RYPG. Add to that the fact that week to week it's anyone's guess who is going to have the good game and it will do you well to look for other options if you have them.
Buffalo did give the Pats a run for their money on the road so there is a chance for an upset here since they play above potential within their divisional games. However, there is too much chaos and uncertainty on this team to believe it will happen. If Gailey has any shot at winning this game he will have to throw early and often. JETS 28 BILLS 17
FANTASY STARTS: JETS: Edwards (6 for 80 1 TD) Keller (5 for 60 1 TD) L.T. ( 14 for 70 1 TD/ 4 for 48yds) Greene ( 11 for 70 1 TD)
BUFFALO: Parrish ( 8 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Steve Johnson BUF......He is second on the team with 137 passing yards and should be the best option to break one deep, especially in garbage time. The Jets will be able to run the clock with their run game, forcing Fitzpatrick to throw often in the second half.
BALTIMORE RAVENS at PITTSBURGH STEELERS: RAVENS: Ray Rice has a "significant" knee contusion and could be questionable for this game. Believe it or not, it doesn't really affect the Ravens as they are 17 in Passing YPG and 23rd in Rushing YPG with only 89 YPG. Not really what you would expect, but the addition of Boldin and Houshmenzadeh have allowed Flacco to throw more and not depend on Rice so heavily. Flacco finally burst out of his two week funk last Sunday but will face the league leading Defense in points allowed. Since they weren't really going to get much on the ground against the Steelers to begin with, this is a game where Houshmenzadeh proves his value to the team. While the Steelers are 17th against the pass, they will not be able to handle all three of the Baltimore receivers at once and guard Rice or Mcgahee flaring out of the backfield.
STEELERS: Ben who? Charlie Batch showed why the Steelers keep him around every year, torching the Bucs last week through the air. However, it was one of those games where the score doesn't tell the whole story. Two TD passes were interceptions that bounced off defenders hands and another drive came off a fumble that was returned for a TD. Facing the NFL's top Pass Defense will prove much more of a test and Pittsburgh should run the ball often since Baltimore is 23rd against the rush allowing 127 YPG on the ground. Mendenhall will carry the load in a game that is a toss up depending on what Baltimore team shows up.
The Ravens have too many options for even this Defense to handle and Flacco seems to be hitting his stride now. The key will be the effectiveness of Mcgahee on the ground but more importantly in pass blocking and catching. Batch won't be able to make mistakes against the Baltimore Defense and he is bound to face pressure all game behind a suspect O-Line. The Ravens win this one on the road. RAVENS 20-STEELERS 13.
FANTASY STARTS: RAVENS: Boldin (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Heap ( 4 for 40 1 TD) Rice/Mcgahee (14 for 43 yds. 7 for 50 yds 1 TD)
STEELERS: Ward (8 for 70 1 TD) Mendenhall ( 18 for 110 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Houshmenzadeh and Mcgahee....they should have a few good match up's in the game as the Steelers focus on Boldin and Mason and probably run a cover 2 against them.
CINCINNATI BENGALS at CLEVELAND BROWNS: BENGALS: Last year the run game was the source of the Bengals road to the playoffs and controlling the game. This year, the Bengals have shown a commitment to running the ball again, with Benson getting 65 carries thru three games. Problem is he has only gained 202 yds. with those touches for a 3.1 Per Carry Avg. and two scores. His longest is a 13 yard run, while Bernard Scott has a 12 yard run on only 13 carries and is averaging over 5 yards per carry. While Benson had a great game last week, keep in mind it was against the Panthers whom have proven they are far from the team they were last year. With Cleveland coming up you can expect a similar performance, though on the road against a state rival it could be tempered. Palmer has not looked as sharp as everyone hoped so far, with 3 TD's and 3 INT's. I expect this group to get better as the season goes on, but the Bengals are just barely getting it done so far, always doing just a bit more than the opposition. This game should be easily won by the Bengals as long as they don't play down to the competition.
BROWNS: This Defense is surprisingly top twelve everywhere but rushing. After what Boldin did to them last week though, look for these numbers to start rising as teams with better weapons come to town. Seneca Wallace has well outperformed Delhomme and should be the starter for the year if Mangini has a brain left in his skull. The big surprise here is Peyton Hillis, his 3 TD's and 5.6 per carry average. Hillis, like Wallace should keep his starting gig until he proves otherwise over the course of several games. Mangini at least has recognized who the better back is at this point and has given him the start. While the run game has produced results, the pass game has been abysmal ranking 22nd. Massaquoi and Robiskie are nowhere to be found after having high expectations. The Browns are not going to win games until one of these two can get some respect and allow the field to open up for Cribbs and Hillis.
This game has the potential to be closer than expected if the Browns can play on emotion against a rival. But emotion will wear off once the points start racking up. Did anyone see what Boldin did to them last week? The Bengals are a team just starting to get on a track and that doesn't bode well for Cleveland. Cincinnati should cruise in this one. BENGALS 24-BROWNS 13.
FANTASY STARTS: BENGALS: Ochocinco (8 for 110 yds. 1 TD) T.O. (6 for 80 1 TD) Benson (17 for 80 1 TD) Palmer ( 275 yds 2 TD) BROWNS: Hillis (18 for 90 yds./ 3 for 25 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Massaquoi CLE....with Adam Jones nursing the shoulder injury, there could be room for him to finally post a decent game as the attention is focused on Hillis and Cribbs.
WASHINGTON REDSKINS at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: WASHINGTON: Portis' slip and fall in order to "protect the ball" while he was in the middle of the field has taken the headlines this week. Shanny obviously wasn't happy, benching him afterwards. Ryan Torain came in instead of Keiland Williams which was a bit of a surprise but given he was with Shanny in Denver, it's no huge news. The question is who gets the start after Torain performed well and is not afraid to take a hit. In a way this helps the team, taking a bit of attention off Mcnabb's return to Philly. Washington is coming off a loss to the Rams and given their in house issues with diva's, this team is not one that can afford drama that detracts from their play. The Skins are very one dimensional with nobody being a true threat outside of Santana Moss and Cooley. They are 28th in Rushing YPG and the Defense is dead last in Total Yards Allowed PG and 31st against the pass. Guess what the Eagles do well? Washington will step up for this game, but the key will be if they can run the ball and keep Vick off the field. Look for Torain to get the start if he has a good week of practice and to possibly take the job if he produces come game time. If you remember the grudge Shanny carried with Haynesworth during pre-season, then benching Portis shouldn't be that wild an idea. The Redskins chances will hinge on Haynesworth getting penetration and putting up his best game in the last two seasons as well as the run game controlling the clock.
PHILADELPHIA: The Eagles are 14th in Passing YPG and 7th in Rushing YPG which makes all sorts of trouble for a Defense like Washington's. Vick has energized the city with his play and is out to prove he is a passer first and foremost. After D. Jackson's big game last week and the continued red zone prowess of Maclin, the Eagles will look to take advantage of Washington's weak pass Defense. I expect Washington to really use all their effort on stopping the pass, so this could become a game where the Eagles adapt and are forced to use the running lanes Washington leaves open for them. They will still have great success through the air, but don't be surprised if it turns into a balanced attack and McCoy has his first big game of the year.
The Redskins have been media darlings this year, but not in a good way. All the distraction and diva attitude on this team are the exact opposite of what this coach wants or looks for. Unless they control the clock with the run game, I don't see Washington having the mental fortitude to bounce back after a deflating loss to St. Louis and they lose big here. EAGLES 30- REDSKINS 20.
FANTASY STARTS: EAGLES: McCoy ( 16 for 98yds 1 TD/ 4 for 30 yds) Maclin (5 for 60 yds 1 TD) Jackson ( 8 for 115 yds 1 TD) Vick ( 240 yds. 2 TD/ 6 for 48 yds 1 TD) REDSKINS: Moss (8 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Cooley (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Ryan Torain.....Shanny will look to control the clock and keep Vick from touching the ball. If that happens and Torain gets the call, he could touch the ball 20 times.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS AT ST.LOUIS RAMS: SEATTLE: Coming off a game where Leon Washington single handedly beat the Chargers, there really wasn't a great deal that the team could feel good about other than the win and the Special Teams play. Granted they were playing the Chargers, but the Defense allowed Rivers to pass for over four hundred yards. This is a team that ranks 30th against the pass and 28th in total YPG allowed. With Steven Jackson possibly missing time this week, the Rams are going to attack their weakness and won't be able to expect Washington to bail them out again. Offensively, the Seahawks are 21st in Passing YPG and 24th in Rushing YPG. John Carlson is the teams leading pass catcher which isn't a good thing. The Seahawks are a team nearly unbeatable at home but very questionable on the road. The good news is that in their division all they need to do is win the home games and they could win it.
ST. LOUIS: The Rams are riding high after the big upset against Washington and will see a very similar team in Seattle. If Steven Jackson is unable to go, it may not hurt the Rams as much as thought since Seattle is vulnerable to the pass. The play of Clayton and Amendola has given this team a boost behind a QB who has proven to be worth the money they spent on him. The Rams are staying in games because of their play on 3rd downs, allowing only 13 conversions on 40 attempts and keeping opponents to an average of 16 PPG. Given their lower tier Defense, it's been a bit of teams stalling once they get to the red zone against them. Given last week the Seahawks stalled on two drives before the half, St. Louis could have another upset on their hands. The key will be Bradford's ability to make plays and not turn the ball over.
The Seahawks have always had split personality when it comes to their play at home versus the road and although they are riding high after a great win, I didn't see enough to encourage they are for real. I would feel a lot better if it were Sunday morning and Jackson was getting the start, but so far an MRI revealed only a groin strain which means he should be available. St. Louis builds off last week and beats a Seattle team who may be over confident after beating the Chargers. ST. LOUIS 24- SEATTLE 21.
FANTASY STARTS: SEATTLE: Forsett (11 for 60 yds./ 2 for 30 yds.) Branch ( 5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Washington (10 for 60 yds. 4 for 40 yds. 1 TD)
ST. LOUIS: Bradford (340 yds. 3 TD) Jackson ( 17 for 80 yds. 3 for 25 yds. 1 TD) Clayton (7 for 90 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Danny Amendola....with attention focused on Clayton and the possible loss of Jackson or the Rams using him cautiously, Amendola should receive plenty of target and break for one.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ers at ATLANTA FALCONS: 49ERS: Singletary shook things up firing the OC Jimmy Raye on Monday and this actually might be what the team needs. Usually firing an OC three games into the season is a very bad sign, but with a team that has the talent to score yet ranks 31st, can it get any worse? Ironically it hasn't been the play of Alex Smith killing them, but the lack of WR help and a Defense that is exhausted being on the field too much because of it. Crabtree did show some minor progress last week, but is far from living up to expectations. Singletary is also shaking up the defensive rotation, allowing some new blood starting which may help energize a defense that was torched by KC. If Frank Gore is going to make it through the season, someone has to step up soon. SF is killing itself on 3rd downs, converting only 10 on 41 tries. Atlanta ranks 22nd against the pass but it stout against the run ranking 12th. Smith will need to connect with his WR corps if he is to have a chance at winning. Singletary will make them focus this week and most likely be extremely involved on both sides of the ball this week during practices.
ATLANTA: The number 2 ranked run game will face a stiff test against an angry 49ers team whom before KC was ranked 7th against the run. Matt Ryan has yet to really be effective due to a lack of production outside of White. The Falcons will no doubt face a stacked box by SF in an effort to shut Turner down and force Ryan to pass to a receiver not named White. Turner will have to be more involved in the pass game if Atlanta is going to hold off SF and send them to 0-4. Once Jenkins returns, it will be a different story, but given what SF has to lose, this will be a test of what he can do with limited options.
The 49ers season rides on this game since there is a huge difference between 1-3 or 0-4. Singletary should have them focused and disciplined for this one ready to come out and live up to their potential. While the firing of Jimmy Raye be some cause for concern, they kept the promotion of OC in house to ease the transition. Given how desperately SF needs this game, they pull it out behind Frank Gore and a Defense with a chip on it's shoulder. SF 17- ATLANTA 14
FANTASY STARTS: ATLANTA: Turner (18 for 80 1 TD) White ( 7 for 80 1 TD) SAN FRANCISCO: Gore (15 for 60 yds./ 7 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Davis (7 for 60 yds.1 TD)
SLEEPER: Mike Crabtree....He has the ability, and look for Singletary to simplify things for him a bit to get the production he needs to win this game.
DETROIT LIONS AT GREEN BAY PACKERS: DETROIT: The good news is Stafford should start throwing this week. The bad news is that Best has a strained or maybe partially torn ligament in his toe. The Lions are 31st in Rushing YPG averaging only 66 YPG and they give up a league worst 148 YPG. Nate Burleson should be back, adding some help and relief to Megatron who has been largely held in check because of no other threat on passing downs. The possible loss of Best only makes things worse since he was also a factor in the pass game. Shaun Hill has been serviceable in relief of Stafford and getting Burleson back could help somewhat, but not against a Packer team steaming after beating themselves on Monday night. The Lions will not have much to work with and on the road in a hostile environment is the worst situation they could have walked into this week.
GREEN BAY: After shooting themselves in the foot with questionable play calling by Mcarthy and an obscene amount of penalties, the Packers should be in top form and angry. The Defense is 3rd against the pass, facing a team which will not have any other option but to do so. Just how out of hand this game could get is scary, but the Packers will have other issues to acknowledge this week as well. The run game is 22nd with Brandon Jackson and the Pack need to address the situation via trade soon. Their schedule has them facing tough run defenses in the next five weeks and waiting at this point is not an option.
Green Bay is a team expected to make a Super Bowl run and you don't get those expectations without being able to handle the teams you should beat. Green Bay easily walks over the Lions. PACKERS 34- LIONS 17.
FANTASY STARTS: LIONS: Calvin Johnson (9 for 80 yds. 1 TD) PACKERS: All of them, even Jackson who should find plenty of room. Defense ( 3 turnovers, 3 sacks, 17 pts allowed)
SLEEPER: Shaun Hill....He should wind up throwing close to forty times and while he will allow many turnovers, his overall production could provide points if your starting QB happens to be on a bye this week. But ONLY if you have no better options.
DENVER BRONCOS AT TENNESSEE TITANS: BRONCOS: I think the time to consider Orton a legitimate QB has arrived for any doubters. The Broncos lead the NFL in passing, averaging 350 Passing Yards PG. With a host of weapons to throw to thanks to the emergence of Brandon Lloyd, Orton has thrown four TD to four different players. The problem comes in the red zone, which kept them from beating Indianapolis last week.The run game has gotten off to a horrible start, but Maroney seems to have infused a bit of energy in what the Broncos hope will be enough of a run game to just keep defenses on their toes instead of sitting back against the pass. They will need it big time as they face the 5th ranked Pass Defense. This should be tempered by the fact that the Titans have faced Offenses of Oakland, Pittsburgh, and the Giants whom have all shown they are not close to the caliber of Denver. The key here then becomes the fact that Tennessee will focus on stopping the pass and will force the Broncos to turn to their 30th run offense. There shouldn't be much of a change in Offensive philosophy for the Broncos since they know the Titans have yet to be truly tested in the air and will test it early to see where they stand.
TENNESSEE: The Titans are 30th in Passing Offense but great in the run behind Chris Johnson. However, they face Denver's 10th ranked run Defense giving up only 95 YPG. Denver did face MJD albeit not the one we are used to seeing. Denver can be passed on, ranking 23rd so look for Young to get more involved here through the air. He had a mediocre performance after getting benched the game before and will be the key if Tennesse hopes to win.
This is a match up where each teams Offensive strength plays into the Defenses strength. The Broncos lost a game they had in their control last week but couldn't capitalize on short fields. Given that the Titans have yet to face a passing team of this caliber, I think the Broncos continue to spread the ball around and Maroney is able to contribute keeping the Titans Defense on the field longer than they are used to, forcing Vince Young to pass more than Fisher wants him to. BRONCOS 24-TITANS 20
FANTASY STARTS: BRONCOS: Orton (320 yds. 2 TD) Gaffney (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Lloyd (8 for 90 yds 1 TD) TITANS: CJ (18 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Washington ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Maroney...given the attention to the pass game and the battle that will go on there throughout the game, Maroney breaks some decent runs and sneaks one in the endzone.
CAROLINA PANTHERS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: CAROLINA: Turning the ball over 12 times in three games doesn't help your effort to win games. Especially when you are starting a rookie QB and have under performing RB's. Regardless, Fox made the right decision in starting Clausen and giving him the go this week as well. Deangelo William had somewhat of a breakout game rushing for 65 yards but Steve Smith was limited to little production behind Clausens pressure and fumble issues. This is a team that could become competitive later in the year, but facing the defending champs will pose problems for a Defense that ranks middle of the road against the Pass and Run.
NEW ORLEANS: With Atlanta and Tampa Bay surprisingly tied with the Saints in record up to this point, the Saints will look to beat a divisional opponent and put some distance between them at the top. The Saints seem to have picked up Offensively where they left off last year, and after a sluggish start, the Defense has started playing with the speed we saw as well. Lance Moore made his impact last week with the absence of Reggie Bush and should continue to produce as long as Bush is gone, essentially taking on his role as short pass routes in the middle of the field. Meachem has yet to make an impact this year, with Henderson getting more of the targets. This is a team that likes to use all it's weapons and spread the ball around so guessing who will be the benefactor week to week will be a headache. The position to watch is at RB to see who takes on the lead role s substitute to Pierre Thomas when he's not in the game.
Carolina has too much inexperience at QB and no real number two WR to be a threat to New Orleans. While it is a divisional game at home, the talent is not up to par with the Saints and they will be left with another loss. SAINTS 28-CAROLINA 13.
FANTASY STARTS: NEW ORLEANS: Brees (320 yds. 3 TD) Colston (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Moore (7 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Henderson (7 for 80 yds 1 TD) Thomas (15 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
CAROLINA: Smith (8 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Williams (13 for 60 yds)
SLEEPER: Goodson....Steve Smith will get the targets, but NO will make sure they surround him come red zone time. If he doesn't get the score as I predict or if the Panthers are able to get in the red zone more than anticipated, Goodson is a good bet to sneak one while the Defense is focused on the other side of the field.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AT JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: JAGS: David Gerrard has been put on notice after the Jags were awarded Trent Edwards off waivers yesterday. Given Gerrard's numerous chances to prove himself, he has proven ineffective. The lack of normal production we all expect from MJD has me believing he either had some minor clean up surgery this off-season or is playing hurt, which makes the need for Gerrard to produce all that more important. Gerrard is surrounded by capable weapons but his slow decision making is hurting him. I guess watching Leftwich all those years paid off in a bad way. Gerrard is most likely on borrowed time until Edwards picks up the offense and will need to have a great game to buy himself a little more time and create doubt. Jacksonville always gives Indianapolis a run for their money, but the Jags 29th ranked pass Defense is bad omen of things to come this week.
COLTS: Peyton is Peyton and the fall of Garcon has opened the door to Austin Collie whom is putting up the Reggie Wayne numbers in a flip flop of production thus far. Collie looks like the energetic, crisp route runner Peyton feeds on and that they have. The Colts run game and Defense are struggling this year which has them fighting harder than normal to win games. While it's still early, there isn't much to make you think this is something that will get significantly better. It could be age slowly creeping up on the Colts, but like Collie, they are a team with talent in the wings.
This should be another close game for the Colts with the balance depending on the play of Jones-Drew. If MJD can return to his dominating ways, Jacksonville has a chance to keep the ball out of Peyton's hands and pull off an upset. Given what we've seen so far though, this seems like only an outside shot. Mercedes Lewis is a wild card here who could affect the game if Gerrard can find him. Colts win 28-21.
FANTASY STARTS: Manning (340 yds. 3 TD) Wayne (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Collie (9 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Clark (8 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Addai (15 for 55 yds. 1 TD) JAGS: Simms-Walker (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) MJD (16 for 80 yds. 1 TD/ 4 for 30 yds.) Lewis (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: M. Thomas....The Colts have the 20th ranked pass Defense and should have trouble watching Thomas if they are forced to bring help up front to stop MJD.
HOUSTON TEXANS AT OAKLAND RAIDERS: HOUSTON: The Texans had a wake-up call against the Cowboys last week as well as a reminder how average they can become when Andre Johnson is not at 100 percent. While they own the 8th and 5th Offenses in Passing and Rushing respectively, they also own the league worst pass defense, giving up an astonishing 369 yards Passing PG. Their Rush Defense is 2nd allowing only 54 YPG but teams will test them through the air, hoping to hold them just one drive more than they can hold the opponent. Andre Johnson has not stated any set backs after the game and should be available after a light week of practice. Regardless, they face Oakland's 2nd ranked pass defense and Asomugh should blanket Johnson regardless of health, leaving it on Arian Foster's shoulders to beat up on the Raiders weak run defense.
OAKLAND: The Raiders have found new life behind Gradkowski but are coming off a loss where normally dependable Janikowski missed three field goals. Both Louis Murphy and even Heyward-Bey have been effective with Gradkowski at the helm and McFadden has made his return to expectations when he was a top draft pick. The Raiders are coming off a tough loss in Arizona and return home to face a high scoring team who's strength is their Defensive strength. While Oakland has had success running the ball, they will be tested with Mario Williams providing penetration against a weak O-Line.
While the Raiders line offers questions, Gradkowski loves to move and throw on the run. Both Heyward-Bey and Murphy seem to be in sync with him, always coming back to the ball. Since Houston can't defend the pass at all, they will be unable to try and focus on limiting the damage thru the air and stopping McFadden. The Raiders win this game by a field goal as Janikowski redeems himself. RAIDERS 24-TEXANS 21.
FANTASY STARTS: OAKLAND: McFadden (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Murphy ( 8 for 110 yds. 1 TD) Miller ( 6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) HOUSTON: Schaub (280 yds. 2 TD) Foster ( 17 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Johnson (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Walter ( 6 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Owen Daniels HOU...Daniels may be the key to the Texans chances and was targeted six times last week. With Johnson and Walter facing tough coverage, Daniels will have the middle of the field open as the LB's focus on stopping McFadden.
ARIZONA CARDINALS AT SAN DIEGO CHARGERS: SAN DIEGO: No doubt most of practice this week will focus on the Special Teams play after being torched twice by Leon Washington last week. The Chargers still almost overcame the deficit, having a chance to tie at the end. The Bolts also lost Merriman, although it shouldn't serve as a huge loss given his fall in production. The Chargers are ranked no lower than 13 in all categories Offensively and Defensively except for....yeah, special teams. Thankfully, the Chargers face a team ranked 25th in Passing YPG, Total YPG, and PPG.Add to that the 31st Run Defense and 19th Pass Defense and you have just the match up the Chargers needed after a tough loss. The Chargers rank 1st in Total YPG, 2nd in Passing and 13th in the Run game. Getting the Special Teams play up to par is their lone problem, and one that should be fixed within the next few weeks. Mathews went though individual drills on Monday without incident and could be back in the line up Sunday.
ARIZONA: Beanie Wells made his return last week and immediately was given starters carries. The Cards are hoping he can take some of the pressure off Anderson but no amount of run game is going to help a passing offense averaging just 175 YPG. Fitzgerald's stock is falling to number two status daily and the loss of Breaston and Doucet will only allow teams to add extra focus on him. Arizona has officially begun rebuilding mode as so many teams do after a Super Bowl appearance. Though their process should be a much quicker one since they have the base to build off of already in place.
The Chargers take advantage of the loss of Breaston and are able to bring extra men up to protect against Wells while picking the Defense apart with their choice of run or pass. SD 31-ARI 17.
FANTASY STARTS: SD: Mathews or Tolbert ( 16 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Floyd (6 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Gates (8 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Naanee (5 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Rivers (300yds. 3 TD)
ARIZONA: Wells (14 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Fitzgerald (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Steve Williams...Breaston averaged 6 targets a game and Williams has the speed to make those targets work for him if he gets the start.
CHICAGO BEARS AT NY GIANTS: BEARS: The Bears have silenced all the critics with their big win over Super Bowl pick Green Bay. The Bears Defense was especially relentless and Peppers played out of his mind. The question is if the Bears can continue the intensity here on out. Coming off a win like that there is no reason not to think so. A win like that can carry a team for a while given what it does to a team's confidence. Cutler seems to have settled in to Mike Martz system and the Bears have realized Greg Olsen's potential within the system. With some better growth from their WR group, the Bears have the potential to improve their already 5th ranked Pass Offense Per Game. Their problem lies in Rush offense, sitting at 29th. While a run game is not called for in a Martz offense, the Bears will need to fall back on it in games and will need to be effective. The pass defense sits at 28th and will be the Giants focus as they are 9th in the NFL in Passing YPG.
NY GIANTS: The Giants will air it out against the Bears given the match up and are ranked 4th against the pass which will give the Bears a bit of a challenge. Then again, the Packers were a top ten pass defense and gave up their share to Cutler. The Giants are coming off a beating at home against the Titans and the calls for Coughlin's job are starting to be heard again. The Giants will hope to use ball control but should wind up ineffective as the Bears own the top rushing defense. Steve Smith finally became involved in the Giants pass game last week and they will need him as this turns into an air show.
The Bears momentum and confidence coming off a short week and playing on National TV should propel them to another hard fought win as these two teams seem to be going in opposite directions. BEARS 21-GIANTS 17.
FANTASY STARTS: BEARS: Forte (12 for 40 yds./ 5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Olsen ( 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Knox (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) GIANTS: Nicks ( 5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Manningham (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Devin Hester....The Giants know who to focus on in the Martz attack and they won't be able to safely hold down the left side along the the Bears strong right. Hester could take a short slant to the house on any play here.
MONDAY NIGHT.....will be posted up Monday morning,
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Week 4 NFL
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
WEEK 3 PREDICTIONS
CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE: Easily overmatched and on the road, Flacco should have his way with the secondary. Clevelands run defense is better than the perception and could hold Ray Rice under control. Seneca Wallace should be getting another start after a good performance last week, and Cribbs should touch the ball more if the Browns have a shot to compete. Hillis and Harrison will face their toughest opponents yet and given their low rushing totals so far, they should have no place to go. The Ravens have yet to hit their stride Offensively and this could be just what they needed to get things moving. After being man handled again by the Bengals, look for the Ravens to come out strong and not let up. Baltimore wins 28-13.
FANTASY STARTS: CLEVELAND- Cribbs (5 for 70 yds 1 TD) BALTIMORE- Rice (14 for 65/ 4 catch for 35 1 TD) Boldin (6 for 85 1 TD) Mason ( 4 for 50 1 TD) Flacco (240 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: McGahee...he could steal some carries once this one gets out of hand as well as a goal line steal.
CINCINNATI at CAROLINA: The Bengals are averaging 340 yds/pg versus Carolina's 257. Given the Bengals ability to hold Baltimore down last week, the defense should have it's swagger back and make Clausen's first NFL start one to forget. Steve Smith has a deep bruise on his wrist though mild injuries don't seem to hinder him. Chad Ochocinco has a fractured rib and could be a late scratch given the opponent. Carolina doesn't have the horses to compete with top tier teams this year and Clausen will make a few mistakes that turn into points. The Bengals should feed Cedric Benson a good portion of touches in an effort to get him into a rhythm after a slow start. Bengals 23-Panthers 14.
FANTASY STARTS: CAROLINA- Steve Smith (5 for 70 yds 1 TD) Williams (19 for 80 1 TD)
CINCINNATI- Benson (18 for 90 1 TD) Palmer ( 260 yds. 2 TD) T.O. (7 for 90 1 RD) Ochocinco could get those numbers if he plays the duration.
SLEEPER: J. Greisham...If Ocho is given some time to rest, Greisham could be utilized often.
DALLAS at HOUSTON: These two teams are actually close statistically in YPG and Passing but it all separates when it comes to PPG. Dallas is averaging a poor 13.5 compared to Houston's 32. This may be a must win game for Dallas but Houston proved they can score with anyone and are the real deal.Last week was their first ever OT win. The Defense will allow Dallas to score better than the previous two games which can make this a shoot out until the end. Andre Johnson's ankle will be a big factor in how this game turns out. The Texans become very one dimensional without him and even if he isn't at top speed it's better than not having him on the field. Dallas will have to get their run game going and control the clock, keeping the ball out of Schaub's hands. If Dallas loses I would not be surprised to see Jerry Jones pave the way for a bye week firing of Phillips. This team is portraying all the signs of poor prep and some new blood could be what they need to spark some fire under them. Roy Williams has all but lost the job to Dez Bryant, whom has done more in two games than Williams last six. Contingent upon the health of Johnson, Houston wins 28-24.
FANTASY STARTS: DALLAS- Dez Bryant (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Austin (9 for 110 1 TD) Romo (290 yds. 2 TD) HOUSTON- Foster (18 for 95 1 TD/ 3 for 25) Johnson ( 8 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Schaub ( 300 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: Felix Jones...The Texans have yet to face a speed back and Jones could provide them some problems. J. Jones (Hou)...He was able to display a bit of his ability against Washington and given Johnson's ankle issue they may look to ease his work load giving Jones a chance to shine.
SAN FRANCISCO at KANSAS CITY: The new Arrowhead is as hostile a place to play as the old one, just ask the Chargers. The Chiefs always take it to another level at home and after a great start will be playing at full speed. The lack of a pass game outside of Vernon Davis should help the Chiefs focus in on Gore who will be coming off a short week where he carried a heavy load. KC is in a good postion to win only if Cassel can do better than he has and get his receivers involved early. KC has yet to face a good LB corps like the Niners, whom will be able to keep the run game in check. The way Rivers and Seneca Wallace were able to pass on KC could turn out being the secondary key to the game. Alex Smith looked a lot better on Monday night and although they lost, I think it may have been a slight motivator confidence wise knowing they can come back when the game is on the line. Look for Charles to get more work here as Weiss follows the Saints game plan and sends Charles running routes more often than normal. The speed of the SF linebackers will prove tough for Thomas Jones' style. Although this game is a toss up, Alex Smith has shown he is playing at a high level for him and we have yet to see Cassel scratch the surface of a good outing. This is where he does, and it pays off. KC squeaks it out 17-14.
FANTASY STARTS: KANSAS CITY-Charles (10 for 45/ 4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Bowe ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) SAN FRANCISCO- Davis ( 7 for 85 1 TD) Gore (14 for 70 yds/ 5 for 55 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Crabtree, SF...Both Naanee and Cribbs had success againts this secondary and Crabtree knows the bust birds are circling.
PITTSBURGH at TAMPA BAY: This game is one of the more intriguing games due to the fact that it is the only game on Sunday where two 2-0 teams will square off and that it should be closer that what you would think given the recent history of these two teams. The Steelers are winning with Defense and Dixon was proving to be the QB they expected to groom for the future. However, after a miniscus injury Dixon is out and either Leftwich or Batch is in. The Bucs know Leftwich well, but Batch should be the front runner due to health. The Bucs had success shutting down the Carolina run game and the Defense in general seems to be playing as fast as they ever have. The Steelers have so far kept teams with more explosive backs in check, so it will be on the Bucs passing game to try and put up points through the air. Mendenhall should be called on often to allow whoever the QB is to settle in on their first start. This should be where the Buc D focuses and forces Pittsburgh to beat them through the air. At the risk of making a bias projection, the Bucs pull this one out 16-14.
FANTASY STARTS: BUCS- Winslow (7 for 50 1TD.) Mike Williams ( 8 for 60 1 TD)
STEELERS- Mendenhall (18 for 90 1 TD) Ward (6 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Stroughter (TB)...The Bucs will need to spread the ball around and Stroughter could provide a big game out of the slot where the Steeler secondary weakens a bit.
DETROIT LIONS at MINNESOTA: Who in the world would have expected the PPG stats to be 23 vs 9.5 in the LIONS favor! I have a hard time believing the Sidney Rice was that integral a part of this team that would have the Vikes averaging only 185 yds per game. Their slow start looks to me more the result of guys playing out of position and a lack of chemistry due to the Favre holdout and injuries. The Vikings get the match up they need in the Lions, whom have lost Nate Burleson to his yearly ankle injury and Matt Stafford to his yearly shoulder injury. Though missing both men, Shaun Hill has stepped in admirably and Detroit is a team that will fight until the end. Jhavid Best is proving to be this years best rookie back so far and could give the Vikes some headaches. Regardless, the Vikings run game will be able to control the clock and Favre should find a rhythm finally with Harvin and Berrian. Harvin is nursing a hip strain, but it didn't seem to hamper him too much last week. Pettigrew had a great outing last week and should get more looks with Burleson out. Given how well the Lions are playing, the Vikings could just as easily lose this game as they could win it. In the end, the Vikings home stand proves dividends and they pull away 28-17.
FANTASY STARTS: LIONS- Best (16 for 50 yds/ 4 for 55 1 TD) Johnson (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
VIKINGS- A.P. ( 16 for 90 1 TD/ 4 for 35) Harvin ( 6 for 72 1 TD) Favre ( 250 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: Bryant Johnson...someone will need to step up in Burleson's place and help take pressure off Megatron. Johnson had some good games last year and could sneak up on the Vikings.
BUFFALO at NEW ENGLAND: New QB, same result. The Bills are a rebuilding team who need more help than they can draft in one year. They are young and better days are ahead. Normally a competitive game by the Bills, I think the swap to a new QB making his first start on the road here hurts. Lee Evans has been a complete let down though not his fault and Chan Gailey has not really brought the spark everyone hoped for. Lynch needs to be traded to get some help fast. New England is back on track in what should be an easy day. New England 31-17
FANTASY STARTS: NEW ENGLAND: Uhh, everyone. BUFFALO: NOBODY!! With Lynch getting all the work last week and Gailey now promising Spiller will get a bigger work load with Fred Jackson. Until there are only two RB's in this town there is nobody safe starting.
SLEEPER: Roscoe Parrish: He has seemed to get the little bit of work amongst the WR and could post some good numbers since Buffalo will be throwing a lot.
ATLANTA at NEW ORLEANS: Mike Turner is expected to be back and active this week but pay close attention to how much work he gets on Thursday practice. Overall, this is a bad sign for Atlanta who overworked Turner last year and wound up missing him in some games. Matt Ryan is proving to be a one dimensional QB who needs more weapons. Gonzales has maybe hit the end of the road and no Mike Jenkins forced Ryan to target White a ridiculous 25 times? Atlanta is an easy team to scheme for and New Orleans should have a fairly easy game at home. Atlanta will make the score look closer than the game actually is. Fantasy wise, no NO WR has looked really great or put up the big numbers. I think the loss of Bush will hurt more than people think. Chris Ivory may be a good waiver claim but Deshaun Wynn should get all the initial work, but it will be limited since Pierre Thomas can will be a work horse. NO 28-21.
FANTASY STARTS: ATLANTA: Turner/Snelling ( 17 for 80 yds. 4 for 46 1 TD) White (9 for 110 1 TD) NEW ORLEANS: Thomas (19 for 90 yds. 6 for 45 1 TD) Brees (290 yds. 3 TD) Colston ( 6 for 90 1 TD) Meachem (5 for 80)
SLEEPER: Chris Ivory...He showed explosiveness in the pre-season and if healthy could get a few touches that are made to count.
TENNESSEE at NY GIANTS: This should be one of the better games to watch because this game should say a lot about how these teams deal with adversity going forward. The Giants were dismantled by the Colts and Brandon Jacobs meltdown led to a meeting with management. The Titans benched Vince Young and last time he was benched it wasn't good. Coaches seem more comfortable than ever benching then starting QB's but I don't see Young as a guy that appreciates it. Then again every competitive QB wants in there regardless. Chris Johnson should have a good but not great day as the Giants force VY to beat them with the throw. Giants win a close one, 20-17
FANTASY STARTS: NY GIANTS: Manning (250 yds 2 TD) Nicks ( 5 for 80 1 TD) Manningham (4 for 60 1TD) TITANS: CJ ( 17 for 96/ 3 for 40 1 TD) Nate Washington ( 4 for 65 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Brandon Jacobs....He is bound to get a bigger workload after supposedly asking for a trade and making his frustrations known. The Giants know they need him for the long season and will appease him by giving him 10 to 12 touches and maybe some goal line work.
WASHINGTON at ST.LOUIS: The Redskins have shown more Offense than anyone anticipated given their lack of receiver depth. Larry Johnson was released yesterday, opening the door for Keiland Williams who could steal the lead back job if given a real opportunity. Portis won't be healthy all year and the Redskins may have a diamond in the rough here. The Rams have been the best losing team to watch so far with Bradford and Mark Clayton surprising critics. The Rams will beat some unsuspecting teams this year and it may just start this week. Portis is a bit banged up and two hard fought games should have Washington's aged team a bit slower than normal. Upset of the week, St. Louis wins 21-17.
FANTASY START: WASHINGTON: Cooley (5 for 68 1 TD) Moss (7 for 95 1 TD) McNabb (225 2 TD) ST. LOUIS: Clayton (8 for 110 1 TD) Jackson ( 16 for 90 1 TD/ 6 for 60)
SLEEPER: Bradford...Washington has given up a lot of points through the air and Bradford could have a statistically great game fantasy wise.
PHILADELPHIA at JACKSONVILLE: Looks like the locker room won here as Reid came out on Monday naming Kolb the starter then flip flopped naming Vick the starter on Tuesday. The players will rally around Vick who really does give them the best chance to win for now. I do agree with Mr. Clayton form ESPN though in believing this is a bad long term decision. Kolb is the future and what happens when Vick wets the bed? While Kolb looked weak in both pre-season and game 1, lets see what happens as the season wares on. For now, Vick is a top five QB start this week. Mike Simms-Walker was finally involved last week though most of it was garbage time. I have been preaching that something is wrong with MJD since pre-season. He has had an amazing amount of work the last four years and that 500 carry mark is when backs start to show signs of over use. I believe MJD is playing hurt and while he will be an every day start, he will not come close to his top five draft status. This could be a closer game than expected as Jacksonville always seems to play their A game at home. Philadelphia wins though 24-21.
FANTASY STARTS: PHILADELPHIA: Vick ( 230 yds. 2 TD/ 4 for 50 yds) D. Jackson ( 6 for 85 1 TD) McCoy ( 16 for 75 yds/ 4 for 40 1 TD) JACKSONVILLE: Simms-Walker (7 for 90 1 TD) Gerrard ( 250 yds. 2 TD) MJD (16 for 90yds. 1 TD) M. Lewis (6 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Mike Thomas...not necessarily a sleeper, Thomas should produce as most of the attention is on the right side of the field and MJD.
INDIANAPOLIS at DENVER: The Broncos will play an emotional game coming off the death of receiver Mckinley. How they respond is anyone's guess and there would be no criticism should they fall flat under the circumstances. I do think they play a hard fought game and give the Colts a run for their money. The return of Moreno and Buckhalter is good news as the passing attack will become more balanced. Orton loves to spread the ball around and the run game return adds another dimension. He has quietly thrown for 295 and 302 in 2 games. The Colts picked apart the Giants last weekend but they will face a stiffer challenge as the Broncos secondary is much better than the Giants. Pierre Garcon's disappearing act has been tempered by Austin Collie's emergence and the run game had it's first decent game last week. If the Broncos come out strong amid their adversity, this could be an upset. Broncos 31 Colts 28.
FANTASY STARTS: INDIANAPOLIS: Wayne (7 for 90 yds 1 TD) Collie ( 5 for 70 yds) Manning (300 yds 3 TD) Addai (16 for 80 1 TD/ 5 for 40 yds) DENVER: Orton (310 yds. 2 TD) Thomas (7 for 90 1 TD) Moreno (15 for 80 yds 1 TD) Royal ( 6 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: J. Gaffney and P. Garcon...with the attention on Demaryus Thomas' breakout game and Royal being a known threat, this could be the game where Gaffney sneaks in a score again. The Broncos know what to expect form the Colts, and Garcon may be the key to Manning winning this one. Both receivers get out of the basement here.
OAKLAND at ARIZONA: Cable makes the smart move and Gradkowski is the starter. This benefits Louis Murphy the most since they seem to have a trust with each other. Being a TB fan, I see a lot of Jeff Garcia in Gradkowski whom served as his mentor somewhat. The return of McFadden helps take the pressure off a weak pass protecting Offensive line and Heyward-Bey's best game of his young career could mean good things to come. The Cards are in trouble and must be re-thinking the release of Leinart. Wells doesn't seem quite ready to play yet, but Hightower has taken the lead back role effectively, but the problem is with Anderson and the passing game. Fitzgerald will get his numbers, but looks so far like he will not reach his elite fantasy status. Especially with Asomugh covering him. Oakland wins this game behind a shifty Gradkowski and the run game, 21-14.
FANTASY STARTS: OAKLAND: Murphy (7 for 85 1 TD) Miller ( 6 for 70 1 TD) McFadden ( 22 for 120 yds. 1 TD) ARIZONA: Fitzgerald (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Hightower (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Breaston...who will need to have a good game and should have plenty of targets while Fitz is blanketed.
SAN DIEGO at SEATTLE: The Chargers bounced back after and upset loss in KC and Rivers could end up right behind Rogers as the league's top passer. Malcom Floyd met expectations last week, but the ankle injury to Matthews while minor could be something to watch long term. Mike Tolbert looks to be who they will turn to should he have issues and may get more carries this game than expected. Norv already stated he will split goal line duties with Matthews and could pose big problems for opposing Defenses. Seattle came back to earth last week and the lack of any production from their run game is allowing Defenses to key on the pass. While always tough at home, San Diego just has too many options and should win a high scoring affair. SD 34-28.
FANTASY STARTS: SAN DIEGO: Floyd ( 6 for 90 1 TD) Naanee ( 5 for 70 1 TD) Gates (6 for 80 1 TD) Matthews ( 17 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Rivers ( 320 yds. 3 TD) SEATTLE: Hasselbeck (290 yds. 2 TD) Williams ( 6 for 80 1 TD) Carlson ( 6 for 50 yds 1 TD) Forsett ( 13 for 55 yds/ 6 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Deion Branch...Branch is always a gamer at home and Hasselbeck trusts him.
NY JETS at MIAMI: Miami is coming off a big win at home against the Vikings but Henne still has yet to prove he is reliable as a passer. Marshall's stock will continue to be in doubt until Henne hits his stride. Ricky Williams has been non existent as Ronnie Brown has shown knee surgery has not hampered him. The lack of a number two threat out wide will keep teams in games against them. Their top rated pass defense will keep them competitive if Henne can produce. The Jets will not start Braylon Edwards after another DWI which kills their potential even more to score through the air, making them one dimensional. Even if Edwards plays this is an easy game for the Dolphins to plan for. Shonn Green and L.T. will be used heavily and I think the Dolphins follow suit with Williams getting more carries. Cromartie should shadow Marshall taking the Dolphins pass game away.
FANTASY STARTS: JETS: Greene (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Tomlinson ( 15 for 60 yds./ 6 for 50 yds. 1 TD) MIAMI: Brown ( 18 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Williams ( 13 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Fasano and Keller....Both teams will need to move the ball somehow through the air and their TE are the only decent second options as Cromarie and Davis hold each teams WR studs at bay.
GREEN BAY at CHICAGO: The Bears are riding high at 2-0 silencing the critics who doubted Cutler's abilities. Forte has bounced back after an off year and looks to be heavily involved all season long. This week will prove just how legit their Offense is facing a Defense that is much stronger than Detroit's or Dallas'. This game will come down to the Bears D ability to hold Rogers in some kind of check so that the game doesn't get away from them too fast and allow GB to sit back. While being able to use Forte as a pass catcher is a great weapon, I actually think the smarter move is to pound the ball with the run and keep the ball out of Rogers hands. If Chicago can win the posession time then they have a great chance. Regardless though, it doesn't take Rogers much time to score and the Bears have given up an average of 30 PPG. In the end Green Bay's Defense keeps Chicago from pulling it out. GB 31-28 CHI.
FANTASY STARTS: GREEN BAY...all the normal players in a game where Finley, Jennings, Jackson, and Driver score. CHICAGO: Forte (18 for 70 yds 1 TD/ 7 for 60 yds) Knox (6 for 70 1 TD) Cutler (270 yds. 2 TD) Hester ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: G. Olsen...Martz used Olsen last week with good results and I think he will need to do the same while Matthews is busy following Forte around. Olsen could easily take the stats projected for Hester or Knox.
FANTASY STARTS: CLEVELAND- Cribbs (5 for 70 yds 1 TD) BALTIMORE- Rice (14 for 65/ 4 catch for 35 1 TD) Boldin (6 for 85 1 TD) Mason ( 4 for 50 1 TD) Flacco (240 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: McGahee...he could steal some carries once this one gets out of hand as well as a goal line steal.
CINCINNATI at CAROLINA: The Bengals are averaging 340 yds/pg versus Carolina's 257. Given the Bengals ability to hold Baltimore down last week, the defense should have it's swagger back and make Clausen's first NFL start one to forget. Steve Smith has a deep bruise on his wrist though mild injuries don't seem to hinder him. Chad Ochocinco has a fractured rib and could be a late scratch given the opponent. Carolina doesn't have the horses to compete with top tier teams this year and Clausen will make a few mistakes that turn into points. The Bengals should feed Cedric Benson a good portion of touches in an effort to get him into a rhythm after a slow start. Bengals 23-Panthers 14.
FANTASY STARTS: CAROLINA- Steve Smith (5 for 70 yds 1 TD) Williams (19 for 80 1 TD)
CINCINNATI- Benson (18 for 90 1 TD) Palmer ( 260 yds. 2 TD) T.O. (7 for 90 1 RD) Ochocinco could get those numbers if he plays the duration.
SLEEPER: J. Greisham...If Ocho is given some time to rest, Greisham could be utilized often.
DALLAS at HOUSTON: These two teams are actually close statistically in YPG and Passing but it all separates when it comes to PPG. Dallas is averaging a poor 13.5 compared to Houston's 32. This may be a must win game for Dallas but Houston proved they can score with anyone and are the real deal.Last week was their first ever OT win. The Defense will allow Dallas to score better than the previous two games which can make this a shoot out until the end. Andre Johnson's ankle will be a big factor in how this game turns out. The Texans become very one dimensional without him and even if he isn't at top speed it's better than not having him on the field. Dallas will have to get their run game going and control the clock, keeping the ball out of Schaub's hands. If Dallas loses I would not be surprised to see Jerry Jones pave the way for a bye week firing of Phillips. This team is portraying all the signs of poor prep and some new blood could be what they need to spark some fire under them. Roy Williams has all but lost the job to Dez Bryant, whom has done more in two games than Williams last six. Contingent upon the health of Johnson, Houston wins 28-24.
FANTASY STARTS: DALLAS- Dez Bryant (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Austin (9 for 110 1 TD) Romo (290 yds. 2 TD) HOUSTON- Foster (18 for 95 1 TD/ 3 for 25) Johnson ( 8 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Schaub ( 300 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: Felix Jones...The Texans have yet to face a speed back and Jones could provide them some problems. J. Jones (Hou)...He was able to display a bit of his ability against Washington and given Johnson's ankle issue they may look to ease his work load giving Jones a chance to shine.
SAN FRANCISCO at KANSAS CITY: The new Arrowhead is as hostile a place to play as the old one, just ask the Chargers. The Chiefs always take it to another level at home and after a great start will be playing at full speed. The lack of a pass game outside of Vernon Davis should help the Chiefs focus in on Gore who will be coming off a short week where he carried a heavy load. KC is in a good postion to win only if Cassel can do better than he has and get his receivers involved early. KC has yet to face a good LB corps like the Niners, whom will be able to keep the run game in check. The way Rivers and Seneca Wallace were able to pass on KC could turn out being the secondary key to the game. Alex Smith looked a lot better on Monday night and although they lost, I think it may have been a slight motivator confidence wise knowing they can come back when the game is on the line. Look for Charles to get more work here as Weiss follows the Saints game plan and sends Charles running routes more often than normal. The speed of the SF linebackers will prove tough for Thomas Jones' style. Although this game is a toss up, Alex Smith has shown he is playing at a high level for him and we have yet to see Cassel scratch the surface of a good outing. This is where he does, and it pays off. KC squeaks it out 17-14.
FANTASY STARTS: KANSAS CITY-Charles (10 for 45/ 4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Bowe ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) SAN FRANCISCO- Davis ( 7 for 85 1 TD) Gore (14 for 70 yds/ 5 for 55 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Crabtree, SF...Both Naanee and Cribbs had success againts this secondary and Crabtree knows the bust birds are circling.
PITTSBURGH at TAMPA BAY: This game is one of the more intriguing games due to the fact that it is the only game on Sunday where two 2-0 teams will square off and that it should be closer that what you would think given the recent history of these two teams. The Steelers are winning with Defense and Dixon was proving to be the QB they expected to groom for the future. However, after a miniscus injury Dixon is out and either Leftwich or Batch is in. The Bucs know Leftwich well, but Batch should be the front runner due to health. The Bucs had success shutting down the Carolina run game and the Defense in general seems to be playing as fast as they ever have. The Steelers have so far kept teams with more explosive backs in check, so it will be on the Bucs passing game to try and put up points through the air. Mendenhall should be called on often to allow whoever the QB is to settle in on their first start. This should be where the Buc D focuses and forces Pittsburgh to beat them through the air. At the risk of making a bias projection, the Bucs pull this one out 16-14.
FANTASY STARTS: BUCS- Winslow (7 for 50 1TD.) Mike Williams ( 8 for 60 1 TD)
STEELERS- Mendenhall (18 for 90 1 TD) Ward (6 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Stroughter (TB)...The Bucs will need to spread the ball around and Stroughter could provide a big game out of the slot where the Steeler secondary weakens a bit.
DETROIT LIONS at MINNESOTA: Who in the world would have expected the PPG stats to be 23 vs 9.5 in the LIONS favor! I have a hard time believing the Sidney Rice was that integral a part of this team that would have the Vikes averaging only 185 yds per game. Their slow start looks to me more the result of guys playing out of position and a lack of chemistry due to the Favre holdout and injuries. The Vikings get the match up they need in the Lions, whom have lost Nate Burleson to his yearly ankle injury and Matt Stafford to his yearly shoulder injury. Though missing both men, Shaun Hill has stepped in admirably and Detroit is a team that will fight until the end. Jhavid Best is proving to be this years best rookie back so far and could give the Vikes some headaches. Regardless, the Vikings run game will be able to control the clock and Favre should find a rhythm finally with Harvin and Berrian. Harvin is nursing a hip strain, but it didn't seem to hamper him too much last week. Pettigrew had a great outing last week and should get more looks with Burleson out. Given how well the Lions are playing, the Vikings could just as easily lose this game as they could win it. In the end, the Vikings home stand proves dividends and they pull away 28-17.
FANTASY STARTS: LIONS- Best (16 for 50 yds/ 4 for 55 1 TD) Johnson (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
VIKINGS- A.P. ( 16 for 90 1 TD/ 4 for 35) Harvin ( 6 for 72 1 TD) Favre ( 250 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: Bryant Johnson...someone will need to step up in Burleson's place and help take pressure off Megatron. Johnson had some good games last year and could sneak up on the Vikings.
BUFFALO at NEW ENGLAND: New QB, same result. The Bills are a rebuilding team who need more help than they can draft in one year. They are young and better days are ahead. Normally a competitive game by the Bills, I think the swap to a new QB making his first start on the road here hurts. Lee Evans has been a complete let down though not his fault and Chan Gailey has not really brought the spark everyone hoped for. Lynch needs to be traded to get some help fast. New England is back on track in what should be an easy day. New England 31-17
FANTASY STARTS: NEW ENGLAND: Uhh, everyone. BUFFALO: NOBODY!! With Lynch getting all the work last week and Gailey now promising Spiller will get a bigger work load with Fred Jackson. Until there are only two RB's in this town there is nobody safe starting.
SLEEPER: Roscoe Parrish: He has seemed to get the little bit of work amongst the WR and could post some good numbers since Buffalo will be throwing a lot.
ATLANTA at NEW ORLEANS: Mike Turner is expected to be back and active this week but pay close attention to how much work he gets on Thursday practice. Overall, this is a bad sign for Atlanta who overworked Turner last year and wound up missing him in some games. Matt Ryan is proving to be a one dimensional QB who needs more weapons. Gonzales has maybe hit the end of the road and no Mike Jenkins forced Ryan to target White a ridiculous 25 times? Atlanta is an easy team to scheme for and New Orleans should have a fairly easy game at home. Atlanta will make the score look closer than the game actually is. Fantasy wise, no NO WR has looked really great or put up the big numbers. I think the loss of Bush will hurt more than people think. Chris Ivory may be a good waiver claim but Deshaun Wynn should get all the initial work, but it will be limited since Pierre Thomas can will be a work horse. NO 28-21.
FANTASY STARTS: ATLANTA: Turner/Snelling ( 17 for 80 yds. 4 for 46 1 TD) White (9 for 110 1 TD) NEW ORLEANS: Thomas (19 for 90 yds. 6 for 45 1 TD) Brees (290 yds. 3 TD) Colston ( 6 for 90 1 TD) Meachem (5 for 80)
SLEEPER: Chris Ivory...He showed explosiveness in the pre-season and if healthy could get a few touches that are made to count.
TENNESSEE at NY GIANTS: This should be one of the better games to watch because this game should say a lot about how these teams deal with adversity going forward. The Giants were dismantled by the Colts and Brandon Jacobs meltdown led to a meeting with management. The Titans benched Vince Young and last time he was benched it wasn't good. Coaches seem more comfortable than ever benching then starting QB's but I don't see Young as a guy that appreciates it. Then again every competitive QB wants in there regardless. Chris Johnson should have a good but not great day as the Giants force VY to beat them with the throw. Giants win a close one, 20-17
FANTASY STARTS: NY GIANTS: Manning (250 yds 2 TD) Nicks ( 5 for 80 1 TD) Manningham (4 for 60 1TD) TITANS: CJ ( 17 for 96/ 3 for 40 1 TD) Nate Washington ( 4 for 65 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Brandon Jacobs....He is bound to get a bigger workload after supposedly asking for a trade and making his frustrations known. The Giants know they need him for the long season and will appease him by giving him 10 to 12 touches and maybe some goal line work.
WASHINGTON at ST.LOUIS: The Redskins have shown more Offense than anyone anticipated given their lack of receiver depth. Larry Johnson was released yesterday, opening the door for Keiland Williams who could steal the lead back job if given a real opportunity. Portis won't be healthy all year and the Redskins may have a diamond in the rough here. The Rams have been the best losing team to watch so far with Bradford and Mark Clayton surprising critics. The Rams will beat some unsuspecting teams this year and it may just start this week. Portis is a bit banged up and two hard fought games should have Washington's aged team a bit slower than normal. Upset of the week, St. Louis wins 21-17.
FANTASY START: WASHINGTON: Cooley (5 for 68 1 TD) Moss (7 for 95 1 TD) McNabb (225 2 TD) ST. LOUIS: Clayton (8 for 110 1 TD) Jackson ( 16 for 90 1 TD/ 6 for 60)
SLEEPER: Bradford...Washington has given up a lot of points through the air and Bradford could have a statistically great game fantasy wise.
PHILADELPHIA at JACKSONVILLE: Looks like the locker room won here as Reid came out on Monday naming Kolb the starter then flip flopped naming Vick the starter on Tuesday. The players will rally around Vick who really does give them the best chance to win for now. I do agree with Mr. Clayton form ESPN though in believing this is a bad long term decision. Kolb is the future and what happens when Vick wets the bed? While Kolb looked weak in both pre-season and game 1, lets see what happens as the season wares on. For now, Vick is a top five QB start this week. Mike Simms-Walker was finally involved last week though most of it was garbage time. I have been preaching that something is wrong with MJD since pre-season. He has had an amazing amount of work the last four years and that 500 carry mark is when backs start to show signs of over use. I believe MJD is playing hurt and while he will be an every day start, he will not come close to his top five draft status. This could be a closer game than expected as Jacksonville always seems to play their A game at home. Philadelphia wins though 24-21.
FANTASY STARTS: PHILADELPHIA: Vick ( 230 yds. 2 TD/ 4 for 50 yds) D. Jackson ( 6 for 85 1 TD) McCoy ( 16 for 75 yds/ 4 for 40 1 TD) JACKSONVILLE: Simms-Walker (7 for 90 1 TD) Gerrard ( 250 yds. 2 TD) MJD (16 for 90yds. 1 TD) M. Lewis (6 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Mike Thomas...not necessarily a sleeper, Thomas should produce as most of the attention is on the right side of the field and MJD.
INDIANAPOLIS at DENVER: The Broncos will play an emotional game coming off the death of receiver Mckinley. How they respond is anyone's guess and there would be no criticism should they fall flat under the circumstances. I do think they play a hard fought game and give the Colts a run for their money. The return of Moreno and Buckhalter is good news as the passing attack will become more balanced. Orton loves to spread the ball around and the run game return adds another dimension. He has quietly thrown for 295 and 302 in 2 games. The Colts picked apart the Giants last weekend but they will face a stiffer challenge as the Broncos secondary is much better than the Giants. Pierre Garcon's disappearing act has been tempered by Austin Collie's emergence and the run game had it's first decent game last week. If the Broncos come out strong amid their adversity, this could be an upset. Broncos 31 Colts 28.
FANTASY STARTS: INDIANAPOLIS: Wayne (7 for 90 yds 1 TD) Collie ( 5 for 70 yds) Manning (300 yds 3 TD) Addai (16 for 80 1 TD/ 5 for 40 yds) DENVER: Orton (310 yds. 2 TD) Thomas (7 for 90 1 TD) Moreno (15 for 80 yds 1 TD) Royal ( 6 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: J. Gaffney and P. Garcon...with the attention on Demaryus Thomas' breakout game and Royal being a known threat, this could be the game where Gaffney sneaks in a score again. The Broncos know what to expect form the Colts, and Garcon may be the key to Manning winning this one. Both receivers get out of the basement here.
OAKLAND at ARIZONA: Cable makes the smart move and Gradkowski is the starter. This benefits Louis Murphy the most since they seem to have a trust with each other. Being a TB fan, I see a lot of Jeff Garcia in Gradkowski whom served as his mentor somewhat. The return of McFadden helps take the pressure off a weak pass protecting Offensive line and Heyward-Bey's best game of his young career could mean good things to come. The Cards are in trouble and must be re-thinking the release of Leinart. Wells doesn't seem quite ready to play yet, but Hightower has taken the lead back role effectively, but the problem is with Anderson and the passing game. Fitzgerald will get his numbers, but looks so far like he will not reach his elite fantasy status. Especially with Asomugh covering him. Oakland wins this game behind a shifty Gradkowski and the run game, 21-14.
FANTASY STARTS: OAKLAND: Murphy (7 for 85 1 TD) Miller ( 6 for 70 1 TD) McFadden ( 22 for 120 yds. 1 TD) ARIZONA: Fitzgerald (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Hightower (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Breaston...who will need to have a good game and should have plenty of targets while Fitz is blanketed.
SAN DIEGO at SEATTLE: The Chargers bounced back after and upset loss in KC and Rivers could end up right behind Rogers as the league's top passer. Malcom Floyd met expectations last week, but the ankle injury to Matthews while minor could be something to watch long term. Mike Tolbert looks to be who they will turn to should he have issues and may get more carries this game than expected. Norv already stated he will split goal line duties with Matthews and could pose big problems for opposing Defenses. Seattle came back to earth last week and the lack of any production from their run game is allowing Defenses to key on the pass. While always tough at home, San Diego just has too many options and should win a high scoring affair. SD 34-28.
FANTASY STARTS: SAN DIEGO: Floyd ( 6 for 90 1 TD) Naanee ( 5 for 70 1 TD) Gates (6 for 80 1 TD) Matthews ( 17 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Rivers ( 320 yds. 3 TD) SEATTLE: Hasselbeck (290 yds. 2 TD) Williams ( 6 for 80 1 TD) Carlson ( 6 for 50 yds 1 TD) Forsett ( 13 for 55 yds/ 6 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Deion Branch...Branch is always a gamer at home and Hasselbeck trusts him.
NY JETS at MIAMI: Miami is coming off a big win at home against the Vikings but Henne still has yet to prove he is reliable as a passer. Marshall's stock will continue to be in doubt until Henne hits his stride. Ricky Williams has been non existent as Ronnie Brown has shown knee surgery has not hampered him. The lack of a number two threat out wide will keep teams in games against them. Their top rated pass defense will keep them competitive if Henne can produce. The Jets will not start Braylon Edwards after another DWI which kills their potential even more to score through the air, making them one dimensional. Even if Edwards plays this is an easy game for the Dolphins to plan for. Shonn Green and L.T. will be used heavily and I think the Dolphins follow suit with Williams getting more carries. Cromartie should shadow Marshall taking the Dolphins pass game away.
FANTASY STARTS: JETS: Greene (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Tomlinson ( 15 for 60 yds./ 6 for 50 yds. 1 TD) MIAMI: Brown ( 18 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Williams ( 13 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Fasano and Keller....Both teams will need to move the ball somehow through the air and their TE are the only decent second options as Cromarie and Davis hold each teams WR studs at bay.
GREEN BAY at CHICAGO: The Bears are riding high at 2-0 silencing the critics who doubted Cutler's abilities. Forte has bounced back after an off year and looks to be heavily involved all season long. This week will prove just how legit their Offense is facing a Defense that is much stronger than Detroit's or Dallas'. This game will come down to the Bears D ability to hold Rogers in some kind of check so that the game doesn't get away from them too fast and allow GB to sit back. While being able to use Forte as a pass catcher is a great weapon, I actually think the smarter move is to pound the ball with the run and keep the ball out of Rogers hands. If Chicago can win the posession time then they have a great chance. Regardless though, it doesn't take Rogers much time to score and the Bears have given up an average of 30 PPG. In the end Green Bay's Defense keeps Chicago from pulling it out. GB 31-28 CHI.
FANTASY STARTS: GREEN BAY...all the normal players in a game where Finley, Jennings, Jackson, and Driver score. CHICAGO: Forte (18 for 70 yds 1 TD/ 7 for 60 yds) Knox (6 for 70 1 TD) Cutler (270 yds. 2 TD) Hester ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: G. Olsen...Martz used Olsen last week with good results and I think he will need to do the same while Matthews is busy following Forte around. Olsen could easily take the stats projected for Hester or Knox.
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