Friday, November 12, 2010

FRIDAY GUT CHECK

A list of players who may have bad match ups, under performing, or are secondary options but believe will perform well Sunday. Purely gut decisions, it's those starts you don't make because it's not rational although your gut tells you otherwise.

CHAD PENNINGTON MIA.....This guy doesn't go away and for good reason, he has a 66.1% career completion percentage and a 90.1 career QB rating. So far in 3 years, Henne has a rating of 76. Pennington is that quick strike short throw guy who will do well against the Titan secondary. Pennington has the weapons here unlike his previous years where the Dolphins lacked a dimension. The Titans are giving up 239 yards per game thru the air, so if you have a starter on a bye he makes a good play to me even though it's his first start in a year.

FELIX JONES DAL....He faces the Giants 3rd ranked run defense, allowing only a total of 80 YPG. However, something tells me Jason Garrett is going to use the weapons he has and focus on Jones' versatility in the pass game. Look for plenty of creative plays from Dallas as he tries to spark some life into this team. Felix Jones stock could be on the rise starting with this game.

JAVARRIS JAMES IND....In one game he has 2 Touchdowns, giving him just one less than team leader Joseph Addai who has three. Donald Brown will get the start here and a majority of the carries, but James is a harder runner who is reminiscent of Edgerrin James to me. Not as fast, but hits the hole with force. There will be plenty of love to go around too vs the Bengals 21st rush defense. I see him scoring again and maybe opening eyes as the possible back of the future for the Colts.

CADILLAC WILLIAMS/ KELLEN WINSLOW TB....While he is a shadow of his former self, Cadillac did have his second best game of the year on the ground against the Panthers gaining 51 yards on the ground. While that is not saying much, he did also have a long run called back on a penalty so could of finished much better. This week, Clausen gets the start as does Mike Goodson. The Bucs defense should allow plenty of work for their offense, so Williams may see more touches than normal and will no doubt be a force in the passing game since the Panthers secondary is one of the best in the game. Raheem refuses to give up on Cadillac so there could be good value here. Winslow had his best game of the year the first time they faced the Panthers, finding holes and being Freeman's safety valve target since most of the down field throws were taken away. Winslow could have another 80 yard day but score this time around.

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