HOU- (12th Passing Offense, 7th Rushing Offense, 31st Pass Defense, 10th rushing Defense) They escaped losing Andre Johnson to suspension and Foster continues to be the force that drives this offense. They face an Eagles team now 1st in interceptions, 1st in passes defended and 12th vs the run. To make matters worse, the Eagles will probably get Assante Samuel this week. Look for a plan similar to the Bears execution last week. Plenty of short throws and middle of the field routes. Foster will be used a bit more in the pass game since the Eagles are a bit weaker through the air. However, the birds have the talent to all but shut down Andre Johnson this week and should be effective stopping him. Look for Jones or Walter to be more involved and relied on more than usual. The Eagles LB's are fast enough to keep pace with Foster which is why Jones and Walter will see more action.
PHILA: (6th Passing Offense, 3rd Rush Offense, 16th Pass Defense, 12th rush Defense) Mike Vick should easily get back on track this week against a defense not nearly as fast or disciplined as Chicago's. Both Maclin and Jackson should have great days and Vick's run ability will keep the decent Houston run defense worried about closing the outside gaps which opens things up the middle for McCoy. All of your Eagles will make solid plays here.
The return of Samuel and a tough loss will have the Eagles focused and ready to let off some steam. PHI 31-HOU 20.
FANTASY STARTS: HOU: Foster (13 for 55 yds./ 6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Johnson (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD)
PHI: Vick (270 yds. 2 TD/ 4 for 45 yds. 1 TD) McCoy (11 for 65 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 30 yds.) Maclin ( 4 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Jackson ( 6 for 110 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: K. Walter HOU....As stated, Schaub will be needing a secondary target and should find both Walter and Jones open often. One of these two gets a score, leaning to Walter.
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BILLS @ VIKINGS:BUFF ( 21st Pass Offense, 17th Rush Offense, 11th Pass Defense, 32nd Rush Defense) Not much has gone right for the Bills lately, but they will get CJ Spiller back this week though he is far from a major contributor. The Vikings defense is especially strong at home and much faster. The Bills are going to throw as always and try to attack the Vikings secondary which is their weakest unit ranked at 14th. Steve Johnson should do well here as he wishes to make ammends for the dropped pass last week. Buffalo should be down and playing catch up early so Jackson makes a weak play while Johnson and Evans are the guys you can trust to give you 8 or more points this week.
VIKINGS: ( 18th Pass Offense, 10th Rush Offense, 14th Pass Defense, 5th Rush Defense) AP chose a bad week to sprain his ankle and while they say its only a sprain, if it is a high ankle sprain you can expect him to miss two weeks. Gerhardt makes a great replacement and should have a solid day againt the league's worst rush defense. However, he is not AP and is more of a north/south runner which will make things a bit easier for the Bills. I see the Vikes having some good numbers in the pass game, especially Schiancoe and Harvin since Rice will be dealing with Whitner all day. If AP does play after all, it could be a 20pt. day for him, but it looks doubtful so far.
The Vikings are playing inspired ball with Frazier and will not let down here. MIN 24-BUF 17.
FANTASY STARTS: BUF: Johnson (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Evans (5 for 60 yds.) Jackson (13 for 55 yds. 1 TD) MIN: Gerhadt (13 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Harvin (4 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Rice (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) Schiancoe (3 for 45 yds) SLEEPER: CJ Spiller BUF....he has done nothing all year to make a big impact but he will be used to get in space this week and have some value as a receiver.
BROWNS @ DOLPHINS:
MIA: (13th Pass Offense, 18th Rush Offense, 6th Pass Defense, 14th Rush Defense) Expect Henne to have one of his better days against a weak Browns secondary. Marshall should be closer to 100% this week and looks like a go although listed as day to day. Both Brown and Williams will have success as well though Brown is the better play. Miami is usually good at beatting the teams they should and this week is one of them.
CLE: (29th Pass Offense, 12th Rush Offense, 21st Pass Defense, 21st Rush Defense) The Biggest problem for the Browns is they can't keep up with the score. Peyton Hillis has been a monster and if this defense could hold teams they would be in better position. Delhomme seems to be airing it out more with conviction, but it could have been his want to beat his former team which prompted that last week. Hillis will of course have great value and is a must start, but temper your expectations this week. Miami has the horses to man up and allow their athletic LB's chase Hillis down.
Cleveland's inability to move the ball through the air kills them once again. MIA 24-CLE 14.
FANTASY STARTS: CLE: Hillis (17 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Watson (6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) MIA: Marshall (6 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Brown (15 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Fasano (3 for 45 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: R. Williams MIA....While Brown usually gets the goal line carries lately, this is a match up which could produce a double digit day for Williams despite fewer touches.
JAGS @ TITANS:
JACK: (26th Pass Offense, 4th Rush Offense, 28th Pass Defense, 20th Rush Defense) The Titans have been improving as of late and face a Titan defense weak vs the pass. Finnegan will most likely be on Thomas and Finnegan has the ability to shut him down. As always, the Jags will pound MJD but I think he does the most damage in catching instead of on the ground. Look for Karim Osgood to have a good game if Finnegan does indeed follow Mike Thomas around. Mercedes Lewis is the key here and has the potential to put up another multi score day.
TEN: (31st Pass Offense, 11th Rush Offense, 27th Pass Defense, 17th Rush Defense) The Titans get Collins back this week and he will have a solid day against one of the worst secondaries. This is the week if ever Moss finds the end zone again and CJ2K should have a monster day as he tries to shake off a 5 yard on 7 carry day last week.
Both teams are facing similar destinies and each seems well suited for one another. This one could become a fantasy feast for your players. TEN 31-JAX 28.
FANTASY STARTS: JAGS: Osgood (4 for 80 yds. 1 TD) MJD (14 for 65 yds./ 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Thomas (4 for 55 yds) Lewis (5 for 60 yds. 2 TD) TEN: CJ2K (16 for 110 yds. 2 TD) Moss (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Washington (6 for 90 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: J. Ringer TEN....Ringer doesn't get the touches to warrant a start, but his limited use will reap some good results this week.
BRONCOS @ CHIEFS:
DEN: (2nd Pass Offense, 30th Rush Offense, 19th Pass Defense, 31st Rush Defense) The Broncos will in all likely hood abandon the run this week and Orton will throw 40 times easily. The Chiefs are 7th vs the run but can be passed on and don't have the depth to cover all of the Broncos pass weapons. No doubt the focus will be on Lloyd so expect Royal and Gaffney to see more action.
KC: (28th Pass Offense, 1st Rush Offense, 25th Pass Defense, 7th Rush Defense) Charles and Jones are both primed for huge days against a defense that has given up many of the best performances to opposing running backs. While KC has a poor pass rank, it should be taken with a grain of salt because of its effectiveness. The Cassel to Bowe connection has been amazing the last seven games which has seen Bowe post career numbers. Expect a heavy dose of Jones and Charles in a game where they both have RB 1 potential as starters.
Arrowhead is one of the toughest places to win and the Broncos have struggled to get it done at home much less on the road. KC 31- DEN 24.
FANTASY STARTS: DEN: Lloyd (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Gaffney (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Royal (8 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Orton (280 yds. 3 TD/ 1 INT) KC: Charles (17 for 110 yds. 1 TD/4 for 50 yds.) Jones (15 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Bowe ( 4 for 75 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Moreno DEN....While he has zero value as a runner, he has produced catching out of the back field and I could see a 55 yd day for him with a possible score. He is a lower tier sleeper so find options.
REDSKINS @ GIANTS:
WASH: (9th Pass Offense, 25th Rush Offense, 29th Pass Defense, 27th Rush Defense) The Skins face one of the tougher rush defenses this week and are already in a position of weakness there with Torain still mending from injury and not at top shape. Regardless. the Skins will rely on Mcnabb to make some plays through the air as they have most the year. What Washington does have is an opportunistic secondary who can make you pay. They face a Giants team down to one dependable WR. Washington will look to stack the box and stop the run game and make Eli beat them with limited weapons. Moss has the tougher match up here so look for Armstrong to do most the damage if any against this top pass defense.
NYG: (10th Pass Offense, 6th Rush Offense, 1st Pass Defense, 9th Rush Defense) The answer to what they will do is easy....RUN! The Skins are weak overall and while the pass game can be effective, Coughlin understands why risk it when you have two backs with the ability to run over the Skins all day.
This one could be closer than expected if Manning turns the ball over or Bradshaw fumbles again. Giants should be able to limit the mistakes. NYG 24-WASH 17.
FANTASY STARTS: WASH: Armstrong (6 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Moss (4 for 45 yds.) Williams (12 for 50 yds. 1 TD) NYG: Bradshaw (17 for 95 yds. 1 TD) Jacobs (13 for 70 yds. 1 TD) Manningham (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Cooley WAS....He has been awefully quiet this year and may be the key to the Skins moving the ball. A good shot for a score though you are most likely starting him if you have him.
SAINTS @ BENGALS:
NO: (4th Passing Offense, 23rd Rush Offense, 2nd Pass Defense, 15th Rush Defense) Chris Ivory has been running harder as the season wares on and the return of Bush seems to have actually made things easier for him. He has a great match up here, as does Bush who now has a week of play under his belt. Though Cinci is decent vs the pass, they have done worse against lesser teams. All your Saints are start worthy this week, but as Bush gets healthier it may limit both Moore's and Ivory's potential if you are looking at the playoffs. CINCI: (11th Pass Offense, 24th Rush Offense, 12th Pass Defense, 24th Rush Defense.) The big question here is if the Bengals have mailed it in or not. This may be the last game we see any fight in them and it would be a huge morale booster if they can somehow get it done. The problem has been Carson and his accuracy. He has been sporadic at best and is facing one of the tougher pass defenses he has seen yet. While Benson does have a good match up here, I still think Ocho and TO carry some value as WR's 3 since the Bengals will most likely be playing from behind....or maybe not.....
While all rationale says otherwise, the Saints did get dumped on by Cleveland and Arizona whom are equally as bad as the Bengals. Now add in the Saints first cold weather game and....CIN 27-NO 24.
FANTASY STARTS: NO: Colston (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Ivory (11 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Bush (8 for 40 yds./ 4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) CIN: Benson (16 for 85 yds. 1 TD) Ochocinco (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) TO (7 for 90 yds. 1 TD) SLEEPER: Meachem NO....Colston will be lining up against the Bengals top CB (if healthy) and could be held in check leaving Meachem to make a rare big contribution this year.
BEARS @ LIONS:
CHI: (23rd Pass Offense, 20th Rush Offense, 17th Pass Defense, 2nd Rush Defense) The Bears are playing some serious defense and look as fast as they have since their last playoff run. The Offense even looks to be getting in sync with everyone playing their roles and Martz understanding the value of Olsen. This week they will have no problem executing their game plan as Martz looks for revenge in Detroit where he was left for dead. Every Bear is starter worthy, even Hester who has kick return written all over him this week.
DET: (7th Pass Offense, 28th Rush Offense, 18th Pass Defense, 25th Rush Defense) Like Denver, look for the Lions to abandon any notion of running and do what they do best which is pass. The problem here is the Detroit line will be doing all they can to stop an aggressive pass rush which shut down Vick last week. Hill doesn't come close to Vick and will be looking at shorter routes and check downs which hurts Megatrons value the most.
No Brainer....CHI 27-DET 13.
FANTASY STARTS: CHI: Everyone.
DET: Megatron (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Burleson (7 for 70 yds.) Pettigrew (6 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Bears Defense...While not technically sleeper status since they are one of the better defenses, I put the defense here because there really is no sleeper in this game and because the Bears have the potential for a 15 to 20 pt day as a unit in your league.
49ERS@ PACKERS:
SF: (27th Pass Offense, 27th Rush Offense, 16th Pass Defense, 8th Rush Defense) What hopes they had of keeping it close in Cheese Land diminished when Gore fractured his hip. Yes Westbrook is a solid reserve but he is far from replacing Gore. On a short week with Smith's toughest game since Tampa, there really isn't a great play here worthy of taking a risk on outside of Vernon Davis.
GB: (8th Pass Offense, 22nd Rush Offense, 15th Pass Defense, 18th Rush Defense) San Fran has been weak against the past as of late and it feeds right into what the Packers were going to do anyway which is pass the ball. Due to the loss of Gore which means a whole lot of 3 and outs, Jackson actually makes a good start since he will see plenty of action running once this thing gets out of hand.
SF takes it's worse loss of the year...GB 38-SF 13.
FANTASY STARTS: SF: Davis (7 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Westbrook (11 for 45 yds./ 3 for 25 yds) GB: ALL your Packers.
SLEEPER: Jones GB...He has asserted himself in recent weeks and makes a great play here if you are in a bind.
RAIDERS @ CHARGERS:
OAK: (24th Pass Offense, 5th Rush Offense, 10th Pass Defense, 29th Rush Defense) The last time the Raiders played SD it jump started a defensive frenzy with Oakland going on a tear. This time around they are in a minor funk and Asomugha is not at 100% and Miller is Questionable with a Plantar injury. McFadden over his last two games has rushed for only 16 yds. on 18 carries but will find little room here against a Chargers defense ranked 3rd vs the pass and rush. McFadden is the only play here unless you have a better option. Wait till he proves he's back on track before taking the risk.
SD: (1st Pass Offense, 15th Rush Offense, 3rd Pass/Rush Defense) Tolbert looks like he will be ready come game time and V.Jackson made his entrance for a quarter last week before supposedly injuring his calf which will keep him out two weeks. Rivers has already proven all he needs is warm bodies out there and if Asomugha is unable to go it makes his day that much better. If Tolbert is for some reason unable to go, bump up Naanee and Floyd's value since Hester is far from reliable in comparisson.
SD should look to return the favor this week and hit the Raiders while they're down. SD 38-OAK 21.
FANTASY STARTS: OAK: McFadden (12 for 50 yds. 1 TD) Murphy (4 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Ford (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) SD: Rivers (310 yds. 3 TD) Tolbert (15 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Floyd (6 for 75 yds. 1 TD) Naanee (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Gates (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Bush OAK...The Chargers have been able to keep the quick backs like McFadden in control and Bush's running style may be more effective in grinding down the defense.
FALCONS @ BUCCANEERS:
ATL: (15th Pass Offense, 8th Rush Offense, 26th Pass Defense, 6th Rush Defense) Atlanta has been good at scoring just one more than the other team and stopping the run which forces teams into errors. The last time these two met, the Bucs were stopped one yard short of the upset. Matt Ryan faces one of the better secondaries here so look for the Gonzales connection to play a big role as it did their last meeting. Turner will have a good day this week, but the Bucs have bettered their rush defense problems though they will be hard pressed to keep Turner under 90 yds.
TAMPA: (25th Pass Offense, 13th Rush Offense, 5th Pass Defense, 28th Rush Defense) Tampa will follow the same plan as last time, a slight bit more pass than run though Blount was effective last time despite getting stopped a yard short for the win. The Bucs will look to open it up a bit this week after playing conservative ball vs the Ravens and losing by a score. Expect a decent day for Blount and good days for both Winslow who has emerged as Freemans pressure go to guy and Mike Williams.
Tampa had them last time and now face them at home in a defining game for this young team. TB 24-ATL 20.
FANTASY STARTS: ATL: Turner (17 for 95 yds. 1 TD/ 3 for 20 yds) White (6 for 65 yds. 1 TD) TB: Blount (14 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Williams (4 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Winslow (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: A. Benn TB....He has the ability to explode any given week and has become the Bucs number two guy. Spurlock will probably see less time after a big drop last week and Freeman may look to Benn often.
COWBOYS @ COLTS:
DAL: (5th Pass Offense, 26th Rush Offense, 23rd Pass Defense, 19th Rush Defense) A Roy Williams fumble is the only reason the Boys didn't upset New Orleans last week and they've had extra time to prepare for a struggling Colts team missing Bob Sanders. The Colts solid pass defense is very weak without Sanders as the Chargersd showed. Look for Dallas to attack the secondary as much as possible to set up the run. Dez Bryant should have a solid day as the Colts don't have the depth to handle both Austin and the run game which faces the Colts biggest weak spot. Expect Jones to give you serious nimbers.
IND: (3rd Pass Offense, 29th Rush Defense, 8th Pass Defense, 30th rush defense) Manning has been left scratching his head but there's not much he can do with no run game and teams dropping extra guys back. However, the Boys are not the Chargers and they can be picked apart in the secondary. Manning is one of the tougher guys to beat after a loss and he will have this team on the right path. Look for serious action as always in the pass game since there really is no run game to speak of.
This looks to me like a coin flip but I give the Colts the edge only because of Manning at home. IND 30-DAL 28.
FANTASY STARTS: DAL: Jones (16 for 95 yds. 1 TD/3 for 20 yds.) Austin (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Bryant (6 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Witten (4 for 50 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Choice DAL....He has proven his ability in the past but been held back because of Barber's tenure and contract. This may very well be a breakout week for him.
RAMS @ CARDS:
STL: (22nd Pass Offense, 19th Rush Offense, 24th Pass Defense, 13th Rush Defense) The Rams are one of the younger but very under rated teams who have the ability to beat anybody. Bradford has been nothing short of amazing for a rookie and Jackson will be running all over the Arizona defense. A big day for Jackson is on the horizon and Bradford should have no issues hooking up with Amendola for at least one score.
ARI: (30th Pass Offense, 32nd Rush Offense, 20th Pass Defense, 23rd Rush Defense).....Nobody is start worthy here other than Fitzgerald so There is no sense in wasting time.
STL 23-ARI 17.
FANTASY STARTS: STL: Jackson (18 for 100 yds. 2 TD/ 5 for 45 yds.) Amendola (4 for 55 yds. 1 TD) ARI: Fitzgerald (5 for 80 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: S. Breaston ARI....He has consistently put up solid numbers since his return and could be in line for a great day against a weak CB.
PANTHERS @ SEAHAWKS: Why Bother? SEA 24-CAR 10.
FANTASY STARTS: CAR: Goodson: 16 for 75 yds. 1 TD) SEA: With Mike Williams doubtful, look for Butler to step up. (5 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Lynch (13 for 80 yds. 1 TD) Forsett ( 10 for 55 yds./ 5 for 60 yds. 1 TD)
SLEEPER: Smith CAR....sadly he has been degraded to sleeper status but has a great match up here as the Hawks rank 30th vs the pass. Problem is he has a bad QB and will see double coverage all day which makes him a sleeper/ WR 3 at best.
STEELERS @ RAVENS: PIT:(20th Pass Offense, 9th Rush Offense, 22nd Pass Defense, 1st Rush Defense) The Steelers will look to take advantage of what Tampa realized too late and run a no huddle offense and pass the ball. Ben has the tools to attack a Raven secondary which can be beat. Mendenhall should have a RB 2 day so temper expectations but he should get a score as this becomes a very physical game. The huge question is just how bad Ben re-injured his foot in practice this week and how bad it limits him.
BALT: (14th Pass Offense, 14th Rush Offense, 7th Pass Defense, 10th Rush Defense)
The Steelers have big holes in the secondary and Flacco will be able to take advantage of his weapons. Wallace is the guy who will see double coverage all day while Ward gets the man coverage. Todd Heap should be a big part of what the Ravens want to do. Ray Rice seems to be hitting a wall this late in the season and has not looked as fresh. He will be involved heavily in the pass game and will be another big part of what direction this game goes. Rice and Heap are your solid starts while Wallace and Ward have only decent days.
The Ravens Defense has the better balance and ability to hold the Steelers from scoring While it is a toss up, gotta go with the home team. BALT 20-PIT 17.
FANTASY STARTS: BAL: Rice (11 FOR 45 yds./ 6 for 55 yds. 1 TD) Heap (5 for 65 yds. 1 TD) Boldin (4 for 50 yds.) Mason (6 for 70 yds.)
PIT: Mendenhall (12 for 60 yds. 1 TD) Wallace (4 for 60 yds.) Ward (7 for 85 yds 1 TD.)
SLEEPER: Miller PIT....He is the guy who will be able to find room as Winslow was able to last week. He could be a key cog to whether or not the Steelers pull this one out.
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