JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: David Gerrard needs to feel uncomfortable with his job. Since the signing of Edwards, Gerrard has looked like the guy Byron Leftwich was run out of town for. Remember when he stole the job from Byron with his stellar play? Ironically, Gerrard has become quite similar to him. Ever since being the unquestioned QB he has played like someone with nothing to lose. Now, with someone breathing down his back (in theory at least) Gerrard has taken it up a notch. Mercedes Lewis is his favorite target....Lewis spoke in preseason how it was the first time he stayed in Jacksonville year round just so he and Gerrard could work together and it is showing. Lewis tied Jacksonville's TE record for TD's in a season this week and there should be more to come. Only play Mike Simms-Walker in fantasy when he makes a stink about not being involved. So far the two times he's complained are the two times he scored and put up good numbers. MJD is getting better, but he is still not what we have been accustomed to. He has always been able to beat teams even when they stack the box, but this year he seems to have lost just a bit. I think he is playing through a minor injury that is going to require surgery in the off-season but the official status is that he has none.
BUFFALO BILLS: They are much better with Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Defense just can't stop anybody and will be this team's killer game after game. Fred Jackson is the back you want here although Spiller will have his games here and there. Lee Evans dropped 84 yds. with a TD and is this team's top threat at WR. Consistency will be the problem though as they play in one of the toughest divisions. The best way to make decisions on when to use Bills players is obvious...only against weak and middle of the road defenses.
DENVER BRONCOS: Brandon Lloyd is for real and found a system he actually excels in. He seems to have found a second life in pass happy Denver and is a dependable start every week. As for Gaffney and Royal, it is a roll of the dice week to week who will be the number two worthy of starting. Denver has no run game and it will lose them games....you have to be able to run the ball in the NFL and until Denver finds a way to do that, they will continue to fail against good secondaries. When your top rusher only gains 26 yds. you are not going to win. Kyle Orton is a top tier QB....zero run game means passing all day and Orton has done just that, but also looked very effective.
BALTIMORE RAVENS: They have too many ways to beat you....In a game where no receiver surpassed 58 yds, Ray Rice ran for 133 yds and two scores. With the talent they have at receiver, any one of them can explode on any play. When you need to stay vigilant against them and keep Ray Rice at bay it becomes an issue very few teams will be able to handle this year. Couple that with a top defense, the Offense can afford off days and still win the game. Baltimore will make the playoffs and win the division.
KC CHIEFS: They finally came back down to earth this week although they didn't make it easy for Manning. This team is for real and have the ability to make a run for the division this year. The defense played great, but if you give Peyton enough chances, he will eventually make you pay. Even if it's just putting together drives that result in crucial field goals. The Chiefs beat themselves in my eyes. Bowe and Moeaki both let scores get away from them and critical 3rd down passes were dropped. Cassel actually looked good and put the ball where it was on the receivers to do something with it. They just didn't. Jamaal Charles is the fantasy back you want here out of the two and deserves to get the 16-8 carry split he did in this game every week. While he wasn't able to break away for one this week, he is the more explosive and dynamic ball carrier here. Thomas Jones was running behind a great offensive line in NY and while KC has a good one they are not the Jets. Other than Moeaki at TE, no Chief receiver will be trust worthy this year. Sell Bowe now if you can or wait until his next good outing and get value for him.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: Manning had an off day is what you will hear, but it was more the result of a KC team that has a legitimate defense and some coaches that know what they're doing. Addai went down yet again with a shoulder injury and Mike Hart took over for him scoring the only TD of the day. Addai has only had one good game and should be on his way out next year. Both Donald Brown and Hart have more upside, but neither is a good fantasy candidate. Reggie Wayne will still get his solid and steady numbers every week regardless if Peyton is spreading the ball around. Which makes the question "Who is the WR outside of Wayne to have?" Garcon returned and had one more reception than Collie with nine more yards. While this was not Peyton's best day, it's going to be hard to know who he will look for in the red zone. Hopefully next week will answer questions, but the return of Garcon makes things murky. If you can still get some high value for Collie it may be time to sell him before it's too late. The team seems committed to Garcon despite Collie's season so far but we won't know how this plays out for another week or two. Better to sell than be stuck with a guy who is going to be a borderline number three WR.
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS: Maybe the Bucs are that good or maybe the Bengals are that bad. Regardless, we know for sure that 3-1 isn't all luck and that the defense in Tampa is back. They forced Carson into three turnovers in crucial moments, twice in the final minutes of the game that led to the Bucs winning on the road in Cinci. Mike Williams is this teams clear cut WR stud gaining 99 yds and a score. Aurelious Benn made an impact in this game as well, moving the chains and coming up with some key catches. As the season goes on, these two with Winslow could become a great trio. Morgan Spurlock keeps making key catches in crucial situations and Sammy Stroughter is dependable as they come. There is a young core here that is familiar of New Orleans three years ago. As long as Freeman is healthy, this team will be competitive in every game. The run game on the other hand has much to desire. Despite Raheem Morris' comments that Hugging and Blount would get more carries, he stayed committed to Cadillac whom again averaged only 3 ypr. At some point this team needs to realize that Huggins and Blount need to touch the ball more in order to beat opponents throughout the game and not just in the end. The defense is playing fast and opportunistic despite the lack of splash plays up front. They've had the pressure but are always a step short of a sack.
CINCINNATI BENGALS: While Palmer will get the flack for this game, it was his receivers that deserve a public beating. All the Bengals wide outs dropped key passes that either led to punts or turnovers. Palmer placed the ball in good spots where there was no excuse for the drops.While he did make two bad judgements on balls thrown, the Bengals had chances to score and move the ball but drops killed it. Cedric Benson pounded the Bucs for 144 yds but failed to score. The Bengals are playing nowhere to their potential and every week seems like some aspect of their team refuses to show up. Expected to compete for the division this year, the Bengals need some continuity and discipline. Everything we're seeing out of them points to Marvin Lewis. A change could be in store next year. The Bye week couldn't come at a better time for a team that needs to regroup.
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS: The offense is as potent as they come and the defense is strong yet this teams continues to beat themselves because of special teams play. Two blocked punts, one returned for a score the other a safety. The three fumbles hurt as well, but it was the special teams play early that set the tone for the Oakland defense and had them buzzing all game. Losing to Oakland has to hurt that much more since they not only lost to a divisional foe but lost the grip on the division on a day where Denver and KC lost. This is the second time special teams play have been a key factor in a loss. Malcom Floyd is the new Vincent Jackson...213 yards? Against the Oakland secondary? Floyd has Rivers trust and is by all means a weekly start who carries top tier value. Mike Tolbert scored the only rushing TD and looks to hold the role of red zone back with a healthy amount of carries as well. At this point, Tolbert carries more value than Mathews.
OAKLAND RAIDERS: Gradkowski left the game with an injury and Campbell seems to have won his starting job back regardless of how bad the injury is. He played a smart game and made precise passes in between the coverage where only his receivers could catch the ball. While Mike Bush didn't show McFadden speed, he did provide that hard nose running style expected and pounded his way to 104 yds. and a score. The Raiders have the talent defensively, but need consistency on offense if they're going to compete in the division. This could be the game they needed to build confidence, especially for the offensive line who actually looked a bit better this week. Zach Miller and Louis Murphy are still the only two ball catchers worth starting in fantasy, Miller being an every week play and Murphy nothing more than a flex depending on opponent.
CLEVELAND BROWNS: Seneca Wallace went down with an injury and Peyton Hillis had appeared on the injury report late last week which led to a 28 yard day for him. With Wallace expected to be out, Delhomme hurt as it is and Hillis nursing an injury that obviously affects his ability, the Browns are in shambles. Depending on how Hillis responds this week to treatment, no Browns players are starter worthy. Unless clear information comes out this week stating that Hillis is fully healthy, he may be a bench next week.
ATLANTA FALCONS: Atlanta continues to be the Turner White show and it continues to work. This is one of those teams who may only have limited resources but they know how to use them. Turner rushed for 140 yds. and White had 101 with a score. Matt Ryan continues to be a marginal fantasy QB and Gonzales has fallen off the map completely. Outside of the two mentioned, nobody can really be trusted. They are a team that can be tough when all aspects are firing but are very beatable when either Turner or White are kept in check.
DETROIT LIONS: All those close losses and bad beats led to frustration that was released on the Rams this week. Megatron and Burleson both caught TD passes, the defense was swarming and special teams special. While I expected a Lions win, nobody expected it to be so lopsided. The Lions continue to be one of the best losing teams and can put together a good run if the defense can come out like it did today. Best and Megatron continue to be the only two weekly starts in fantasy, but Burleson when healthy has proven he is a threat and should be considered a flex play every week depending on the match up.
ST. LOUIS RAMS: It was one of those games where everything went wrong. Especially losing Mike Clayton to a knee injury. Without Clayton, the Rams reverted to their old ways and it became the SJax show. If Clayton is out for any extended time it's going to spell bad news for the Rams. Amendola is a great second option, but he's not meant to be a primary WR. Especially not in fantasy unless it's a PPR league. Jackson continues to show he will get his regardless. Until we know on Clayton, Jackson is the only play here next week.
WASHINGTON REDSKINS: The Skins are quickly getting a reputation for being the most physical team in the NFL. Last week it was Vick and McCoy, this week its was Finley, Lee, and Rogers they banged up. Washington is by no means winning pretty and each game could have easily been a loss as it was a win. The leadership of Mcnabb seems to be paying off however as he continues to be this teams foundation and is showing poise under pressure. Though Santana Moss put up 118 yards, nobody on this team is lighting it up each week and fantasy plays should be made on a weekly match up only basis. The closest you have here to an every day guy is Cooley who will get his touches since Mcnabb loves to use the TE. Moss is a close second, but not a guarantee regardless of how he did this week.
GREEN BAY PACKERS: The loss of Finley made the passing game much more predictable but part of it was Washingtons pass defense. Brandon Jackson had his best game, posting 115yds. but is still far from dependable as a starting RB. The Packers keep coming up short the last few weeks and teams are sitting back on Rogers not allowing the big play. While Jackson did have a great game, the Packers need a dependable back who can carry more of a load so Rogers doesn't have to throw 50 times a game. Finley's injury did look serious so stay tuned on the MRI results. Get ready to pick up Lee if the news is as bad as I think it is.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: Victims of the biggest upset, the Saints have been a much lesser team than they were last year after five games. The receivers just seem to be playing a bit slower and and the plays that were there last year are missing. Meachem hasn't been a huge factor, Henderson has been hit or miss, and Colston has been far below expectations. Also, we're seeing how much of a factor Reggie Bush was in this offensive game plan. The fact that Brees was playing at less than 100% and no Pierre Thomas also has to be taken into account here. Right now Brees is the only solid, dependable fantasy play every week. Of course in this offense there will be value every week for the receivers, but none of them are as readable as last year.
ARIZONA CARDINALS: Max Hall is getting more credit that he deserves since it was the defense that won this game despite his mistakes. The running game continues to be below average and Fitzgerald continues to be dependable but far less than a fantasy stud. Jay Feely and Fitzgerald are the only two weekly starts and while this was a good win, it can't be expected to happen again. This team will fall back to earth quickly.
CAROLINA PANTHERS: No Steve Smith hurt them as bad as expected and both Williams and Stewart found a hard time getting anywhere against Chicago's defense. This team is bad but young. As long as Steve Smith is out, defenses will be able to stack the box without fear and will limit what the backs can do. Williams and Stewart are officially only starter worthy if you have a bye week or the run defense you are facing is that bad.
CHICAGO BEARS: No Jay Cutler, no problem. The Bears caught a break this week after losing Cutler to a concussion by facing a team that is rebuilding and nowhere close to the Bears talent level. Cutler should return next week and they will have two more good match ups coming at home in Seattle and Washington. Not much has changed here in terms of fantasy value.
NY GIANTS: Don't look now, but the Giants defense is playing up to their potential, feeding off of last week's performance against Chicago. The Giants held Arian Foster to 28 yds. rushing and caused headache for Matt Schaub. Hakeem Nicks has proved he will be a complete stud against lesser secondaries and is the clear cut number one receiver. Steve Smith finally woke up and looks to be a decent number three receiver from here on out. After last week, there seems to be a trend starting where Bradshaw gains the yardage and Bradshaw is called upon for the red zone duties. Jacobs got the only rushing score and this may be something to pay close attention to. Jacobs still isn't fantasy start worthy but what it does to Bradshaws value is more important. It may be time to unload Bradshaw while his value is at what I expect to be it's peak if Jacobs stays healthy.
HOUSTON TEXANS: The whole team struggled and this defense is starting to cause problems now that they are facing defenses that can keep Foster and Schaub in check. The good news here is that Andre Johnson got his and has proven once again what an amazing healer he is and his ability to play through injury. The fantasy plays are as normal here, but Foster owners should pick up Ward while they can as he is clearly showing he would be next in line.
DALLAS COWBOYS: I said early in the season that Phillips may be a candidate to lose his job by mid-season, and if things don't turn around next week vs. Minnesota I expect Jones to pull the trigger and hand the job open to Garrett who has been the favorite for a while now. Felix Jones backed me up and had his best game proving that the best fantasy analysis of this team is to listen to Jerry Jones. I was high on Roy Williams in the preseason only to fall off the wagon after the first two weeks but am officially back on. He has turned it around with Dez Bryant breathing down his neck. The Cowboys continue to not utilize Bryants potential though it's understandable considering the mouths Romo has to feed. Roy Williams has elevated to a legitimate start but be cautious against better secondaries.
TENNESSEE TITANS: Vince Young continues to baffle me on knowing how to read the guy. One week up the next bad. He needs to prove some type of consistency before he can be a trustworthy start every week. Until then he should stay as a back up on your team. Kenny Britt is showing consistency and could become quite a threat along with Nate Washington if Young can find a balance throwing the ball. Even if that does happen, the CJ2K will continue to be the center piece and limit their value since they will have to make the most of their touches every game.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: Just when Alex Smith looked like the player he was expected to be as time was winding down, he comes out next series and promptly ruins it. Mike Singletary's job is in jeopardy but he has stated he will stick with Alex Smith despite the short comings. Why they don't give David Carr a shot is beyond me. Alex Smith has clearly proved he will never play past a certain level and the team is hurting for it. Crabtree broke out this week and you can expect more as the pass game focus' more around him and Vernon Davis. San Fran is realizing they are better when they both touch the ball, allowing Gore some rest. The next few weeks will be interesting as to if Singletary loses his job should they lose another two games. Expect to see Carr if Smith struggles against a hot Oakland team.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: Kolb looked alot better after last weeks outing but did nothing to make a case for why he should keep the job once Vick returns. McCoy surprised by showing he could play through a fractured rib as if nothing was bothering him, rushing for 92 yards and a score. For as long as Vick is out you can bump up Celek to every week starter. Past that, Jackson, Maclin, and McCoy are the dependable starts regardless.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS: The Vikings came up short yet again, but there is much to be excited about even in the loss. Moss made an immediate impact catching a TD from Favre, and Harvin was able to excell back in his usual position, especially when lined up next to Moss. Peterson and Schiancoe did not have great nights although that was due to the Jets athletic Line Backers and stout run defense. The biggest concern here is why was Favre holding his throwing elbow on multiple occasions in the fourth quarter? At his age, an arm injury is the last thing you want to see. The Vikings have an interesting game next week against a team very much like them in the Cowboys. Given Dallas' weak pass defense, this could become a shoot out where it's fantasy heaven. Just stay on top of what Favre did to his elbow.
NY JETS: The Jets offense seemed to put it all together, having everyone contribute with all their play makers on the field at once. Shonn Greene rushed for a score behind LT who carried the load yet again. LT continues to defy, having a bounce in his step we haven't seen in two seasons. You have to wonder at this point if the AJ Smith battle wasn't wearing on him or if he just wanted out and figured it was best to not perform. Sanchez has evolved every week and is proving he can be trusted to throw the ball and not be babied. This only makes them that more potent now that Holmes is back. Keller had a quiet night, which is telling now that Holmes has returned and he goes back to number three option in the pass game. He will still get his red zone looks, but his numbers could take a slight hit moving forward though not enough of a hit to ever bench him.
Showing posts with label Lions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Lions. Show all posts
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
What We Learned Sunday
Monday, October 4, 2010
WHAT WE LEARNED SUNDAY
NY JETS: We learned Shonn Greene still has game despite LT being back to the stud we know. Dustin Keller worked out all off-season with Sanchez and it shows. Rex Ryan made the mistake of not trusting Sanchez to be able to throw the ball and doubting his receivers to make catches. The Jets have a new found confidence in the pass game which only makes them even more lethal. Greene and LT both put up over 110 yards and are the key to this team. If one goes down, we all know the other can handle full time duties now. The Jets have a great problem on their hands. Now temper all this with the fact it was the Bills.
BUFFALO BILLS: Ryan Fitzpatrick has ability, he just has nothing to throw to. I have been saying the Bills will not be good until they get a real QB, but Fitz sold me a bit today. The problem is he has a receiving core that is getting older and an O line that refuses to live up to it's potential. I've always had problems with the Bills front office and their decisions and until they focus on making sound draft picks, trades and waiver signees, the Bills will continue to under achieve. Which is sad given that town loves football. Levy isn't the answer and Gailey has already proven he over values RB position too much.
GREEN BAY PACKERS: The sign of a great team is that they beat the teams they should despite getting the oppositions best shot. Rogers only threw for 181 yds but was 12 of 17 for 3 TD. The Packers are legit and should not face much opposition in getting to the Super Bowl. They are possibly the NFL's best team with New Orleans. The major concern continues to be the run game, where Jackson and Kuhn combines for under 80 yds. That will not cut it against the divisional winners come playoff time so the issue needs to be fixed NOW!
DETROIT LIONS: Much as the Rams, the Lions are explosive and are a great win less team to watch. This is the first year in recent memory where all NFL games are a blast to watch because anybody really could win. The Lions really need to buy a new rabbit foot since they continue to be victims of three or less games. Surprisingly, the drop from Stafford to Hill has not been that significant. The Lions are a competitive bunch and need to get defensive help. If they could just hold opponents they could become tangible and start pulling these games out. Considering this is the first year of all these FA signees, the Lions will be a team to be feared next year.
DENVER BRONCOS: They continue to prove they are possibly today's version of the greatest show on turf....only no turf. Orton has stunned everyone with his amazing accuracy and passing since coming to Denver. More amazing is the group of WR's. Lloyd and Gaffney are outcasts from previous teams whom were not considered number ones. Here they have new life and are putting up amazing numbers. The Broncos have no run game to speak of and will continue to pass all year. Why would you mix it up? Denver is for real, and if they could get a run game going, then sky is the limit.
TENNESSEE TITANS: Chris Johnson....,that's it. Yes the Defense is well balanced, but the pass game is not showing reflections of last season....yet. It's only four games, but Young had us all believing he would pick up on his play from last year. While he does make the plays, his lack of solid WR help and a defense that does have some holes makes for too much uncertainty week to week for this team. The Titans have been a one trick pony for too long and need to make that move on a young pocket rocket arm QB or bring in two real WR's who can help Young become better and make up his mistakes. As of now, the Titans look to wind up a .500 team.
CINCINNATI BENGALS: The signing of TO showed flashes of getting over the hurdles last year, but unlike last season it's not Carson Palmer but the run game which has gone awry. I have never been a fan of Benson because he has never strung good years together and is proving me right. Teams know who they need to focus on and once you take away the pass options, it makes this Offense become marginal. They have the weapons but if those weapons are targeted then the options become scarce. Look for the Bengals to focus on some shorter quick throw passes and the run game. So far the Bengals are far from what we all expected but do have time to turn it around.
CLEVELAND BROWNS: Seneca Wallace has become the Browns starting QB and has looked more effective than Delhomme has been the last two years. Peyton Hillis continues to prove he is for real after rushing for 102 and 1 TD. Who the leading receiver is continues to be a coin flip. The Defense continues to be undervalued and will be one to watch in the next week if you need a bye week fill in. The Browns will continue to be an unreadable team, and just as good as they looked this week, they could become the polar opposite next.
BALTIMORE RAVENS: Proving they can do it without their best RB healthy, the Ravens used a group effort to rush for 70 yards on one of the league's best defenses. The real story was Flacco and his receivers. My pick to win because of the fact the Titans would not be able to cover all the Raven receivers, Flacco passed for 256 yards. Yes, he only had one TD, but it was the one that mattered most. Mason,Boldin,Housh and Heap combined for 232 of those yards with Mason accounting for 80 and Housh catching the winning TD with time running down. The Ravens are back to form after a slow start so once Rice is back to 100% they will be a pick your poison team. Ray Lewis continues to defy his doubters and the Defense has been showing it's depth after losing multiple players to Rex Ryan and NY.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS: While Batch didn't throw a whole lot, his throws were confident and overall he managed the game well. With Ben now returning, the Steelers must be beyond pleased with how Batch and Dixon held the fort, going 3-1. Wallace is just waiting to use his speed and Ben will take advantage of it. If you thought the Steelers were a scary team before, wait until Ben knocks the rust off and gets settled in. Mendenhall can no longer be doubted and is here to stay, announcing it with a 79 yd. 2 TD day. His speed to the outside looked amazing compared to last year and he seems quicker overall. With a QB threat now, I can only see him producing even better numbers.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: Another one I saw coming, but not this bad! Forsett had another solid game, but the Seabags continue to play bipolar ball depending on if they are home or away. While St. Louis is no longer a laughing stock and is at the top in total points allowed, the Seahawks will need to figure out how to win on the road. A new coach, new youth on the field, but the same story every year. Regardless, there is no excuse for a team with this much talent to only put up a field goal with 27 minutes of ball control. This is where Pete's contract comes into play. It's been four games so let's see exactly what changes he makes to correct the road issues. Look for news of some type of scheme or personnel changes this week.
ST. LOUIS RAMS: I can no longer say the Rams are the best losing team to watch anymore, now that they have his .500 on the year. After catching a little flack for taking Bradford who was coming off injury, the front office is looking like they actually know what they are doing. They took Bradford anyway, and signed Mark Clayton who has turned this team around and given Bradford a legitimate target. Once Luarent Robinson gets healthy, this team will then become a real challenge. The Rams have continued to have success despite the opposition knowing exactly who Bradford is targeting so imagine when you add another factor to the equation. Steven Jackson's health is the key for this team since he keeps defenses honest, not allowing them to sit back on Bradford. Until they sign a legitimate back up, as Jackson goes, so will this team.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: Another one of my upset picks, the Niner played a much more effective game overall with Alex Smith going 21 for 32 and Gore totaling 137 yds. They tried to spread the ball out more to their talent, but turnovers is what continues to kill them. Clements had this game sealed for them and let it slip away. The Defense, which was projected to be in the upper levels plays well but always seems to give up the big play that winds up costing them. Of course it is hard to shut down the opposition when your team continues to turn the ball over more than your squad produces, but the defense is what it going to have to carry this team. I do like the direction they took, simplifying things a bit and getting talent the ball, but fact remains they need more help. They are a team who feels only one player away from a 4-0 record.
ATLANTA FALCONS: The Falcons showed mettle in this one, fighting till the end after playing nothing but comeback for four quarters. Matt Bryant's 43 yarder to win is nothing new to him, having done it throughout his career. Matt Ryan still has yet to prove he can win a game when it's all on him, and continues to make turnovers. Given the Defense they were facing I can forgive Turner's 50 yard performance, but where is Tony Gonzalez? With Jenkins missing yet another game, Gonzo has failed to step up and be a valid number two threat. Maybe he has finally hit the age wall, but he has got to produce more that 41 on 7 touches. Jenkins is by no means the answer to the teams offensive woes, but he will make things easier on Ryan when he returns. This team is being led by their defense and the turnovers they create. They are a fast defense, and I think under rated so far by most people. This unit can compete with the best of them, but as we see with SF, your offense needs to help out too. Luckily, the Falcons have won despite their struggles and are only going to get better. This is a team that has the potential to give the Saints a run for the division.
CAROLINA PANTHERS: As if Clausen's development wasn't already an issue, Steve Smith went down with a high ankle sprain and will likely miss time. As expected, Fox limited the rookie's role and tried to pound it out on the ground. Williams had his second solid game, posting 86 yards and a TD while Stewart totaled 21 yds on the ground but caught a 55 yard pass for a TD. This was a team starting to look like they were finding a path and the injury to Smith will weaken them by allowing teams to fully focus on the run game. There are no legitimate WR's here past Smith and it looks like more of the same is to be expected until he returns. Clausen showed he has a great arm but accuracy and reads were an issue. He's a rookie and it's to be expected. Fox needs to let him take his bumps now so that he will be polished up next year. Benching him makes no sense at this point and would be the worst move.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: The Saints used the combination of Ivory and Betts to fill in for Pierre Thomas with good results, producing 114 yards on the ground. Though Ivory did fumble, he looks to be the lead candidate for Pierre Thomas' relief role. Brees had an off game for him, throwing only 1 TD on 275 yards but was able to pull it out. These divisional games always produce the best shot from an opponent, especially when you're the defending champs. The Saints took what has probably been their biggest fight yet and survived. They are doing it despite not quite having the same swagger on defense a year ago which is a good sign but also shows they can be vulnerable.
OAKLAND RAIDERS: Gradkowski's 3 turnovers wound up hurting them as the Raiders lost a close one. The good news is how they were able to hang with the league's top offense despite any production from Murphy and Bey. Miller was able to carry the load, showing he is one of the most under rated TE's in the NFL. The dreaded McFadden injury came to town, with him coming up lame after a run. Initial reports it's a hamstring which isn't exactly the best injury for your top back. Bush seems to be healthy and just in time. He carried 7 times for 40 yards with a TD and should be able to carry the run game while McFadden is out. Regardless, this offensive line needs major work as they continue allowing penetration during critical moments. McFadden was keeping defenses honest but without him teams may start focusing in on the pass more making life harder for Gradkowski. As if it wasn't hard enough already. News on the severity of the McFadden injury should be clear by Tuesday.
HOUSTON TEXANS: Schaub was mostly held in check by the Raiders corners, throwing for 192 and 2 TD's, but the Texans continue to find ways to win. Namely, Arian Foster. Andre Johnson being held out seemed to have little effect on containing Foster as he combined for 187 total yards and 2 TD's. While they were able to outscore the Raiders, the Texans will need Johnson to return quickly. Jacoby Jones went down with an injury and Kevin Walter averaged less than 9 yards a catch. This offense always seems to have a player step up when they need it but it's the defense that is going to cost them in the long run. Mario Williams is in beast mode again, but the secondary is a patchwork who looked primed for a turn around this year and have been anything but lousy. This is a major issue that will need to get fixed if the Texans are to compete in a year where the Colts have started slow and given them the advantage.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: David Gerrard saved his job for now, not turning the ball over while throwing for two TD's and 163 yards along with rushing for 44 yards and a TD. I called him to be playing with fire under his ass, but now that he has produced it's just as likely he will vanish again. Coming out of exile though was MJD who rushed for 105 and a TD. I don't know what Simms-Walker did to Gerrard, but it must've been pretty bad since he was targeted just once and finished with goose eggs. The Jags are prone to feeding off wins like this and could string a few together if MJD is healthy and can continue to be productive like today. He is the heartbeat of this team and dictates the game flow. Gerrard is by no means safe and I would look for Del Rio to give Edwards a lot of reps with the first team from here on out to keep Gerrard on his toes and the fire under his ass burning.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: Reggie Wayne exploded for 196, Addai scores twice with 63 rushing yards, and Peyton throws two TD's.....So how do you still lose? Oh, no defense. The Colts have serious problems on defense and need to make a change quickly. So far their loss to Houston and now Jacksonville are results of a defense that can't hold when they need to. The Colts have enough Offensive talento part with and bring in some help for the secondary. Defense will be the big mantra this week and look for some moves to take place. Austin Collie? Yes, he came back down to Earth but is still a viable play. Buy low on him if you can because he should be a feast or famine guy.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: We Learned Kolb would be loving every minute of sweet vengeance....if he could have completed a pass. Yes he was coming off the bench, but this was his game to shine and he had major accuracy problems, missing guys badly. Early work is that VIck has rib cartilage injury and Leshaun McCoy has a fractured rib. Damn Washington did a number on them. Wait to hear the severity of each but it sounds like these are at least one week missed injuries.
WASHINGTON REDSKINS: Portis popped his groin, again. Thankfully, the Skins have Ryan Torain who was on his way to becoming the lead back anyway. Portis' time should be over after this season and I think could be dealt while he still has some kind of value. Santana Moss was ignored most the game because of pressure and coverage, leaving Mcnabb throwing for a measly 125 yds and a score. Anthony Armstrong made his one catch work, scoring on a 57 yd TD. Cooley continues to be the only source of Offense you can depend on. The Skins lose at St. Louis then win at Philly? Go figure. This is a big win for the team, showing they can pull it out even when having an off day. The Defense continues to show potential of dominance but need to put it together consistently. This division is officially for the taking.
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS: Am I happy the owner of Ryan Mathews rejected my selling high on Tolbert. Forced to start him due to a bye, Tolbert rewarded anyone in the same dilemma handsomely. over 100yds and a score in a game where Mathews was "back". I actually think Tolbert will continue to have value going forward and has earned more than just short yardage duties. This could become a 60-40 split and Tolbert has shown that he can put up numbers on just ten touches, raking up 80 yards in the first half alone. It will be interesting what Turner decides to do, but do not sell Tolbert for nothing. The value is legit and though Mathews is a great back, he is a rookie and runs hard. Two things that invite injury. Rivers and Gates were feeling the love yesterday and this is a team with too many weapons to handle.
ARIZONA CARDINALS: Here comes Max Hall? After Anderson threw two picks, Hall was given the call and produced a scoring drive that resulted in a field goal. Matt Leinart actually may have been right all along. Regardless who is at QB, they are not starting caliber and Fitzgerald should be dropped to number two WR value. Another position suffering due to the QB play are the RB's Hightower and Wells whom totaled only 12 carries for 43 yards. Arizona has got to be regretting not being committed to keeping most this team together after last year.
CHICAGO BEARS: The Offensive line was picked apart, allowing 9 sacks in the first half alone and an astonishing 110 total yards to the Bears. Cutler was taken out with a concussion and Todd Collins wound up getting injured as well. This was one of those nights where everything that could go wrong did. Defensively, the unit did continue to look fast and play well but they were just on the field too long. Lovie will be chewing some major Mike Tice ass and a drastic change could be in order when it comes to finding a solution.
NY GIANTS: Even without Kiwanuka, the Giants Defense was suffocating. Osi and Tuck led the charge with 3 sacks each and were constantly in the backfield all game. Manning certainly did not look great, but he didn't have to with Bradshaw and Jacobs gaining 191 yards on the ground and 2 scores. Bradshaw was quickly in Coughlin's dog house after the fumble, but it was a blindside strip and can't be put too much on poor ball control by Bradshaw. If the Giants can continue this play and get back to pounding the ball on the ground they will have a chance to stay competitive for the division. Lets see them do this a few times before making this the expectation.
BUFFALO BILLS: Ryan Fitzpatrick has ability, he just has nothing to throw to. I have been saying the Bills will not be good until they get a real QB, but Fitz sold me a bit today. The problem is he has a receiving core that is getting older and an O line that refuses to live up to it's potential. I've always had problems with the Bills front office and their decisions and until they focus on making sound draft picks, trades and waiver signees, the Bills will continue to under achieve. Which is sad given that town loves football. Levy isn't the answer and Gailey has already proven he over values RB position too much.
GREEN BAY PACKERS: The sign of a great team is that they beat the teams they should despite getting the oppositions best shot. Rogers only threw for 181 yds but was 12 of 17 for 3 TD. The Packers are legit and should not face much opposition in getting to the Super Bowl. They are possibly the NFL's best team with New Orleans. The major concern continues to be the run game, where Jackson and Kuhn combines for under 80 yds. That will not cut it against the divisional winners come playoff time so the issue needs to be fixed NOW!
DETROIT LIONS: Much as the Rams, the Lions are explosive and are a great win less team to watch. This is the first year in recent memory where all NFL games are a blast to watch because anybody really could win. The Lions really need to buy a new rabbit foot since they continue to be victims of three or less games. Surprisingly, the drop from Stafford to Hill has not been that significant. The Lions are a competitive bunch and need to get defensive help. If they could just hold opponents they could become tangible and start pulling these games out. Considering this is the first year of all these FA signees, the Lions will be a team to be feared next year.
DENVER BRONCOS: They continue to prove they are possibly today's version of the greatest show on turf....only no turf. Orton has stunned everyone with his amazing accuracy and passing since coming to Denver. More amazing is the group of WR's. Lloyd and Gaffney are outcasts from previous teams whom were not considered number ones. Here they have new life and are putting up amazing numbers. The Broncos have no run game to speak of and will continue to pass all year. Why would you mix it up? Denver is for real, and if they could get a run game going, then sky is the limit.
TENNESSEE TITANS: Chris Johnson....,that's it. Yes the Defense is well balanced, but the pass game is not showing reflections of last season....yet. It's only four games, but Young had us all believing he would pick up on his play from last year. While he does make the plays, his lack of solid WR help and a defense that does have some holes makes for too much uncertainty week to week for this team. The Titans have been a one trick pony for too long and need to make that move on a young pocket rocket arm QB or bring in two real WR's who can help Young become better and make up his mistakes. As of now, the Titans look to wind up a .500 team.
CINCINNATI BENGALS: The signing of TO showed flashes of getting over the hurdles last year, but unlike last season it's not Carson Palmer but the run game which has gone awry. I have never been a fan of Benson because he has never strung good years together and is proving me right. Teams know who they need to focus on and once you take away the pass options, it makes this Offense become marginal. They have the weapons but if those weapons are targeted then the options become scarce. Look for the Bengals to focus on some shorter quick throw passes and the run game. So far the Bengals are far from what we all expected but do have time to turn it around.
CLEVELAND BROWNS: Seneca Wallace has become the Browns starting QB and has looked more effective than Delhomme has been the last two years. Peyton Hillis continues to prove he is for real after rushing for 102 and 1 TD. Who the leading receiver is continues to be a coin flip. The Defense continues to be undervalued and will be one to watch in the next week if you need a bye week fill in. The Browns will continue to be an unreadable team, and just as good as they looked this week, they could become the polar opposite next.
BALTIMORE RAVENS: Proving they can do it without their best RB healthy, the Ravens used a group effort to rush for 70 yards on one of the league's best defenses. The real story was Flacco and his receivers. My pick to win because of the fact the Titans would not be able to cover all the Raven receivers, Flacco passed for 256 yards. Yes, he only had one TD, but it was the one that mattered most. Mason,Boldin,Housh and Heap combined for 232 of those yards with Mason accounting for 80 and Housh catching the winning TD with time running down. The Ravens are back to form after a slow start so once Rice is back to 100% they will be a pick your poison team. Ray Lewis continues to defy his doubters and the Defense has been showing it's depth after losing multiple players to Rex Ryan and NY.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS: While Batch didn't throw a whole lot, his throws were confident and overall he managed the game well. With Ben now returning, the Steelers must be beyond pleased with how Batch and Dixon held the fort, going 3-1. Wallace is just waiting to use his speed and Ben will take advantage of it. If you thought the Steelers were a scary team before, wait until Ben knocks the rust off and gets settled in. Mendenhall can no longer be doubted and is here to stay, announcing it with a 79 yd. 2 TD day. His speed to the outside looked amazing compared to last year and he seems quicker overall. With a QB threat now, I can only see him producing even better numbers.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: Another one I saw coming, but not this bad! Forsett had another solid game, but the Seabags continue to play bipolar ball depending on if they are home or away. While St. Louis is no longer a laughing stock and is at the top in total points allowed, the Seahawks will need to figure out how to win on the road. A new coach, new youth on the field, but the same story every year. Regardless, there is no excuse for a team with this much talent to only put up a field goal with 27 minutes of ball control. This is where Pete's contract comes into play. It's been four games so let's see exactly what changes he makes to correct the road issues. Look for news of some type of scheme or personnel changes this week.
ST. LOUIS RAMS: I can no longer say the Rams are the best losing team to watch anymore, now that they have his .500 on the year. After catching a little flack for taking Bradford who was coming off injury, the front office is looking like they actually know what they are doing. They took Bradford anyway, and signed Mark Clayton who has turned this team around and given Bradford a legitimate target. Once Luarent Robinson gets healthy, this team will then become a real challenge. The Rams have continued to have success despite the opposition knowing exactly who Bradford is targeting so imagine when you add another factor to the equation. Steven Jackson's health is the key for this team since he keeps defenses honest, not allowing them to sit back on Bradford. Until they sign a legitimate back up, as Jackson goes, so will this team.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: Another one of my upset picks, the Niner played a much more effective game overall with Alex Smith going 21 for 32 and Gore totaling 137 yds. They tried to spread the ball out more to their talent, but turnovers is what continues to kill them. Clements had this game sealed for them and let it slip away. The Defense, which was projected to be in the upper levels plays well but always seems to give up the big play that winds up costing them. Of course it is hard to shut down the opposition when your team continues to turn the ball over more than your squad produces, but the defense is what it going to have to carry this team. I do like the direction they took, simplifying things a bit and getting talent the ball, but fact remains they need more help. They are a team who feels only one player away from a 4-0 record.
ATLANTA FALCONS: The Falcons showed mettle in this one, fighting till the end after playing nothing but comeback for four quarters. Matt Bryant's 43 yarder to win is nothing new to him, having done it throughout his career. Matt Ryan still has yet to prove he can win a game when it's all on him, and continues to make turnovers. Given the Defense they were facing I can forgive Turner's 50 yard performance, but where is Tony Gonzalez? With Jenkins missing yet another game, Gonzo has failed to step up and be a valid number two threat. Maybe he has finally hit the age wall, but he has got to produce more that 41 on 7 touches. Jenkins is by no means the answer to the teams offensive woes, but he will make things easier on Ryan when he returns. This team is being led by their defense and the turnovers they create. They are a fast defense, and I think under rated so far by most people. This unit can compete with the best of them, but as we see with SF, your offense needs to help out too. Luckily, the Falcons have won despite their struggles and are only going to get better. This is a team that has the potential to give the Saints a run for the division.
CAROLINA PANTHERS: As if Clausen's development wasn't already an issue, Steve Smith went down with a high ankle sprain and will likely miss time. As expected, Fox limited the rookie's role and tried to pound it out on the ground. Williams had his second solid game, posting 86 yards and a TD while Stewart totaled 21 yds on the ground but caught a 55 yard pass for a TD. This was a team starting to look like they were finding a path and the injury to Smith will weaken them by allowing teams to fully focus on the run game. There are no legitimate WR's here past Smith and it looks like more of the same is to be expected until he returns. Clausen showed he has a great arm but accuracy and reads were an issue. He's a rookie and it's to be expected. Fox needs to let him take his bumps now so that he will be polished up next year. Benching him makes no sense at this point and would be the worst move.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: The Saints used the combination of Ivory and Betts to fill in for Pierre Thomas with good results, producing 114 yards on the ground. Though Ivory did fumble, he looks to be the lead candidate for Pierre Thomas' relief role. Brees had an off game for him, throwing only 1 TD on 275 yards but was able to pull it out. These divisional games always produce the best shot from an opponent, especially when you're the defending champs. The Saints took what has probably been their biggest fight yet and survived. They are doing it despite not quite having the same swagger on defense a year ago which is a good sign but also shows they can be vulnerable.
OAKLAND RAIDERS: Gradkowski's 3 turnovers wound up hurting them as the Raiders lost a close one. The good news is how they were able to hang with the league's top offense despite any production from Murphy and Bey. Miller was able to carry the load, showing he is one of the most under rated TE's in the NFL. The dreaded McFadden injury came to town, with him coming up lame after a run. Initial reports it's a hamstring which isn't exactly the best injury for your top back. Bush seems to be healthy and just in time. He carried 7 times for 40 yards with a TD and should be able to carry the run game while McFadden is out. Regardless, this offensive line needs major work as they continue allowing penetration during critical moments. McFadden was keeping defenses honest but without him teams may start focusing in on the pass more making life harder for Gradkowski. As if it wasn't hard enough already. News on the severity of the McFadden injury should be clear by Tuesday.
HOUSTON TEXANS: Schaub was mostly held in check by the Raiders corners, throwing for 192 and 2 TD's, but the Texans continue to find ways to win. Namely, Arian Foster. Andre Johnson being held out seemed to have little effect on containing Foster as he combined for 187 total yards and 2 TD's. While they were able to outscore the Raiders, the Texans will need Johnson to return quickly. Jacoby Jones went down with an injury and Kevin Walter averaged less than 9 yards a catch. This offense always seems to have a player step up when they need it but it's the defense that is going to cost them in the long run. Mario Williams is in beast mode again, but the secondary is a patchwork who looked primed for a turn around this year and have been anything but lousy. This is a major issue that will need to get fixed if the Texans are to compete in a year where the Colts have started slow and given them the advantage.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: David Gerrard saved his job for now, not turning the ball over while throwing for two TD's and 163 yards along with rushing for 44 yards and a TD. I called him to be playing with fire under his ass, but now that he has produced it's just as likely he will vanish again. Coming out of exile though was MJD who rushed for 105 and a TD. I don't know what Simms-Walker did to Gerrard, but it must've been pretty bad since he was targeted just once and finished with goose eggs. The Jags are prone to feeding off wins like this and could string a few together if MJD is healthy and can continue to be productive like today. He is the heartbeat of this team and dictates the game flow. Gerrard is by no means safe and I would look for Del Rio to give Edwards a lot of reps with the first team from here on out to keep Gerrard on his toes and the fire under his ass burning.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: Reggie Wayne exploded for 196, Addai scores twice with 63 rushing yards, and Peyton throws two TD's.....So how do you still lose? Oh, no defense. The Colts have serious problems on defense and need to make a change quickly. So far their loss to Houston and now Jacksonville are results of a defense that can't hold when they need to. The Colts have enough Offensive talento part with and bring in some help for the secondary. Defense will be the big mantra this week and look for some moves to take place. Austin Collie? Yes, he came back down to Earth but is still a viable play. Buy low on him if you can because he should be a feast or famine guy.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: We Learned Kolb would be loving every minute of sweet vengeance....if he could have completed a pass. Yes he was coming off the bench, but this was his game to shine and he had major accuracy problems, missing guys badly. Early work is that VIck has rib cartilage injury and Leshaun McCoy has a fractured rib. Damn Washington did a number on them. Wait to hear the severity of each but it sounds like these are at least one week missed injuries.
WASHINGTON REDSKINS: Portis popped his groin, again. Thankfully, the Skins have Ryan Torain who was on his way to becoming the lead back anyway. Portis' time should be over after this season and I think could be dealt while he still has some kind of value. Santana Moss was ignored most the game because of pressure and coverage, leaving Mcnabb throwing for a measly 125 yds and a score. Anthony Armstrong made his one catch work, scoring on a 57 yd TD. Cooley continues to be the only source of Offense you can depend on. The Skins lose at St. Louis then win at Philly? Go figure. This is a big win for the team, showing they can pull it out even when having an off day. The Defense continues to show potential of dominance but need to put it together consistently. This division is officially for the taking.
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS: Am I happy the owner of Ryan Mathews rejected my selling high on Tolbert. Forced to start him due to a bye, Tolbert rewarded anyone in the same dilemma handsomely. over 100yds and a score in a game where Mathews was "back". I actually think Tolbert will continue to have value going forward and has earned more than just short yardage duties. This could become a 60-40 split and Tolbert has shown that he can put up numbers on just ten touches, raking up 80 yards in the first half alone. It will be interesting what Turner decides to do, but do not sell Tolbert for nothing. The value is legit and though Mathews is a great back, he is a rookie and runs hard. Two things that invite injury. Rivers and Gates were feeling the love yesterday and this is a team with too many weapons to handle.
ARIZONA CARDINALS: Here comes Max Hall? After Anderson threw two picks, Hall was given the call and produced a scoring drive that resulted in a field goal. Matt Leinart actually may have been right all along. Regardless who is at QB, they are not starting caliber and Fitzgerald should be dropped to number two WR value. Another position suffering due to the QB play are the RB's Hightower and Wells whom totaled only 12 carries for 43 yards. Arizona has got to be regretting not being committed to keeping most this team together after last year.
CHICAGO BEARS: The Offensive line was picked apart, allowing 9 sacks in the first half alone and an astonishing 110 total yards to the Bears. Cutler was taken out with a concussion and Todd Collins wound up getting injured as well. This was one of those nights where everything that could go wrong did. Defensively, the unit did continue to look fast and play well but they were just on the field too long. Lovie will be chewing some major Mike Tice ass and a drastic change could be in order when it comes to finding a solution.
NY GIANTS: Even without Kiwanuka, the Giants Defense was suffocating. Osi and Tuck led the charge with 3 sacks each and were constantly in the backfield all game. Manning certainly did not look great, but he didn't have to with Bradshaw and Jacobs gaining 191 yards on the ground and 2 scores. Bradshaw was quickly in Coughlin's dog house after the fumble, but it was a blindside strip and can't be put too much on poor ball control by Bradshaw. If the Giants can continue this play and get back to pounding the ball on the ground they will have a chance to stay competitive for the division. Lets see them do this a few times before making this the expectation.
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Week 4 NFL
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
WEEK 3 PREDICTIONS
CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE: Easily overmatched and on the road, Flacco should have his way with the secondary. Clevelands run defense is better than the perception and could hold Ray Rice under control. Seneca Wallace should be getting another start after a good performance last week, and Cribbs should touch the ball more if the Browns have a shot to compete. Hillis and Harrison will face their toughest opponents yet and given their low rushing totals so far, they should have no place to go. The Ravens have yet to hit their stride Offensively and this could be just what they needed to get things moving. After being man handled again by the Bengals, look for the Ravens to come out strong and not let up. Baltimore wins 28-13.
FANTASY STARTS: CLEVELAND- Cribbs (5 for 70 yds 1 TD) BALTIMORE- Rice (14 for 65/ 4 catch for 35 1 TD) Boldin (6 for 85 1 TD) Mason ( 4 for 50 1 TD) Flacco (240 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: McGahee...he could steal some carries once this one gets out of hand as well as a goal line steal.
CINCINNATI at CAROLINA: The Bengals are averaging 340 yds/pg versus Carolina's 257. Given the Bengals ability to hold Baltimore down last week, the defense should have it's swagger back and make Clausen's first NFL start one to forget. Steve Smith has a deep bruise on his wrist though mild injuries don't seem to hinder him. Chad Ochocinco has a fractured rib and could be a late scratch given the opponent. Carolina doesn't have the horses to compete with top tier teams this year and Clausen will make a few mistakes that turn into points. The Bengals should feed Cedric Benson a good portion of touches in an effort to get him into a rhythm after a slow start. Bengals 23-Panthers 14.
FANTASY STARTS: CAROLINA- Steve Smith (5 for 70 yds 1 TD) Williams (19 for 80 1 TD)
CINCINNATI- Benson (18 for 90 1 TD) Palmer ( 260 yds. 2 TD) T.O. (7 for 90 1 RD) Ochocinco could get those numbers if he plays the duration.
SLEEPER: J. Greisham...If Ocho is given some time to rest, Greisham could be utilized often.
DALLAS at HOUSTON: These two teams are actually close statistically in YPG and Passing but it all separates when it comes to PPG. Dallas is averaging a poor 13.5 compared to Houston's 32. This may be a must win game for Dallas but Houston proved they can score with anyone and are the real deal.Last week was their first ever OT win. The Defense will allow Dallas to score better than the previous two games which can make this a shoot out until the end. Andre Johnson's ankle will be a big factor in how this game turns out. The Texans become very one dimensional without him and even if he isn't at top speed it's better than not having him on the field. Dallas will have to get their run game going and control the clock, keeping the ball out of Schaub's hands. If Dallas loses I would not be surprised to see Jerry Jones pave the way for a bye week firing of Phillips. This team is portraying all the signs of poor prep and some new blood could be what they need to spark some fire under them. Roy Williams has all but lost the job to Dez Bryant, whom has done more in two games than Williams last six. Contingent upon the health of Johnson, Houston wins 28-24.
FANTASY STARTS: DALLAS- Dez Bryant (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Austin (9 for 110 1 TD) Romo (290 yds. 2 TD) HOUSTON- Foster (18 for 95 1 TD/ 3 for 25) Johnson ( 8 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Schaub ( 300 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: Felix Jones...The Texans have yet to face a speed back and Jones could provide them some problems. J. Jones (Hou)...He was able to display a bit of his ability against Washington and given Johnson's ankle issue they may look to ease his work load giving Jones a chance to shine.
SAN FRANCISCO at KANSAS CITY: The new Arrowhead is as hostile a place to play as the old one, just ask the Chargers. The Chiefs always take it to another level at home and after a great start will be playing at full speed. The lack of a pass game outside of Vernon Davis should help the Chiefs focus in on Gore who will be coming off a short week where he carried a heavy load. KC is in a good postion to win only if Cassel can do better than he has and get his receivers involved early. KC has yet to face a good LB corps like the Niners, whom will be able to keep the run game in check. The way Rivers and Seneca Wallace were able to pass on KC could turn out being the secondary key to the game. Alex Smith looked a lot better on Monday night and although they lost, I think it may have been a slight motivator confidence wise knowing they can come back when the game is on the line. Look for Charles to get more work here as Weiss follows the Saints game plan and sends Charles running routes more often than normal. The speed of the SF linebackers will prove tough for Thomas Jones' style. Although this game is a toss up, Alex Smith has shown he is playing at a high level for him and we have yet to see Cassel scratch the surface of a good outing. This is where he does, and it pays off. KC squeaks it out 17-14.
FANTASY STARTS: KANSAS CITY-Charles (10 for 45/ 4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Bowe ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) SAN FRANCISCO- Davis ( 7 for 85 1 TD) Gore (14 for 70 yds/ 5 for 55 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Crabtree, SF...Both Naanee and Cribbs had success againts this secondary and Crabtree knows the bust birds are circling.
PITTSBURGH at TAMPA BAY: This game is one of the more intriguing games due to the fact that it is the only game on Sunday where two 2-0 teams will square off and that it should be closer that what you would think given the recent history of these two teams. The Steelers are winning with Defense and Dixon was proving to be the QB they expected to groom for the future. However, after a miniscus injury Dixon is out and either Leftwich or Batch is in. The Bucs know Leftwich well, but Batch should be the front runner due to health. The Bucs had success shutting down the Carolina run game and the Defense in general seems to be playing as fast as they ever have. The Steelers have so far kept teams with more explosive backs in check, so it will be on the Bucs passing game to try and put up points through the air. Mendenhall should be called on often to allow whoever the QB is to settle in on their first start. This should be where the Buc D focuses and forces Pittsburgh to beat them through the air. At the risk of making a bias projection, the Bucs pull this one out 16-14.
FANTASY STARTS: BUCS- Winslow (7 for 50 1TD.) Mike Williams ( 8 for 60 1 TD)
STEELERS- Mendenhall (18 for 90 1 TD) Ward (6 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Stroughter (TB)...The Bucs will need to spread the ball around and Stroughter could provide a big game out of the slot where the Steeler secondary weakens a bit.
DETROIT LIONS at MINNESOTA: Who in the world would have expected the PPG stats to be 23 vs 9.5 in the LIONS favor! I have a hard time believing the Sidney Rice was that integral a part of this team that would have the Vikes averaging only 185 yds per game. Their slow start looks to me more the result of guys playing out of position and a lack of chemistry due to the Favre holdout and injuries. The Vikings get the match up they need in the Lions, whom have lost Nate Burleson to his yearly ankle injury and Matt Stafford to his yearly shoulder injury. Though missing both men, Shaun Hill has stepped in admirably and Detroit is a team that will fight until the end. Jhavid Best is proving to be this years best rookie back so far and could give the Vikes some headaches. Regardless, the Vikings run game will be able to control the clock and Favre should find a rhythm finally with Harvin and Berrian. Harvin is nursing a hip strain, but it didn't seem to hamper him too much last week. Pettigrew had a great outing last week and should get more looks with Burleson out. Given how well the Lions are playing, the Vikings could just as easily lose this game as they could win it. In the end, the Vikings home stand proves dividends and they pull away 28-17.
FANTASY STARTS: LIONS- Best (16 for 50 yds/ 4 for 55 1 TD) Johnson (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
VIKINGS- A.P. ( 16 for 90 1 TD/ 4 for 35) Harvin ( 6 for 72 1 TD) Favre ( 250 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: Bryant Johnson...someone will need to step up in Burleson's place and help take pressure off Megatron. Johnson had some good games last year and could sneak up on the Vikings.
BUFFALO at NEW ENGLAND: New QB, same result. The Bills are a rebuilding team who need more help than they can draft in one year. They are young and better days are ahead. Normally a competitive game by the Bills, I think the swap to a new QB making his first start on the road here hurts. Lee Evans has been a complete let down though not his fault and Chan Gailey has not really brought the spark everyone hoped for. Lynch needs to be traded to get some help fast. New England is back on track in what should be an easy day. New England 31-17
FANTASY STARTS: NEW ENGLAND: Uhh, everyone. BUFFALO: NOBODY!! With Lynch getting all the work last week and Gailey now promising Spiller will get a bigger work load with Fred Jackson. Until there are only two RB's in this town there is nobody safe starting.
SLEEPER: Roscoe Parrish: He has seemed to get the little bit of work amongst the WR and could post some good numbers since Buffalo will be throwing a lot.
ATLANTA at NEW ORLEANS: Mike Turner is expected to be back and active this week but pay close attention to how much work he gets on Thursday practice. Overall, this is a bad sign for Atlanta who overworked Turner last year and wound up missing him in some games. Matt Ryan is proving to be a one dimensional QB who needs more weapons. Gonzales has maybe hit the end of the road and no Mike Jenkins forced Ryan to target White a ridiculous 25 times? Atlanta is an easy team to scheme for and New Orleans should have a fairly easy game at home. Atlanta will make the score look closer than the game actually is. Fantasy wise, no NO WR has looked really great or put up the big numbers. I think the loss of Bush will hurt more than people think. Chris Ivory may be a good waiver claim but Deshaun Wynn should get all the initial work, but it will be limited since Pierre Thomas can will be a work horse. NO 28-21.
FANTASY STARTS: ATLANTA: Turner/Snelling ( 17 for 80 yds. 4 for 46 1 TD) White (9 for 110 1 TD) NEW ORLEANS: Thomas (19 for 90 yds. 6 for 45 1 TD) Brees (290 yds. 3 TD) Colston ( 6 for 90 1 TD) Meachem (5 for 80)
SLEEPER: Chris Ivory...He showed explosiveness in the pre-season and if healthy could get a few touches that are made to count.
TENNESSEE at NY GIANTS: This should be one of the better games to watch because this game should say a lot about how these teams deal with adversity going forward. The Giants were dismantled by the Colts and Brandon Jacobs meltdown led to a meeting with management. The Titans benched Vince Young and last time he was benched it wasn't good. Coaches seem more comfortable than ever benching then starting QB's but I don't see Young as a guy that appreciates it. Then again every competitive QB wants in there regardless. Chris Johnson should have a good but not great day as the Giants force VY to beat them with the throw. Giants win a close one, 20-17
FANTASY STARTS: NY GIANTS: Manning (250 yds 2 TD) Nicks ( 5 for 80 1 TD) Manningham (4 for 60 1TD) TITANS: CJ ( 17 for 96/ 3 for 40 1 TD) Nate Washington ( 4 for 65 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Brandon Jacobs....He is bound to get a bigger workload after supposedly asking for a trade and making his frustrations known. The Giants know they need him for the long season and will appease him by giving him 10 to 12 touches and maybe some goal line work.
WASHINGTON at ST.LOUIS: The Redskins have shown more Offense than anyone anticipated given their lack of receiver depth. Larry Johnson was released yesterday, opening the door for Keiland Williams who could steal the lead back job if given a real opportunity. Portis won't be healthy all year and the Redskins may have a diamond in the rough here. The Rams have been the best losing team to watch so far with Bradford and Mark Clayton surprising critics. The Rams will beat some unsuspecting teams this year and it may just start this week. Portis is a bit banged up and two hard fought games should have Washington's aged team a bit slower than normal. Upset of the week, St. Louis wins 21-17.
FANTASY START: WASHINGTON: Cooley (5 for 68 1 TD) Moss (7 for 95 1 TD) McNabb (225 2 TD) ST. LOUIS: Clayton (8 for 110 1 TD) Jackson ( 16 for 90 1 TD/ 6 for 60)
SLEEPER: Bradford...Washington has given up a lot of points through the air and Bradford could have a statistically great game fantasy wise.
PHILADELPHIA at JACKSONVILLE: Looks like the locker room won here as Reid came out on Monday naming Kolb the starter then flip flopped naming Vick the starter on Tuesday. The players will rally around Vick who really does give them the best chance to win for now. I do agree with Mr. Clayton form ESPN though in believing this is a bad long term decision. Kolb is the future and what happens when Vick wets the bed? While Kolb looked weak in both pre-season and game 1, lets see what happens as the season wares on. For now, Vick is a top five QB start this week. Mike Simms-Walker was finally involved last week though most of it was garbage time. I have been preaching that something is wrong with MJD since pre-season. He has had an amazing amount of work the last four years and that 500 carry mark is when backs start to show signs of over use. I believe MJD is playing hurt and while he will be an every day start, he will not come close to his top five draft status. This could be a closer game than expected as Jacksonville always seems to play their A game at home. Philadelphia wins though 24-21.
FANTASY STARTS: PHILADELPHIA: Vick ( 230 yds. 2 TD/ 4 for 50 yds) D. Jackson ( 6 for 85 1 TD) McCoy ( 16 for 75 yds/ 4 for 40 1 TD) JACKSONVILLE: Simms-Walker (7 for 90 1 TD) Gerrard ( 250 yds. 2 TD) MJD (16 for 90yds. 1 TD) M. Lewis (6 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Mike Thomas...not necessarily a sleeper, Thomas should produce as most of the attention is on the right side of the field and MJD.
INDIANAPOLIS at DENVER: The Broncos will play an emotional game coming off the death of receiver Mckinley. How they respond is anyone's guess and there would be no criticism should they fall flat under the circumstances. I do think they play a hard fought game and give the Colts a run for their money. The return of Moreno and Buckhalter is good news as the passing attack will become more balanced. Orton loves to spread the ball around and the run game return adds another dimension. He has quietly thrown for 295 and 302 in 2 games. The Colts picked apart the Giants last weekend but they will face a stiffer challenge as the Broncos secondary is much better than the Giants. Pierre Garcon's disappearing act has been tempered by Austin Collie's emergence and the run game had it's first decent game last week. If the Broncos come out strong amid their adversity, this could be an upset. Broncos 31 Colts 28.
FANTASY STARTS: INDIANAPOLIS: Wayne (7 for 90 yds 1 TD) Collie ( 5 for 70 yds) Manning (300 yds 3 TD) Addai (16 for 80 1 TD/ 5 for 40 yds) DENVER: Orton (310 yds. 2 TD) Thomas (7 for 90 1 TD) Moreno (15 for 80 yds 1 TD) Royal ( 6 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: J. Gaffney and P. Garcon...with the attention on Demaryus Thomas' breakout game and Royal being a known threat, this could be the game where Gaffney sneaks in a score again. The Broncos know what to expect form the Colts, and Garcon may be the key to Manning winning this one. Both receivers get out of the basement here.
OAKLAND at ARIZONA: Cable makes the smart move and Gradkowski is the starter. This benefits Louis Murphy the most since they seem to have a trust with each other. Being a TB fan, I see a lot of Jeff Garcia in Gradkowski whom served as his mentor somewhat. The return of McFadden helps take the pressure off a weak pass protecting Offensive line and Heyward-Bey's best game of his young career could mean good things to come. The Cards are in trouble and must be re-thinking the release of Leinart. Wells doesn't seem quite ready to play yet, but Hightower has taken the lead back role effectively, but the problem is with Anderson and the passing game. Fitzgerald will get his numbers, but looks so far like he will not reach his elite fantasy status. Especially with Asomugh covering him. Oakland wins this game behind a shifty Gradkowski and the run game, 21-14.
FANTASY STARTS: OAKLAND: Murphy (7 for 85 1 TD) Miller ( 6 for 70 1 TD) McFadden ( 22 for 120 yds. 1 TD) ARIZONA: Fitzgerald (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Hightower (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Breaston...who will need to have a good game and should have plenty of targets while Fitz is blanketed.
SAN DIEGO at SEATTLE: The Chargers bounced back after and upset loss in KC and Rivers could end up right behind Rogers as the league's top passer. Malcom Floyd met expectations last week, but the ankle injury to Matthews while minor could be something to watch long term. Mike Tolbert looks to be who they will turn to should he have issues and may get more carries this game than expected. Norv already stated he will split goal line duties with Matthews and could pose big problems for opposing Defenses. Seattle came back to earth last week and the lack of any production from their run game is allowing Defenses to key on the pass. While always tough at home, San Diego just has too many options and should win a high scoring affair. SD 34-28.
FANTASY STARTS: SAN DIEGO: Floyd ( 6 for 90 1 TD) Naanee ( 5 for 70 1 TD) Gates (6 for 80 1 TD) Matthews ( 17 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Rivers ( 320 yds. 3 TD) SEATTLE: Hasselbeck (290 yds. 2 TD) Williams ( 6 for 80 1 TD) Carlson ( 6 for 50 yds 1 TD) Forsett ( 13 for 55 yds/ 6 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Deion Branch...Branch is always a gamer at home and Hasselbeck trusts him.
NY JETS at MIAMI: Miami is coming off a big win at home against the Vikings but Henne still has yet to prove he is reliable as a passer. Marshall's stock will continue to be in doubt until Henne hits his stride. Ricky Williams has been non existent as Ronnie Brown has shown knee surgery has not hampered him. The lack of a number two threat out wide will keep teams in games against them. Their top rated pass defense will keep them competitive if Henne can produce. The Jets will not start Braylon Edwards after another DWI which kills their potential even more to score through the air, making them one dimensional. Even if Edwards plays this is an easy game for the Dolphins to plan for. Shonn Green and L.T. will be used heavily and I think the Dolphins follow suit with Williams getting more carries. Cromartie should shadow Marshall taking the Dolphins pass game away.
FANTASY STARTS: JETS: Greene (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Tomlinson ( 15 for 60 yds./ 6 for 50 yds. 1 TD) MIAMI: Brown ( 18 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Williams ( 13 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Fasano and Keller....Both teams will need to move the ball somehow through the air and their TE are the only decent second options as Cromarie and Davis hold each teams WR studs at bay.
GREEN BAY at CHICAGO: The Bears are riding high at 2-0 silencing the critics who doubted Cutler's abilities. Forte has bounced back after an off year and looks to be heavily involved all season long. This week will prove just how legit their Offense is facing a Defense that is much stronger than Detroit's or Dallas'. This game will come down to the Bears D ability to hold Rogers in some kind of check so that the game doesn't get away from them too fast and allow GB to sit back. While being able to use Forte as a pass catcher is a great weapon, I actually think the smarter move is to pound the ball with the run and keep the ball out of Rogers hands. If Chicago can win the posession time then they have a great chance. Regardless though, it doesn't take Rogers much time to score and the Bears have given up an average of 30 PPG. In the end Green Bay's Defense keeps Chicago from pulling it out. GB 31-28 CHI.
FANTASY STARTS: GREEN BAY...all the normal players in a game where Finley, Jennings, Jackson, and Driver score. CHICAGO: Forte (18 for 70 yds 1 TD/ 7 for 60 yds) Knox (6 for 70 1 TD) Cutler (270 yds. 2 TD) Hester ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: G. Olsen...Martz used Olsen last week with good results and I think he will need to do the same while Matthews is busy following Forte around. Olsen could easily take the stats projected for Hester or Knox.
FANTASY STARTS: CLEVELAND- Cribbs (5 for 70 yds 1 TD) BALTIMORE- Rice (14 for 65/ 4 catch for 35 1 TD) Boldin (6 for 85 1 TD) Mason ( 4 for 50 1 TD) Flacco (240 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: McGahee...he could steal some carries once this one gets out of hand as well as a goal line steal.
CINCINNATI at CAROLINA: The Bengals are averaging 340 yds/pg versus Carolina's 257. Given the Bengals ability to hold Baltimore down last week, the defense should have it's swagger back and make Clausen's first NFL start one to forget. Steve Smith has a deep bruise on his wrist though mild injuries don't seem to hinder him. Chad Ochocinco has a fractured rib and could be a late scratch given the opponent. Carolina doesn't have the horses to compete with top tier teams this year and Clausen will make a few mistakes that turn into points. The Bengals should feed Cedric Benson a good portion of touches in an effort to get him into a rhythm after a slow start. Bengals 23-Panthers 14.
FANTASY STARTS: CAROLINA- Steve Smith (5 for 70 yds 1 TD) Williams (19 for 80 1 TD)
CINCINNATI- Benson (18 for 90 1 TD) Palmer ( 260 yds. 2 TD) T.O. (7 for 90 1 RD) Ochocinco could get those numbers if he plays the duration.
SLEEPER: J. Greisham...If Ocho is given some time to rest, Greisham could be utilized often.
DALLAS at HOUSTON: These two teams are actually close statistically in YPG and Passing but it all separates when it comes to PPG. Dallas is averaging a poor 13.5 compared to Houston's 32. This may be a must win game for Dallas but Houston proved they can score with anyone and are the real deal.Last week was their first ever OT win. The Defense will allow Dallas to score better than the previous two games which can make this a shoot out until the end. Andre Johnson's ankle will be a big factor in how this game turns out. The Texans become very one dimensional without him and even if he isn't at top speed it's better than not having him on the field. Dallas will have to get their run game going and control the clock, keeping the ball out of Schaub's hands. If Dallas loses I would not be surprised to see Jerry Jones pave the way for a bye week firing of Phillips. This team is portraying all the signs of poor prep and some new blood could be what they need to spark some fire under them. Roy Williams has all but lost the job to Dez Bryant, whom has done more in two games than Williams last six. Contingent upon the health of Johnson, Houston wins 28-24.
FANTASY STARTS: DALLAS- Dez Bryant (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Austin (9 for 110 1 TD) Romo (290 yds. 2 TD) HOUSTON- Foster (18 for 95 1 TD/ 3 for 25) Johnson ( 8 for 100 yds. 1 TD) Schaub ( 300 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: Felix Jones...The Texans have yet to face a speed back and Jones could provide them some problems. J. Jones (Hou)...He was able to display a bit of his ability against Washington and given Johnson's ankle issue they may look to ease his work load giving Jones a chance to shine.
SAN FRANCISCO at KANSAS CITY: The new Arrowhead is as hostile a place to play as the old one, just ask the Chargers. The Chiefs always take it to another level at home and after a great start will be playing at full speed. The lack of a pass game outside of Vernon Davis should help the Chiefs focus in on Gore who will be coming off a short week where he carried a heavy load. KC is in a good postion to win only if Cassel can do better than he has and get his receivers involved early. KC has yet to face a good LB corps like the Niners, whom will be able to keep the run game in check. The way Rivers and Seneca Wallace were able to pass on KC could turn out being the secondary key to the game. Alex Smith looked a lot better on Monday night and although they lost, I think it may have been a slight motivator confidence wise knowing they can come back when the game is on the line. Look for Charles to get more work here as Weiss follows the Saints game plan and sends Charles running routes more often than normal. The speed of the SF linebackers will prove tough for Thomas Jones' style. Although this game is a toss up, Alex Smith has shown he is playing at a high level for him and we have yet to see Cassel scratch the surface of a good outing. This is where he does, and it pays off. KC squeaks it out 17-14.
FANTASY STARTS: KANSAS CITY-Charles (10 for 45/ 4 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Bowe ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) SAN FRANCISCO- Davis ( 7 for 85 1 TD) Gore (14 for 70 yds/ 5 for 55 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Crabtree, SF...Both Naanee and Cribbs had success againts this secondary and Crabtree knows the bust birds are circling.
PITTSBURGH at TAMPA BAY: This game is one of the more intriguing games due to the fact that it is the only game on Sunday where two 2-0 teams will square off and that it should be closer that what you would think given the recent history of these two teams. The Steelers are winning with Defense and Dixon was proving to be the QB they expected to groom for the future. However, after a miniscus injury Dixon is out and either Leftwich or Batch is in. The Bucs know Leftwich well, but Batch should be the front runner due to health. The Bucs had success shutting down the Carolina run game and the Defense in general seems to be playing as fast as they ever have. The Steelers have so far kept teams with more explosive backs in check, so it will be on the Bucs passing game to try and put up points through the air. Mendenhall should be called on often to allow whoever the QB is to settle in on their first start. This should be where the Buc D focuses and forces Pittsburgh to beat them through the air. At the risk of making a bias projection, the Bucs pull this one out 16-14.
FANTASY STARTS: BUCS- Winslow (7 for 50 1TD.) Mike Williams ( 8 for 60 1 TD)
STEELERS- Mendenhall (18 for 90 1 TD) Ward (6 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Stroughter (TB)...The Bucs will need to spread the ball around and Stroughter could provide a big game out of the slot where the Steeler secondary weakens a bit.
DETROIT LIONS at MINNESOTA: Who in the world would have expected the PPG stats to be 23 vs 9.5 in the LIONS favor! I have a hard time believing the Sidney Rice was that integral a part of this team that would have the Vikes averaging only 185 yds per game. Their slow start looks to me more the result of guys playing out of position and a lack of chemistry due to the Favre holdout and injuries. The Vikings get the match up they need in the Lions, whom have lost Nate Burleson to his yearly ankle injury and Matt Stafford to his yearly shoulder injury. Though missing both men, Shaun Hill has stepped in admirably and Detroit is a team that will fight until the end. Jhavid Best is proving to be this years best rookie back so far and could give the Vikes some headaches. Regardless, the Vikings run game will be able to control the clock and Favre should find a rhythm finally with Harvin and Berrian. Harvin is nursing a hip strain, but it didn't seem to hamper him too much last week. Pettigrew had a great outing last week and should get more looks with Burleson out. Given how well the Lions are playing, the Vikings could just as easily lose this game as they could win it. In the end, the Vikings home stand proves dividends and they pull away 28-17.
FANTASY STARTS: LIONS- Best (16 for 50 yds/ 4 for 55 1 TD) Johnson (7 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
VIKINGS- A.P. ( 16 for 90 1 TD/ 4 for 35) Harvin ( 6 for 72 1 TD) Favre ( 250 yds. 2 TD)
SLEEPER: Bryant Johnson...someone will need to step up in Burleson's place and help take pressure off Megatron. Johnson had some good games last year and could sneak up on the Vikings.
BUFFALO at NEW ENGLAND: New QB, same result. The Bills are a rebuilding team who need more help than they can draft in one year. They are young and better days are ahead. Normally a competitive game by the Bills, I think the swap to a new QB making his first start on the road here hurts. Lee Evans has been a complete let down though not his fault and Chan Gailey has not really brought the spark everyone hoped for. Lynch needs to be traded to get some help fast. New England is back on track in what should be an easy day. New England 31-17
FANTASY STARTS: NEW ENGLAND: Uhh, everyone. BUFFALO: NOBODY!! With Lynch getting all the work last week and Gailey now promising Spiller will get a bigger work load with Fred Jackson. Until there are only two RB's in this town there is nobody safe starting.
SLEEPER: Roscoe Parrish: He has seemed to get the little bit of work amongst the WR and could post some good numbers since Buffalo will be throwing a lot.
ATLANTA at NEW ORLEANS: Mike Turner is expected to be back and active this week but pay close attention to how much work he gets on Thursday practice. Overall, this is a bad sign for Atlanta who overworked Turner last year and wound up missing him in some games. Matt Ryan is proving to be a one dimensional QB who needs more weapons. Gonzales has maybe hit the end of the road and no Mike Jenkins forced Ryan to target White a ridiculous 25 times? Atlanta is an easy team to scheme for and New Orleans should have a fairly easy game at home. Atlanta will make the score look closer than the game actually is. Fantasy wise, no NO WR has looked really great or put up the big numbers. I think the loss of Bush will hurt more than people think. Chris Ivory may be a good waiver claim but Deshaun Wynn should get all the initial work, but it will be limited since Pierre Thomas can will be a work horse. NO 28-21.
FANTASY STARTS: ATLANTA: Turner/Snelling ( 17 for 80 yds. 4 for 46 1 TD) White (9 for 110 1 TD) NEW ORLEANS: Thomas (19 for 90 yds. 6 for 45 1 TD) Brees (290 yds. 3 TD) Colston ( 6 for 90 1 TD) Meachem (5 for 80)
SLEEPER: Chris Ivory...He showed explosiveness in the pre-season and if healthy could get a few touches that are made to count.
TENNESSEE at NY GIANTS: This should be one of the better games to watch because this game should say a lot about how these teams deal with adversity going forward. The Giants were dismantled by the Colts and Brandon Jacobs meltdown led to a meeting with management. The Titans benched Vince Young and last time he was benched it wasn't good. Coaches seem more comfortable than ever benching then starting QB's but I don't see Young as a guy that appreciates it. Then again every competitive QB wants in there regardless. Chris Johnson should have a good but not great day as the Giants force VY to beat them with the throw. Giants win a close one, 20-17
FANTASY STARTS: NY GIANTS: Manning (250 yds 2 TD) Nicks ( 5 for 80 1 TD) Manningham (4 for 60 1TD) TITANS: CJ ( 17 for 96/ 3 for 40 1 TD) Nate Washington ( 4 for 65 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Brandon Jacobs....He is bound to get a bigger workload after supposedly asking for a trade and making his frustrations known. The Giants know they need him for the long season and will appease him by giving him 10 to 12 touches and maybe some goal line work.
WASHINGTON at ST.LOUIS: The Redskins have shown more Offense than anyone anticipated given their lack of receiver depth. Larry Johnson was released yesterday, opening the door for Keiland Williams who could steal the lead back job if given a real opportunity. Portis won't be healthy all year and the Redskins may have a diamond in the rough here. The Rams have been the best losing team to watch so far with Bradford and Mark Clayton surprising critics. The Rams will beat some unsuspecting teams this year and it may just start this week. Portis is a bit banged up and two hard fought games should have Washington's aged team a bit slower than normal. Upset of the week, St. Louis wins 21-17.
FANTASY START: WASHINGTON: Cooley (5 for 68 1 TD) Moss (7 for 95 1 TD) McNabb (225 2 TD) ST. LOUIS: Clayton (8 for 110 1 TD) Jackson ( 16 for 90 1 TD/ 6 for 60)
SLEEPER: Bradford...Washington has given up a lot of points through the air and Bradford could have a statistically great game fantasy wise.
PHILADELPHIA at JACKSONVILLE: Looks like the locker room won here as Reid came out on Monday naming Kolb the starter then flip flopped naming Vick the starter on Tuesday. The players will rally around Vick who really does give them the best chance to win for now. I do agree with Mr. Clayton form ESPN though in believing this is a bad long term decision. Kolb is the future and what happens when Vick wets the bed? While Kolb looked weak in both pre-season and game 1, lets see what happens as the season wares on. For now, Vick is a top five QB start this week. Mike Simms-Walker was finally involved last week though most of it was garbage time. I have been preaching that something is wrong with MJD since pre-season. He has had an amazing amount of work the last four years and that 500 carry mark is when backs start to show signs of over use. I believe MJD is playing hurt and while he will be an every day start, he will not come close to his top five draft status. This could be a closer game than expected as Jacksonville always seems to play their A game at home. Philadelphia wins though 24-21.
FANTASY STARTS: PHILADELPHIA: Vick ( 230 yds. 2 TD/ 4 for 50 yds) D. Jackson ( 6 for 85 1 TD) McCoy ( 16 for 75 yds/ 4 for 40 1 TD) JACKSONVILLE: Simms-Walker (7 for 90 1 TD) Gerrard ( 250 yds. 2 TD) MJD (16 for 90yds. 1 TD) M. Lewis (6 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Mike Thomas...not necessarily a sleeper, Thomas should produce as most of the attention is on the right side of the field and MJD.
INDIANAPOLIS at DENVER: The Broncos will play an emotional game coming off the death of receiver Mckinley. How they respond is anyone's guess and there would be no criticism should they fall flat under the circumstances. I do think they play a hard fought game and give the Colts a run for their money. The return of Moreno and Buckhalter is good news as the passing attack will become more balanced. Orton loves to spread the ball around and the run game return adds another dimension. He has quietly thrown for 295 and 302 in 2 games. The Colts picked apart the Giants last weekend but they will face a stiffer challenge as the Broncos secondary is much better than the Giants. Pierre Garcon's disappearing act has been tempered by Austin Collie's emergence and the run game had it's first decent game last week. If the Broncos come out strong amid their adversity, this could be an upset. Broncos 31 Colts 28.
FANTASY STARTS: INDIANAPOLIS: Wayne (7 for 90 yds 1 TD) Collie ( 5 for 70 yds) Manning (300 yds 3 TD) Addai (16 for 80 1 TD/ 5 for 40 yds) DENVER: Orton (310 yds. 2 TD) Thomas (7 for 90 1 TD) Moreno (15 for 80 yds 1 TD) Royal ( 6 for 70 1 TD)
SLEEPER: J. Gaffney and P. Garcon...with the attention on Demaryus Thomas' breakout game and Royal being a known threat, this could be the game where Gaffney sneaks in a score again. The Broncos know what to expect form the Colts, and Garcon may be the key to Manning winning this one. Both receivers get out of the basement here.
OAKLAND at ARIZONA: Cable makes the smart move and Gradkowski is the starter. This benefits Louis Murphy the most since they seem to have a trust with each other. Being a TB fan, I see a lot of Jeff Garcia in Gradkowski whom served as his mentor somewhat. The return of McFadden helps take the pressure off a weak pass protecting Offensive line and Heyward-Bey's best game of his young career could mean good things to come. The Cards are in trouble and must be re-thinking the release of Leinart. Wells doesn't seem quite ready to play yet, but Hightower has taken the lead back role effectively, but the problem is with Anderson and the passing game. Fitzgerald will get his numbers, but looks so far like he will not reach his elite fantasy status. Especially with Asomugh covering him. Oakland wins this game behind a shifty Gradkowski and the run game, 21-14.
FANTASY STARTS: OAKLAND: Murphy (7 for 85 1 TD) Miller ( 6 for 70 1 TD) McFadden ( 22 for 120 yds. 1 TD) ARIZONA: Fitzgerald (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Hightower (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Breaston...who will need to have a good game and should have plenty of targets while Fitz is blanketed.
SAN DIEGO at SEATTLE: The Chargers bounced back after and upset loss in KC and Rivers could end up right behind Rogers as the league's top passer. Malcom Floyd met expectations last week, but the ankle injury to Matthews while minor could be something to watch long term. Mike Tolbert looks to be who they will turn to should he have issues and may get more carries this game than expected. Norv already stated he will split goal line duties with Matthews and could pose big problems for opposing Defenses. Seattle came back to earth last week and the lack of any production from their run game is allowing Defenses to key on the pass. While always tough at home, San Diego just has too many options and should win a high scoring affair. SD 34-28.
FANTASY STARTS: SAN DIEGO: Floyd ( 6 for 90 1 TD) Naanee ( 5 for 70 1 TD) Gates (6 for 80 1 TD) Matthews ( 17 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Rivers ( 320 yds. 3 TD) SEATTLE: Hasselbeck (290 yds. 2 TD) Williams ( 6 for 80 1 TD) Carlson ( 6 for 50 yds 1 TD) Forsett ( 13 for 55 yds/ 6 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Deion Branch...Branch is always a gamer at home and Hasselbeck trusts him.
NY JETS at MIAMI: Miami is coming off a big win at home against the Vikings but Henne still has yet to prove he is reliable as a passer. Marshall's stock will continue to be in doubt until Henne hits his stride. Ricky Williams has been non existent as Ronnie Brown has shown knee surgery has not hampered him. The lack of a number two threat out wide will keep teams in games against them. Their top rated pass defense will keep them competitive if Henne can produce. The Jets will not start Braylon Edwards after another DWI which kills their potential even more to score through the air, making them one dimensional. Even if Edwards plays this is an easy game for the Dolphins to plan for. Shonn Green and L.T. will be used heavily and I think the Dolphins follow suit with Williams getting more carries. Cromartie should shadow Marshall taking the Dolphins pass game away.
FANTASY STARTS: JETS: Greene (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Tomlinson ( 15 for 60 yds./ 6 for 50 yds. 1 TD) MIAMI: Brown ( 18 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Williams ( 13 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Fasano and Keller....Both teams will need to move the ball somehow through the air and their TE are the only decent second options as Cromarie and Davis hold each teams WR studs at bay.
GREEN BAY at CHICAGO: The Bears are riding high at 2-0 silencing the critics who doubted Cutler's abilities. Forte has bounced back after an off year and looks to be heavily involved all season long. This week will prove just how legit their Offense is facing a Defense that is much stronger than Detroit's or Dallas'. This game will come down to the Bears D ability to hold Rogers in some kind of check so that the game doesn't get away from them too fast and allow GB to sit back. While being able to use Forte as a pass catcher is a great weapon, I actually think the smarter move is to pound the ball with the run and keep the ball out of Rogers hands. If Chicago can win the posession time then they have a great chance. Regardless though, it doesn't take Rogers much time to score and the Bears have given up an average of 30 PPG. In the end Green Bay's Defense keeps Chicago from pulling it out. GB 31-28 CHI.
FANTASY STARTS: GREEN BAY...all the normal players in a game where Finley, Jennings, Jackson, and Driver score. CHICAGO: Forte (18 for 70 yds 1 TD/ 7 for 60 yds) Knox (6 for 70 1 TD) Cutler (270 yds. 2 TD) Hester ( 4 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: G. Olsen...Martz used Olsen last week with good results and I think he will need to do the same while Matthews is busy following Forte around. Olsen could easily take the stats projected for Hester or Knox.
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